Increasing political returns and rural-urban migrations

This paper analyzes the different equilibria in rural-urban migrationsand political redistribution that result from the interaction betweenincreasing political returns, the distribution of land, and creditmarket imperfections. Governments that put a special weight on thewelfare of urban workers when setting agricultural prices generate apolitical externality in the urban sector, giving peasants anincentive to migrate in anticipation of policy determination. Ifcredit markets are imperfect, land ownership confers higherproductivity to peasants, who require large price changes to migrate.In this context, land inequality would lead to large migrations and tolarge policy change, while an egalitarian land distribution would leadto no migration and to a small policy change. This interaction shedslight on the contrasting experience of Latin America and East Asia atthe outset of World War II.

The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective

This paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. We exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baselinetheoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real world complications. Among other things, we show that the optimal policy implicitly incorporates inflation targeting. Wealso characterize the gains from making credible commitments to fightinflation. In contrast to conventional wisdom, we show that gains from commitment may emerge even in the central bank is not trying toinadvisedly push output above its natural level. We also consider theimplications of frictions such as imperfect information.

Indentifying human capital externalities: Theory with an application to US cities

The identification of aggregate human capital externalities is still not fully understood. The existing (Mincerian) approach confounds positive externalities with wage changes due to a downward sloping demand curve for human capital. As a result, it yields positive externalities even when wages equal marginal social products. We propose an approach that identifies human capital externalities whether or not aggregate demand for human capital slopes downward. Another advantage of our approach is that it does not require estimates of the individual return to human capital. Applications to US cities and states between 1970 and 1990 yield no evidence of significant average -schooling externalities.

Flexibility vs. rigidity: Does Spain have the worst of both worlds?

In this paper we study the structure of labor market flows in Spain and compare them with France and the US. We characterize a number of empirical regularities and stylized facts. One striking result is that the job finding rate is slightly higher than in France, while the jon loss rate is much higher, putting Spain half-way between France and the US. This suggests that while Spain has borne the full cost of its labor market reforms in terms of job precarity, the benefits in terms of job creation have been quite modest. We hypothesize that this has been due to the reform s credibility being imperfect, which leads toexpectation of reversal.

State power and protected areas: Dynamics and contradictions of forest conservation in Madhya Pradesh, India

The traditionally coercive and state-controlled governance of protected areas for nature conservation in developing countries has in many cases undergone change in the context of widespread decentralization and liberalization. This article examines an emerging "mixed" (coercive, community- and market-oriented) conservation approach in managed-resource protected areas and its effects on state power through a case study on forest protection in the central Indian state of Madhya Pradesh. The findings suggest that imperfect decentralization and partial liberalization resulted in changed forms, rather than uniform loss, of state power. A forest co-management program paradoxically strengthened local capacity and influence of the Forest Department, which generally maintained its territorial and knowledge-based control over forests and timber management. Furthermore, deregulation and reregulation enabled the state to withdraw from uneconomic activities but also implied reduced place-based control of non-timber forest products. Generally, the new policies and programs contributed to the separation of livelihoods and forests in Madhya Pradesh. The article concludes that regulatory, community- and market-based initiatives would need to be better coordinated to lead to more effective nature conservation and positive livelihood outcomes.

Integrating detection probabilities in species distribution models of amphibians breeding in Mediterranean temporary ponds

