Real-time detection, tracking, and monitoring of automatically discovered events in social media

We introduce ReDites, a system for realtime event detection, tracking, monitoring and visualisation. It is designed to assist Information Analysts in understanding and exploring complex events as they unfold in the world. Events are automatically detected from the Twitter stream. Then those that are categorised as being security-relevant are tracked, geolocated, summarised and visualised for the end-user. Furthermore, the system tracks changes in emotions over events, signalling possible flashpoints or abatement. We demonstrate the capabilities of ReDites using an extended use case from the September 2013 Westgate shooting incident. Through an evaluation of system latencies, we also show that enriched events are made available for users to explore within seconds of that event occurring.

Spatio-temporal analyses of West Nile virus transmission in Culex mosquitoes in northern Illinois, USA, 2004

After a severe outbreak of West Nile virus (WNV) in Cook County, Illinois, in 2002, detections of WNV in mosquitoes were frequent across the state in the following years despite small numbers of human cases. We conducted a spatio-temporal analysis of Culex (subgenus Culex) mosquitoes collected in 2004 in three mosquito abatement districts (MAD) in Cook County by calculating monthly estimates of mosquito density, prevalence of infected mosquitoes, and exposure intensity, which in turn is a product of mosquito density and infection rates. Mosquito infections were detected early at three sites in late May and were widely detected throughout the three MADs in the summer with infection rates as high as 13 per 1000 in August. Exposure intensities were higher at sites adjacent to the Des Plaines River, especially in August and September. The aggregated pattern of WNV transmission along the river might be related to the existence of substantial forest preserves and wetlands that might produce ecological conditions favorable for mosquito proliferation and interactions between mosquitoes and birds.

Polluting production – environmentally sound alternatives; A general model of production externalities

With the determination of principal parameters of producing and pollution abatement technologies, this paper quantifies abatement and external costs at the social optimum and analyses the dynamic relationship between technological development and the above-mentioned costs. With the partial analysis of parameters, the paper presents the impacts on the level of pollution and external costs of extensive and intensive environmental protection, market demand change and product fees, and not environmental protection oriented technological development. Parametrical cost calculation makes the drawing up of two useful rules of thumb possible in connection with the rate of government in-terventions. Also, the paradox of technological development aiming at intensive environmental protection will become apparent.

Carbon pricing: theory and practice

Carbon pricing policy is a fundamental humanly devised theoretical and practical cornerstone in the fight against climate change. It involves short term and long term policies, theoretical and practical considerations. A quantitative global stabilisation target range for the stock of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is needed, because it is an important and useful foundation in the shaping of a comprehensive climate pricing policy. A global stabilisation target range is obviously a long term policy to control climate change and events ensuing excessive increase in temperature. Setting long term objectives in the fight against climate change are substantial in avoiding catastrophic consequences therefore short term policies, which aim advances in emission reductions, have to be consistent with the pre-defined long term stabilisation goals. Short term policy reaction means using price-driven instruments like taxes and tradable quotas. These instruments allow broad flexibility in the parameters of emission reduction, and provide opportunities and incentives wherewith the cost of mitigation and abatement can be kept down. Taxes and tradable quotas give the flexibility in how, where and when emission reduction can be accomplished thereby reaching agreements between states and companies may result an appropriate and environment-conscious emission scheme, that can fit into the long term objectives.

Reliability analysis of encapsulation methods for lead -based paint through an accelerated life testing

