Diffusion of influenza during the winter of 1889-90 in Switzerland

The influenza of the winter of 1889-90 was one of the first epidemics to spread all over the world. At the time, several people hypothesized that the railway was one of the main vectors of diffusion of this influenza. This hypothesis was defended in Switzerland especially by Schmid, Chief of the Swiss Office of Health, who collected an impressive body of material about the spread of the epidemic in that country. These data on influenza combined with data about the structure of the railway are used in this paper in order to test the hypothesis of a mixed diffusion process, first between communes interconnected by the railway, and secondly, between those communes and neighbouring communes. An event history analysis model taking into account diffusion effects is proposed and estimated. Results show that the hypothesis is supported if the railway network in Switzerland is not taken as a whole but if a distinction between railway companies is made.

Enhancing the efficiency of freight transport by using simulation

The role of transport in the economy is twofold. As a sector of economic activity it contributes to a share of national income. On the other hand, improvements in transport infrastructure create room for accelerated economic growth. As a means to support railways as a safe and environmentally friendly transportation mode, the EU legislation has required the opening of domestic railway freight for competition from beginning of year 2007. The importance of railways as a mode of transport has been great in Finland, as a larger share of freight has been carried on rails than in Europe on average. In this thesis it is claimed that the efficiency of goods transport can be enhanced by service specific investments. Furthermore, it is stressed that simulation can and should be used to evaluate the cost-efficiency of transport systems on operational level, as well as to assess transportation infrastructure investments. In all the studied cases notable efficiency improvements were found. For example in distribution, home delivery of groceries can be almost twice as cost efficient as the current practice of visiting the store. The majority of the cases concentrated on railway freight. In timber transportation, the item with the largest annual transport volume in domestic railway freight in Finland, the transportation cost could be reduced most substantially. Also in international timber procurement, the utilization of railway wagons could be improved by combining complementary flows. The efficiency improvements also have positive environmental effects; a large part of road transit could be moved to rails annually. If impacts of freight transport are included in cost-benefit analysis of railway investments, up to 50 % increase in the net benefits of the evaluated alternatives can be experienced, avoiding a possible inbuilt bias in the assessment framework, and thus increasing the efficiency of national investments in transportation infrastructure. Transportation systems are a typical example of complex real world systems that cannot be analysed realistically by analytical methods, whereas simulation allows inclusion of dynamics and the level of detail required. Regarding simulation as a viable tool for assessing the efficiency of transportation systems finds support also in the international survey conducted for railway freight operators; operators use operations research methods widely for planning purposes, while simulation is applied only by the larger operators.

J.W. Spencer fonds, 1866, 1881-1921

Joseph William Winthrop Spencer (commonly known as J.W. Spencer) was a geologist and geomorphologist best known for his work on the geology of southern Ontario and the Great Lakes. He was born in Dundas, Upper Canada in 1851, but moved to Hamilton, Ontario in 1867. In 1871, he began studies in geology at McGill College in Montreal. In 1875 he worked in the Michigan copper mines and shortly afterwards prepared a thesis on the copper deposits. He submitted this thesis to the University of Gottingen in Germany in 1877 and was awarded a doctorate in geology, the second Canadian to earn a doctorate in this field. In 1880, he became a professor of geology and chemistry at King’s College in Windsor, N.S. Subsequently, he taught at the University of Missouri, and then the University of Georgia, but moved to Washington, D.C. in 1894, where he worked as a consultant geologist. Spencer spent much of his life studying preglacial river valleys in Ontario and the origins of the Great Lakes, as well as the Niagara River and Falls. In 1907, he published a book titled The Falls of Niagara: their evolution and varying relations to the Great Lakes. His opinions in these areas differed from some of his contemporaries, namely the American geologist Grove Karl Gilbert. Gilbert published a review of the The Falls of Niagara that exposed some flaws and inaccuracies in Spencer’s estimate of the age of the falls. Spencer’s studies also took him to the Caribbean and Central America. In 1920 he moved back to Canada, but died the following year.

Indenture of Release between Richard Miller and others

Indenture of release by executors between Richard Miller, John L. Ranney and Richard Woodruff, all of St. Catharines and Joseph A. Woodruff of Clifton, all executors of the will of Samuel Zimmerman of the first part and The Great Western Railway Company of the second part. Parties of the second part have exonerated parties of the first part to undertake and complete the Sarnia branch of the railway. Also, parties of the first part believe they are entitled to compensation as the death of Zimmerman was caused while travelling on one of the carriages belonging to said company. A sum of $150,000 was agreed upon to be paid to the executors by the Great Western Railway Company, September 7, 1858.

