Os desafios do designer contemporâneo

Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Design de Comunicação, apresentada na Universidade de Lisboa - Faculdade de Arquitectura.

Governed by the cycle : direct and inverted interest-rate sensitivity of emerging market corporate debt

An innovative approach to quantify interest rate sensitivities of emerging market corporates is proposed. Our focus is centered at price sensitivity of modeled investment grade and high yield portfolios to changes in the present value of modeled portfolios composed of safe-haven assets, which define risk-free interest rates. Our methodology is based on blended yield indexes. Modeled investment horizons are always kept above one year thus allowing to derive empirical implications for practical strategies of interest rate risk management in the banking book. As our study spans over the period 2002 – 2015, it covers interest rate sensitivity of assets under the pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis phases of the economic cycles. We demonstrate that the emerging market corporate bonds both, investment grade and high yield types, depending on the phase of a business cycle exhibit diverse regimes of sensitivity to interest rate changes. We observe switching from a direct positive sensitivity under the normal pre-crisis market conditions to an inverted negative sensitivity during distressed turmoil of the recent financial crisis, and than back to direct positive but weaker sensitivity under new normal post-crisis conjuncture. Our unusual blended yield-based approach allows us to present theoretical explanations of such phenomena from economics point of view and helps us to solve an old controversy regarding positive or negative responses of credit spreads to interest rates. We present numerical quantification of sensitivities, which corroborate with our conclusion that hedging of interest rate risk ought to be a dynamic process linked to the phases of business cycles as we evidence a binary-like behavior of interest rate sensitivities along the economic time. Our findings allow banks and financial institutions for approaching downside risk management and optimizing economic capital under Basel III regulatory capital rules.

El papel del tráfico ilícito de armas pequeñas y ligeras como amenaza a la seguridad en Guatemala entre 2000 y 2005

El propósito del trabajo es exponer de qué manera el tráfico ilícito de armas pequeñas y ligeras constituye una amenaza a la seguridad en Guatemala durante el 2000 y 2005. La aproximación conceptual se centrará en las ideas de la Seguridad de Charles-Philippe David, puesto que servirá como herramienta para el análisis de la coyuntura guatemalteca. Así, se pretende dar cuenta del fortalecimiento de actores ilegales de crimen internacional organizado, narcotráfico, maras y pandillas, lo que da lugar al incremento de la violencia armada afectando diferentes esferas como la política, societal y económica.

Trans-national cooperation: an asset in the Portuguese overseas trade. Foreigners operating in the Portuguese overseas trade, 1580-1590

This paper aims to discuss the role of foreign merchants, operating from Portugal, in the Portuguese overseas trade, during the first ten years of Iberian Union. The focus is not in products or routes, but in the mechanisms of association of such merchants. Iberian Union created a legal framework which prohibited the interference and trade of Portuguese agents in the Spanish Empire and vice-versa. Due to the imperialist wars of the Habsburgs, the Portuguese Empire also suffered from Dutch and English rivalry both in the Indic and in the Atlantic and also from the embargos of Dutch and English products and ships in Iberian ports. In such conjuncture, how did merchants related with each other? What was the impact of the political union of the Portuguese and Spanish crowns in trading associations? The used data sources are the notarial contracts of Lisbon for the same period. The paper highlights the role of Castilian merchants in the Portuguese trade, but it also stresses that Iberian partnerships have prevailed before 1580. The role of other merchants, such as Flemish/Dutch, Germans, Italians and French, is also considered. The paper discusses how and why did these merchants join in trans-national partnerships and what was their role in the Portuguese trade network at the time.

. La coyuntura bananera los productos complementarios y la dinámica productiva empresarial para la exportación de la UFCO en el Caribe costarricense. 1883-1934

Resumen: Analiza la coyuntura de la producción y exportación bananera en el Caribe costarricense, en el periodo 1883-1934, con el fin de aportar evidencias regionales del funcionamiento del desarrollo agroexportador y revistar el concepto de enclave. Estudia la coyintura bananera, los precios nominales y reales del banano exportado y la estrategia empresarial de cultivos alternativos desarrollada por la UFCo. Durante ese periodo. Abstract The author analyzes the conjuncture of banana production and exports in Caribbean Costa Rica in the period 1883-1934, in order to offer regional data on the functioning of agro- export development and reconsider the concept of the enclave. He studies the circumstances of the banana industry, nominal and real prices of export bananas, and the United Fruit Company’s strategies surrounding alternative export crops in this period.