The adverse health effects of long-term exposure to lead are well established, with major uptake into the human body occurring mainly through oral ingestion by young children. Lead-based paint was frequently used in homes built before 1978, particularly in inner-city areas. Minority populations experience the effects of lead poisoning disproportionately. ^ Lead-based paint abatement is costly. In the United States, residents of about 400,000 homes, occupied by 900,000 young children, lack the means to correct lead-based paint hazards. The magnitude of this problem demands research on affordable methods of hazard control. One method is encapsulation, defined as any covering or coating that acts as a permanent barrier between the lead-based paint surface and the environment. ^ Two encapsulants were tested for reliability and effective life span through an accelerated lifetime experiment that applied stresses exceeding those encountered under normal use conditions. The resulting time-to-failure data were used to extrapolate the failure time under conditions of normal use. Statistical analysis and models of the test data allow forecasting of long-term reliability relative to the 20-year encapsulation requirement. Typical housing material specimens simulating walls and doors coated with lead-based paint were overstressed before encapsulation. A second, un-aged set was also tested. Specimens were monitored after the stress test with a surface chemical testing pad to identify the presence of lead breaking through the encapsulant. ^ Graphical analysis proposed by Shapiro and Meeker and the general log-linear model developed by Cox were used to obtain results. Findings for the 80% reliability time to failure varied, with close to 21 years of life under normal use conditions for encapsulant A. The application of product A on the aged gypsum and aged wood substrates yielded slightly lower times. Encapsulant B had an 80% reliable life of 19.78 years. ^ This study reveals that encapsulation technologies can offer safe and effective control of lead-based paint hazards and may be less expensive than other options. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and the CDC are committed to eliminating childhood lead poisoning by 2010. This ambitious target is feasible, provided there is an efficient application of innovative technology, a goal to which this study aims to contribute. ^

Sources and mixing state of size-resolved elemental carbon particles in a European megacity: Paris

An Aerosol Time-Of-Flight Mass Spectrometer (ATOFMS) was deployed to investigate the size-resolved chemical composition of single particles at an urban background site in Paris, France, as part of the MEGAPOLI winter campaign in January/February 2010. ATOFMS particle counts were scaled to match coincident Twin Differential Mobility Particle Sizer (TDMPS) data in order to generate hourly size-resolved mass concentrations for the single particle classes observed. The total scaled ATOFMS particle mass concentration in the size range 150–1067 nm was found to agree very well with the sum of concurrent High-Resolution Time-of-Flight Aerosol Mass Spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS) and Multi-Angle Absorption Photometer (MAAP) mass concentration measurements of organic carbon (OC), inorganic ions and black carbon (BC) (R2 = 0.91). Clustering analysis of the ATOFMS single particle mass spectra allowed the separation of elemental carbon (EC) particles into four classes: (i) EC attributed to biomass burning (ECbiomass), (ii) EC attributed to traffic (ECtraffic), (iii) EC internally mixed with OC and ammonium sulfate (ECOCSOx), and (iv) EC internally mixed with OC and ammonium nitrate (ECOCNOx). Average hourly mass concentrations for EC-containing particles detected by the ATOFMS were found to agree reasonably well with semi-continuous quantitative thermal/optical EC and optical BC measurements (r2 = 0.61 and 0.65–0.68 respectively, n = 552). The EC particle mass assigned to fossil fuel and biomass burning sources also agreed reasonably well with BC mass fractions assigned to the same sources using seven-wavelength aethalometer data (r2 = 0.60 and 0.48, respectively, n = 568). Agreement between the ATOFMS and other instrumentation improved noticeably when a period influenced by significantly aged, internally mixed EC particles was removed from the intercomparison. 88% and 12% of EC particle mass was apportioned to fossil fuel and biomass burning respectively using the ATOFMS data compared with 85% and 15% respectively for BC estimated from the aethalometer model. On average, the mass size distribution for EC particles is bimodal; the smaller mode is attributed to locally emitted, mostly externally mixed EC particles, while the larger mode is dominated by aged, internally mixed ECOCNOx particles associated with continental transport events. Periods of continental influence were identified using the Lagrangian Particle Dispersion Model (LPDM) "FLEXPART". A consistent minimum between the two EC mass size modes was observed at approximately 400 nm for the measurement period. EC particles below this size are attributed to local emissions using chemical mixing state information and contribute 79% of the scaled ATOFMS EC particle mass, while particles above this size are attributed to continental transport events and contribute 21% of the EC particle mass. These results clearly demonstrate the potential benefit of monitoring size-resolved mass concentrations for the separation of local and continental EC emissions. Knowledge of the relative input of these emissions is essential for assessing the effectiveness of local abatement strategies.

