Modelling the Distribution of Ischaemic Stroke-Specific Survival Time Using an EM-based Mixture Approach with Random Effects Adjustment

A two-component survival mixture model is proposed to analyse a set of ischaemic stroke-specific mortality data. The survival experience of stroke patients after index stroke may be described by a subpopulation of patients in the acute condition and another subpopulation of patients in the chronic phase. To adjust for the inherent correlation of observations due to random hospital effects, a mixture model of two survival functions with random effects is formulated. Assuming a Weibull hazard in both components, an EM algorithm is developed for the estimation of fixed effect parameters and variance components. A simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the two-component survival mixture model estimators. Simulation results confirm the applicability of the proposed model in a small sample setting. Copyright (C) 2004 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.

HUMAN CHOLESTERYL ESTER TRANSFER PROTEIN EXPRESSION ENHANCES THE MOUSE SURVIVAL RATE IN AN EXPERIMENTAL SYSTEMIC INFLAMMATION MODEL: A NOVEL ROLE FOR CETP

Mice expressing human cholesteryl ester transfer protein (huCETP) are more resistant to Escherichia coli bacterial wall LIPS because death rates 5 days after intraperitoneal inoculation of LIPS were higher in wild-type than in huCETP(+/-) mice, whereas all huCETP(+/+) mice remained alive. After LIPS inoculation, plasma concentrations of TNF-alpha and IL-6 increased less in huCETP(+/+) than in wild-type mice. LPS in vitro elicited lower TNF-alpha production by CETP expressing than by wild-type macrophages. In addition, TNF-alpha production by RAW 264.7 murine macrophages increased on incubation with LPS but decreased in a dose-dependent manner when human CETP was added to the medium. Human CETP in vitro enhanced the LIPS binding to plasma high-density lipoprotein/low-density lipoprotein. The liver uptake of intravenous infused C-14-LPS from Salmonella typhimurium was greater in huCETP(+/+) than in wild-type mice. Present data indicate for the first time that CETP is an endogenous component involved in the first line of defense against an exacerbated production of proinflammatory mediators.

Induction of Indoleamine 2,3-Dioxygenase by Gene Delivery in Allogeneic Islets Prolongs Allograft Survival

Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO), an enzyme that plays a critical role in fetomaternal tolerance, exerts immunoregulatory functions suppressing T-cell responses. The aims of this study were to promote IDO expression in rat islets using a nonviral gene transfer approach, and to analyze the effect of the in vivo induction of IDO in a model of allogeneic islet transplantation. The IDO cDNA was isolated from rat placenta, subcloned into a plasmid and transfected into rat islets using Lipofectamine. The efficiency of transfection was confirmed by qRT-PCR and functional analysis. The in vivo effect of IDO expression was analyzed in streptozotocin-induced diabetic Lewis rats transplanted with allogeneic islets under the renal capsule. Transplantation of IDO-allogeneic islets reversed diabetes and maintained metabolic control, in contrast to transplantation of allogeneic nontransfected islets, which failed shortly after transplantation in all animals. Graft survival of allograft islets transfected with IDO transplanted without any immunosuppression was superior to that observed in diabetic rats receiving nontransfected islets. These data demonstrated that IDO expression induced in islets by lipofection improved metabolic control of streptozotocin-diabetic rats and prolonged allograft survival.

