On the accuracy of Latin American trade statistics: A nonparametric test for 1925

This paper proposes a nonparametric test in order to establish the level of accuracy of theforeign trade statistics of 17 Latin American countries when contrasted with the trade statistics of the main partners in 1925. The Wilcoxon Matched-Pairs Ranks test is used to determine whether the differences between the data registered by exporters and importers are meaningful, and if so, whether the differences are systematic in any direction. The paper tests for the reliability of the data registered for two homogeneous products, petroleum and coal, both in volume and value. The conclusion of the several exercises performed is that we cannot accept the existence of statistically significant differences between the data provided by the exporters and the registered by the importing countries in most cases. The qualitative historiography of Latin American describes its foreign trade statistics as mostly unusable. Our quantitative results contest this view.

Effects of hatching asynchrony on sibling negotiation, begging, jostling for position and within-brood food allocation in the barn owl Tyto alba

When siblings differ markedly in their need for food, they may benefit from signalling to each other their willingness to contest the next indivisible food item delivered by the parents. This sib-sib communication system, referred to as 'sibling negotiation', may allow them to adjust optimally to investment in begging. Using barn owl (Two alba) broods. I assessed the role of within-brood age hierarchy on sibling negotiation, and in turn on jostling for position where parents predictably deliver food (i.e. nest-box entrance), begging and within-brood food allocation. More specifically, I examined three predictions derived from a game-theoretical model of sibling negotiation where a senior and a junior sibling compete for food resources (Roulin, 2002a, Johnstone and Roulin, 2003): (1) begging effort invested by the senior sibling should be less sensitive to the junior sibling's negotiation than vice versa; (2) the junior should invest less effort in sibling negotiation than its senior sibling but a similar amount of effort in begging; and (3) within-brood food allocation should be directly related to begging but only indirectly to sibling negotiation. Two-chick broods were created and vocalization in the absence (negotiation signals directed to siblings) and presence (begging signals directed to parents) of parents was recorded. In support of the first prediction, juniors begged at a low cadence after their senior sibling negotiated intensely, probably because negotiation reflects prospective investment in begging and hence willingness to compete. In contrast, the begging of senior siblings was not sensitive to their junior sibling's negotiation. In contrast to the second prediction, juniors negotiated and begged more intensely than their senior sibling apparently because they were hungrier rather than younger. In line with the third prediction, juniors monopolized food delivered by their parents when their senior sibling begged at a low level. The begging cadence of both the junior and senior sibling, the junior's negotiation cadence, the difference in age between the two nest-mates and jostling for position were not associated with the likelihood of monopolizing food. In conclusion, sibling negotiation appears to influence begging behaviour, which, in turn, affects within-brood food allocation. Juniors may negotiate to challenge their senior siblings, and thereby determine whether seniors are less hungry before deciding to beg for food. In contrast, seniors may negotiate to deter juniors from begging.

Vocal sib-sib interactions: how siblings adjust signaling level to each other

Game theory states that iterative interactions between individuals are necessary to adjust behaviour optimally to one another. Although our understanding of the role of begging signals in the resolution of parent-offspring conflict over parental investment rests on game theory implying repeated interactions between family members, empiricists usually consider interactions at the exact moment when parents allocate food among the brood. Therefore, the mechanisms by which siblings adjust signalling level to one another remain unclear. We tackled this issue in the barn owl, Tyto alba. In the absence of parents, hungry nestlings signal vocally to siblings their intention to contest vigorously the next, indivisible, food item. Such behaviour deters siblings from competing and begging when parents return to the nest. In experimental two-chick broods, nestlings producing the longest calls in the absence of parents, a signal of hunger level, were more successful at monopolizing the food item at the first parental feeding visit of the night. Moreover, nestlings increased (versus decreased) call duration when their sibling produced longer (versus shorter) calls, and an individual was more likely to call again if its sibling began to vocalize before or just after it had ended its previous call. These results are in agreement with the hypothesis that siblings challenge each other vocally to reinforce the honesty of sib-sib communication and to resolve conflicts over which individual will have priority of access to the next delivered food item. Siblings challenge each other vocally to confirm that the level of signalling accurately reflects motivation.