Land Use and Water Quality Correlations in Miami-Dade, Florida

South Florida continues to become increasingly developed and urbanized. My exploratory study examines connections between land use and water quality. The main objectives of the project were to develop an understanding of how land use has affected water quality in Miami-Dade canals, and an economic optimization model to estimate the costs of best management practices necessary to improve water quality. Results indicate Miami-Dade County land use and water quality are correlated. Through statistical factor and cluster analysis, it is apparent that agricultural areas are associated with higher concentrations of nitrogen, while urban areas commonly have higher levels of phosphorous than agricultural areas. The economic optimization model shows that urban areas can improve water quality by lowering fertilizer inputs. Agricultural areas can also implement methods to improve water quality although it may be more expensive than urban areas. It is important to keep solutions in mind when looking towards future water quality improvements in South Florida.

Ottimizzazione della reazione di Fenton mediante l’utilizzo di un sistema automatico di reazione

The research presented in this dissertation is aimed to the automation of the Fenton process. The Fenton reaction is finalized to the waste water pre-treatment in order to promote the abatement of the organic contaminants and make it more degradable. Reagents adopted are constituted by a mixture of iron ions and hydrogen peroxide and their effect is strictly influenced by several variables, such as: the reagents molar ratio and their quantities counterpoised to the substrate, temperature, pH, agitation, etc. Therefore, the optimization is far from being considered an easy procedure. The research was carried out using a batch configuration, through which the optimal [Fe2+]/[H2O2] and [substrate]/[H2O2] ratios were identified. Then, in order to improve the process, a semibatch configuration was performed. The preliminary results show that is possible to obtain a greater abatement efficiency for high organic burden using the semibatch configuration here proposed.

Avaliação de sensores de baixo custo e de métodos de referência para a monitorização da qualidade do ar

A crescente urbanização global tem como consequência o aumento dos níveis de poluentes na atmosfera e a respetiva deterioração da qualidade do ar. O controlo da poluição atmosférica e monitorização da qualidade do ar são passos fundamentais para implementar estratégias de redução e estimular a consciência ambiental dos cidadãos. Com este intuito, existem várias técnicas e tecnologias que podem ser usadas para monitorizar a qualidade do ar. A utilização de microsensores surge como uma ferramenta inovadora para a monitorização da qualidade do ar. E, apesar dos desempenhos dos microsensores permitirem uma nova estratégia, resultando em respostas rápidas, baixos custos operacionais e eficiências elevadas, que não podem ser alcançados apenas com abordagens convencionais, ainda é necessário aprofundar o conhecimento a fim de integrar estas novas tecnologias, particularmente quanto à verificação do desempenho dos sensores comparativamente aos métodos de referência em campanhas experimentais. Esta dissertação, desenvolvida no Instituto do Ambidente e Desenvolvimento em forma de estágio, teve como objetivo a avaliação do desempenho de sensores de baixo custo comparativamente com os métodos de referência, tendo como base uma campanha de monitorização da qualidade do ar realizada no centro de Aveiro durante 2 semanas de outubro de 2014. De forma mais específica pretende-se perceber até que ponto se podem utilizar sensores de baixo custo que cumpram os requisitos especificados na legislação e as especificidades das normas, estabelecendo assim um protocolo de avaliação de microsensores. O trabalho realizado passou ainda pela caracterização da qualidade do ar no centro de Aveiro para o período da campanha de monitorização. A aplicação de microsensores eletroquímicos, MOS e OPC em paralelo com equipamento de referência neste estudo de campo permitiu avaliar a fiabilidade e a incerteza destas novas tecnologias de monitorização. Com este trabalho verificou-se que os microsensores eletroquímicos são mais precisos comparativamente aos microsensores baseados em óxidos metálicos, apresentando correlações fortes com os métodos de referência para diversos poluentes. Por sua vez, os resultados obtidos pelos contadores óticos de partículas foram satisfatórios, contudo poderiam ser melhorados quer pelo modo de amostragem, quer pelo método de tratamento de dados aplicado. Idealmente, os microsensores deveriam apresentar fortes correlações com o método de referência e elevada eficiência de recolha de dados. No entanto, foram identificados alguns problemas na eficiência de recolha de dados dos sensores que podem estar relacionados com a humidade relativa e temperaturas elevadas durante a campanha, falhas de comunicação intermitentes e, também, a instabilidade e reatividade causada por gases interferentes. Quando as limitações das tecnologias de sensores forem superadas e os procedimentos adequados de garantia e controlo de qualidade possam ser cumpridos, os sensores de baixo custo têm um grande potencial para permitir a monitorização da qualidade do ar com uma elevada cobertura espacial, sendo principalmente benéfico em áreas urbanas.

