Toxoplasma-IgM and IgG-avidity in single samples from areas with a high infection rate can determine the risk of mother-to-child transmission

Anti-Toxoplasma IgG-avidity was determined in 168 serum samples from IgG- and IgM-positive pregnant women at various times during pregnancy, in order to evaluate the predictive value for risk of mother-to-child transmission in a single sample, taking the limitations of conventional serology into account. The neonatal IgM was considered the serologic marker of transmission. Fluorometric tests for IgG, IgM (immunocapture) and IgG-avidity were performed. Fifty-one of the 128 pregnant women tested gave birth in the hospital and neonatal IgM was obtained. The results showed 32 (62.75%) pregnant women having high avidity, IgM indexes between 0.6 and 2.4, and no infected newborn. Nineteen (37.25%) had low or inconclusive avidity, IgM indexes between 0.6 and 11.9, and five infected newborns and one stillbirth. In two infected newborns and the stillbirth maternal IgM indexes were low and in one infected newborn the only maternal parameter that suggested fetal risk was IgG-avidity. In the present study, IgG-avidity performed in single samples from positive IgM pregnant women helped to determine the risk of transmission at any time during pregnancy, especially when the indexes of the two tests were analysed with respect to gestational age. This model may be less expensive in developing countries where there is a high prevalence of infection than the follow-up of susceptible mothers until childbirth with monthly serology, and it creates a new perspective for the diagnosis of congenital toxoplasmosis.

HIV-1-mother-to-child transmission and associated characteristics in a public maternity unit in Presidente Prudente, Brazil

In children, vertical transmission is the main form of HIV infection. Our aim was to determine the prevalence of HIV-1 vertical transmission in mother-infant pairs in a public maternity ward in Presidente Prudente, SP. Additionally; we sought to identify characteristics associated with this form of transmission. The files of 86 HIV-1-infected mothers and their newborns referred to a Public Hospital from March 2002 to March 2007 were analyzed. The HIV-1-RNA viral load of the newborns was determined by bDNA. The HIV-1 vertical-transmission rate was 4.6%. Children that were born in the pre-term period and breastfed were at a higher risk of HIV-1 infection (p = 0.005 and p = 0.017 respectively) than children born at term and not breastfed. Prophylactic therapy with zidovudine after birth for newborns was associated with a lower risk of infection (p = 0.003). The number of newborns weighing < 2,500 g was significantly higher for infected children (p = 0.008) than for non-infected newborns. About 22.9% of mothers did not know the HIV-1 status of their newborns eight months after delivery. The study suggests that it is necessary to increase the identification of HIV-1 infection in pregnant women and their newborns as well as to offer and explain the benefits of ARV prophylaxis.

Molecular evidence of mother-to-child transmission of HTLV-IIc in the Kararao Village (Kayapo) in the Amazon Region of Brazil

Blood samples from native Indians in the Kararao village (Kayapo), were analysed using serological and molecular methods to characterize infection and analyse transmission of HTLV-II. Specific reactivity was observed in 3/26 individuals, of which two samples were from a mother and child. RFLP analysis of the pX and env regions confirmed HTLV-II infection. Nucleotide sequence of the 5' LTR segment and phylogenetic analysis showed a high similarity (98%) between the three samples and prototype HTLV-IIa (Mot), and confirmed the occurrence of the HTLV-IIc subtype. There was a high genetic similarity (99.9%) between the mother and child samples and the only difference was a deletion of two nucleotides (TC) in the mother sequence. Previous epidemiological studies among native Indians from Brazil have provided evidence of intrafamilial and vertical transmission of HTLV-IIc. The present study now provides molecular evidence of mother-to-child transmission of HTLV-IIc, a mechanism that is in large part responsible for the endemicity of HTLV in these relatively closed populations. Although the actual route of transmission is unknown, breast feeding would appear to be most likely.

Mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection in Manaus, State of Amazonas, Brazil

INTRODUCTION: Reduction in the vertical transmission of HIV is possible when prophylactic measures are implemented. Our objective was to determine demographic characteristics of HIV-infected pregnant women and the rate of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Manaus, Amazonas, Brazil. METHODS: A descriptive study was conducted using notification, and investigating data from the Notifiable Diseases Data System in the Brazilian State of Amazonas, between 2007 and 2009. RESULTS: During the study period, notification was received of 509 HIV-positive pregnant women. The vertical transmission was 9.9% (95% CI: 7.2-12.6%). The mean age of women was 27 years (SD: 5.7), and the majority (54.8%) had not completed elementary school (eighth grade). Diagnosis of HIV seropositivity was made prior to pregnancy in 115 (22.6%) women, during prenatal care in 302 (59.3%), during delivery in 70 (13.8%), and following delivery in 22 (4.3%). Four hundred four of these women (79.4%) had had prenatal care, with 79.4% of patients receiving antiretroviral during pregnancy and 61.9% of the newborn infants receiving prophylaxis. In the final multivariate logistic regression model, living in urban area [OR = 0.7 (95% CI: 0.35-0.89)] and having had prenatal care [OR = 0.1 (95% CI: 0.04-0.24)] remained as protective factors against vertical HIV transmission in this population. CONCLUSIONS: The relevance of adequate compliance with the measures already established as being effective in guaranteeing a reduction in HIV transmission within the maternal and infant population should be emphasized.

Evaluation of preventive measures for mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Aracaju, State of Sergipe, Brazil

INTRODUCTION: The main route of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in children is from mother to child. The preventive measures established for the Aids Clinical Trial Group protocol 076 (ACTG 076) significantly reduces HIV vertical transmission rates. This study aims to evaluate the implementation of the ACTG 076 protocol in the maternity units of State of Sergipe, Brazilian northeast. METHODS: This is a descriptive, retrospective study with a quantitative approach, with HIV positive women and children exposed, attending a Maternity reference for high-risk pregnancies. Data were obtained from patient records registered in the years 1994 to 2010. RESULTS: Amongst the 110 pregnant women and exposed newborns, the ACTG 076 protocol was fully utilized in only 31.8% of the participants. During the prenatal period, zidovudine (ZDV) was taken by 79.1% of the pregnant women. Only 49.1% of HIV seropositive patients used ZDV during delivery. Two (1.8%) children were considered infected and 50 (45.5%) do not have a conclusive diagnosis to date. CONCLUSIONS: There were significant deficiencies in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV, including lack of compliance with the three phases of the ACTG 076 protocol; inadequacies in prenatal care; inappropriate mode of delivery and lack of adequate follow up of exposed children.

Primary cilia and the regulation of hedgehog signaling: link to cardiac development