Nestling barn owls assess short-term variation in the amount of vocally competing siblings.

Assessing the amount of rivals is crucial to optimally adjust investment into a contest. If laboratory animals show numerical abilities, little is known about the ecological implications particularly in young animals. The two to nine barn owl (Tyto alba) siblings vocally compete for priority of access to food resources before parents actually deliver them. In dyads, the individual that vocalizes at the highest rate in the absence of parents deters its siblings from competing for next delivered prey. We tested the novel hypothesis that to optimally adjust vocal investment, barn owl nestlings assess how many of their siblings are currently competing. To singleton owlets, we broadcasted a fixed global number of calls emitted by one, two or four pre-recorded unfamiliar nestlings. We could thus distinguish the independent effect on singletons' vocal behavior of the global number of calls produced by a brood from the number of competitors that produced these calls. Overall, nestlings retreated more from vocal contest when facing more competitors. However, in front of one highly motivated competitor, nestlings refrained from vocalizing to a larger extent than when competing against more but less motivated individuals. Therefore, young animals assess variation in the number of currently competing siblings based on individual-specific vocal cues.

Plate tectonics of the Altaids

Abstract: The Altaids consist in a huge accretionary-type belt extending from Siberia through Mon-golia, northern China, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. They were formed from the Vendian through the Jurassic by the accretion of numerous displaced and exotic terranes (e.g. island arc, ribbon microcontinent, seamount, basaltic plateau, back-arc basin). The number, nature and origin of the terranes differ according to the palaeotectonic models of the different authors. Thanks to a geo- dynamic study (i.e. definition of tectonic settings and elaboration of geodynamic scenarios) and plate tectonics modelling, this work aims to present an alternative model explaining the Palaeozoic palaeotectonic evolution of the Altaids. Based on a large set of compiled geological data related to palaeogeography and geodyna¬mic (e.g. sedimentology, stratigraphy, palaeobiogeography, palaeomagnetism, magmatism, me- tamorphism, tectonic...), a partly new classification of the terranes and sutures implicated in the formation of the Altaids is proposed. In the aim to elaborate plate tectonics reconstructions, it is necessary to fragment the present arrangement of continents into consistent geological units. To avoid confusion with existing terminology (e.g. tectonic units, tectono-stratigraphic units, micro- continents, terranes, blocks...), the new concept of "Geodynamic Units (GDU)" was introduced. A terrane may be formed by a set of GDUs. It consists of a continental and/or oceanic fragment which has its own kinematic and geodynamic evolution for a given period. With the same ap-proach, the life span and type of the disappeared oceans is inferred thanks to the study of the mate-rial contained in suture zones. The interpretation of the tectonic settings within the GDUs comple-ted by the restoration of oceans leads to the elaboration of geodynamic scenarios. Since the Wilson cycle was presented in 1967, numerous works demonstrated that the continental growth is more complex and results from diverse geodynamic scenarios. The identification of these scenarios and their exploitation enable to elaborate plate tectonics models. The models are self-constraining (i.e. space and time constraints) and contest or confirm in turn the geodynamic scenarios which were initially proposed. The Altaids can be divided into three domains: (1) the Peri-Siberian, (2) the Kazakhstan, and (3) the Tarim-North China domains. The Peri-Siberian Domain consists of displaced (i.e. Sayan Terrane Tuva-Mongolian, Lake-Khamsara Terrane) and exotic terranes (i.e. Altai-Mongolian and Khangai-Argunsky Terrane) accreted to Siberia from the Vendian through the Ordovician. Fol-lowing the accretion of these terranes, the newly formed Siberia active margin remained active un-til its part collision with the Kazakhstan Superterrane in the Carboniferous. The eastern part of the active margin (i.e. East Mongolia) continued to act until the Permian when the North-China Tarim Superterrane collided with it. The geodynamic evolution of the eastern part of the Peri-Siberian Domain (i.e. Eastern Mongolia and Siberia) is complicated by the opening of the Mongol-Okhotsk Ocean in the Silurian. The Kazakhstan Domain is composed of several continental terranes of East Gondwana origin amalgamated together during the Ordovician-Silurian time. After these different orogenic events, the Kazakhstan Superterrane evolved as a single superterrane until its collision with a Tarim-North China related-terrane (i.e. Tianshan-Hanshan Terrane) and Siberian Continent during the Devonian. This new organisation of the continents imply a continued active margin from Siberia, to North China through the Kazakhstan Superterrane and the closure of the Junggar- Balkash Ocean which implied the oroclinal bending of the Kazakhstan Superterrane during the entire Carboniferous. The formation history of the