Impact of offshore wind power forecast error in a carbon constraint electricity market

This paper investigates the impacts of offshore wind power forecast error on the operation and management of a pool-based electricity market in 2050. The impact from offshore wind power forecast errors of up to 2000 MW on system generation costs, emission costs, dispatch-down of wind, number of start-ups and system marginal price are analysed. The main findings of this research are an increase in system marginal prices of approximately 1% for every percentage point rise in the offshore wind power forecast error regardless of the average forecast error sign. If offshore wind power generates less than forecasted (−13%) generation costs and system marginal prices increases by 10%. However, if offshore wind power generates more than forecasted (4%) the generation costs decrease yet the system marginal prices increase by 3%. The dispatch down of large quantities of wind power highlights the need for flexible interconnector capacity. From a system operator's perspective it is more beneficial when scheduling wind ahead of the trading period to forecast less wind than will be generated.

Cognitive amplify-and-forward relay networks with beamforming under primary user power constraint over Nakagami-m fading channels

In this paper, we analyze the performance of cognitive amplify-and-forward (AF) relay networks with beamforming under the peak interference power constraint of the primary user (PU). We focus on the scenario that beamforming is applied at the multi-antenna secondary transmitter and receiver. Also, the secondary relay network operates in channel state information-assisted AF mode, and the signals undergo independent Nakagami-m fading. In particular, closed-form expressions for the outage probability and symbol error rate (SER) of the considered network over Nakagami-m fading are presented. More importantly, asymptotic closed-form expressions for the outage probability and SER are derived. These tractable closed-form expressions for the network performance readily enable us to evaluate and examine the impact of network parameters on the system performance. Specifically, the impact of the number of antennas, the fading severity parameters, the channel mean powers, and the peak interference power is addressed. The asymptotic analysis manifests that the peak interference power constraint imposed on the secondary relay network has no effect on the diversity gain. However, the coding gain is affected by the fading parameters of the links from the primary receiver to the secondary relay network

The Impact of Extension and Ecosystem Services on Smallholders’ Credit Constraint.

On formal credit markets, access to formal credit and reasonable credit terms of smallholder farmers
in rural sub-Saharan Africa is limited due to adverse selection. Financial institutions operating in
rural areas often cannot distinguish between borrowers (farmers) that are creditworthy and those that
are not, thus, allocate limited resource to agriculture to reduce credit risk. In the presence of limited business quality signaling by smallholder farmers, financial institutions shall demand for collateral and/or offer unfavorable contract terms. Moreover, agricultural productivity of rural sub-Saharan
Africa, dominated by subsistence or small-scale farmers, is also negatively impacted by the adverse
effect of climate change. A strategy that may make the farming practices of smallholder farmer’s
climate resilient and profitable may also improve smallholder farmer's access to formal credit. This
study investigates to what extent participating in ecosystem and extension services (EES) programs
signals business quality of smallholders, thus granting them credit accessibility. We collected data
on 210 smallholder farmers in 2013, comprising farmers that receive payments for ecosystem
services (PES) and farm management training from the International Small Group Tree Planting
Program (TIST) Kenya to test the aforementioned theory empirically. We use game theory,
particularly a screening and sorting model, to illustrate the prospects for farmers with EES to access
formal credit and to improve their credit terms given that they receive PES and banking services
training. Furthermore, the PES’ long term duration (10 – 30 years) generates stable cash-flow which
may be perceived as collateral substitute. Results suggest that smallholder farmers in the TIST
program were less likely to be credit constraint compared to non-TIST farmers. Distance to market,
education, livestock and farm income are factors that determine access to credit from microfinance
institutions in rural Kenya. Amongst farmers that have obtained loans, those keeping business records
enjoy more favorable formal credit conditions. These farmers were observed to pay ca. 5 percent less
interest rate in microfinance charges. For TIST farmers, this type of farm management practices may
be attributed to the banking services and other training they receive within the program. While the
availability of classical collateral (farmlands) and PES may reduce interest rate, the latter was found
to be statistically insignificant. This research underlines the importance of an effective extension
services in rural areas of developing countries and the need to improve gains from conservation
agriculture and ensuing PES. The benefits associated with EES and PES may encompass agricultural
financing.

Efficacy and Acceptability of Reduced Intensity Constraint-Induced Movement Therapy for Children Aged 9–11 years with Hemiplegic Cerebral Palsy: A Pilot Study

OBJECTIVE: Assess efficacy and acceptability of reduced intensity constraint-induced movement therapy (CIMT) in children with cerebral palsy (CP).

METHODS: Single-subject research design and semi-structured interviews. Children (9-11y) with hemiplegia underwent five baseline assessments followed by two weeks CIMT. Six further assessments were performed during treatment and follow-up phases. The primary outcome was the Melbourne Assessment of Unilateral Upper Limb Function (MUUL). Quantitative data were analysed using standard single-subject methods and qualitative data by thematic analysis.

