The Economics of Gasification: A Market-Based Approach

This paper deals with the economics of gasification facilities in general and IGCC power plants in particular. Regarding the prospects of these systems, passing the technological test is one thing, passing the economic test can be quite another. In this respect, traditional valuations assume constant input and/or output prices. Since this is hardly realistic, we allow for uncertainty in prices. We naturally look at the markets where many of the products involved are regularly traded. Futures markets on commodities are particularly useful for valuing uncertain future cash flows. Thus, revenues and variable costs can be assessed by means of sound financial concepts and actual market data. On the other hand, these complex systems provide a number of flexibility options (e.g., to choose among several inputs, outputs, modes of operation, etc.). Typically, flexibility contributes significantly to the overall value of real assets. Indeed, maximization of the asset value requires the optimal exercise of any flexibility option available. Yet the economic value of flexibility is elusive, the more so under (price) uncertainty. And the right choice of input fuels and/or output products is a main concern for the facility managers. As a particular application, we deal with the valuation of input flexibility. We follow the Real Options approach. In addition to economic variables, we also address technical and environmental issues such as energy efficiency, utility performance characteristics and emissions (note that carbon constraints are looming). Lastly, a brief introduction to some stochastic processes suitable for valuation purposes is provided.

Learning and management skills: the internationalization of Grupo Arcor. Analysis from a process-based approach

This paper analyzes the path of the international expansion of Grupo Arcor, an Argentine multinational company specializing in confectionery. The objective is to entify corporate strategies and business learning that led this Latin American firm to establish itself as one of the leading manufacturers in confectionery industry ,particularly in the 21st Century. The analysis is primarily qualitative in order to identify the economic dimension as a determinant in the internationalization process; a processbased approach from the Uppsala Model is used for this. However, the study is also complemented with a regression analysis to test if the firm was driven to expand internationally by the expectations on the degree of globalization of the industry and the accumulation of experience in foreign markets, and if the company was influenced by psychic distance in choosing the location of its investment; given the influence of these variables in Grupo Arcor business strategies. Our findings suggest that Grupo Arcor, was able to become global due to strategies such as vertical integration, diversification of products and geographical markets (based on psychic distance) and indeed some strategies were consequence of the globalization of the sector and the accumulation of experience in foreign markets.

A new adaptive marine policy toolbox to support ecosystem-based approach to management

4 p.

Discrete Modeling of Granular Media: A NURBS-based Approach

This dissertation is concerned with the development of a new discrete element method (DEM) based on Non-Uniform Rational Basis Splines (NURBS). With NURBS, the new DEM is able to capture sphericity and angularity, the two particle morphological measures used in characterizing real grain geometries. By taking advantage of the parametric nature of NURBS, the Lipschitzian dividing rectangle (DIRECT) global optimization procedure is employed as a solution procedure to the closest-point projection problem, which enables the contact treatment of non-convex particles. A contact dynamics (CD) approach to the NURBS-based discrete method is also formulated. By combining particle shape flexibility, properties of implicit time-integration, and non-penetrating constraints, we target applications in which the classical DEM either performs poorly or simply fails, i.e., in granular systems composed of rigid or highly stiff angular particles and subjected to quasistatic or dynamic flow conditions. The CD implementation is made simple by adopting a variational framework, which enables the resulting discrete problem to be readily solved using off-the-shelf mathematical programming solvers. The capabilities of the NURBS-based DEM are demonstrated through 2D numerical examples that highlight the effects of particle morphology on the macroscopic response of granular assemblies under quasistatic and dynamic flow conditions, and a 3D characterization of material response in the shear band of a real triaxial specimen.