Avaliação de sensores de baixo custo e de métodos de referência para a monitorização da qualidade do ar

A crescente urbanização global tem como consequência o aumento dos níveis de poluentes na atmosfera e a respetiva deterioração da qualidade do ar. O controlo da poluição atmosférica e monitorização da qualidade do ar são passos fundamentais para implementar estratégias de redução e estimular a consciência ambiental dos cidadãos. Com este intuito, existem várias técnicas e tecnologias que podem ser usadas para monitorizar a qualidade do ar. A utilização de microsensores surge como uma ferramenta inovadora para a monitorização da qualidade do ar. E, apesar dos desempenhos dos microsensores permitirem uma nova estratégia, resultando em respostas rápidas, baixos custos operacionais e eficiências elevadas, que não podem ser alcançados apenas com abordagens convencionais, ainda é necessário aprofundar o conhecimento a fim de integrar estas novas tecnologias, particularmente quanto à verificação do desempenho dos sensores comparativamente aos métodos de referência em campanhas experimentais. Esta dissertação, desenvolvida no Instituto do Ambidente e Desenvolvimento em forma de estágio, teve como objetivo a avaliação do desempenho de sensores de baixo custo comparativamente com os métodos de referência, tendo como base uma campanha de monitorização da qualidade do ar realizada no centro de Aveiro durante 2 semanas de outubro de 2014. De forma mais específica pretende-se perceber até que ponto se podem utilizar sensores de baixo custo que cumpram os requisitos especificados na legislação e as especificidades das normas, estabelecendo assim um protocolo de avaliação de microsensores. O trabalho realizado passou ainda pela caracterização da qualidade do ar no centro de Aveiro para o período da campanha de monitorização. A aplicação de microsensores eletroquímicos, MOS e OPC em paralelo com equipamento de referência neste estudo de campo permitiu avaliar a fiabilidade e a incerteza destas novas tecnologias de monitorização. Com este trabalho verificou-se que os microsensores eletroquímicos são mais precisos comparativamente aos microsensores baseados em óxidos metálicos, apresentando correlações fortes com os métodos de referência para diversos poluentes. Por sua vez, os resultados obtidos pelos contadores óticos de partículas foram satisfatórios, contudo poderiam ser melhorados quer pelo modo de amostragem, quer pelo método de tratamento de dados aplicado. Idealmente, os microsensores deveriam apresentar fortes correlações com o método de referência e elevada eficiência de recolha de dados. No entanto, foram identificados alguns problemas na eficiência de recolha de dados dos sensores que podem estar relacionados com a humidade relativa e temperaturas elevadas durante a campanha, falhas de comunicação intermitentes e, também, a instabilidade e reatividade causada por gases interferentes. Quando as limitações das tecnologias de sensores forem superadas e os procedimentos adequados de garantia e controlo de qualidade possam ser cumpridos, os sensores de baixo custo têm um grande potencial para permitir a monitorização da qualidade do ar com uma elevada cobertura espacial, sendo principalmente benéfico em áreas urbanas.