RESULTS: Four of the seven participants demonstrated statistically significant improvements in MUUL (3-11%, p < .05). Two participants achieved significant improvements in active range of motion but strength and tone remained largely unchanged. Qualitative interviews highlighted limitations of the restraint, importance of family involvement, and coordination of treatment with education.

CONCLUSIONS: Reduced intensity CIMT may be effective for some children in this population; however it is not suitable for all children with hemiplegia.

Políticas, conceções e práticas dominantes do ensino superior em Moçambique

O presente trabalho começa por analisar a evolução dos sistemas ao longo de vários períodos históricos, bem como os conceitos e tipologias que os sustentam, no quadro da problemática e da conceptualização teórica do ensino superior. A origem da universidade na idade média, na Europa e em outras partes do mundo, fundamenta-se, principalmente, na procura do saber e nas condicionantes socioeconómicas da época. A evolução da universidade sustentada pela narrativa da modernidade, resultou em modelos diferenciados de ensino superior, que mantinham, no entanto, a razão e a epistemologia do conhecimento académico, como fatores unificadores. O modelo utilizado para traduzir a referida evolução, é proposto por Scott (1995) e configura a relação que se estabelece entre a universidade e outras formas de ensino superior. Na sequência do desenvolvimento dos sistemas, suscitados pelas relações entre os diversos atores envolvidos no ensino superior, procurou-se evidenciar a relação entre o Estado o mercado e os académicos, bem como outros atores sociopolíticos, institucionais e da sociedade civil. O quadro de análise dos mecanismos de coordenação destas envolventes, baseou-se no “Triângulo de Clark”, complementado com o modelo da “Metáfora da Flutuação”. Desde o início da década de 80 do século XX, que a missão, o modo de organização e o funcionamento das IES têm vindo a ser questionadas, como resultado das mudanças económicas de cariz neoliberal. Este cenário, propiciador de crises e de transformações, não tem impedido, porém, de manter o papel fundamental da universidade como produtora e difusora do conhecimento. No contexto da globalização e da cada vez maior influência do mercado no ensino superior, procura-se impor um modelo hegemonizado de racionalidade económica, competitividade e eficiência - o managerialismo. Não obstante alguns êxitos, esta ideologia não tem sido completamente bem-sucedida. Aliás, à tentativa da globalização de gerar uma ordem uniformista, têm sido contrapostos modelos de recontextualização que procuram refletir as realidades locais. Embora num reduzido número de países, África, registou formas de ensino superior endógenas, no período pré-colonial. Depois do espectro colonial que mantém, ainda hoje, a sua influência, os sistemas debatem-se na atualidade com diferentes dilemas, originados pelas correntes da globalização. Porém, o ensino superior em África assume um papel central no contexto do desenvolvimento dos diferentes países contribuindo, igualmente, para a construção da Nação e da sua identidade. Esta dimensão, não é impeditiva do seu envolvimento, nos desafios da sociedade e da economia do conhecimento, buscando, ao mesmo tempo, modelos e práticas equilibradoras, que proporcionem uma resposta satisfatória às necessidades sociais e económicas, nacionais e regionais. Ao enquadrar o sistema de ensino superior em Moçambique merecem destaque as etapas do processo histórico, nomeadamente o surgimento dos estudos gerais universitários como primeira forma de ensino superior mais tarde transformada em universidade, a mudança de paradigma após a independência nacional, a abertura ao setor privado e, ainda, a expansão do sistema. A discussão sobre políticas e estratégias é sustentada pela análise dos respetivos planos estratégicos bem como, pela compreensão das leis fundamentais e respetivos documentos reguladores. Este conjunto de instrumentos concorre para a reforma do sistema, que se procura implementar em Moçambique. Nesta sequência, é de salientar o debate público realizado em torno das qualificações e graus oficialmente estabelecidos, que parece constituir uma problemática ainda não completamente resolvida. Numa outra parte do trabalho, procede-se à apresentação e análise dos resultados de uma investigação sobre o ensino superior em Moçambique. Seguindo uma metodologia de análise qualitativa, foi possível estruturar a informação obtida, em diferentes dimensões e categorias. A informação foi recolhida e tratada, a partir de entrevistas efetuadas a diferentes grupos de atores, direta ou indiretamente relacionados com o ensino superior em Moçambique. Os resultados da análise conduziram à sistematização de um conjunto de linhas de força e ao traçar de conclusões, contributivas para a melhoria do quadro de referência sobre políticas, conceções e práticas do ensino superior em Moçambique.