Aim  The imperfect detection of species may lead to erroneous conclusions about species-environment relationships. Accuracy in species detection usually requires temporal replication at sampling sites, a time-consuming and costly monitoring scheme. Here, we applied a lower-cost alternative based on a double-sampling approach to incorporate the reliability of species detection into regression-based species distribution modelling.Location  Doñana National Park (south-western Spain).Methods  Using species-specific monthly detection probabilities, we estimated the detection reliability as the probability of having detected the species given the species-specific survey time. Such reliability estimates were used to account explicitly for data uncertainty by weighting each absence. We illustrated how this novel framework can be used to evaluate four competing hypotheses as to what constitutes primary environmental control of amphibian distribution: breeding habitat, aestivating habitat, spatial distribution of surrounding habitats and/or major ecosystems zonation. The study was conducted on six pond-breeding amphibian species during a 4-year period.Results  Non-detections should not be considered equivalent to real absences, as their reliability varied considerably. The occurrence of Hyla meridionalis and Triturus pygmaeus was related to a particular major ecosystem of the study area, where suitable habitat for these species seemed to be widely available. Characteristics of the breeding habitat (area and hydroperiod) were of high importance for the occurrence of Pelobates cultripes and Pleurodeles waltl. Terrestrial characteristics were the most important predictors of the occurrence of Discoglossus galganoi and Lissotriton boscai, along with spatial distribution of breeding habitats for the last species.Main conclusions  We did not find a single best supported hypothesis valid for all species, which stresses the importance of multiscale and multifactor approaches. More importantly, this study shows that estimating the reliability of non-detection records, an exercise that had been previously seen as a naïve goal in species distribution modelling, is feasible and could be promoted in future studies, at least in comparable systems.

A rapid and effective vignetting correction for quantitative microscopy

Images acquired using optical microscopes are inherently subject to vignetting effects due to imperfect illumination and image acquisition. However, such vignetting effects hamper accurate extraction of quantitative information from biological images, leading to less effective image segmentation and increased noise in the measurements. Here, we describe a rapid and effective method for vignetting correction, which generates an estimate for a correction function from the background fluorescence without the need to acquire additional calibration images. We validate the usefulness of this algorithm using artificially distorted images as a gold standard for assessing the accuracy of the applied correction and then demonstrate that this correction method enables the reliable detection of biologically relevant variation in cell populations. A simple user interface called FlattifY was developed and integrated into the image analysis platform YeastQuant to facilitate easy application of vignetting correction to a wide range of images.

