958 resultados para Unobserved-component model
Resumo:
National inflation rates reflect domestic and international (regional and global) influences. The relative importance of these components remains a controversial empirical issue. We extend the literature on inflation co-movement by utilising a dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility to account for shifts in the variance of inflation and endogenously determined regional groupings. We find that most of inflation variability is explained by the country specific disturbance term. Nevertheless, the contribution of the global component in explaining industrialised countries’ inflation rates has increased over time.
Resumo:
L’aparició de la demanda d’un nou tipus de professor de primària i secundària, que ha d’afegir a les competències professionals fins ara exigibles de tot bon professor, la capacitat d’ensenyar la seva matèria a través d’una llengua estrangera en aules denominades AICLE (Aprenentatge Integrat de Continguts i Llengua) en Semiimmersió (SI) justifica el treball desenvolupat en el marc del projecte 2006ARIE10011. Els formadors del Màster en Formació Inicial del Professorat de Secundària (FIPS) de la UAB (especialitats d’anglès, ciències socials i ciències naturals) i del Curs de Qualificació Pedagògica (CQP) de la UdL (especialitat d’anglès) han col•laborat en el disseny d’un component formatiu en tècniques d’ensenyament AICLE (CLILC), com a constituent del futur Màster Oficial que habilitarà per al exercici de la professió Professor d’Educació Secundaria Obligatòria i Batxillerat (ORDEN ECI/3858/2007, de 27 desembre; BOE 312)(...)
Resumo:
This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force ageing on key macro-economic variables. The second effect is assumed to operate through age-specific productivity and labour force participation. In the analysis, particular attention is paid to how population ageing impinges on the government expenditure constraint. The basic structure of the model follows in the Auerbach and Kotlikoff tradition. However, the model takes into consideration directly age-specific mortality. This is analogous to “building in” a cohort-component population projection structure to the model, which allows more complex and more realistic demographic scenarios to be considered.
Resumo:
This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force ageing on key macro-economic variables. The second effect is assumed to operate through age-specific productivity and labour force participation. In the analysis, particular attention is paid to how population ageing impinges on the government expenditure constraint. The basic structure of the model follows in the Auerbach and Kotlikoff tradition. However, the model takes into consideration directly age-specific mortality. This is analogous to “building in” a cohort-component population projection structure to the model, which allows more complex and more realistic demographic scenarios to be considered.
Resumo:
This paper computes and compares alternative quality-adjusted price indexes for new cars in Spain in the period 1990-2000. The proposed hedonic approach simultaneously controls for time-invariant unobserved product e¤ects and time-variant unobserved quality changes, that are assumed to be captured by model age effects. The results show that the non-adjusted price index largely overstates the increase in the cost of living induced by changes in car prices and that previous evidence for this market have not measured the real extent of that bias, probably due to the omission of controls for unobservables. It is also shown that omitting age effects can also lead to misleading conclusions. The estimated price indexes give also some insights on what could have been the determinants of price evolution in the Spanish car market.