Examining Chinese Tourists’ Nature-based Tourism Participantion Behavior: Incorporating Environmental Concern into a Constraint-Negotiation Modela

Finding the balance between economic development and preservation of the natural environment is a challenging yet important task. This is a particularly pressing issue in the case of China, as it is the largest and fastest-growing market for tourism. The purpose of this research is to examine Chinese tourists’ participation in nature-based, tourism activities by incorporating tourists’ environmental concern, measured by a revised New Environmental Paradigm (NEP) scale, into a tourism constraint-negotiation model. The responses of 409 Chinese tourists show environmental concern will positively affect tourists’ motivation, which, in turn, will affect their negotiation strategy and ultimately their participation behavior. The theoretical and managerial implications of this study are discussed in the context of the tourism literature.

Constraint-based modelling of mixed microbial populations: Application to polyhydroxyalkanoates production

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica

Anvers, [Howard] Baker, gagnant du saut [en réalité 8e des qualifications du triple saut des Jeux olympiques, le 19/8/20] : [photographie de presse] / [Agence Rol]

Référence bibliographique : Rol, 60649

Canada/U.S. border crossing: facilitation and constraint

Abstract The aim of this research project is to draw on accounts of experiences ofborder crossing and regulation at the Canada/U.S. border at Niagara in order to illuminate the dynamics of differentiation and inequality at this site. The research is informed by claims that the world is turning into a global village due to transnational flows oftechnology, infonnation, capital and people. Much of the available literature on globalization shows that while the transfer of technology, information, and capital are enhanced, the transnational movement of people is both facilitated and constrained in complex and unequal ways. In this project, the workings of facilitation and constraint were explored through an analysis often interviews with people who had spent a substantial portion oftheir childhood (e.g. 5 years) in a Canadian border community. The interviewees were at the time ofthe research between the ages of 19 and 25. Because most ofthe respondents were 'white' Canadians of working to upper middle class status, my focus was to explore how 'whiteness' as privilege may translate into enhanced movement across borders and how 'white' people may internalize and enjoy this privilege but may often deny its reality. I was also interested in how inequality is perceived, understood, and legitimated by these relatively privileged people. My analysis ofthe ten accounts ofborder crossing and regulation suggests that differentially situated people experience border crossing differently. An important finding is that while relatively privileged border crossers perceived and often problernatized differential treatment based on external factors such as physical appearance, and especially race, most did not challenge such treatment but rather saw it as acceptable. These findings are located within newer literature that addresses the increasing securitization ofborders and migration in western societies.

Region Connection Calculus: Composition Tables and Constraint Satisfaction Problems

Qualitative spatial reasoning (QSR) is an important field of AI that deals with qualitative aspects of spatial entities. Regions and their relationships are described in qualitative terms instead of numerical values. This approach models human based reasoning about such entities closer than other approaches. Any relationships between regions that we encounter in our daily life situations are normally formulated in natural language. For example, one can outline one's room plan to an expert by indicating which rooms should be connected to each other. Mereotopology as an area of QSR combines mereology, topology and algebraic methods. As mereotopology plays an important role in region based theories of space, our focus is on one of the most widely referenced formalisms for QSR, the region connection calculus (RCC). RCC is a first order theory based on a primitive connectedness relation, which is a binary symmetric relation satisfying some additional properties. By using this relation we can define a set of basic binary relations which have the property of being jointly exhaustive and pairwise disjoint (JEPD), which means that between any two spatial entities exactly one of the basic relations hold. Basic reasoning can now be done by using the composition operation on relations whose results are stored in a composition table. Relation algebras (RAs) have become a main entity for spatial reasoning in the area of QSR. These algebras are based on equational reasoning which can be used to derive further relations between regions in a certain situation. Any of those algebras describe the relation between regions up to a certain degree of detail. In this thesis we will use the method of splitting atoms in a RA in order to reproduce known algebras such as RCC15 and RCC25 systematically and to generate new algebras, and hence a more detailed description of regions, beyond RCC25.

Bureaucratic Corruption As a Constraint on Voter Choice

It Has Often Been Assumed That a Country's Tax Level, Tax Structure Progressivity and After-Tax Income Distribution Are Chosen by Voters Subject Only to Their Budget Constraints. This Paper Argues That At Certain Income Levels Voters' Decisions May Be Constrained by Bureaucratic Corruption. the Theoretical Arguments Are Developed in Asymmetry Limits the Capacity of the Fiscal System to Generate Revenues by Means of Direct Taxes. This Hypothesis Is Tested Witha Sample of International Data by Means of a Simultaneous Equation Model. the Distortions Resulting From Corruption Ar Captured Through Their Effects on a Latent Variable Defined As the Overall Fiscal Structure. Evidence Is Found of Causality Running From This Latent Variable to the Level of Taxes and the Degree of After Tax Inequality.