Tarim-North China Domain is less complex. The Cambrian northern passive margin became active in the Ordovician. In the Silurian, the South Tianshan back-arc Ocean was open and led to the formation of the Tianshan-Hanshan Terrane which collided with the Kazakhstan Superterrane during the Devonian. The collision between Siberia and the eastern part of the Tarim-North China continents (i.e. Inner Mongolia), implied by the closure of the Solonker Ocean, took place in the Permian. Since this time, the major part of the Altaids was formed, the Mongol-Okhotsk Ocean only was still open and closed during the Jurassic. Résumé: La chaîne des Altaïdes est une importante chaîne d'accrétion qui s'étend en Sibérie, Mon-golie, Chine du Nord, Kirghizstan et Kazakhstan. Elle s'est formée durant la période du Vendian au Jurassique par l'accrétion de nombreux terranes déplacés ou exotiques (par exemple arc océa-nique, microcontinent, guyot, plateau basaltique, basin d'arrière-arc...). Le nombre, la nature ou encore l'origine diffèrent selon les modèles paléo-tectoniques proposés par les différents auteurs. Grâce à une étude géodynamique (c'est-à-dire définition des environnements tectoniques et éla-boration de scénarios géodynamiques) et à la modélisation de la tectonique des plaques, ce travail propose un modèle alternatif expliquant l'évolution paléo-tectonique des Altaïdes. Basé sur une large compilation de données géologiques pertinentes en termes de paléo-géographie et de géodynamique (par exemple sédimentologie, stratigraphie, paléo-biogéographie, paléomagnétisme, magmatisme, métamorphisme, tectonique...), une nouvelle classification des terranes et des sutures impliqués dans la formation des Altaïdes est proposée. Dans le but d'élabo¬rer des reconstructions de plaques tectoniques, il est nécessaire de fragmenter l'arrangement actuel des continents en unités tectoniques cohérentes. Afin d'éviter les confusions avec la terminolo¬gie existante (par exemple unité tectonique, unité tectono-stratigraphique, microcontinent, block, terrane...), le nouveau concept d' "Unité Géodynamique (UGD)" a été introduit. Un terrane est formé d'une ou plusieurs UGD et représente un fragment océanique ou continental défini pas sa propre cinétique et évolution géodynamique pour une période donnée. Parallèlement, la durée de vie et le type des océans disparus (c'est-à-dire principal ou secondaire) est déduite grâce à l'étude du matériel contenu dans les zones de sutures. L'interprétation des environnements tectoniques des UGD associés à la restauration des océans mène à l'élaboration de scénarios géodynamiques. Depuis que le Cycle de Wilson a été présenté en 1967, de nombreux travaux ont démontré que la croissance continentale peut résulter de divers scénarios géodynamiques. L'identification et l'ex-ploitation de ces scénarios permet finalement l'élaboration de modèles de tectonique des plaques. Les modèles sont auto-contraignants (c'est-à-dire contraintes spatiales et temporelles) et peuvent soit contester ou confirmer les scénarios géodynamiques initialement proposés. Les Altaïdes peuvent être divisées en trois domaines : (1) le Domaine Péri-Sibérien, (2) le Domaine Kazakh, et (3) le Domaine Tarim-Nord Chinois. Le Domaine Péri-Sibérien est composé de terranes déplacés (c'est-à-dire Terrane du Sayan, Tuva-Mongol et Lake-Khamsara) et exotiques (c'est-à-dire Terrane Altai-Mongol et Khangai-Argunsky) qui ont été accrétés au craton Sibérien durant la période du Vendien à l'Ordovicien. Suite à l'accrétion de ces terranes, la marge sud-est de la Sibérie nouvellement formée reste active jusqu'à sa collision partielle avec le Superterrane Ka-zakh au Carbonifère. La partie est de la marge active (c'est-à-dire Mongolie de l'est) continue son activité jusqu'au Permien lors de sa collision avec le Superterrane Tarim-Nord Chinois. L'évolu¬tion géodynamique de la partie est du Domaine Sibérien est compliquée par l'ouverture Silurienne de l'Océan Mongol-Okhotsk qui disparaîtra seulement au Jurassique. Le Domaine Kazakh est composé de plusieurs terranes d'origine est-Gondwanienne accrétés les uns avec les autres avant ou pendant le Silurien inférieur et leurs evolution successive sous la forme d'un seul superterrane. Le Superterrane Kazakh collisione avec un terrane Tarim-Nord Chinois (c'est-à-dire Terrane du Tianshan-Hanshan) durant le Dévonien et le continent Sibérien au Dévonien supérieur. Ce nouvel agencement des plaques induit une marge active continue le long des continents Sibérien, Kazakh et Nord Chinois et la fermeture de l'Océan Junggar-Balkash qui provoque le plissement oroclinal du Superterrane Kazakh durant le Carbonifère. L'histoire de la formation du Domaine Tarim-Nord Chinois est moins complexe. La marge passive nord Cambrienne devient active à l'Ordovicien et l'ouverture Silurienne du bassin d'arrière-arc du Tianshan sud mène à la formation du terrane du Tianshan-Hanshan. La collision Dévonienne entre ce dernier et le Superterrane Kazakh provoque la fermerture de l'Océan Tianshan sud. Finalement, la collision entre la Sibérie et la partie est du continent Tarim-Nord Chinois (c'est-à-dire Mongolie Intérieure) prend place durant le Permien suite à la fermeture de l'Océan Solonker. La majeure partie des Altaïdes est alors formée, seul l'Océan Mongol-Okhotsk est encore ouvert. Ce dernier se fermera seulement au Jurassique.