Resumo:
This paper computes and compares alternative quality-adjusted price indexes for new cars in Spain in the period 1990-2000. The proposed hedonic approach simultaneously controls for time-invariant unobserved product effects and time-variant unobserved quality changes, that are assumed to be captured by model age effects. The results show that the non-adjusted price index largely overstates the increase in the cost of living induced by changes in car prices and that previous evidence for this market have not measured the real extent of that bias, probably due to the omission of controls for unobservables. It is also shown that omitting age effects can also lead to misleading conclusions. The estimated price indexes give also some insights on what could have been the determinants of price evolution in the Spanish car market. JEL classi…fication numbers: C43, E31, L11, L13, Keywords: Hedonic price indexes, Spanish car market, car prices, CPI, Cost of living
Resumo:
Immunotherapy with monoclonal and polyclonal immunoglobulin is successfully applied to improve many clinical conditions, including infection, autoimmune diseases, or immunodeficiency. Most immunoglobulin products, recombinant or plasma-derived, are based on IgG antibodies, whereas to date, the use of IgA for therapeutic application has remained anecdotal. In particular, purification or production of large quantities of secretory IgA (SIgA) for potential mucosal application has not been achieved. In this work, we sought to investigate whether polymeric IgA (pIgA) recovered from human plasma is able to associate with secretory component (SC) to generate SIgA-like molecules. We found that ∼15% of plasma pIgA carried J chain and displayed selective SC binding capacity either in a mixture with monomeric IgA (mIgA) or after purification. The recombinant SC associated covalently in a 1:1 stoichiometry with pIgA and with similar efficacy as colostrum-derived SC. In comparison with pIgA, the association with SC delayed degradation of SIgA by intestinal proteases. Similar results were obtained with plasma-derived IgM. In vitro, plasma-derived IgA and SIgA neutralized Shigella flexneri used as a model pathogen, resulting in a delay of bacteria-induced damage targeted to polarized Caco-2 cell monolayers. The sum of these novel data demonstrates that association of plasma-derived IgA or IgM with recombinant/colostrum-derived SC is feasible and yields SIgA- and SIgM-like molecules with similar biochemical and functional characteristics as mucosa-derived immunoglobulins.
Resumo:
The increasing number of pertussis cases reported on the last twenty years and the existence of new acellular vaccines reinforce the need of research for experimental models to assure the quality of available pertussis vaccines. In this study, allotments of whole-cell and acellular pertussis vaccines were tested through the Intranasal Challenge Model (INM) using conventional NIH mice. The results have been compared to those achieved by the "Gold standard" Intracerebral Challenge Model (ICM). In contrast to ICM, INM results did not show intralaboratorial variations. Statistical analysis by Anova and Ancova tests revealed that the INM presented reproducibility and allowed identification and separation of different products, including three-component and four-component accellular pertussis vaccines. INM revealed differences between pertussis vaccines. INM provides lower distress to the mice allowing the reduction of mice number including the possibility of using conventional mice (less expensive) under non-aseptic environment. Thus, INM may be used as an alternative method of verifying the consistence of allotment production, including acellular pertussis vaccines.
Resumo:
PURPOSE: The origin of the slow component is not fully understood. The mechanical hypothesis is one of the potential factors, because an increase in external mechanical work with fatigue was previously reported for a constant velocity run. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a change in mechanical work could occur during the development of the VO2 slow component under the effect of fatigue. METHODS: Twelve regional-level competitive runners performed a square-wave transition, corresponding to 95% of the speed associated with peak VO2 obtained during an incremental test. The VO2 response was fit with a classical model including two exponential functions. A specific treadmill with three-dimensional force transducers was used to measure the ground reaction force. Kinetic work (W(kin)), potential work (W(pot)), external work (W(ext)), and an index of internal work (W(int)) per unit of distance were quantified continuously. RESULTS: During the slow component of VO2, a significant increase in W (P< 0.01), no change in W, and a significant decrease in W and W index (P< 0.05, P< 0.001, respectively) were observed. CONCLUSION: The present study showed that the slow component of VO2 did not result partly from a change in mechanical work under the effect of fatigue. Nevertheless, the decrease in stride frequency (P< 0.001) and contact time (P< 0.001) suggested an alternative mechanical explanation. The slow component during running may be due to the cost of generating force or to alterations in the storage and recoil of elastic energy, and not to the external mechanical work.