RESUMO: As células eucarióticas evoluíram um sistema de sinalização complexo que lhes permite responder aos sinais extracelulares e intracelulares. Desta forma, as vias de sinalização são essenciais para a sobrevivência da célula e do organismo, uma vez que regulam processos fundamentais, tais como o desenvolvimento, o crescimento, a imunidade, e a homeostase dos tecidos. A via de transdução de sinal Hedgehog (Hh) envolve o receptor Patched1 (Ptch1), que tem um efeito inibidor sobre a proteína Smoothened (Smo) na ausência dos seus ligandos, as proteínas Sonic hedgehog (Shh). Estas proteínas são reguladores fundamentais do desenvolvimento embrionário, como ilustrado pelas malformações drásticas observadas em embriões humanos e de murganho com perturbações da transdução de sinal da via Hh e que incluem polidactilia, defeitos craniofaciais e malformações ósseas. Igualmente importantes são as consequências da ativação inapropriada da via de sinalização Hh na formação de tumores. Curiosamente, os componentes desta via localizam-se nos cílios primários. Além disso, demonstrou-se que esta localização é crucial para a sinalização através da via Hh. Na presença dos ligandos, Ptch1 é internalizado e destinado a degradação ou sequestrado num compartimento da célula de onde não pode desempenhar o seu papel inibitório. A proteína Arl13b é uma pequena GTPase pertencente à família Arf/Arl da superfamília Ras de pequenas GTPases e foi implicada no síndrome de Joubert, uma ciliopatia caracterizada por ataxia congénita cerebelar, hipotonia, atrso mental e cardiopatia congénita. Murganhos deficientes para Arl13b, chamado hennin (hnn) morrem morrem prematuramente ao dia 13,5 de gestação (E13,5) e exibem anomalias morfológicas nos cílios que levam à interrupção da sinalização Hh. Além disso, a Arl13b está diretamente envolvida na regulação da via Hh, controlando a localização de vários componentes desta via nos cílios primários. Neste trabalho, mostramos que a Arl13b se localiza em circular dorsal ruffles (CDRs), que são estruturas de actina envolvidas em macropinocitose e internalização de recetores, e que regula a sua formação. Além disso, aprofundámos o conhecimento do processo de ativação da via de sinalização Hh, mostrando que as CDRs sequestram seletivamente e internalizam o recetor Ptch1. As CDRs formam-se minutos após ativação da via por ligandos Shh ou pelo agonista de Smo SAG e continuam a ser formadas a partir daí, sugerindo uma indução contínua da reorganização do citoesqueleto de actina quando a via está ativada. Observámos ainda que a inibição da formação de CDRs através do silenciamento de WAVE1, uma proteína necessária para a formação destas estruturas, resulta na diminuição da ativação da via de sinalização Hh. Além disso, o bloqueio da macropinocitose, que se segue ao fecho das CDRs, através do silenciamento de uma proteína necessária para a cisão de macropinossomas, nomeadamente a proteína BARS, tem um efeito semelhante. Estes resultados sugerem que as CDRs e a macropinocitose são necessárias para a ativação da via de sinalização Hh e indicam que esta via de internalização controla os níveis de sinal Hh. Durante o desenvolvimento, as células proliferativas dependem do cílio primário para a transdução de várias vias de sinalização. A via Hh induz a diferenciação do músculo cardíaco. Por conseguinte, os murganhos deficientes na via de sinalização Hh exibem uma variedade de defeitos de lateralidade, incluindo alteração do looping do coração, como pode ser visto em murganhos deficientes para Arl13b. Por conseguinte, investigámos o papel da Arl13b no desenvolvimento do coração. Mostramos que a Arl13b é altamente expressa no coração de embriões de murganho e de murganhos adultos ao nível do mRNA e da proteína. Além disso, o perfil de distribuição da Arl13b no coração segue o dos cílios primários, que são essenciais para o desenvolvimento cardíaco. Corações de murganhos hnn no estadio E12,5 mostram um canal átrio-ventricular aberto, espessamento da camada compacta ventricular e aumento do índice mitótico no ventrículo esquerdo. Além disso, um atraso de 1 a 2 dias no desenvolvimento é observado em corações de murganhos hnn, quando comparados com controlos selvagens no estadio E13,5. Assim, estes resultados sugerem que a Arl13b é necessária para o desenvolvimento embrionário do coração e que defeitos cardíacos podem contribuir para a letalidade embrionária de murganhos hnn. Em suma, foi estabelecido um novo mecanismo para a regulação dos níveis de superfície do recetor Ptch1, que envolve a remodelação do citoesqueleto de actina e a formação de CDRs após a ativação da via de sinalização Hh. Este mecanismo permite um feedback negativo que evita a repressão excessiva da via através da remoção de Ptch1 da superfície da célula. Além disso, determinou-se que uma mutação de perda de função na Arl13b causa defeitos cardíacos durante o desenvolvimento, possivelmente relacionados com a associação dos defeitos em cílios primários e na sinalização Hh, existentes em murganhos deficientes para Arl13b. A via de sinalização Hh tem tido um papel central entre as vias de sinalização, uma vez que a sua regulação é crucial para o funcionamento apropriada da célula. Assim, a