Cultura obrera y prensa anarquista: radiografia de Guerra di Classe, plataforma de los anarquistas italianos durante la Guerra Civil en Catalunya, 1936-1938

Giovanni C. Cattini is a young historian who offers an itemized study on Berneri's Guerra di Classe: he refers the first moments and also the definitive crisis of this newspaper after Berneri¿s assassination in May 1937. This is not the first work devoted to this militant platform has been annalysed but Cattini's approach observes not only the ideological and political contest maintained with other sectors of the libertarian movement but the contrived militant tools that have allowed its existance during the Spanish Civil War.

Cultura obrera y prensa anarquista: radiografia de Guerra di Classe, plataforma de los anarquistas italianos durante la Guerra Civil en Catalunya, 1936-1938

Giovanni C. Cattini is a young historian who offers an itemized study on Berneri's Guerra di Classe: he refers the first moments and also the definitive crisis of this newspaper after Berneri¿s assassination in May 1937. This is not the first work devoted to this militant platform has been annalysed but Cattini's approach observes not only the ideological and political contest maintained with other sectors of the libertarian movement but the contrived militant tools that have allowed its existance during the Spanish Civil War.

Being Female: a handicap for researchers in the competion for NCCR.

The Swiss National Science Foundation made a call for National Centers fo Competence in Research (NCCR) for the first time in 1999 and 2004. Together, these announcements concerned all disciplines and led to 126 preproposals, which were put forward by 2134 men and women researchers. It can be assumed that this operation mobilised Swiss researchers who regarded themselves as particularly well qualified to conduct high-level research in their field. The article uses network analysis and regression analysis methods to examine to what extend women had a lower success rate than men in the two selection rounds because of their sex. On the whole, the findings attest the gender neutrality of the National Science Foundation's selection procedures. However, they also confirm the well-known fact that women scientists are less represented in the higher echelons of academia and concentrated in the social sciences and humanities, as well as showing that this concentration reduces women's chances of success in scientific competition. The article shows that unequal gender-specific success rates prior to the NCCR funding contest play a fairly significant role.

