Fuzzy State Real-Time Reservoir Operation Model for Irrigation with Gridded Rainfall Forecasts

A short-term real-time operation model with fuzzy state variables is developed for irrigation of multiple crops based on earlier work on long-term steady-state policy. The features of the model that distinguish it from the earlier work are (1) apart from inclusion of fuzziness in reservoir storage and in soil moisture of crops, spatial variations in rainfall and soil moisture of crops are included in the real-time operation model by considering gridded command area with a grid size of 0.5 degrees latitude by 0.5 degrees longitude; (2) the water allocation model and soil moisture balance equations are integrated with the real-time operation model with consideration of ponding water depth for Paddy crop; the model solution specifies reservoir releases for irrigation in a 10-day time period and allocations among the crops on a daily basis at each grid by maintaining soil moisture balance at the end of the day; and (3) the release policy is developed using forecasted daily rainfall data of each grid and is implemented for the current time period using actual 10-day inflow and actual daily rainfall of each grid. The real-time operation model is applied to Bhadra Reservoir in Karnataka, India. The results obtained using the real-time operation model are compared with those of the standard operating policy model. Inclusion of fuzziness in reservoir storage and soil moisture of crops captures hydrologic uncertainties in real time. Considerations of irrigation decisions on a daily basis and the gridded command area result in variations in allocating water to the crops, variations in actual crop evapotranspiration, and variations in soil moisture of the crops on a daily basis for each grid of the command area. (C) 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.

Fuzzy Approach to Rank Global Climate Models

Eleven coupled model intercomparison project 3 based global climate models are evaluated for the case study of Upper Malaprabha catchment, India for precipitation rate. Correlation coefficient, normalised root mean square deviation, and skill score are considered as performance indicators for evaluation in fuzzy environment and assumed to have equal impact on the global climate models. Fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution is used to rank global climate models. Top three positions are occupied by MIROC3, GFDL2.1 and GISS with relative closeness of 0.7867, 0.7070, and 0.7068. IPSL-CM4, NCAR-PCMI occupied the tenth and eleventh positions with relative closeness of 0.4959 and 0.4562.

On the strategic equivalence of multiple-choice test scoring rules

A disadvantage of multiple-choice tests is that students have incentives to guess. To discourage guessing, it is common to use scoring rules that either penalize wrong answers or reward omissions. These scoring rules are considered equivalent in psychometrics, although experimental evidence has not always been consistent with this claim. We model students' decisions and show, first, that equivalence holds only under risk neutrality and, second, that the two rules can be modified so that they become equivalent even under risk aversion. This paper presents the results of a field experiment in which we analyze the decisions of subjects taking multiple-choice exams. The evidence suggests that differences between scoring rules are due to risk aversion as theory predicts. We also find that the number of omitted items depends on the scoring rule, knowledge, gender and other covariates.

Pipeline Corrosion Analyzed by Fuzzy Reliability Methods

Fuzzy reliability methods are used to study the corrosion of pipelines. Three methods are used. They consist of using fracture failure modes, failure assessment diagram (FAD) and residual strength for establishing fuzzy reliability. Calculations are made by application of JC, improved GA-JC and Mente-carlo methods. Examples for oilfield injecting water pipeline show the residual strength well agree with field data. Mente-carlo methods appear to yield results that have better agreement with field data.

Smooth sets for borel equivalence relations and the covering property for σ-ideals of compact sets

This thesis is divided into three chapters. In the first chapter we study the smooth sets with respect to a Borel equivalence realtion E on a Polish space X. The collection of smooth sets forms σ-ideal. We think of smooth sets as analogs of countable sets and we show that an analog of the perfect set theorem for Σ¹₁ sets holds in the context of smooth sets. We also show that the collection of Σ¹₁ smooth sets is ∏¹₁ on the codes. The analogs of thin sets are called sparse sets. We prove that there is a largest ∏¹₁ sparse set and we give a characterization of it. We show that in L there is a ∏¹₁ sparse set which is not smooth. These results are analogs of the results known for the ideal of countable sets, but it remains open to determine if large cardinal axioms imply that ∏¹₁ sparse sets are smooth. Some more specific results are proved for the case of a countable Borel equivalence relation. We also study I(E), the σ-ideal of closed E-smooth sets. Among other things we prove that E is smooth iff I(E) is Borel.