descoberta de um novo mecanismo de tráfego através de macropinocitose e CDRs que controla a ativação e repressão da via de sinalização Hh traz novas perspetivas de como esta via pode ser regulada e pode ainda conduzir à identificação de novos alvos e estratégias terapêuticas. --------------------ABSTRACT: Eukaryotic cells have evolved a complex signaling system that allows them to respond to extracellular and intracellular cues. Signaling pathways are essential for cell and organism survival, since they regulate fundamental processes such as development, growth, immunity, and tissue homeostasis. The Hedgehog (Hh) pathway of signal transduction involves the receptor Patched1 (Ptch1), which has an inhibitory effect on Smoothened (Smo) in the absence of its ligands, the Sonic hedgehog (Shh) proteins. These proteins are fundamental regulators of embryonic development, as illustrated by the dramatic malformations seen in human and mouse embryos with perturbed Hh signal transduction that include polydactyly, craniofacial defects and skeletal malformations. Equally important are the consequences of inappropriate activation of the Hh signaling response in tumor formation. Interestingly, the components of this pathway localize to primary cilia. Moreover, it has been shown that this localization is crucial for Hh signaling. However, in the presence of the ligands, Ptch1 is internalized and destined for degradation or sequestered in a cell compartment where it no longer can play its inhibitory role. ADP-ribosylation factor-like (Arl) 13b, a small GTPase belonging to Arf/Arl family of the Ras superfamily of small GTPases has been implicated in Joubert syndrome, a ciliopathy characterized by congenital cerebellar ataxia, hypotonia, intellectual disability and congenital heart disease. Arl13b-deficient mice, called hennin (hnn) die at embryonic day 13.5 (E13.5) and display morphological abnormalities in primary cilia that lead to the disruption of Hh signaling. Furthermore, Arl13b is directly involved in the regulation of Hh signaling by controlling the localization of several components of this pathway to primary cilia. Here, we show that Arl13b localizes to and regulates the formation of circular dorsal rufles (CDRs), which are actin-basedstructures known to be involved in macropinocytosis and receptor internalization. Additionally, we extended the knowledge of the Hh signaling activation process by showing that CDRs selectively sequester and internalize Ptch1 receptors. CDRs are formed minutes after Hh activation by Shh ligands or the Smo agonist SAG and keep being formed thereafter, suggesting a continuous induction of actin reorganization when the pathway is switched on. Importantly, we observed that disruption of CDRs by silencing WAVE1, a protein required for CDR formation, results in down-regulation of Hh signaling activation. Moreover, the blockade of macropinocytosis, which follows CDR closure, through silencing of a protein necessary for the fission of macropinosomes, namely BARS has a similar effect. These results suggest that CDRs and macropinocytosis are necessary for activation of Hh signaling and indicate that this pathway of internalization controls Hh signal levels. During development, proliferating cells rely on the primary cilium for the transduction of several signaling pathways. Hh induces the differentiation of cardiac muscle. Accordingly, Hh-deficient mice display a variety of laterality defects, including alteration of heart looping, as seen in Arl13b-deficient mice. Therefore, we investigated the role of Arl13b in heart development. We show that Arl13b is highly expressed in the heart of both embryonic and adult mice at mRNA and protein levels. Also, Arl13b localization profile mimics that of primary cilia, which have been shown to be essential to early heart development. E12.5 hnn hearts show an open atrioventricular channel, increased thickening of the ventricular compact layer and increased mitotic index in the left ventricle. Moreover, a delay of 1 to 2 days in development is observed in hnn hearts, when compared to wild-type controls at E13.5. Hence, these results suggest that Arl13b is necessary for embryonic heart development and that cardiac defects might contribute to the embryonic lethality of hnn mice. Altogether, we established a novel mechanism for the regulation of Ptch1 surface levels, involving cytoskeleton remodeling and CDR formation upon Hh signaling activation. This mechanism allows a negative feedback loop that prevents excessive repression of the pathway by removing Ptch1 from the cell surface. Additionally, we determined that the Arl13b loss-offunction mutation causes cardiac defects during development, possibly related to the associated ciliary and Hh signaling defects found in Arl13b-deficient mice. Hh signaling has taken a center stage among the signaling pathways since its regulation is crucial for the appropriate output and function of the cell. Hence, the finding of a novel trafficking mechanism through CDRs and macropinocytosis that controls Hh signaling activation and repression brings new insights to how this pathway can be regulated and can lead to the discovery of novel therapeutic targets and strategies.