Therapeutic drug monitoring and metabolites profil analysis of antiviral drugs

The widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy (ARVs) has considerably improved the prognosis of patients infected with HIV. Conversely, considerable advances have been recently realized for the therapy of hepatitis C infection with the recent advent of potent new anti-HCV drugs that allow an increasing rate HCV infection cure. Despite their overall efficacy, a significant number of patients do not achieve or maintain adequate clinical response, defined as an undetectable viral load for HIV, and a sustained virological response (or cure) in HCV infection. Treatment failure therefore still remains an important issue besides drugs toxicities and viral resistance which is not uncommon in a significant percentage of patients who do not reach adequate virological suppression. The reasons of variability in drug response are multifactorial and apart from viral genetics, other factors such as environmental factors, drug- drug interactions, and imperfect compliance may have profound impact on antiviral drugs' clinical response. The possibility of measuring plasma concentration of antiviral drugs enables to guide antiviral drug therapy and ensure optimal drug exposure. The overall objective of this research was to widen up the current knowledge on pharmacokinetic and pharmacogenetic factors that influence the clinical response and toxicity of current and newly approved antiretroviral and anti-HCV drugs. To that endeavour, analytical methods using liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry have been developed and validated for the precise and accurate measurement of new antiretroviral and anti-HCV drugs . These assays have been applied for the TDM of ARVs and anti-HCV in patients infected with either HIV or HCV respectively, and co-infected with HIV- HCV. A pharmacokinetic population model was developed to characterize inter and intra-patient variability of rilpivirine, the latest marketed Non Nucleoside Reverse transcriptase (NNRTI) Inhibitor of HIVand to identify genetic and non genetic covariates influencing rilpivirine exposure. None of the factors investigated so far showed however any influence of RPV clearance. Importantly, we have found that the standard daily dosage regimen (25 mg QD) proposed for rilpivirine results in concentrations below the proposed therapeutic target in about 40% of patients. In these conditions, virologie escape is a potential risk that remains to be further investigated, notably via the TDM approach that can be a useful tool to identify patients who are at risk for being exposed to less than optimal levels of rilpivirine in plasma. Besides the last generation NNRTI rilpivirine, we have studied efavirenz, the major NNRTI clinically used so far. Namely for efavirenz, we aimed at identifying a potential new marker of toxicity that may be incriminated for the neuropsychological sides effects and hence discontinuation of efavirenz therapy. To that endeavour, a comprehensive analysis of phase I and phase II metabolites profiles has been performed in plasma, CSF and in urine from patients under efavirenz therapy. We have found that phase II metabolites of EFV constitute the major species circulating in blood, sometimes exceeding the levels of the parent drug efavirenz. Moreover we have identified a new metabolite of efavirenz in humans, namely the 8-OH-EFV- sulfate which is present at high concentrations in all body compartments from patients under efavirenz therapy. These investigations may open the way to possible alternate phenotypic markers of efavirenz toxicity. Finally, the specific influence of P-glycoprotein on the cellular disposition of a series ARVs (NNRTIs and Pis] has been studies in in vitro cell systems using the siRNA silencing approach. -- Depuis l'introduction de la thérapie antirétrovirale (ARVs) la morbidité et la mortalité liées au VIH ont considérablement diminué. En parallèle le traitement contre le virus de l'hépatite C (VHC) a connu récemment d'énormes progrès avec l'arrivée de nouveaux médicaments puissants, ce qui a permis une augmentation considérable de la guérison de l'infection par le VHC. En dépit de l'efficacité de ces traitements antiviraux, les échecs thérapeutiques ainsi que les effets secondaires des traitements restent un problème important. Une réponse imparfaite ou la toxicité du traitement est certainement multifactorielle. Le suivi thérapeutique des médicaments [Therapeutic Drug Monitoring TDM) à travers la mesure des concentrations plasmatiques constitue une approche importante pour guider le traitement médicamenteux et de s'assurer que les patients sont exposés à des concentrations optimales des médicaments dans le sang, et puissent tirer tout le bénéfice potentiel du traitement. L'objectif global de cette thèse était d'étudier les facteurs pharmacocinétiques et pharmacogénétiques qui influencent l'exposition des médicaments antiviraux (ARVs et anti- VHC) récemment approuvés. A cet effet, des méthodes de quantification des concentrations plasmatiques des médicaments antirétroviraux, anti-VHC ainsi que pour certains métabolites ont été développées et validées en utilisant la Chromatographie liquide couplée à la spectrométrie de masse tandem. Ces méthodes ont été utilisées pour le TDM des ARVs et pour les agents anti-VHC chez les patients infectés par le VIH, et le VHC, respectivement, mais aussi chez les patients co-infectés par le VIH-VHC. Un modèle de pharmacocinétique de population a été développé pour caractériser la variabilité inter-et intra-patient du médicament rilpivirine, un inhibiteur non nucléosidique de la transcriptase de VIH