Down scaling to regional assessment of greenhouse gas emissions to enable consistency in accounting for emissions reduction projects and national inventory accounts for northern beef production in Australia

This paper explores the effect of using regional data for livestock attributes on estimation of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the northern beef industry in Australia, compared with using state/territory-wide values, as currently used in Australia’s national GHG inventory report. Regional GHG emissions associated with beef production are reported for 21 defined agricultural statistical regions within state/territory jurisdictions. A management scenario for reduced emissions that could qualify as an Emissions Reduction Fund (ERF) project was used to illustrate the effect of regional level model parameters on estimated abatement levels. Using regional parameters, instead of state level parameters, for liveweight (LW), LW gain and proportion of cows lactating and an expanded number of livestock classes, gives a 5.2% reduction in estimated emissions (range +12% to –34% across regions). Estimated GHG emissions intensity (emissions per kilogram of LW sold) varied across the regions by up to 2.5-fold, ranging from 10.5 kg CO2-e kg–1 LW sold for Darling Downs, Queensland, through to 25.8 kg CO2-e kg–1 LW sold for the Pindan and North Kimberley, Western Australia. This range was driven by differences in production efficiency, reproduction rate, growth rate and survival. This suggests that some regions in northern Australia are likely to have substantial opportunities for GHG abatement and higher livestock income. However, this must be coupled with the availability of management activities that can be implemented to improve production efficiency; wet season phosphorus (P) supplementation being one such practice. An ERF case study comparison showed that P supplementation of a typical-sized herd produced an estimated reduction of 622 t CO2-e year–1, or 7%, compared with a non-P supplemented herd. However, the different model parameters used by the National Inventory Report and ERF project means that there was an anomaly between the herd emissions for project cattle excised from the national accounts (13 479 t CO2-e year–1) and the baseline herd emissions estimated for the ERF project (8 896 t CO2-e year–1) before P supplementation was implemented. Regionalising livestock model parameters in both ERF projects and the national accounts offers the attraction of being able to more easily and accurately reflect emissions savings from this type of emissions reduction project in Australia’s national GHG accounts.

A cost-efficiency and health benefit approach to improve urban air quality

When ambient air quality standards established in the EU Directive 2008/50/EC are exceeded, Member States are obliged to develop and implement Air Quality Plans (AQP) to improve air quality and health. Notwithstanding the achievements in emission reductions and air quality improvement, additional efforts need to be undertaken to improve air quality in a sustainable way - i.e. through a cost-efficiency approach. This work was developed in the scope of the recently concluded MAPLIA project "Moving from Air Pollution to Local Integrated Assessment", and focuses on the definition and assessment of emission abatement measures and their associated costs, air quality and health impacts and benefits by means of air quality modelling tools, health impact functions and cost-efficiency analysis. The MAPLIA system was applied to the Grande Porto urban area (Portugal), addressing PM10 and NOx as the most important pollutants in the region. Four different measures to reduce PM10 and NOx emissions were defined and characterized in terms of emissions and implementation costs, and combined into 15 emission scenarios, simulated by the TAPM air quality modelling tool. Air pollutant concentration fields were then used to estimate health benefits in terms of avoided costs (external costs), using dose-response health impact functions. Results revealed that, among the 15 scenarios analysed, the scenario including all 4 measures lead to a total net benefit of 0.3M€·y(-1). The largest net benefit is obtained for the scenario considering the conversion of 50% of open fire places into heat recovery wood stoves. Although the implementation costs of this measure are high, the benefits outweigh the costs. Research outcomes confirm that the MAPLIA system is useful for policy decision support on air quality improvement strategies, and could be applied to other urban areas where AQP need to be implemented and monitored.