Introducing biomimetic approaches to materials development and product design for engineering students

In this paper, we present a new course entitled “Biomimicry: from life to nanotechnological innovations” at the Mines Nancy Engineering School, Nancy, France, and explain how we developed a specific curriculum covering biomimicry. We discuss strategies that can be followed by teachers to explain selected contents in the multi-disciplinary field of biomimicry and/or bioinspiration to undergraduate students and how practical classroom activities can be conducted as individual or team work. We hope that sharing our experience will help teachers and senior researchers disseminate useful concepts and real examples of biomimetic principles and tools for the development of new materials, new/improved design and fabrication strategies, and innovation methodologies.

Programa de capacitación y de ejecución de acciones para favorecer el desarrollo del potencial exportador de las empresas pequeñas y medianas de Río Cuarto y región.Capacitation Programs to Encouraged Development of Rio Cuarto and Region Exports Potential.

Identificación: Programa de capacitación y de ejecución de acciones para favorecer el desarrollo del potencial exportador de las empresas pequeñas y medianas de Río Cuarto y región. Caracterización del problema objeto de estudio: La zona de influencia de la ciudad de Río Cuarto posee, por su ubicación y características naturales, un potencial exportador no explotado, considerando la actual dinámica de los mercados internacionales. La ciudad está en el cruce de rutas nacionales que la conecta a las principales ciudades del MERCOSUR, con salida al Pacífico y al Atlántico y conexión rápida a rutas que van hacia la frontera norte del país. A modo de presentación de situaciones favorables, en el caso de Bolivia es para aprovechar el prestigio de los productos argentinos en ese mercado y las ventajas que las empresas chicas y medianas pueden disponer al no existir barreras idiomáticas, razonables requisitos de calidad y una gran necesidad de productos elaborados que pueden ser ofertados por PYMES regionales.En el caso de Chile importan tres aspectos: primero, la cercanía geográfica a la zona de Río Cuarto, ya que se accede en forma directa por vía terrestre, con una distancia de sólo 900 Km. respecto a la zona metropolitana de ese país; segundo, es el mercado regional con mayores niveles de exigencia para acceder al mismo, constituyendo por lo tanto una buena plataforma de aprendizaje para lograr el acceso luego al mundo desarrollado; tercero, al tener Chile firmado acuerdos de libre comercio con mercados que suman 3500 millones de habitantes, con acceso directo al cinturón del Pacífico, que es la zona más dinámica del comercio mundial actual, ese país necesita complementarse con sus vecinos para poder aprovechar las demandas potenciales de esos mercados.Con el proyecto se pretende contribuir a acentuar la internacionalización económica de la ciudad de Río Cuarto y su región circundante. Hipótesis:Se puede generar un polo exportador pyme a partir de la actividad sistemática de un programa de difusión de conocimientos sobre el comercio exterior, lo que contribuirá a profundizar la sustentabilidad económica de Río Cuarto y su región circundante.Objetivos: -a) Crear, desde el programa, una oferta de capacitación y asesoramiento que satisfaga los interrogantes y necesidades de las empresas pequeñas y medianas que busquen iniciarse en la actividad de exportación. b) Promover la formación de consorcios y formas asociativas, sobre todo de pequeñas y medianas empresas, para expandir el comercio exterior regional. c) Difundir las posibilidades de inserción internacional de las pymes regionales y sus requerimientos en los aspectos productivos y de comercialización. Estos últimos suelen constituir puntos críticos en el desarrollo exportador de las firmas. d) Analizar las posibilidades competitivas en el comercio internacional, en especial en el área del MERCOSUR, de cluster Materiales y Métodos a Utilizar: - Elaboración de un Monitor de Expectativas Empresariales con el objetivo de cuantificar la actual y la potencial Oferta Exportadora Regional. - Desarrollo de Análisis Sectoriales para determinar las posibilidades de incrementar las ventas al exterior de productos regionales. - Creación de Informes Especiales sobre Productos Regionales, los cuales le permitirán a Pequeños y Medianos Productores conocer en detalle, las oportunidades y exigencias para ingresar a los mercados externos, especialmente al área del MERCOSUR. - Organización de Viajes y Rondas de Negocios con el fin de fortalecer los lazos comerciales y culturales del empresariado local y extranjero. Resultados Esperados: - Profundizar conocimientos sobre las posibilidades que poseen los productos regionales de ingresar a los mercados externos. - Lograr una difusión generalizada de conocimientos sobre el Comercio Exterior, brindándole a las Pymes las herramientas básicas y fundamentales para que puedan desarrollar su potencial exportador.

Linking melanism to brain development: expression of a melanism-related gene in barn owl feather follicles covaries with sleep ontogeny.

BACKGROUND: Intra-specific variation in melanocyte pigmentation, common in the animal kingdom, has caught the eye of naturalists and biologists for centuries. In vertebrates, dark, eumelanin pigmentation is often genetically determined and associated with various behavioral and physiological traits, suggesting that the genes involved in melanism have far reaching pleiotropic effects. The mechanisms linking these traits remain poorly understood, and the potential involvement of developmental processes occurring in the brain early in life has not been investigated. We examined the ontogeny of rapid eye movement (REM) sleep, a state involved in brain development, in a wild population of barn owls (Tyto alba) exhibiting inter-individual variation in melanism and covarying traits. In addition to sleep, we measured melanistic feather spots and the expression of a gene in the feather follicles implicated in melanism (PCSK2). RESULTS: As in mammals, REM sleep declined with age across a period of brain development in owlets. In addition, inter-individual variation in REM sleep around this developmental trajectory was predicted by variation in PCSK2 expression in the feather follicles, with individuals expressing higher levels exhibiting a more precocial pattern characterized by less REM sleep. Finally, PCSK2 expression was positively correlated with feather spotting. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that the pace of brain development, as reflected in age-related changes in REM sleep, covaries with the peripheral activation of the melanocortin system. Given its role in brain development, variation in nestling REM sleep may lead to variation in adult brain organization, and thereby contribute to the behavioral and physiological differences observed between adults expressing different degrees of melanism.

