Estimación de parámetros genéticos para la producción de leche en el día del control empleando un modelo de regresión aleatoria para primeras lactancias en búfalos de la costa norte de Colombia

A total of 5575 monthly test-day yield records from 796 lactations buffaloes first in the north coast of Colombia. The model included random direct additive genetic and permanent environment effects. As fixed effects were included, contemporary groups, and age of cow at calving as covaraible, linear and quadratic effects. Test-day (PLDC) yield was 3.89 ± 1.14 kg. The PLDC ranged from 2.86 kg to 4.26 kg while the highest values towards the middle of lactation. The heritability estimates obtained for PLDC ranged from 0.23 to 0.47. Genetic correlations between PLDC, declining steadily increased the distance between PLDC. Phenotypic variances were higher in the initial PLDC and decreasing towards the end of lactation. The results found in this study indicate that there is a high genetic variability for the PLDC in the population studied using a random regression model.

Estudo da interação genótipo-ambiente por meio de modelos de normas de reação em bovinos de corte da raça Nelore

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

The impact of climate change on the macroeconomy in the Caribbean

In this study, an attempt is made to assess the economic impact of climate change on nine countries in the Caribbean basin: Aruba, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Guyana, Jamaica, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Saint Lucia and Trinidad and Tobago. A methodological approach proposed by Dell et al. (2008) is used in preference to the traditional Integrated Assessment Models. The evolution of climate variables and of the macroeconomy of each of the nine countries over the period 1970 to 2006 is analyzed and preliminary evidence of a relationship between the macroeconomy and climate change is examined. The preliminary investigation uses correlation, Granger causality and simple regression methods. The preliminary evidence suggests that there is some relationship but that the direction of causation between the macroeconomy and the climate variables is indeterminate. The main analysis involves the use of a panel data (random effects) model which fits the historical data (1971-2007) very well. Projections of economic growth from 2008 to 2099 are done on the basis of four climate scenarios: the International Panel on Climate Change A2, B2, a hybrid A2B2 (the mid-point of A2 and B2), and a ‘baseline’ or ‘Business as Usual’ scenario, which assumes that the growth rate in the period 2008-2099 is the same as the average growth rate over the period 1971-2007. The best average growth rate is under the B2 scenario, followed by the hybrid A2B2 and A2 scenarios, in that order. Although negative growth rates eventually dominate, they are largely positive for a long time. The projections all display long-run secular decline in growth rates notwithstanding short-run upward trends, including some very sharp ones, moving eventually from declining positive rates to negative ones. The costs associated with the various scenarios are all quite high, rising to as high as a present value (2007 base year) of US$14 billion in 2099 (constant 1990 prices) for the B2 scenario and US$21 billion for the BAU scenario. These costs were calculated on the basis of very conservative estimates of the cost of environmental degradation. Mitigation and adaptation costs are likely to be quite high though a small fraction of projected total investment costs.

Evidências científicas da associação entre fórmula infantil, fluorose e cárie dentária

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Uso de modelo de regressão aleatória na análise de produção de leite em bubalinos

Dados referentes a 1.719 controles de produção de leite de 357 fêmeas predominantemente da raça Murrah, filhas de 110 reprodutores, com partos distribuídos entre os anos de 1974 e 2004, obtidos do Programa de Melhoramento Genético de Bubalinos (PROMEBUL) com adição de registros do rebanho pertencente à EMBRAPA Amazônia Oriental - EAO, localizada em Belém, Pará. Os registros foram usados para comparar modelos de regressão aleatória na estimação de componentes de variância e predição de valores genéticos dos reprodutores utilizando a. função polinomial de Legendre, variando de segunda à quarta ordem. O modelo de regressão aleatória incluiu os efeitos de rebanho-ano, mês de parto, coeficientes de regressão para idade da fêmea (para descrever a parte fixa da curva de lactação) e coeficientes de regressão relacionados ao efeito genético direto e de ambiente permanente. A comparação entre modelos foram realizadas por meio do Critério de Informação de Akaike. O modelo de regressão aleatória que utilizou a terceira ordem de polinômio de Legendre, com quatro classes de resíduo para o ambiente temporário, foi o que melhor descreveu a variação genética aditiva da produção de leite. A herdabilidade estimada variou entre 0,08 a 0,40. A correlação genética entre produções mais próximas foram próximas da unidade, mas em idades mais distantes a correlação foi baixa. A correlação de Spearman e de Pearson entre os valores genéticos preditos em todas as situações foram próximas da unidade.