The impact of diabetes on survival among patients with first myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE - The purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of diabetes on survival among patients with first acute myocardial infarction, using data from the World Health Organization (WHO) Monitoring Trends and Determinants of Cardiovascular Disease (MONICA) Project in Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - The WHO MONICA Project is a community-based surveillance system that monitors coronary heart disease morbidity and mortality. All patients with suspected coronary events were observed for 28 days after the onset of symptoms. RESULTS - Of 5,322 patients with acute myocardial infarction and no previous history of ischemic heart disease (3,643 men and 1,679 women), 333 men (9%) and 224 women (13%) had a history of diabetes. The age-adjusted 28-day case fatality for women with diabetes (25%) was significantly higher than for women without diabetes (16%); relative risk 1.56 (95% CI: 1.19-2.04). The difference for men was also significant (25% with diabetes and 20% without diabetes); relative risk 1.25 (95% CI: 1.02-1.53). Age-specific case fatality increased significantly with age in both men and women without diabetes, but systematic age effects were not so apparent in patients with diabetes. Case fatality significantly decreased over the study period in patients without diabetes, but not among the diabetic patients. CONCLUSIONS - The increased risk of death in the diabetic patients remained after accounting for their poorer risk factor profiles; even if they reached the hospital alive, diabetic patients were also less likely to survive than nondiabetic patients. The relative impact of diabetes on survival is greater in women than in men.

Breast cancer five-year survival in New South Wales women, 1972 to 1991

This study of breast cancer survival is based on analysis of five-year relative survival of 38 362 cases of invasive breast cancer in New South Wales (NSW) women, incident between 1972 and 1991, with follow-up to 1992, using data from the population-based NSW Central Cancer Registry. Survival was ascertained by matching the registry file of breast cancers against NSW death certificates from 1972 to 1992, mainly by automated probabilistic linkage. Absolute survival of cases was compared with expected survival of age- and period-matched NSW women. Proportional hazard regression analysis was used for examination of the effects on excess mortality of age, period of diagnosis and degree of spread at diagnosis. Relative survival at five years increased from 70 per cent in 1972-1976 to 77 per cent in 1987-1991. Survival improved during the 1970s and in the late 1980s. Regression analysis suggested that part of the improved survival in the late 1980s was due to lesser degree of spread at diagnosis, whereas the improved survival during the 1970s may have been due to treatment. Survival was better for those aged 40-49 years (RR = 0.86) and worse for those aged greater than or equal to 70 years (RR = 1.22) compared with the referent group (60-69 years). Excess mortality was much less for those with invasive localised disease than those with regional spread (RR = 3.1) or metastatic cancer (RR = 15.5) at diagnosis. For the most recent period (1987-1991), relative five-year survival was 90, 70 and 18 per cent, respectively, for the three degree-of-spread categories.

Breast cancer five-year survival, by New South Wales regions, 1980 to 1991

Breast cancer five-year relative survival was calculated for 16 urban and rural regions in New South Wales (NSW) for cases incident in 1980-1991. Survival analysis employed cancer registry data linked with the death register, and age- and period-matched regional mortality of NSW women, Proportional hazard regression analysis was used to compare excess mortality in breast cancer cases in each region. The effect of region was significant (P < 0.05) in the analysis, after age and the follow-up variable (and their intel action) were adjusted for, although no region was significantly different from the referent group (chosen because of average relative five-year survival). When degree of spread and its interactions were entered into che model, the effect of region became nonsignificant. A significant linear trend (P < 0.05) in the adjusted relative risk for excess mortality in breast cancer cases was noted when regions were divided into quartiles based on socioeconomic status, with higher relative risk in low-socioeconomic-status groups; this effect also disappeared with adjustment for degree of spread at diagnosis. There was no general effect of rurality versus capital city or other metropolitan centres. This study demonstrates a small effect of region of residence and implied socioeconomic status on breast cancer survival in NSW women, but this becomes nonsignificant when the data are adjusted for degree of spread at diagnosis, This suggests that earlier diagnosis would he of benefit in reducing minor inequalities in breast cancer survival in NSW women.