Age, smoking and overweight contribute to the development of intestinal metaplasia of the cardia.

AIM: To assess the role of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori), gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), age, smoking and body weight on the development of intestinal metaplasia of the gastric cardia (IMC).¦METHODS: Two hundred and seventeen patients scheduled for esophagogastroduodenoscopy were enrolled in this study. Endoscopic biopsies from the esophagus, gastroesophageal junction and stomach were evaluated for inflammation, the presence of H. pylori and intestinal metaplasia. The correlation of these factors with the presence of IMC was assessed using logistic regression.¦RESULTS: IMC was observed in 42% of the patients. Patient age, smoking habit and body mass index (BMI) were found as potential contributors to IMC. The risk of developing IMC can be predicted in theory by combining these factors according to the following formula: Risk of IMC = a + s - 2B where a = 2,...6 decade of age, s = 0 for non-smokers or ex-smokers, 1 for < 10 cigarettes/d, 2 for > 10 cigarettes/d and B = 0 for BMI < 25 kg/m² (BMI < 27 kg/m² in females), 1 for BMI > 25 kg/m² (BMI > 27 kg/m² in females). Among potential factors associated with IMC, H. pylori had borderline significance (P = 0.07), while GERD showed no significance.¦CONCLUSION: Age, smoking and BMI are potential factors associated with IMC, while H. pylori and GERD show no significant association. IMC can be predicted in theory by logistic regression analysis.

EU cohesion aid to Spain: a data set. Part I: 2000-06 planning period

In this paper we construct a data set on EU cohesion aid to Spain during the planning period 2000-06. The data are disaggregated by region, year and function and attempt to approximate the timing of actual executed expenditure on assisted projects.

Prevalence of acute toxoplasmosis infection among 41,112 pregnant women and the mother-to-child transmission rate in a public hospital in South Brazil

Untreated acute toxoplasmosis among pregnant women can lead to serious sequelae among newborns, including neurological impairment and blindness. In Brazil, the risk of congenital toxoplasmosis (CTox) has not been fully evaluated. Our aim was to evaluate trends in acute toxoplasmosis prevalence from 1998-2005, the incidence of CTox and the rate of mother-to-child transmission (MTCT). A cross-sectional study was undertaken to dentify patients who fit the criteria for acute toxoplasmosis during pregnancy. Exposed newborns were included in a historical cohort, with a median follow-up time of 11 months, to establish definite diagnosis of CTox. Diagnoses for acute infection in pregnancy and CTox were based on European Research Network on Congenital Toxoplasmosis criteria. In 41,112 pregnant women, the prevalence of acute toxoplasmosis was 4.8/1,000 women. The birth prevalence of CTox was 0.6/1,000 newborns [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.4-0.9]. During the follow-up study, 12 additional cases were detected, increasing the CTox rate to 0.9/1,000 newborns (95% CI: 0.6-1.3). Among the 200 newborns exposed to Toxoplasma gondii,there were 37 babies presenting diagnostic criteria of CTox, leading to an MTCT rate of 18.5% (95% CI: 13.4-24.6%). The additional cases identified during follow-up reinforce the need for serological monitoring during the first year of life, even in the absence of evidence of congenital infection at birth.

Predictors of local malaria outbreaks: an approach to the development of an early warning system in Colombia

Risk factor surveillance is a complementary tool of morbidity and mortality surveillance that improves the likelihood that public health interventions are implemented in a timely fashion. The aim of this study was to identify population predictors of malaria outbreaks in endemic municipalities of Colombia with the goal of developing an early warning system for malaria outbreaks. We conducted a multiple-group, exploratory, ecological study at the municipal level. Each of the 290 municipalities with endemic malaria that we studied was classified according to the presence or absence of outbreaks. The measurement of variables was based on historic registries and logistic regression was performed to analyse the data. Altitude above sea level [odds ratio (OR) 3.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34-9.98], variability in rainfall (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.40-2.44) and the proportion of inhabitants over 45 years of age (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.08-0.38) were factors associated with malaria outbreaks in Colombian municipalities. The results suggest that environmental and demographic factors could have a significant ability to predict malaria outbreaks on the municipal level in Colombia. To advance the development of an early warning system, it will be necessary to adjust and standardise the collection of required data and to evaluate the accuracy of the forecast models.