et d'identifier les variables génétiques et non génétiques influençant l'exposition au médicament. Aucun des facteurs étudiés n'a montré d'influence notable sur la clairance de la rilpivirine. Toutefois, la concentration résiduelle extrapolée selon le modèle de pharmacocinétique de population qui a été développé, a montré qu'une grande proportion des patients présente des concentrations minimales inférieures à la cible thérapeutique proposée. Dans ce contexte, la relation entre les concentrations minimales et l'échappement virologique nécessite une surveillance étroite des taux sanguins des patients recevant de la rilpivirine. A cet effet, le suivi thérapeutique est un outil important pour l'identification des patients à risque soient sous-exposés à lai rilpivirine. Pour identifier de nouveaux marqueurs de la toxicité qui pourraient induire l'arrêt du traitement, le profil des métabolites de phase I et de phase II a été étudié dans différentes matrices [plasma, LCR et urine) provenant de patients recevant de l'efavirenz. Les métabolites de phase II, qui n'avaient à ce jour jamais été investigués, constituent les principales espèces présentes dans les matrices étudiées. Au cours de ces investigations, un nouveau métabolite 8- OH-EFV-sulfate a été identifié chez l'homme, et ce dernier est. présent à des concentrations importantes. L'influence de certains facteurs pharmacogénétique des patients sur le profil des métabolites a été étudiée et ouvre la voie à de possibles nouveaux marqueurs phénotypiques alternatifs qui pourraient possiblement mieux prédire la toxicité associée au traitement par l'efavirenz. Finalement, nous nous sommes intéressés à étudier dans un modèle in vitro certains facteurs, comme la P-glycoprotéine, qui influencent la disposition cellulaire de certains médicaments antirétroviraux, en utilisant l'approche par la technologie du siRNA permettant de bloquer sélectivement l'expression du gène de cette protéine d'efflux des médicaments. -- Depuis l'introduction de la thérapie antiretrovirale (ARVs] la morbidité et la mortalité liées au VIH ont considérablement diminué. En parallèle le traitement contre le virus de l'hépatite C (VHC) a connu récemment d'énormes progrès avec l'arrivée de nouveaux médicaments puissants, ce qui a permis une augmentation considérable de la guérison de l'infection par le VHC. En dépit de l'efficacité de ces traitements antiviraux, les échecs thérapeutiques ainsi que les effets secondaires des traitements restent un problème important. Il a pu être démontré que la concentration de médicament présente dans l'organisme est corrélée avec l'efficacité clinique pour la plupart des médicaments agissant contre le VIH et contre le VHC. Les médicaments antiviraux sont généralement donnés à une posologie fixe et standardisée, à tous les patients, il existe cependant une importante variabilité entre les concentrations sanguines mesurées chez les individus. Cette variabilité peut être expliquée par plusieurs facteurs démographiques, environnementaux ou génétiques. Dans ce contexte, le suivi des concentrations sanguines (ou Therapeutic Drug Monitoring, TDM) permet de contrôler que les patients soient exposés à des concentrations suffisantes (pour bloquer la réplication du virus dans l'organisme) et éviter des concentrations excessives, ce qui peut entraîner l'apparition d'intolérence au traitement. Le but de ce travail de thèse est d'améliorer la compréhension des facteurs pharmacologiques et génétiques qui peuvent influencer l'efficacité et/ou la toxicité des médicaments antiviraux, dans le but d'améliorer le suivi des patients. A cet effet, des méthodes de dosage très sensibles et ont été mises au point pour permettre de quantifier les médicaments antiviraux dans le sang et dans d'autres liquides biologiques. Ces méthodes de dosage sont maintenant utilisées d'une part dans le cadre de la prise en charge des patients en routine et d'autre part pour diverses études cliniques chez les patients infectés soit par le HIV, le HCV ou bien coinfectés par les deux virus. Une partie de ce travail a été consacrée à l'investigation des différents facteurs démographiques, génétiques et environnementaux qui pourraient l'influencer la réponse clinique à la rilpivirine, un nouveau médicament contre le VIH. Toutefois, parmi tous les facteurs étudiés à ce jour, aucun n'a permis d'expliquer la variabilité de l'exposition à la rilpivirine chez les patients. On a pu cependant observer qu'à la posologie standard recommandée, un pourcentage relativement élevé de patients pourrait présenter des concentrations inférieures à la concentration sanguine minimale actuellement proposée. Il est donc utile de surveiller étroitement les concentrations de rilpivirine chez les patients pour identifier sans délai ceux qui risquent d'être sous-exposés. Dans l'organisme, le médicament subit diverses transformations (métabolisme) par des enzymes, notamment dans le foie, il est transporté dans les cellules et tissus par des protéines qui modulent sa concentration au site de son action pharmacologique. A cet effet, différents composés (métabolites) produits dans l'organisme après l'administration d'efavirenz, un autre médicament anti-VIH, ont été étudiés. En conclusion, nous nous sommes intéressés à la fois aux facteurs pharmacologiques et génétiques des traitements antiviraux, une approche qui s'inscrit dans l'optique d'une stratégie globale de prise en charge du patient. Dans ce contexte, le suivi des concentrations sanguines de médicaments constitue une des facettes du domaine émergent de la Médecine Personnalisée qui vise à maximiser le bénéfice thérapeutique et le profil de tolérance des médicaments antiviraux