Affirmative Action through Extra Prizes

Some affirmative action policies establish that a set of disadvantaged competitors has access to an extra prize. Examples are gender quotas or a prize for national competitors in an international competition. We analyse the effects of creating an extra prize by reducing the prize in the main competition. Contestants differ in ability and agents with relatively low ability belong to a disadvantaged minority. All contestants compete for the main prize, but only disadvantaged agents can win the extra prize. We show that an extra prize is a powerful tool to ensure participation of disadvantaged agents. Moreover, for intermediate levels of the disadvantage of the minority, introducing an extra prize increases total equilibrium effort compared to a standard contest. Thus, even a contest designer not interested in affirmative action might establish an extra prize in order to enhance competition. Keywords: Asymmetric contest, equality of opportunity, affirmative action, discrimination, prize structure, exclusion principle. JEL: C72, D72, I38, J78

Moral Hazard in Repeated Procurement of Services

This paper analyzes repeated procurement of services as a four-stage game divided into two periods. In each period there is (1) a contest stage à la Tullock in which the principal selects an agent and (2) a service stage in which the selected agent provides a service. Since this service effort is non-verifiable, the principal faces a moral hazard problem at the service stages. This work considers how the principal should design the period-two contest to mitigate the moral hazard problem in the period-one service stage and to maximize total service and contest efforts. It is shown that the principal must take account of the agent's past service effort in the period-two contest success function. The results indicate that the optimal way to introduce this `bias' is to choose a certain degree of complementarity between past service and current contest efforts. This result shows that contests with `additive bias' (`multiplicative bias') are optimal in incentive problems when effort cost is low (high). Furthermore, it is shown that the severity of the moral hazard problem increases with the cost of service effort (compared to the cost of contest effort) and the number of agents. Finally, the results are extended to more general contest success functions. JEL classification: C72; D82 Key words: Biased contests; Moral Hazard; Repeated Game; Incentives.

Aggressivity, violence, sociability and conflict resolution: What genes can tell us.

Conflicts are inherent to the human condition, as they are for all living beings. Disputes about resources or access to mating partners are among the most common causes of conflict. Conflict is herein defined as a struggle or contest between individuals or parties, and may involve a variety of aggressive behaviours. In humans, aggressiveness, violence and conflicts, including individual predisposal to conflict resolution, have traditionally been said to have deep cultural roots, but recent research in both neuroscience and genetics has shown the influence of genes on such complex behavioural traits. In this paper, recent data on the genetic aspects of these interrelated behaviours will be put together, including the effects of particular genes, the influence of stress and gender on gene regulation, and gene-environment interactions, all of which may influence biological predisposal to conflict resolution. Other genetically influenced behavioural aspects involved in conflicts and conflict resolution, such as sociability, will also be discussed. The importance of taking into account genetic and biological data to provide strategies for conflict resolution will be highlighted.

Corruption scandals, press reporting, and accountability. Evidence from Spanish mayors.

[spa] En este trabajo se analiza con datos de España los efectos de la corrupción local sobre los resultados electorales. En base a las noticias publicadas entre 1996 y 2009, se construye una nueva base de datos que recoge los casos de corrupción y noticias relativas a cambios en los planes urbanísticos que no han seguido el procedimiento legal. La base de datos muestra que los primeros escándalos de corrupción urbanística surgieron durante el mandato electoral de 1999-2003, pero que éstos alcanzaron sus niveles máximos justo antes de las elecciones de 2007. Se estima una ecuación del porcentaje de voto obtenido por el partido en el poder en estas elecciones locales y se encuentra que la pérdida media de voto después de un caso de corrupción se sitúa alrededor del 4%. Este efecto es más elevado (del 9%) si el caso de corrupción ha recibido una amplia cobertura por los diarios. Los efectos estimados para las elecciones de 2003 son significativamente inferiores. Cuando se consideran los casos en que los políticos han tenido cargas judiciales por corrupción y amplia cobertura por los diarios, la pérdida de voto asciende hasta el 12%. No obstante, la cobertura por los diarios genera un efecto negativo en el voto incluso cuando no hay cargas judiciales.