In chapter 2 we study σ-ideals of compact sets. We are interested in the relationship between some descriptive set theoretic properties like thinness, strong calibration and the covering property. We also study products of σ-ideals from the same point of view. In chapter 3 we show that if a σ-ideal I has the covering property (which is an abstract version of the perfect set theorem for Σ¹₁ sets), then there is a largest ∏¹₁ set in I^int (i.e., every closed subset of it is in I). For σ-ideals on 2^ω we present a characterization of this set in a similar way as for C₁, the largest thin ∏¹₁ set. As a corollary we get that if there are only countable many reals in L, then the covering property holds for Σ¹₂ sets.

Optical intrinsically fuzzy mathematical morphology for gray-scale image processing

Intrinsically fuzzy morphological erosion and dilation are extended to a total of eight operations that have been formulated in terms of a single morphological operation--biased dilation. Based on the spatial coding of a fuzzy variable, a bidirectional projection concept is proposed. Thus, fuzzy logic operations, arithmetic operations, gray-scale dilation, and erosion for the extended intrinsically fuzzy morphological operations can be included in a unified algorithm with only biased dilation and fuzzy logic operations. To execute this image algebra approach we present a cellular two-layer processing architecture that consists of a biased dilation processor and a fuzzy logic processor. (C) 1996 Optical Society of America

Fuzzy reasoning morphological operators and their optical implementation

Fuzzy-reasoning theory is widely used in industrial control. Mathematical morphology is a powerful tool to perform image processing. We apply fuzzy-reasoning theory to morphology and suggest a scheme of fuzzy-reasoning morphology, including fuzzy-reasoning dilation and erosion functions. These functions retain more fine details than the corresponding conventional morphological operators with the same structuring element. An optical implementation has been developed with area-coding and thresholding methods. (C) 1997 Optical Society of America.

FUZZY SOLID SETS FOR MATHEMATICAL MORPHOLOGY AND OPTICAL IMPLEMENTATION

Fuzzy sets in the subject space are transformed to fuzzy solid sets in an increased object space on the basis of the development of the local umbra concept. Further, a counting transform is defined for reconstructing the fuzzy sets from the fuzzy solid sets, and the dilation and erosion operators in mathematical morphology are redefined in the fuzzy solid-set space. The algebraic structures of fuzzy solid sets can lead not only to fuzzy logic but also to arithmetic operations. Thus a fuzzy solid-set image algebra of two image transforms and five set operators is defined that can formulate binary and gray-scale morphological image-processing functions consisting of dilation, erosion, intersection, union, complement, addition, subtraction, and reflection in a unified form. A cellular set-logic array architecture is suggested for executing this image algebra. The optical implementation of the architecture, based on area coding of gray-scale values, is demonstrated. (C) 1995 Optical Society of America

Fuzzy inferring mathematical morphology and optical implementation

Fuzzification is introduced into gray-scale mathematical morphology by using two-input one-output fuzzy rule-based inference systems. The fuzzy inferring dilation or erosion is defined from the approximate reasoning of the two consequences of a dilation or an erosion and an extended rank-order operation. The fuzzy inference systems with numbers of rules and fuzzy membership functions are further reduced to a simple fuzzy system formulated by only an exponential two-input one-output function. Such a one-function fuzzy inference system is able to approach complex fuzzy inference systems by using two specified parameters within it-a proportion to characterize the fuzzy degree and an exponent to depict the nonlinearity in the inferring. The proposed fuzzy inferring morphological operators tend to keep the object details comparable to the structuring element and to smooth the conventional morphological operations. Based on digital area coding of a gray-scale image, incoherently optical correlation for neighboring connection, and optical thresholding for rank-order operations, a fuzzy inference system can be realized optically in parallel. (C) 1996 Society of Photo-Optical Instrumentation Engineers.