Ten-Year Follow-Up Survival of the Medicine, Angioplasty, or Surgery Study (MASS II) A Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial of 3 Therapeutic Strategies for Multivessel Coronary Artery Disease

Background-This study compared the 10-year follow-up of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), coronary artery surgery (CABG), and medical treatment (MT) in patients with multivessel coronary artery disease, stable angina, and preserved ventricular function. Methods and Results-The primary end points were overall mortality, Q-wave myocardial infarction, or refractory angina that required revascularization. All data were analyzed according to the intention-to-treat principle. At a single institution, 611 patients were randomly assigned to CABG (n = 203), PCI (n = 205), or MT (n = 203). The 10-year survival rates were 74.9% with CABG, 75.1% with PCI, and 69% with MT (P = 0.089). The 10-year rates of myocardial infarction were 10.3% with CABG, 13.3% with PCI, and 20.7% with MT (P < 0.010). The 10-year rates of additional revascularizations were 7.4% with CABG, 41.9% with PCI, and 39.4% with MT (P < 0.001). Relative to the composite end point, Cox regression analysis showed a higher incidence of primary events in MT than in CABG (hazard ratio 2.35, 95% confidence interval 1.78 to 3.11) and in PCI than in CABG (hazard ratio 1.85, 95% confidence interval 1.39 to 2.47). Furthermore, 10-year rates of freedom from angina were 64% with CABG, 59% with PCI, and 43% with MT (P < 0.001). Conclusions-Compared with CABG, MT was associated with a significantly higher incidence of subsequent myocardial infarction, a higher rate of additional revascularization, a higher incidence of cardiac death, and consequently a 2.29-fold increased risk of combined events. PCI was associated with an increased need for further revascularization, a higher incidence of myocardial infarction, and a 1.46-fold increased risk of combined events compared with CABG. Additionally, CABG was better than MT at eliminating anginal symptoms.

(18)F-FDG PET After 2 Cycles of ABVD Predicts Event-Free Survival in Early and Advanced Hodgkin Lymphoma

Our objective was to assess the prognostic value of (18)F-FDG PET after 2 cycles of chemotherapy using doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine (ABVD) in Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) patients overall and in subgroups of patients with early and advanced stages and with low and high risks according to the International Prognostic Score (IPS). Methods: One hundred fifteen patients with newly diagnosed HL were prospectively included in the study. All underwent standard ABVD therapy followed by consolidation radiotherapy in cases of bulky disease. After 2 cycles of ABVD, the patients were evaluated with PET (PET2). Prognostic analysis compared the 3-y event-free survival (EFS) rate to the PET2 results, clinical data, and IPS. Results: Of the 104 evaluated patients, 93 achieved complete remission after first-line therapy. During a median follow-up of 36 mo, relapse or disease progression was seen in 22 patients. Treatment failure was seen in 16 of the 30 PET2-positive patients and in only 6 of the 74 PET2-negative patients. PET2 was the only significant prognostic factor. The 3-y EFS was 53.4% for PET2-positive patients and 90.5% for PET2-negative ones (P < 0.001). When patients were categorized according to low or high IPS risk and according to early or advanced stage of disease, PET2 was also significantly associated with treatment outcome. Conclusion: PET2 is an accurate and independent predictor of EFS in HL. A negative interim (18)F-FDG PET result is highly predictive of treatment success in overall HL patients, as well as in subgroups with early or advanced-stage disease and with low or high IPS risk.

Survival in Schistosomiasis-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Objectives The objective of this study was to evaluate the natural history of untreated schistosomiasis-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (Sch-PAH) patients as compared to idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) with respect to hemodynamics recorded at presentation and 36 months survival. Background Schistossomiasis (Sch) is one of the most prevalent chronic infectious diseases in the world. Nevertheless data regarding one of its most severe clinical complications, pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), is scarce. Methods We retrospectively analyzed case notes of all consecutive patients diagnosed of Sch-PAH and IPAH referred to the Heart Institute in Sao Paulo, Brazil, between 2004 and 2008. None of the Sch-PAH received PAH specific treatment whereas all IPAH patients did. Results Sch-PH patients (n = 54) had less severe pulmonary hypertension as evidenced by lower levels of pulmonary vascular resistance (11.3 +/- 11.3 W vs. 16.7 +/- 10.6 W; p = 0.002) and mean pulmonary artery pressure (56.7 +/- 18.7 mm Hg vs. 64.6 +/- 17.4 mm Hg; p = 0.01) and higher cardiac output (4.62 +/- 1.5 l/min vs. 3.87 +/- 1.5 l/min; p = 0.009) at presentation than IPAH patients (n = 95). None of the Sch-PAH patients demonstrated a positive response to acute vasodilator testing, whereas 16.2% of IPAH patients did (p = 0.015). Survival rates at 1, 2, and 3 years were 95.1%, 95.1%, and 85.9% and 95%, 86%, and 82%, for Sch-PAH and IPAH, respectively (p = 0.49). Both groups had a higher survival rate when compared to IPAH survival as estimated by the NIH equation (71%, 61%, and 52%, respectively). Conclusions Sch-PAH has a more benign clinical course than IPAH despite a lack of demonstrable acute vasoreactivity at hemodynamic evaluation. (J Am Coll Cardiol 2010; 56: 715-20) (C) 2010 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation

The A61 G EGF polymorphism is associated with development of extraaxial nervous system tumors but not with overall survival

Epidermal growth factor can activate several signaling pathways, leading to proliferation, differentiation, and tumorigenesis of epithelial tissues by binding with its receptor. The EGF protein is involved in nervous system development, and polymorphisms in the EGF gene on chromosome band 4q25 are associated with brain cancers. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between the single-nucleotide polymorphism of EGF + 61 G/A and extraaxial brain tumors in a population of the southeast of Brazil. We analyzed the genotype distribution of this polymorphism in 90 patients and 100 healthy subjects, using the polymerase chain reaction restriction fragment length polymorphism technique. Comparison of genotype distribution revealed a significant difference between patients and control subjects (P < 0.001). The variant genotypes of A/G and G/G were associated with a significant increase of the risk of tumor development, compared with the homozygote A/A (P < 0.0001). When the analyses were stratified, we observed that the genotype GIG was more frequent in female patients (P = 0.021). The same genotype was observed more frequently in patients with low-grade tumors (P = 0.001). Overall survival rates did not show statistically significant differences. Our data suggest that the EGF A61 G polymorphism can be associated with susceptibility to development of these tumors. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Differential expression of HDAC3, HDAC7 and HDAC9 is associated with prognosis and survival in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia

Altered expression of histone deacetylases (HDACs) is a common feature in several human malignancies and may represent an interesting target for cancer treatment, including haematological malignancies. We evaluated the mRNA gene expression profile of 12 HDAC genes by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction in 94 consecutive childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) samples and its association with clinical/biological features and survival. ALL samples showed higher expression levels of HDAC2, HDAC3, HDAC8, HDAC6 and HDAC7 when compared to normal bone marrow samples. HDAC1 and HDAC4 showed high expression in T-ALL and HDAC5 was highly expressed in B-lineage ALL. Higher than median expression levels of HDAC3 were associated with a significantly lower 5-year event-free survival (EFS) in the overall group of patients (P = 0.03) and in T-ALL patients (P = 0.01). HDAC7 and HADC9 expression levels higher than median were associated with a lower 5-year EFS in the overall group (P = 0.04 and P = 0.003, respectively) and in B-lineage CD10-positive patients (P = 0.009 and P = 0.005, respectively). Our data suggest that higher expression of HDAC7 and HDAC9 is associated with poor prognosis in childhood ALL and could be promising therapeutic targets for the treatment of refractory childhood ALL.

Maned wolf survival rate in central Brazil

Although many carnivores are of conservation concern, most are poorly studied. The maned wolf Chrysocyon brachyurus Illiger, 1811 is the largest South American canid with a broad distribution; however, the largest portion of its range is in the Brazilian Cerrado savannah, where due to intensive agricultural expansion, it is threatened by habitat loss. Maned wolf population trends are virtually unknown. We analyzed radio telemetry data from a 13-year study in Emas National Park, central Brazil, with Burnham`s live recapture/dead recovery models in the program MARK to obtain the first analytically sound estimate of the apparent maned wolf survival rate. We constructed 16 candidate models including variation in survival rate and resighting probability associated with an individual`s sex or age and year of study. Apparent adult survival rate throughout the study ranged from 0.28 (se=0.08) to 0.97 (se=0.06). There was no evidence for sex specificity but strong support for time variation. Model weights supported an age effect and the subadult survival rate was 0.63 (se=0.15). Results indicate similar life patterns for male and female maned wolves and similar mortality risks for adults and subadults in the study area. The observed temporal fluctuations of adult survival rate are important for population dynamics as they decrease average population growth rates. Population dynamics are central for conservation planning and our results are an important step towards a better understanding of the maned wolf`s ecology.

Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Tongue and Floor of the Mouth: Analysis of Survival Rate and Independent Prognostic Factors in the Amazon Region

Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) accounts for more than 95% of all malignant neoplasms in the oral cavity. Although several studies have shown the epidemiology of this cancer in Brazil, there do not seem to be any studies that describe the prognostic factors related to OSCC in the Amazon region. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the survival rate and prognostic significance of different factors in patients from this region affected by OSCC. Data from 85 patients with histologically confirmed squamous cell carcinoma of the tongue and floor of the mouth identified from the Ofir Loyola Hospital archives were collected and analyzed using univariate (log-rank test) and multivariate (Cox proportional hazard model) tests. The overall 5-year survival rate was found to be 27%. Univariate analysis showed that the 5-year survival rate was significantly higher for younger (<= 45 y) female patients, patients with T1-2 tumors and clinically clear neck nodes (N0), patients with early stage cancers (AJCC stage I-II), and patients treated with surgical procedures. However, multivariate analysis showed that the 5-year survival rate was significantly higher only in the younger patients and those who underwent surgical treatment. The age of the patient at the moment of diagnosis and treatment with surgical procedures were the only independent prognostic factors that affected the 5-year survival rate of the patients in this region.

Absence of TLR2 influences survival of neutrophils after infection with Candida albicans

Candida albicans is an opportunistic pathogen, which causes local and/or disseminated diseases in immunosuppressed humans. Phagocytic cells play a critical role in the immune response against C. albicans. Toll like receptors (TLR) are important in the identification of invading microorganisms and in the regulation of neutrophil survival. TLR2 has been shown to participate in the response against pathogenic yeasts and to increase the functional life span of neutrophils. In view of these observations, we studied the involvement of TLR2 in neutrophil function after C. albicans infection. The absence of TLR2 resulted in lower chemotaxis of neutrophils to the site of infection. This in turn was associated with lower levels of chemokines from neutrophils, facilitating the dissemination of the pathogen to the lymph nodes and spleen. A high frequency of apoptotic neutrophils and macrophages in the inflammatory exudates from TLR2(-/-) mice was found. In addition, the phagocytic activity of neutrophils and macrophages, nitric oxide production and myeloperoxidase, activity were diminished in cells from TLR2(-/-) mice. Together, these data demonstrate the importance of TLR2 signals for neutrophils activation and survival after C albicans infection.

Survival of Dental Implants in the Cleft Area-A Retrospective Study

Objective To evaluate the survival rate of dental implants placed in the cleft area Design Retrospective study Setting Hospital for Rehabilitation of Craniofacial Anomalies, Brazil Institutional Tertiary Healthcare Center Patients 120 patients who received dental implants in the grafted cleft area in the years 1999 to 2005 Interventions Clinical data were evaluated from the records of 120 patients according to the following criteria placement grafted, cleft area, and age at surgery, age at placement of dental implants, site and dimension of implants, interval between placement of implants and the last clinical follow-up, and interval between placement and removal or indication for removal of implants Main Outcome Measures Percentage of survival rate of implants Results Mean age at placement of the bone graft was 17 6 years and 21 years at placement of implants A total of 123 cleft areas received secondary bone graft and bone graft to install implants (regraft) The mean survival rate was 34 months since placement of the implant to the last clinical follow-up and 26 months since placement of the prosthesis Seven dental implants were removed The survival rate since placement to the last clinical follow-up was 94 3% Conclusion Rehabilitation of the cleft area with dental implants is a viable and secure alternative, with good prognosis