Persistência da lactação e Influência da estrutura de dados sobre a estimação de parâmetros genéticos para a produção de leite de bovinos da raça Holandesa

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Cluster and meta-analyses of genetic parameters for feed intake traits in growing beef cattle

A data set based on 50 studies including feed intake and utilization traits was used to perform a meta-analysis to obtain pooled estimates using the variance between studies of genetic parameters for average daily gain (ADG); residual feed intake (RFI); metabolic body weight (MBW); feed conversion ratio (FCR); and daily dry matter intake (DMI) in beef cattle. The total data set included 128 heritability and 122 genetic correlation estimates published in the literature from 1961 to 2012. The meta-analysis was performed using a random effects model where the restricted maximum likelihood estimator was used to evaluate variances among clusters. Also, a meta-analysis using the method of cluster analysis was used to group the heritability estimates. Two clusters were obtained for each trait by different variables. It was observed, for all traits, that the heterogeneity of variance was significant between clusters and studies for genetic correlation estimates. The pooled estimates, adding the variance between clusters, for direct heritability estimates for ADG, DMI, RFI, MBW and FCR were 0.32 +/- 0.04, 0.39 +/- 0.03, 0.31 +/- 0.02, 0.31 +/- 0.03 and 0.26 +/- 0.03, respectively. Pooled genetic correlation estimates ranged from -0.15 to 0.67 among ADG, DMI, RFI, MBW and FCR. These pooled estimates of genetic parameters could be used to solve genetic prediction equations in populations where data is insufficient for variance component estimation. Cluster analysis is recommended as a statistical procedure to combine results from different studies to account for heterogeneity.

Efficacy of antibiotic therapy for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis: a proportional meta-analysis

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Técnicas de análise de dados distribuídos em áreas

Pós-graduação em Biometria - IBB

Reaction norms for the study of genotype-environment interaction for growth and indicator traits of sexual precocity in Nellore cattle

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Aplicação de modelos de regressão aleatória utilizando diferentes estruturas de dados

A total of 3.035 lactations of Holstein cows from four farms in the Southeast, to check the influence of data structure of milk yield on the genetic parameters. Four dataset with different structures were tested, weekly controls (CW) with 122.842 controls, monthly controls (CM) 30.883, bimonthly controls (CB) with 15,837 and quarterly controls (CQ) with 12,702. The random regression model was used and was considered as random additive genetic and permanent environment effects, fixed effects of the contemporary groups (herd-year-month of test-day) and age of cow (linear and quadratic effects). Heritability estimates showed similar trends among the data files analyzed, with the greatest similarity between dataset CS, CM and CB. The dataset submitted all the CB estimates of genetic parameters analyzed with the same trend and similar magnitude to the CS and CM dataset, allowing the claim that there was no influence of the data structure on estimates of covariance components for the dataset CS, CM and CB. Thus, milk recording could be accomplished in a CB structure.

Antibioticoterapia para o tratamento de periotonite em diálise peritoneal: redicão sostemática de estudo clínicos controlados e série de casos

Pós-graduação em Fisiopatologia em Clínica Médica - FMB

Revisão sistemática do perfil de risco e profilaxia de tromboembolismo venoso no Brasil e no mundo

Pós-graduação em Bases Gerais da Cirurgia - FMB

Análise genética de escores visuais e sua relação com características reprodutivas de animais da raça Nelore

Pós-graduação em Genética e Melhoramento Animal - FCAV

Modeling spatial distribution of cancer incidence in Cordoba, Argentina

Background: Cancer is the second leading cause of death in Argentina, and there is little knowledge about its incidence. The first study based on population-based cancer registry described spatial incidence and indicated that there existed at least county-level aggregation. The aim of the present work is to model the incidence patterns for the most incidence cancer in Córdoba Province, Argentina, using information from the Córdoba Cancer Registry by performing multilevel mixed model approach to deal with dependence and unobserved heterogeneity coming from the geo-reference cancer occurrence. Methods: Standardized incidence rates (world standard population) (SIR) by sex based on 5-year age groups were calculated for 109 districts nested on 26 counties for the most incidence cancers in Cordoba using 2004 database. A Poisson twolevel random effect model representing unobserved heterogeneity between first level-districts and second level-counties was fitted to assess the spatial distribution of the overall and site specific cancer incidence rates. Results: SIR cancer at Córdoba province shown an average of 263.53±138.34 and 200.45±98.30 for men and women, respectively. Considering the ratio site specific mean SIR to the total mean, breast cancer ratio was 0.25±0.19, prostate cancer ratio was 0.12±0.10 and lower values for lung and colon cancer for both sexes. The Poisson two-level random intercepts model fitted for SIR data distributed with overdispersion shown significant hierarchical structure for the cancer incidence distribution. Conclusions: a strong spatial-nested effect for the cancer incidence in Córdoba was observed and will help to begin the study of the factors associated with it.