Random regression models to estimate genetic parameters for test-day milk yield in Brazilian Murrah buffaloes

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Levenberg-Marquardt application to two-phase nonlinear parameter estimation for finned-tube coil evaporators

A procedure for calculation of refrigerant mass flow rate is implemented in the distributed numerical model to simulate the flow in finned-tube coil dry-expansion evaporators, usually found in refrigeration and air-conditioning systems. Two-phase refrigerant flow inside the tubes is assumed to be one-dimensional, unsteady, and homogeneous. In themodel the effects of refrigerant pressure drop and the moisture condensation from the air flowing over the external surface of the tubes are considered. The results obtained are the distributions of refrigerant velocity, temperature and void fraction, tube-wall temperature, air temperature, and absolute humidity. The finite volume method is used to discretize the governing equations. Additionally, given the operation conditions and the geometric parameters, the model allows the calculation of the refrigerant mass flow rate. The value of mass flow rate is computed using the process of parameter estimation with the minimization method of Levenberg-Marquardt minimization. In order to validate the developed model, the obtained results using HFC-134a as a refrigerant are compared with available data from the literature.

Simulação de reservatórios de petróleo em ambiente MPSoC

The constant increase of complexity in computer applications demands the development of more powerful hardware support for them. With processor's operational frequency reaching its limit, the most viable solution is the use of parallelism. Based on parallelism techniques and the progressive growth in the capacity of transistors integration in a single chip is the concept of MPSoCs (Multi-Processor System-on-Chip). MPSoCs will eventually become a cheaper and faster alternative to supercomputers and clusters, and applications developed for these high performance systems will migrate to computers equipped with MP-SoCs containing dozens to hundreds of computation cores. In particular, applications in the area of oil and natural gas exploration are also characterized by the high processing capacity required and would benefit greatly from these high performance systems. This work intends to evaluate a traditional and complex application of the oil and gas industry known as reservoir simulation, developing a solution with integrated computational systems in a single chip, with hundreds of functional unities. For this, as the STORM (MPSoC Directory-Based Platform) platform already has a shared memory model, a new distributed memory model were developed. Also a message passing library has been developed folowing MPI standard

Modelling the dynamics of dengue real epidemics

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Comparative therapeutic use of Risedronate and Calcarea phosphorica - Allopathy versus homeopathy - In bone repair in castrated rats

Osteoporosis, a disease characterized by progressive bone loss, has been the target of several studies in the past few years. It results in a much higher risk for fractures and might cause slower bone lesion healing. The aim of this work was to study the effects of Risedronate (allopathic medicine) and Calcarea phosphorica 6CH (homeopathic medicine) on the repair of bone lesions in male rats with osteoporosis induced by castration. Eighty-four three-month-old rats were used divided into four groups of twenty-one animals each. Three groups where castrated and one group was submitted to Sham surgery. One month later, cortical lesions were made in all animals' tibiae and, after one day, the different experimental treatments began according to the following groups: CR - castrated/Risedronate (1 mg/kg/day); CCp - castrated/ Calcarea phosphorica 6CH (3 drops/day); CP - castrated/placebo and SP - Sham/placebo. The animals were sacrificed at seven, fourteen and twenty-eight days after the beginning of the treatments and had their tibiae removed. Digital radiographs of the tibiae were taken and analyzed in order to evaluate the optical density of the defect area. Then, they were decalcified and processed for histological and histomorphometrical analysis. The data were submitted to ANOVA, and to the Tukey and Dunnett tests (5%). The allopathic and homeopathic treatments led to different bone formation as regards remodeling and maturation aspects. Further research is necessary to access the resistance and quality of the newly formed bone.

Random regression models using Legendre polynomials or linear splines for test-day milk yield of dairy Gyr (Bos indicus) cattle

Studies investigating the use of random regression models for genetic evaluation of milk production in Zebu cattle are scarce. In this study, 59,744 test-day milk yield records from 7,810 first lactations of purebred dairy Gyr (Bos indicus) and crossbred (dairy Gyr × Holstein) cows were used to compare random regression models in which additive genetic and permanent environmental effects were modeled using orthogonal Legendre polynomials or linear spline functions. Residual variances were modeled considering 1, 5, or 10 classes of days in milk. Five classes fitted the changes in residual variances over the lactation adequately and were used for model comparison. The model that fitted linear spline functions with 6 knots provided the lowest sum of residual variances across lactation. On the other hand, according to the deviance information criterion (DIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), a model using third-order and fourth-order Legendre polynomials for additive genetic and permanent environmental effects, respectively, provided the best fit. However, the high rank correlation (0.998) between this model and that applying third-order Legendre polynomials for additive genetic and permanent environmental effects, indicates that, in practice, the same bulls would be selected by both models. The last model, which is less parameterized, is a parsimonious option for fitting dairy Gyr breed test-day milk yield records. © 2013 American Dairy Science Association.