Die Privatisierung der Öffentlichen Personennahverkehrs (ÖPNV) und die damit verbundene Problematik des marktwirtschaftlichen und interventionistischen Dualismus am Beispiel des Schienenpersonennahverkehrs (SPNV) in der Fläche

Der SPNV als Bestandteil des ÖPNV bildet einen integralen Bestandteil der öffentlichen Daseinsvorsorge. Insbesondere Flächenregionen abseits urbaner Ballungszentren erhalten durch den SPNV sowohl ökonomisch als auch soziokulturell wichtige Impulse, so dass die Zukunftsfähigkeit dieser Verkehrsart durch geeignete Gestaltungsmaßnahmen zu sichern ist. ZIELE: Die Arbeit verfolgte das Ziel, derartige Gestaltungsmaßnahmen sowohl grundlagentheoretisch herzuleiten als auch in ihrer konkreten Ausformung für die verkehrswirtschaftliche Praxis zu beschreiben. Abgezielt wurde insofern auf strukturelle Konzepte als auch praktische Einzelmaßnahmen. Der Schwerpunkt der Analyse erstreckte sich dabei auf Deutschland, wobei jedoch auch verkehrsbezogene Privatisierungserfahrungen aus anderen europäischen Staaten und den USA berücksichtigt wurden. METHODEN: Ausgewertet wurden deutschsprachige als auch internationale Literatur primär verkehrswissenschaftlicher Ausrichtung sowie Fallbeispiele verkehrswirtschaftlicher Privatisierung. Darüber hinaus wurden Entscheidungsträger der Deutschen Bahn (DB) und DB-externe Eisenbahnexperten interviewt. Eine Gruppe 5 DB-interner und 5 DB-externer Probanden nahm zusätzlich an einer standardisierten Erhebung zur Einschätzung struktureller und spezifischer Gestaltungsmaßnahmen für den SPNV teil. ERGEBNISSE: In struktureller Hinsicht ist die Eigentums- und Verfügungsregelung für das gesamte deutsche Bahnwesen und den SPNV kritisch zu bewerten, da der dominante Eisenbahninfrastrukturbetreiber (EIU) in Form der DB Netz AG und die das Netz nutzenden Eisenbahnverkehrs-Unternehmen (EVUs, nach wie vor zumeist DB-Bahnen) innerhalb der DB-Holding konfundiert sind. Hieraus ergeben sich Diskriminierungspotenziale vor allem gegenüber DB-externen EVUs. Diese Situation entspricht keiner echten Netz-Betriebs-Trennung, die wettbewerbstheoretisch sinnvoll wäre und nachhaltige Konkurrenz verschiedener EVUs ermöglichen würde. Die seitens der DB zur Festigung bestehender Strukturen vertretene Argumentation, wonach Netz und Betrieb eine untrennbare Einheit (Synergie) bilden sollten, ist weder wettbewerbstheoretisch noch auf der Ebene technischer Aspekte akzeptabel. Vielmehr werden durch die gegenwärtige Verquickung der als Quasimonopol fungierenden Netzebene mit der Ebene der EVU-Leistungen Innovationspotenziale eingeschränkt. Abgesehen von der grundsätzlichen Notwendigkeit einer konsequenten Netz-Betriebs-Trennung und dezentraler Strukturen sind Ausschreibungen (faktisch öffentliches Verfahren) für den Betrieb der SPNV-Strecken als Handlungsansatz zu berücksichtigen. Wettbewerb kann auf diese Weise gleichsam an der Quelle einer EVU-Leistung ansetzen, wobei politische und administrative Widerstände gegen dieses Konzept derzeit noch unverkennbar sind. Hinsichtlich infrastruktureller Maßnahmen für den SPNV ist insbesondere das sog. "Betreibermodell" sinnvoll, bei dem sich das übernehmende EIU im Sinne seiner Kernkompetenzen auf den Betrieb konzentriert. Die Verantwortung für bauliche Maßnahmen sowie die Instandhaltung der Strecken liegt beim Betreiber, welcher derartige Leistungen am Markt einkaufen kann (Kostensenkungspotenzial). Bei Abgabeplanungen der DB Netz AG für eine Strecke ist mithin für die Auswahl eines Betreibers auf den genannten Ausschreibungsmodus zurückzugreifen. Als kostensenkende Einzelmaßnahmen zur Zukunftssicherung des SPNV werden abschließend insbesondere die Optimierung des Fahrzeugumlaufes sowie der Einsatz von Triebwagen anstatt lokbespannter Züge und die weiter forcierte Ausrichtung auf die kundenorientierte Attraktivitätssteigerung des SPNV empfohlen. SCHLUSSFOLGERUNGEN: Handlungsansätze für eine langfristige Sicherung des SPNV können nicht aus der Realisierung von Extrempositionen (staatlicher Interventionismus versus Liberalismus) resultieren, sondern nur aus einem pragmatischen Ausgleich zwischen beiden Polen. Dabei erscheint eine Verschiebung hin zum marktwirtschaftlichen Pol sinnvoll, um durch die Nutzung wettbewerbsbezogener Impulse Kostensenkungen und Effizienzsteigerungen für den SPNV herbeizuführen.