Corruption scandals, press reporting, and accountability. Evidence from Spanish mayors.

[spa] En este trabajo se analiza con datos de España los efectos de la corrupción local sobre los resultados electorales. En base a las noticias publicadas entre 1996 y 2009, se construye una nueva base de datos que recoge los casos de corrupción y noticias relativas a cambios en los planes urbanísticos que no han seguido el procedimiento legal. La base de datos muestra que los primeros escándalos de corrupción urbanística surgieron durante el mandato electoral de 1999-2003, pero que éstos alcanzaron sus niveles máximos justo antes de las elecciones de 2007. Se estima una ecuación del porcentaje de voto obtenido por el partido en el poder en estas elecciones locales y se encuentra que la pérdida media de voto después de un caso de corrupción se sitúa alrededor del 4%. Este efecto es más elevado (del 9%) si el caso de corrupción ha recibido una amplia cobertura por los diarios. Los efectos estimados para las elecciones de 2003 son significativamente inferiores. Cuando se consideran los casos en que los políticos han tenido cargas judiciales por corrupción y amplia cobertura por los diarios, la pérdida de voto asciende hasta el 12%. No obstante, la cobertura por los diarios genera un efecto negativo en el voto incluso cuando no hay cargas judiciales.

"Hauska kaupunki, joka toimii" : Euroviisujen 2007 isäntäkaupunki suomalaisessa sanomalehdistössä

Hirviömaskeissa esiintynyt heviyhtye Lordi voitti Ateenassa vuonna 2006 järjestetyn Eurovision laulukilpailun. Tästä johtuen Suomi toimi seuraavan vuoden euroviisujen isäntämaana. Kisat järjestettiin Helsingissä Hartwall Areenalla toukokuussa 2007. Helsingin kaupunki päätti panostaa euroviisujen oheistapahtumiin totuttua enemmän. Euroviisujen aikaisilla toimillaan Helsingin kaupunki halusi luoda vision hauskasta kaupungista, joka toimii. Vision avulla Helsinki halusi vahvistaa kulttuuriprofiiliaan ja lisätä siten houkuttelevuuttaan kansainvälisessä kaupunkienvälisessä kilpailussa. Koska kaupunkikuva rakentuu asukkaille ja vierailijoille pitkälti median kautta, tässä työssä tutkitaan, millaista kaupunkikuvaa suomalainen sanomalehdistö loi kirjoituksillaan Helsingistä. Työn tavoitteena on myös selvittää, millaisista teemoista lehdistössä kirjoitettiin ja mihin sävyyn ja vahvistiko median luoma kaupunkikuva sitä imagoa, jota Helsinki elinkeinostrategiassaan tavoitteli. Työssä on käytetty menetelmänä tekstin laadullista analyysiä, teemoittelua ja tyypittelyä. Ensisijaisena tutkimusaineistona on käytetty Helsingin kaupungin tiedotuksen ja viestinnän kokoamaa lehdistöaineistoa keväältä 2007. Toissijaisena aineistona on käytetty Helsingin kaupungin euroviisutyöryhmän lehdistötiedotteita sekä omia kokemuksia oheistapahtumien tuotantotiimin jäsenenä. Media-aineistosta erottuivat seuraavat teemat: matkailu ja turistit, liikennejärjestelyt, turvallisuus, kaupunkikuva ja strategia sekä kaupunkitapahtumat. Lehdistön kirjoittelu oli runsasta ja sävyltään hyväntahtoista. Kirjoituksista välittyi kuva onnistuneista tapahtumajärjestelyistä ja tyytyväisestä kaupunginjohdosta. Sanomalehdistön välittämän kuvan perusteella voidaan todeta, että Helsingin imago suvaitsevana ja kansainvälisenä kaupunkina, jossa on toimiva julkinen liikenne sekä turvallinen ja elävä keskusta, vahvistui. Matkailukohteena Helsingistä muodostui kuva puhtaana ja luonnonläheisenä joskin kalliina ja koleana kohteena. Parasta Helsingissä olivat ihmiset ja rento tunnelma.

"...se kaikki kansat yhdistää"

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