Factor shares, the price markup, and the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor

[spa] La participación del trabajo en la renta nacional es constante bajo los supuestos de una función de producción Cobb-Douglas y competencia perfecta. En este artículo se relajan estos supuestos y se investiga si el comportamiento no constante de la participación del trabajo en la renta nacional se explica por (i) una elasticidad de sustitución entre capital y trabajo no unitaria y (ii) competencia no perfecta en el mercado de producto. Nos centramos en España y los U.S. y estimamos una función de producción con elasticidad de sustitución constante y competencia imperfecta en el mercado de producto. El grado de competencia imperfecta se mide a través del cálculo del price markup basado en laaproximación dual. Mostramos que la elasticidad de sustitución es mayor que uno en España y menor que uno en los US. También mostramos que el price markup aleja la elasticidad de sustitución de uno, lo aumenta en España, lo reduce en los U.S. Estos resultados se utilizan para explicar la senda decreciente de la participación del trabajo en la renta nacional, común a ambas economías, y sus contrastadas sendas de capital.

Impact of prolonged antihypertensive duration of action on predicted clinical outcomes in imperfectly adherent patients: comparison of aliskiren, irbesartan and ramipril.

Background: Most patients miss occasional doses of antihypertensives. The use of 'forgiving' drugs (i.e. drugs with duration of action longer than the 24-h dosing interval) may allow an adequate blood pressure (BP) reduction to be maintained despite missed doses. Aim:To quantify the effects of adherence level and duration of action on estimated mean systolic BP (SBP) reduction and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Method:For 1250 patients, we simulated 256-day dosing histories with realistically distributed drug holidays based on a study of electronically monitored dosing records. Adherence was set to the desired level by altering the proportion of doses missed. Mean office SBP-lowering effect (aliskiren 300 mg, -14.1 mmHg; irbesartan 300 mg, -13.3; ramipril 10 mg, -10.1 mmHg) and the rate of SBP increase after stopping treatment (off-rate; aliskiren, 1.0 mmHg/day; irbesartan, 3.6 mmHg/day; ramipril, 4.0 mmHg/day) were taken from the results of a randomised, double-blind trial. SBP was averaged over time and patient to estimate mean reductions in SBP and 10-year CVD risk (Framingham risk equation, baseline absolute 10-year CVD risk: 27%). Results:Predicted reductions in SBP and CVD risk with aliskiren were larger and less affected by imperfect adherence than the reductions with irbesartan or ramipril. For aliskiren, reducing adherence from 90% to 60% led to a predicted rise in SBP of 1.0 mmHg and three additional CVD events per 1000 treated patients; larger predicted differences were observed for irbesartan (2.5 mmHg; 7.5 events/1000 treated patients) and ramipril (2.2 mmHg; 6.7 events/1000 treated patients). Conclusion:To offset the effects of imperfect adherence, a common challenge with antihypertensives, for better BP management it may be prudent to prescribe 'forgiving' drugs.

Dynamics of domain walls in pattern formation under traveling-wave forcing

We study dynamics of domain walls in pattern forming systems that are externally forced by a moving space-periodic modulation close to 2:1 spatial resonance. The motion of the forcing induces nongradient dynamics, while the wave number mismatch breaks explicitly the chiral symmetry of the domain walls. The combination of both effects yields an imperfect nonequilibrium Ising-Bloch bifurcation, where all kinks (including the Ising-like one) drift. Kink velocities and interactions are studied within the generic amplitude equation. For nonzero mismatch, a transition to traveling bound kink-antikink pairs and chaotic wave trains occurs.