Bachman’s Sparrow (Peucaea aestivalis) response to variation in the extent of burns conducted during the nesting season

Bachman’s Sparrow (Peucaea aestivalis), an endemic North American passerine, requires frequent (≤ 3 yr) prescribed fires to maintain preferred habitat conditions. Prescribed fires that coincide with the sparrow’s nesting season are increasingly used to manage sparrow habitat, but concerns exist regarding the effects that nesting-season fires may pose to this understory-dwelling species. Previous studies suggested that threats posed by fires might be lessened by reducing the extent of prescribed fires, thereby providing unburned areas close to the areas where fires eliminate ground-cover vegetation. To assess this hypothesis, we monitored color-marked male Bachman’s Sparrows on 2 sites where the extent of nesting-season fires differed 5-fold (> 70 ha vs. < 15 ha). Monthly survival for males did not differ between the large- and small-extent treatments, and survival rates exceeded 90% for all months except one during the second year of our study when fires were applied later in the season. Male densities also did not differ between treatments, but treatment-by-year interactions pointed to effects relating to the specific time that fires were applied. The distances separating observations of marked males before and after burns were smaller on small-extent treatments in the first year of study but larger on the small-extent treatments in the second year of study. Burn extents also had no consistent effect on postburn reproductive status. The largest extent we examined could have been too small to affect sparrow populations, but responses may also reflect sustainable metapopulation dynamics in a setting where a large sparrow population is maintained at a regional scale (> 100,000 ha) using frequent prescribed fire (≤ 2-yr return intervals). Additional research is needed regarding the effects that nesting-season fires may have on small, isolated populations as well as sites where much larger burn extents (> 100 ha) or longer burn intervals (> 2 yr) are used.

Excise taxes and commodity promotion bayesian retrieval of the optimum

This article shows how the solution to the promotion problem—the problem of locating the optimal level of advertising in a downstream market—can be derived simply, empirically, and robustly through the application of some simple calculus and Bayesian econometrics. We derive the complete distribution of the level of promotion that maximizes producer surplus and generate recommendations about patterns as well as levels of expenditure that increase net returns. The theory and methods are applied to quarterly series (1978:2S1988:4) on red meats promotion by the Australian Meat and Live-Stock Corporation. A slightly different pattern of expenditure would have profited lamb producers

Nonstationary feature extraction techniques for automatic classification of impact acoustic signals

Condition monitoring of wooden railway sleepers applications are generallycarried out by visual inspection and if necessary some impact acoustic examination iscarried out intuitively by skilled personnel. In this work, a pattern recognition solutionhas been proposed to automate the process for the achievement of robust results. Thestudy presents a comparison of several pattern recognition techniques together withvarious nonstationary feature extraction techniques for classification of impactacoustic emissions. Pattern classifiers such as multilayer perceptron, learning cectorquantization and gaussian mixture models, are combined with nonstationary featureextraction techniques such as Short Time Fourier Transform, Continuous WaveletTransform, Discrete Wavelet Transform and Wigner-Ville Distribution. Due to thepresence of several different feature extraction and classification technqies, datafusion has been investigated. Data fusion in the current case has mainly beeninvestigated on two levels, feature level and classifier level respectively. Fusion at thefeature level demonstrated best results with an overall accuracy of 82% whencompared to the human operator.

