Determinants of hepato- and spleno-megaly in Hunan, China: cross-sectional survey data from areas endemic for schistosomiasis

In order to understand the determinants of schistosome-related hepato- and spleno-megaly better, 14 002 subjects aged 3-60 years (59% male; mean age =32 years) were randomly selected from 43 villages, all in Hunan province, China, where schistosomiasis caused by Schistosoma japonicum is endemic. The abdomen of each subject was examined along the mid-sternal (MSL) and mid-clavicular lines, for evidence of current hepato- and/or spleno-megaly, and a questionnaire was used to collect information on the medical history of each individual. Current infections with S. japonicum were detected by stool examination. Almost all (99.8%) of the subjects were ethnically Han by descent and most (77%) were engaged in farming. Although schistosomiasis appeared common (42% of the subjects claiming to have had the disease), only 45% of the subjects said they had received anti-schistosomiasis drugs. Overall, 1982 (14%) of the subjects had S. japonicum infections (as revealed by miracidium-hatching tests and/or Katon Katz smears) when examined and 22% had palpable hepatomegaly (i.e. enlargement of at least 3 cm along the MSL), although only 2.5% had any form of detectable splenomegaly (i.e. a Hackett's grade of at least 1). Multiple logistic regression revealed that male subjects, fishermen, farmers, subjects aged greater than or equal to 25 years, subjects with a history of schistosomiasis, and subjects who had had bloody stools in the previous 2 weeks were all at relatively high risk of hepato- and/or spleno-megaly. In areas moderately endemic for Schistosoma japonicum, occupational exposure and disease history appear to be good predictors of current disease status among older residents. These results reconfirm those reported earlier in the same region.

Perceived stress as a predictor of the self-reported new diagnosis of symptomatic CHD in older women

This article describes one aspect of a prospective cohort study of 10,432 women aged between 70 and 75 years. After a 3-year period, 503 women self-reported a new diagnosis by a doctor of angina or myocardial infarction (symptomatic coronary heart disease [CHD]). Time one psychosocial variables (Duke Social Support Index, time pressure, Perceived Stress Scale, Mental Health Index, having a partner, educational attainment, and location of residence) were analyzed using univariate binary logistic regression for their ability to predict subsequent symptomatic CHD. Of these variables, the Duke Social Support Index, Perceived Stress Scale and the Mental Health Index were found to be significant predictors of symptomatic CHID diagnosis. Only the Perceived Stress Scale, however, proved to be a significant independent predictor. After controlling for time one nonpsychosocial variables, as well as the frequency of family doctor visits, perceived stress remained a significant predictor of the new diagnosis of symptomatic CHD in this cohort of older women over a 3-year period.

Effect of functional gain on satisfaction with medical rehabilitation after stroke

Objective: To examine the association between gain in motor and cognitive functional status with patient satisfaction 3-6 mo after rehabilitation discharge. Design: Patient satisfaction and changes in functional status were examined in 18,375 patients with stroke who received inpatient medical rehabilitation. Information was obtained from 144 hospitals and rehabilitation facilities contributing records to the Uniform Data System for Medical Rehabilitation and the National Follow-up Services. Results: Data analysis revealed significant (P < 0.05) differences in satisfaction responses based on whether information was collected from patient self-report or from a family member proxy, and the two subsets were analyzed separately. Logistic regression revealed the following significant predictors of satisfaction for data collected from stroke patients: cognitive and motor gain, rehospitalization, who the patient was living with at follow-up, age, and follow-up therapy. In the patient-reported data subset, compared with patients who showed improved cognitive or motor functional status, those with no change, respectively, had a 31% and 33% reduced risk of dissatisfaction. In addition, rehospitalized patients had a higher risk of dissatisfaction. For the proxy reported data subset, significant influences on satisfaction were health maintenance, rehospitalization, stroke type, ethnicity, cognitive FIM(TM) gain, length of stay, and follow-up therapy. Conclusions: Ratings of satisfaction with rehabilitation services were affected by change in functional status and whether the information was collected from patient rating or proxy response.