Análise da reconstrução 3D a partir de um par estereoscópico HR-CCD/CBERS-2 usando dois modelos matemáticos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Dinâmica populacional, anautogenia e dependência da ansiedade em moscas-varejeiras: experimentação e teoria populacional

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Inversão gravimétrica usando regularização entrópica

Apresentamos um novo método para inversão gravimétrica da distribuição espacial do contraste de densidade no plano horizontal, baseado na combinação da maximização da entropia de ordem zero com a minimização da entropia de ordem um. O topo e a base das fontes gravimétricas são presumidos ser planos e horizontais e o modelo interpretativo consiste de uma malha de prismas justapostos em ambas às direções horizontais, sendo os contrastes de densidade de cada prisma os parâmetros a serem estimados. A maximização da entropia de ordem zero é similar ao vínculo de suavidade global, enquanto a minimização da entropia de ordem um favorece descontinuidades na distribuição do contraste de densidade. Conseqüentemente a combinação judiciosa de ambas pode levar a soluções apresentando regiões com contrastes de densidade virtualmente constantes (no caso de corpos homogêneos), separadas por descontinuidades abruptas. O método foi aplicado a dados sintéticos simulando a presença de corpos intrusivos em sedimentos. A comparação dos resultados com aqueles obtidos através do método da suavidade global mostra que ambos os métodos localizam as fontes igualmente bem, mas o delineamento de seus contornos é efetuado com maior resolução pela regularização entrópica, mesmo no caso de fontes com 100 m de largura separadas entre si por uma distância de 50 m. No caso em que o topo da fonte causadora não é plano nem horizontal, tanto a regularização entrópica como a suavidade global produzem resultados semelhantes. A metodologia apresentada, bem como a suavidade global foram aplicadas a dois conjuntos de dados reais produzidos por intrusões em rochas metamórficas. O primeiro é proveniente da região de Matsitama, no nordeste de Botswana, centro sul da África. A aplicação das duas metodologias a estes dados produziu resultados similares, indicando que o topo das fontes não é plano nem horizontal. O segundo conjunto provém da região da Cornuália, Inglaterra e produziu uma distribuição estimada de contraste de densidade virtualmente constante para a regularização entrópica e oscilante para a suavidade global, indicando que a fonte gravimétrica apresenta topo aproximadamente plano e horizontal, o que é confirmado pela informação geológica disponível.

Avaliação da chuva produzida pelo modelo eta de previsão do tempo para o Estado de São Paulo com uso de radar meteorológico para aplicações agrícolas

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA

Identificação de padrões da dengue em municípios paulistas entre os anos de 2003 a 2011

Pós-graduação em Biociências - FCLAS

Spatial dynamics of a population with stage-dependent diffusion

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

A comparative analysis of the relative efficacy of vector-control strategies against dengue fever

Dengue is considered one of the most important vector-borne infection, affecting almost half of the world population with 50 to 100 million cases every year. In this paper, we present one of the simplest models that can encapsulate all the important variables related to vector control of dengue fever. The model considers the human population, the adult mosquito population and the population of immature stages, which includes eggs, larvae and pupae. The model also considers the vertical transmission of dengue in the mosquitoes and the seasonal variation in the mosquito population. From this basic model describing the dynamics of dengue infection, we deduce thresholds for avoiding the introduction of the disease and for the elimination of the disease. In particular, we deduce a Basic Reproduction Number for dengue that includes parameters related to the immature stages of the mosquito. By neglecting seasonal variation, we calculate the equilibrium values of the model’s variables. We also present a sensitivity analysis of the impact of four vector-control strategies on the Basic Reproduction Number, on the Force of Infection and on the human prevalence of dengue. Each of the strategies was studied separately from the others. The analysis presented allows us to conclude that of the available vector control strategies, adulticide application is the most effective, followed by the reduction of the exposure to mosquito bites, locating and destroying breeding places and, finally, larvicides. Current vector-control methods are concentrated on mechanical destruction of mosquitoes’ breeding places. Our results suggest that reducing the contact between vector and hosts (biting rates) is as efficient as the logistically difficult but very efficient adult mosquito’s control.