Resumo:
The contribution of respiratory muscle work to the development of the O(2) consumption (Vo(2)) slow component is a point of controversy because it has been shown that the increased ventilation in hypoxia is not associated with a concomitant increase in Vo(2) slow component. The first purpose of this study was thus to test the hypothesis of a direct relationship between respiratory muscle work and Vo(2) slow component by manipulating inspiratory resistance. Because the conditions for a Vo(2) slow component specific to respiratory muscle can be reached during intense exercise, the second purpose was to determine whether respiratory muscles behave like limb muscles during heavy exercise. Ten trained subjects performed two 8-min constant-load heavy cycling exercises with and without a threshold valve in random order. Vo(2) was measured breath by breath by using a fast gas exchange analyzer, and the Vo(2) response was modeled after removal of the cardiodynamic phase by using two monoexponential functions. As anticipated, when total work was slightly increased with loaded inspiratory resistance, slight increases in base Vo(2), the primary phase amplitude, and peak Vo(2) were noted (14.2%, P < 0.01; 3.5%, P > 0.05; and 8.3%, P < 0.01, respectively). The bootstrap method revealed small coefficients of variation for the model parameter, including the slow-component amplitude and delay (15 and 19%, respectively), indicating an accurate determination for this critical parameter. The amplitude of the Vo(2) slow component displayed a 27% increase from 8.1 +/- 3.6 to 10.3 +/- 3.4 ml. min(-1). kg(-1) (P < 0.01) with the addition of inspiratory resistance. Taken together, this increase and the lack of any differences in minute volume and ventilatory parameters between the two experimental conditions suggest the occurrence of a Vo(2) slow component specific to the respiratory muscles in loaded condition.
Resumo:
Total ankle replacement remains a less satisfactory solution compared to other joint replacements. The goal of this study was to develop and validate a finite element model of total ankle replacement, for future testing of hypotheses related to clinical issues. To validate the finite element model, an experimental setup was specifically developed and applied on 8 cadaveric tibias. A non-cemented press fit tibial component of a mobile bearing prosthesis was inserted into the tibias. Two extreme anterior and posterior positions of the mobile bearing insert were considered, as well as a centered one. An axial force of 2kN was applied for each insert position. Strains were measured on the bone surface using digital image correlation. Tibias were CT scanned before implantation, after implantation, and after mechanical tests and removal of the prosthesis. The finite element model replicated the experimental setup. The first CT was used to build the geometry and evaluate the mechanical properties of the tibias. The second CT was used to set the implant position. The third CT was used to assess the bone-implant interface conditions. The coefficient of determination (R-squared) between the measured and predicted strains was 0.91. Predicted bone strains were maximal around the implant keel, especially at the anterior and posterior ends. The finite element model presented here is validated for future tests using more physiological loading conditions.
Resumo:
The use of perturbation and power transformation operations permits the investigation of linear processes in the simplex as in a vectorial space. When the investigated geochemical processes can be constrained by the use of well-known starting point, the eigenvectors of the covariance matrix of a non-centred principalcomponent analysis allow to model compositional changes compared with a reference point.The results obtained for the chemistry of water collected in River Arno (central-northern Italy) have open new perspectives for considering relative changes of the analysed variables and to hypothesise the relative effect of different acting physical-chemical processes, thus posing the basis for a quantitative modelling
Resumo:
SUMMARY The effective development of an immune response depends on the careful interplay and the regulation between innate and adaptive immunity. As the dendritic cells (DCs) are equipped with many receptors, such as Toll-like receptors, which can detect the presence of infection by recognizing different component of bacteria, fungi and even viruses, they are the among the first cells to respond to the infection. Upon pathogen challenge, the DCs interpret the innate system activation as a maturation signal, resulting in the migration of the DCS to a draining lymph node site. There, activated DCs present efficiently antigens to naïve T cells, which are in turn activated and initiate adaptive immunity. Therefore, DCs are the main connectors between innate and adaptive immune systems. In addition to be the most efficient antigen- presenting cells, DCs play a central role in the regulation of immune responses and immune tolerance. Despite extensive research, many aspects related to DC biology are still unsolved and/or controversial. The low frequency of DCs in vivo often hamper study of DC biology and in vitro-derived DCs are not suited to address certain questions, such as the development of DC. We sought of transforming in vivo the DCs through the specific expression of an oncogene, in order to obtain unlimited numbers of these cells. To achieve this goal, transgenic mouse lines expressing the SV40 Large T oncogene under the control of the CD1 1 c promoter were generated. These transgenic mice are healthy until the age of three to four months without alterations in the DC biology. Thereafter transgenic mice develop a fatal disease that shows features of a human pathology, named histiocytosis, involving DCs. We demonstrate that the disease development in the transgenic mice correlates with a massive accumulation of transformed DCs in the affected organs. Importantly, transformed DCs are immature and fully conserve their capacity to mature in antigen presenting cells. We observe hyperproliferation of transformed DCs only in the sick transgenic mice. Surprisingly, transformed DCs do not proliferate in vitro, but transfer of the transformed DCs into immunodeficient or tolerant host leads to tumor formation. Altoghether, the transgenic mouse lines we have generated represent a valuable tumor model for human histiocytosis, and provide excellent tools to study DC biology. RESUME Le développement d'une réponse immunitaire efficace dépend d'une minutieuse interaction et régulation entre l'immunité innée et adaptative. Comme les cellules dendritiques (DCs) sont équipées de nombreux récepteurs, tels que les récepteurs Toll-like, qui peuvent détecter la présence d'une infection en reconnaissant différents composants bactériens, issus de champignons ou même viraux, elles sont parmi les premières cellules à répondre à l'infection. Suite à la stimulation induite par le pathogène, les DCs interprètent l'activation du système immunitaire inné comme un signal de maturation, résultant dans la migration des DCs vers le ganglion drainant le site d'infection. Là, les DCs actives présentent efficacement des antigènes aux cellules T, qui sont à leur tour activées et initient les systèmes d'immunité adaptative. Ainsi, les DCs forment le lien principal entre les réponses immunitaires innées et adaptatives. En plus d'être les cellules présentatrices d'antigènes les plus efficaces, les DCs jouent un rôle central dans la régulation du système immunitaire et dans le phénomène de tolérance. Malgré des recherches intensives, de nombreux aspects liés à la biologie des DCs sont encore irrésolus et/ou controversés. La faible fréquence des DCs in vivo gêne souvent l'étude de la biologie de ces cellules et les DCs dérivées in vitro ne sont pas adéquates pour adresser certaines questions, telles que le développement des DCs. Afin d'obtenir des quantités illimitées de DCs, nous avons songé à transformer in vivo les DC grâce à l'expression spécifique d'un oncogène. Afin d'atteindre ce but, nous avons généré des lignées de souris transgéniques qui expriment l'oncogène SV40 Large T sous le contrôle du promoter CD1 le. Ces souris transgéniques sont saines jusqu'à l'âge de trois à quatre mois et ne présentent pas d'altération dans la biologie des DCs. Ensuite, les souris transgéniques développent une maladie présentant les traits caractéristiques d'une pathologie humaine nommée histiocytose, qui implique les DCs. Nous montrons que le développement de cette maladie corrèle avec une accumulation massive des DCs transformées dans les organes touchés. De plus, les DCs transformées sont immatures et conservent leur capacité à différencier en cellules présentatrices d'antigène. Nous observons une hyper-prolifération des DCs transformées seulement dans les souris transgéniques malades. Etonnament, les DC transformées ne prolifèrent pas in vitro, par contre, le transfert des DCs transformées dans des hôtes immuno-déficients ou tolérant conduit à la formation de tumeurs. Globalement, les lignées de souris transgéniques que nous avons générées représentent un modèle valide pour l'histiocytose humaine, et de plus, offrent d'excellents outils pour étudier la biologie des DCs.