IQAFAL - Índice Fuzzy de Qualidade de Água para Ambiente Lótico.

A divulgação de informação sobre qualidade das águas para um público não especialista é fundamental para subsidiar ações políticas e institucionais de gestão dos ambientes aquáticos. Para tanto, índices de qualidade de água têm sido propostos por serem capazes de sintetizar em um único valor ou categoria a informação normalmente descrita a partir de um conjunto extenso de variáveis químicas, físicas e biológicas de qualidade de água. A maioria das metodologias propostas para o desenvolvimento de índices de qualidade de água é baseada no conhecimento de especialistas quanto à escolha das variáveis a serem utilizadas, a ponderação da importância relativa de cada variável e métodos utilizados para agregar os dados das variáveis em um único valor. Este trabalho propõe um novo índice de qualidade de água, baseado em lógica nebulosa e direcionado para o ambiente lótico. Esse índice, o IQAFAL, foi desenvolvido com a colaboração de especialistas com ampla e comprovada experiência na área de qualidade de água. A essência do desenvolvimento de um índice, usando-se lógica nebulosa, está na capacidade dessa metodologia representar, de forma mais eficiente e clara, os limites dos intervalos de variação dos parâmetros de qualidade de água para um conjunto de categorias subjetivas, quando esses limites não são bem definidos ou são imprecisos. O índice proposto neste trabalho foi desenvolvido com base no conhecimento dos especialistas em qualidade de água do Instituto Estadual do Ambiente - INEA e aplicado aos dados de qualidade de água do Rio Paraíba do Sul, obtidos pelo INEA, nos anos de 2002 a 2009. Os resultados do IQAFAL mostraram que esse índice foi capaz de sintetizar a qualidade da água deste trecho do Rio Paraíba do Sul correspondendo satisfatoriamente às avaliações de qualidade de água descritas nos relatórios disponíveis. Verificou-se também que com essa metodologia foi possível evitar que a influência de uma variável em condições críticas fosse atenuada pela influência das outras variáveis em condições favoráveis produzindo um resultado indesejável no índice final.

Reconhecimento de padrão na biodisponibilidade do ferro utilizando o Algoritmo Fuzzy C-Means

Este trabalho apresenta um método para reconhecimento do padrão na biodisponibilidade do ferro, através da interação com substâncias que auxiliam a absorção como vitamina C e vitamina A e nutrientes inibidores como cálcio, fitato, oxalato, tanino e cafeína. Os dados foram obtidos através de inquérito alimentar, almoço e jantar, em crianças de 2 a 5 anos da única Creche Municipal de Paraty-RJ entre 2007 e 2008. A Análise de Componentes Principais (ACP) foi aplicada na seleção dos nutrientes e utilizou-se o Algoritmo Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) para criar os agrupamentos classificados de acordo com a biodisponibilidade do ferro. Uma análise de sensibilidade foi desenvolvida na tentativa de buscar quantidades limítrofes de cálcio a serem consumidas nas refeições. A ACP mostrou que no almoço os nutrientes que explicavam melhor a variabilidade do modelo foram ferro, vitamina C, fitato e oxalato, enquanto no jantar o cálcio se mostrou eficaz na determinação da variabilidade do modelo devido ao elevado consumo de leite e derivados. Para o almoço, a aplicação do FCM na interação dos nutrientes, notou-se que a ingestão de vitamina C foi determinante na classificação dos grupos. No jantar, a classificação de grupos foi determinada pela quantidade de ferro heme na interação com o cálcio. Na análise de sensibilidade realizada no almoço e no jantar, duas iterações do algoritmo determinaram a interferência total do cálcio na biodisponibilidade do ferro.