Modello bayesiano per la riduzione dell'incertezza nella previsione delle piene del fiume Reno

Many efforts have been devoting since last years to reduce uncertainty in hydrological modeling predictions. The principal sources of uncertainty are provided by input errors, for inaccurate rainfall prediction, and model errors, given by the approximation with which the water flow processes in the soil and river discharges are described. The aim of the present work is to develop a bayesian model in order to reduce the uncertainty in the discharge predictions for the Reno river. The ’a priori’ distribution function is given by an autoregressive model, while the likelihood function is provided by a linear equation which relates observed values of discharge in the past and hydrological TOPKAPI model predictions obtained by the rainfall predictions of the limited-area model COSMO-LAMI. The ’a posteriori’ estimations are provided throw a H∞ filter, because the statistical properties of estimation errors are not known. In this work a stationary and a dual adaptive filter are implemented and compared. Statistical analysis of estimation errors and the description of three case studies of flood events occurred during the fall seasons from 2003 to 2005 are reported. Results have also revealed that errors can be described as a markovian process only at a first approximation. For the same period, an ensemble of ’a posteriori’ estimations is obtained throw the COSMO-LEPS rainfall predictions, but the spread of this ’a posteriori’ ensemble is not enable to encompass observation variability. This fact is related to the building of the meteorological ensemble, whose spread reaches its maximum after 5 days. In the future the use of a new ensemble, COSMO–SREPS, focused on the first 3 days, could be helpful to enlarge the meteorogical and, consequently, the hydrological variability.

Kryoelektronenmikroskopie von Proteinen: 3D-Struktur (12 A) des Hämocyanins der Schnecke Haliotis

Zusammenfassung:Die Quartärstruktur des respiratorischen Proteins Hämocyanin (Isoform HtH1) aus der marinen Schnecke Haliotis tuberculata wurde vermittels Kryoelektronen-mikroskopie und 3D-Rekonstruktion untersucht. Das Molekül ist zylinderförmig, hat einen Durchmesser von ca. 35 nm und besteht aus einer Zylinderwand und einem internen Kragenkomplex. Dieser wiederum besteht aus einem Collar und einem Arc.Die kryoelektronenmikroskopischen Aufnahmen von in glasartigem Eis fixierten HtH1-Molekülen brachte eine enorme Verbesserung der Anzahl der zur Verfügung stehenden Ansichtswinkel gegenüber den negativkontrastierten Molekülen, die auf Karbonfilm präpariert waren.Die 3D-Rekonstruktion des HtH1 mittels Aufnahmen bei drei verschiedenen Defo-kuswerten verbesserte die Auflösung noch einmal deutlich gegenüber den Rekon-struktionen, die aus Aufnahmen bei einem festen Defokuswert gemacht wurden, und zwar auf 12 Å. Das Molekül besitzt eine D5-Symmetrie.Aus dieser bisher genausten Rekonstruktion eines Molluskenhämocyanins aus EM-Bildern ließen sich folgende neue Strukturdetails ableiten:· Ein Untereinheitendimer konnte als Repeating Unit im Dekamer des HtH1 beschrieben werden.· Das Untereinheitendimer konnte aus der 3D-Dichtekarte isoliert werden. Es be-steht eindeutig aus 16 Massen, die funktionellen Domänen entsprechen. Zwei dieser Massen bilden den Collar, zwei den Arc und 12 das Wandsegment.· Die gegenläufige Anordnung der beiden Untereinheiten innerhalb dieses Unte-reinheitendimers konnten bestätigt und auf zwei Möglichkeiten eingeschränkt werden.· Die Zahl der alternativen Anordnungen der 16 funktionellen Domänen (HtH1-a bis HtH1-h) im Untereinheitendimer konnten von 80 auf 2 eingeengt werden.· Es konnte über molekulares Modellieren mithilfe einer publizierten Kristallstruk-tur eine 3D-Struktur fastatomarer Auflösung der funktionellen Domäne HtH1-g berechnet werden.· Die funktionelle Domäne HtH1-g konnte als Domänenpaar plausibel in die 3D?Dichtekarte des Untereinheitendimers eingepasst werden, und zwar in die beiden Massen des Arc.Aus der elektronenmikroskopisch gewonnenen Dichtekarte wurde mit Hilfe des