Resumo:
Background: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a subtype of stroke characterized by a haematoma within the brain parenchyma resulting from blood vessel rupture and with a poor outcome. In ICH, the blood entry into the brain triggers toxicity resulting in a substantial loss of neurons and an inflammatory response. At the same time, blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption increases water content (edema) leading to growing intracranial pressure, which in turn worsens neurological outcome. Although the clinical presentation is similar in ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, the treatment is different and the stroke type needs to be determined beforehand by imaging which delays the therapy. C-Jun N-terminal kinases (JNKs) are a family of kinases activated in response to stress stimuli and involved in several pathways such as apoptosis. Specific inhibition of JNK by a TAT-coupled peptide (XG-102) mediates strong neuroprotection in several models of ischemic stroke in rodents. Recently, we have observed that the JNK pathway is also activated in a mouse model of ICH, raising the question of the efficacy of XG-102 in this model. Method: ICH was induced in the mouse by intrastriatal injection of bacterial collagenase (0,1 U). Three hours after surgery, animals received an intravenous injection of 100 mg/kg of XG-102. The neurological outcome was assessed everyday until sacrifice using a score (from 0 to 9) based on 3 behavioral tests performed daily until sacrifice. Then, mice were sacrificed at 6 h, 24 h, 48 h, and 5d after ICH and histological studies performed. Results: The first 24 h after surgery are critical in our ICH mice model, and we have observed that XG-102 significantly improves neurological outcome at this time point (mean score: 1,8 + 1.4 for treated group versus 3,4+ 1.8 for control group, P<0.01). Analysis of the lesion volume revealed a significant decrease of the lesion area in the treated group at 48h (29+ 11mm3 in the treated group versus 39+ 5mm3 in the control group, P=0.04). XG-102 mainly inhibits the edema component of the lesion. Indeed, a significant inhibition Journal of Cerebral Blood Flow & Metabolism (2009) 29, S490-S493 & 2009 ISCBFM All rights reserved 0271-678X/09 $32.00 www.jcbfm.com of the brain swelling was observed in treated animals at 48h (14%+ 13% versus 26+ 9% in the control group, P=0.04) and 5d (_0.3%+ 4.5%versus 5.1+ 3.6%in the control group, P=0.01). Conclusions: Inhibition of the JNK pathway by XG- 102 appears to lead to several beneficial effects. We can show here a significant inhibition of the cerebral edema in the ICH model providing a further beneficial effect of the XG-102 treatment, in addition to the neuroprotection previously described in the ischemic model. This result is of interest because currently, clinical treatment for brain edema is limited. Importantly, the beneficial effects observed with XG-102 in models of both stroke types open the possibility to rapidly treat stroke patients before identifying the stroke subtype by imaging. This will save time which is precious for stroke outcome.
Resumo:
El treball que presentem a continuació desenvolupa un marc teòric i pràctic per a l'avaluació i estudi d'un model generatiu aplicat a tasques discriminatives de senyals sonores sense component harmònica. El model generatiu està basat en la construcció de l'anomenada deep belief network, un tipus de xarxa neuronal generativa que permet realitzar tasques de classificació i regressió com també de reconstrucció dels seus estats interns.A partir de l'anàlisi realitzada hem pogut obtenir resultats en classificació aparellats amb els resultats de l'estat de l'art de classificadors de sons inharmònics. Tot i no establir una clara superioritat envers altres mètodes, el present treball ha permés desenvolupar una anàlisi per almodel avaluat amb moltes possibilitats de millora en un futur per altres treballs. Al llarg del treball es demostra la seva eficàcia en tasques discriminatives, com també la capacitat de reduir la dimensionalitat de les dades d'entrada al model i les possibilitats de reconstruir els seus estats interns per a obtenir unes sortides de dades de la xarxa similars a les entrades de descriptors.El desenvolupament centrat en la deep belief network ens ha permés construir un entorn unificat d'avaluació de diferents mètodes d'aprenentatge, construcció i adequació de diferents descriptors sonors i una posterior visualització d'estats interns del mateix, que han possibilitat una avaluaciócomparativa i unificada respecte altres mètodes classificadors de l'estat de l'art. També ens ha permés desenvolupar una implementació en un llenguatge d'alt nivell, que ha reportat més significància per a l'enteniment i anàlisi del model avaluat, amb una argumentació més sòlida.Els resultats i l'anàlisi que reportem són significatius i positius per al model avaluat, i degut a la poca literatura existent en el camp de classificació de sons inharmònics com els sons percussius,creiem que és una aportació interessant i significativa per al camp en el que s'engloba el treball.