Rapid continuous chemical analysis of meat chicken shed emissions by SIFT–MS

Assessing and addressing odour impacts from poultry production is extremely difficult and subjective because the odorants involved and their dynamics over time and space are poorly understood. This knowledge gap is due, in part, to the lack of suitable analytical tools for measuring and monitoring odorants in the field. The emergence of Selected Ion Flow Tube – Mass Spectrometry (SIFT–MS) and similar instruments is changing that. These tools can rapidly quantify targeted odorants in ambient air in real time, even at very low concentrations. Such data is essential for developing better odour abatement strategies, assessment methods and odour dispersion models. This project trialled a SIFT–MS to determine its suitability for assessing the odorants in meat chicken shed emissions over time and space. This report details evaluations in New Zealand and Australia to determine the potential of SIFT–MS as a tool for the chicken meat industry, including odour measurement (as a proxy for dynamic olfactometry). The report is specifically targeted at those funding and conducting poultry odour research. It will be of interest to those involved with environmental odour monitoring and assessment in general. The high upfront cost of SIFT–MS will lead to potential users wanting compelling evidence that SIFT–MS will meet their needs before they invest in one.

CO2 capture by adsorption in post combustion processes

Global concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is increasing rapidly. CO2 emissions have huge impact on global climate change. Therefore, efficient CO2 emission abatement strategies such as Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) are required to combat this phenomenon. There are three major approaches for CCS: - Post-combustion capture; - Pre-combustion capture; - Oxyfuel process. Post-combustion capture offers some advantages in terms of cost as existing combustion technologies can still be used without radical changes on them. This makes post-combustion capture easier to implement as a retrofit option compared to the other two approaches. Therefore, post-combustion capture is probably the first technology that will be deployed on a large scale. The aim of this work is to study the adsorption equilibrium of CO2, CH4 and N2 in zeolite 5A at 40ºC. For this, experiments were performed to determine the isotherms of adsorption of CO2, CH4 and N2 near 40ºC with the conditions of the post-combustion capture processes. It has been found that the 5A zeolite adsorbs a significant quantity of CO2 values of about 5 mol/kg at a pressure of 5 bar.

Agriculture, Environmental Incentive Payments, and Water Quality in the Chesapeake Bay

Nonpoint sources (NPS) pollution from agriculture is the leading source of water quality impairment in U.S. rivers and streams, and a major contributor to lakes, wetlands, estuaries and coastal waters (U.S. EPA 2016). Using data from a survey of farmers in Maryland, this dissertation examines the effects of a cost sharing policy designed to encourage adoption of conservation practices that reduce NPS pollution in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. This watershed is the site of the largest Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) implemented to date, making it an important setting in the U.S. for water quality policy. I study two main questions related to the reduction of NPS pollution from agriculture. First, I examine the issue of additionality of cost sharing payments by estimating the direct effect of cover crop cost sharing on the acres of cover crops, and the indirect effect of cover crop cost sharing on the acres of two other practices: conservation tillage and contour/strip cropping. A two-stage simultaneous equation approach is used to correct for voluntary self-selection into cost sharing programs and account for substitution effects among conservation practices. Quasi-random Halton sequences are employed to solve the system of equations for conservation practice acreage and to minimize the computational burden involved. By considering patterns of agronomic complementarity or substitution among conservation practices (Blum et al., 1997; USDA SARE, 2012), this analysis estimates water quality impacts of the crowding-in or crowding-out of private investment in conservation due to public incentive payments. Second, I connect the econometric behavioral results with model parameters from the EPA’s Chesapeake Bay Program to conduct a policy simulation on water quality effects. I expand the econometric model to also consider the potential loss of vegetative cover due to cropland incentive payments, or slippage (Lichtenberg and Smith-Ramirez, 2011). Econometric results are linked with the Chesapeake Bay Program watershed model to estimate the change in abatement levels and costs for nitrogen, phosphorus and sediment under various behavioral scenarios. Finally, I use inverse sampling weights to derive statewide abatement quantities and costs for each of these pollutants, comparing these with TMDL targets for agriculture in Maryland.