Hedwig and The Angry Inch: Plato at the Sundance Film Festival

The aim of this article is to show how an ancient myth, that of the three genres, also known as the myth of the androgynous by Aristophanes in Plato¿s Symposium, becomes for John Cameron Mitchell the suitable image in order to explain the peculiar personality of a man, Hedwig, who by means of a surgical operation becomes in his turn an imperfect androgynous but symbolises the need of a sole mankind or the unity of different worlds, just as he belonged to both Berlins divided by an already fallen wall, which permitted their inhabitants to recover their lost unity and identity.

Induction of the acyl-coenzyme A synthetase gene by fibrates and fatty acids is mediated by a peroxisome proliferator response element in the C promoter.

The long-chain acyl-coenzyme A synthetase (ACS) gene gives rise to three transcripts containing different first exons preceded by specific regulatory regions A, B, and C. Exon-specific oligonucleotide hybridization indicated that only A-ACS mRNA is expressed in rat liver. Fibrate administration induced liver C-ACS strongly and A-ACS mRNA to a lesser extent. B-ACS mRNA remained undetectable. In primary rat hepatocytes and Fa-32 hepatoma cells C-ACS mRNA increased after treatment with fenofibric acid, alpha-bromopalmitate, tetradecylthioacetic acid, or alpha-linolenic acid. Nuclear run-on experiments indicated that fenofibric acid and alpha-bromopalmitate act at the transcriptional level. Transient transfections showed a 3.4-, 2.3-, and 2.2-fold induction of C-ACS promoter activity after fenofibric acid, alpha-bromopalmitate, and tetradecylthioacetic acid, respectively. Unilateral deletion and site-directed mutagenesis identified a peroxisome proliferator activator receptor (PPAR)-responsive element (PPRE) mediating the responsiveness to fibrates and fatty acids. This ACS PPRE contains three imperfect half sites spaced by 1 and 3 oligonucleotides and binds PPAR.retinoid X receptor heterodimers in gel retardation assays. In conclusion, the regulation of C-ACS mRNA expression by fibrates and fatty acids is mediated by PPAR.retinoid X receptor heterodimers interacting through a PPRE in the C-ACS promoters. PPAR therefore occupies a key position in the transcriptional control of a pivotal enzyme controlling the channeling of fatty acids into various metabolic pathways.

Factor shares, the price markup, and the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor

[spa] La participación del trabajo en la renta nacional es constante bajo los supuestos de una función de producción Cobb-Douglas y competencia perfecta. En este artículo se relajan estos supuestos y se investiga si el comportamiento no constante de la participación del trabajo en la renta nacional se explica por (i) una elasticidad de sustitución entre capital y trabajo no unitaria y (ii) competencia no perfecta en el mercado de producto. Nos centramos en España y los U.S. y estimamos una función de producción con elasticidad de sustitución constante y competencia imperfecta en el mercado de producto. El grado de competencia imperfecta se mide a través del cálculo del price markup basado en laaproximación dual. Mostramos que la elasticidad de sustitución es mayor que uno en España y menor que uno en los US. También mostramos que el price markup aleja la elasticidad de sustitución de uno, lo aumenta en España, lo reduce en los U.S. Estos resultados se utilizan para explicar la senda decreciente de la participación del trabajo en la renta nacional, común a ambas economías, y sus contrastadas sendas de capital.

Risk adjustment in Switzerland

In Switzerland the new law on Health Insurance, effective since 1996, introduced pro competitive changes in the market of sickness funds. The legislator expected high mobility between sickness funds of both healthy and sick insured as open enrolment was introduced with the new law. That is why the risk adjustment scheme, that was already introduced 1993, was limited until 2005. However, consumer mobility remained low and risk selection strategies are still profitable, since risk-adjustment is based only on demographic variables. This paper describes risk adjustment, consumer mobility, risk selection activities of sickness funds and the impact of imperfect risk adjustment on the development of HMO and PPO models. The paper concludes with a description of the current political and scientific discussion in Switzerland.