Vale de ferro: estudo histórico e estético das estações ferroviárias do Vale do Paraíba Paulista

Pós-graduação em Artes - IA

Diversidade florística e fenologia reprodutiva em fitofisionomias da reserva Pousada das Araras (município de Serranópolis, estado de Goiás, planalto central do Brasil)

Pós-graduação em Ciências Biológicas (Biologia Vegetal) - IBRC

Potencial biotecnológico de fungos marinhos e antárticos da central de recursos microbianos da UNESP (CRM-UNESP)

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Evaluation of Attractants for Live-Trapping Nine-Banded Armadillos

In the past 50 years, the range of the nine-banded armadillo (Dasypus novemcinctus) in the south has been rapidly expanding. As their range expands, armadillos increasingly come into conflict with suburban landowners. When foraging, armadillos often uproot ornamental plants. Their rooting also destroys gardens, lawns, and flower beds. Their burrowing can damage tree roots and building foundations. Most armadillo damage is a result of their feeding habits. Armadillos dig shallow holes, 1- 3 inches deep and 3-5 inches long, as they search for soil invertebrates. A recent survey of Georgia county extension agents by scientists at the University of Georgia found that 77.6% of all agents reported receiving complaints or requests for information on armadillos. Armadillo related inquiries made up 10.1 % all inquiries for all agents across the state, surpassing even the white-tail deer (Odocoileus virginianus). Armadillos are often assumed to destroy nests of ground-nesting birds. Armadillo diets have been studied in several states including Alabama, Louisiana, Texas, Georgia, Arkansas, and Florida. According to these studies, vertebrate matter, especially bird eggs, made up an minor portion of their diet. The armadillo’s diet often consists of more than 90% insects, grubs and earthworms. Based on these studies, it seems that claims of armadillos being significant nest predators are unfounded.

How wild bearded capuchin monkeys select stones and nuts to minimize the number of strikes per nut cracked

Wild bearded capuchin monkeys, Cebus libidinosus, use stone tools to crack palm nuts to obtain the kernel. In five experiments, we gave 10 monkeys from one wild group of bearded capuchins a choice of two nuts differing in resistance and size and/or two manufactured stones of the same shape, volume and composition but different mass. Monkeys consistently selected the nut that was easier to crack and the heavier stone. When choosing between two stones differing in mass by a ratio of 1.3:1, monkeys frequently touched the stones or tapped them with their fingers or with a nut. They showed these behaviours more frequently before making their first selection of a stone than afterward. These results suggest that capuchins discriminate between nuts and between stones, selecting materials that allow them to crack nuts with fewer strikes, and generate exploratory behaviours to discriminate stones of varying mass. In the final experiment, humans effectively discriminated the mass of stones using the same tapping and handling behaviours as capuchins. Capuchins explore objects in ways that allow them to perceive invariant properties (e.g. mass) of objects, enabling selection of objects for specific uses. We predict that species that use tools will generate behaviours that reveal invariant properties of objects such as mass; species that do not use tools are less likely to explore objects in this way. The precision with which individuals can judge invariant properties may differ considerably, and this also should predict prevalence of tool use across species. (C) 2010 The Association for the Study of Animal Behaviour. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Frost heave testing of norwegian materials for road infrastructure

In areas of seasonal frost, frost susceptibility composed by frost heaving during the winter and thaw softening during the spring is one of the most dangerous phenomenon for transportation, road and railway infrastructure. Therefore, the need for frost protection layer becomes imperative. The purpose of frost protection layer is to prevent frost from penetrating down through the pavement and into the sub-soils. Frost susceptible soils under the road can be cause damages on the roads or other structures due to frost heave or reduced capacity characteristics thaw period. "Frost heave" is the term given to the upwards displacement of the ground surface caused by the formation of ice within soils or aggregates (Rempel et al., 2004). Nowadays in Scandinavia the most common material used in frost protection layer in the pavement structure of roads and in the ballast of the railway tracks are coarse-grain crushed rocks aggregates. Based on the capillary rise, the mechanics of frost heave phenomenon is based on the interaction between aggregates and water, as suggested by Konrad and Lemieux in 2005 that said that the fraction of material below the 0.063 mm sieve for coarse-grained soils must be controlled so as to reduce the sensitivity to frost heave. The study conducted in this thesis project is divided in two parts: - the analysis of the coarse grained aggregates used in frost protection layer in Norway; - the analysis of the frost heave phenomenon in the laboratory under known boundary conditions, through the use of the most widely used method, the frost heave test, in” closed system” (without access of water).