Assessment and prediction of asthma and its severity in the pediatric community

Seventy four asthmatic children aged 7 to 11 years were examined along with controls matched by age and sex. Clinical and laboratory investigations preceded a 28-day follow-up where data about morning and evening peak expiratory flow rate (PEF), symptoms and treatment were recorded. The coefficient of variation of PEF was found to be an objective measurement of asthma severity that has statistically significant correlation with both symptoms (r s= .36) and treatment (r s= .60). Moreover, it separates mild and severe asthmatics, as confirmed by statistically significant differences (p= .008 or less) in symptoms, treatment, skin allergy and airways response to exercise. Skin allergy and airways responsiveness to exercise were found to be predictors of both disease and severity. By means of logistic regression analysis it was possible to establish the probabilities for both asthma and severe asthma when children presenting and not presenting these characteristics are compared. One single positive skin test represent a probability of 88% for the development of asthma and a probability of 70% for severe disease. A PEF reduction of 10% after an exercise test implies a probability of 73% for disease and a probability of 64% for severe disease. Increases in these variables imply geometrically increased risks and their presence together have a multiplicative effect in the final risk.

Indicadores prognósticos na hipertensão pulmonar

Mestrado em Tecnologia de Diagnóstico e Intervenção Cardiovascular - Ramo de especialização: Intervenção Cardiovascular

Variáveis Ecocardiográficas Predizentes de Terapêuticas Apropriadas de Taquidisritmias Ventriculares em Doentes Submetidos a Terapêutica de Ressincronização Cardíaca Combinada

INTRODUCTION: The significant risk of sudden arrhythmic death in patients with congestive heart failure and electromechanical ventricular dyssynchrony has led to increased use of combined cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D) devices. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the echocardiographic variables in patients undergoing CRT-D that predict the occurrence of appropriate therapies (AT) for ventricular tachyarrhythmia. METHODS: We analyzed 38 consecutive patients (mean age 60 +/- 12 years, 63% male) with echocardiographic evaluation before and 6 months after CRT-D implantation. Patients with AT were identified in a mean follow-up of 471 +/- 323 days. A standard echocardiographic study was performed including tissue Doppler imaging (TDI). Responders were defined as patients with improvement in NYHA class of < or = 1 in the first six months, and reverse remodeling as a decrease in left ventricular end-systolic volume of < or = 15% and/or an increase in left ventricular ejection fraction of > 25%. RESULTS: The responder rate was 74%, and the reverse remodeling rate was 55%. AT occurred in 21% of patients, who presented with greater left ventricular end-diastolic internal diameter (LVEDD) before implantation (86 +/- 8 vs. 76 +/- 11 mm, p = 0.03) and at 6 months (81 +/- 8 vs. 72 +/- 14 mm, p = 0.08), and increased left ventricular end-systolic internal diameter (66 +/- 14 vs. 56 +/- 14 mm, p = 0.03) and lower ejection fraction (24 +/- 6 vs. 34 +/- 14%, p = 0.08) at 6 months. In the group with AT, the responder rate was lower (38 vs. 83%, p = 0.03), without significant differences in reverse remodeling (38% for the AT group vs. 60%, p = 0.426) or in the other variables. By univariate analysis, predictors of AT were LVEDD before implantation and E' after implantation. Age, gender, ischemic etiology, use of antiarrhythmic drugs, reverse remodeling and the other echocardiographic parameters did not predict AT. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, both LVEDD before implantation (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.48, p = 0.019) and postimplantation E' (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.09-0.76, p = 0.014) remained as independent predictors of AT. CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing CRT-D, episodes of ventricular tachyarrhythmia occur with high incidence, independently of echocardiographic response, with LVEDD before implantation and E' after implantation as the only independent predictors of AT in the medium-term. These results highlight the importance of combined devices with defibrillation capability.

Resultados da Angioplastia Primária num Centro de Referência. Evolução Intra-Hospitalar

INTRODUCTION: Primary angioplasty is accepted as the preferred treatment for acute myocardial infarction in the first 12 hours. However, outcomes depend to a large extent on the volume of activity and experience of the center. Continuous monitoring of methods and results obtained is therefore crucial to quality control. OBJECTIVE: To describe the demographic, clinical and angiographic characteristics as well as in-hospital outcomes of patients undergoing primary PCI in a high-volume Portuguese center. We also aimed to identify variables associated with in-hospital mortality in this population. METHODS: This was a retrospective registry of consecutive primary PCIs performed at Santa Marta Hospital between January 2001 and August 2007. Demographic, clinical, and angiographic characteristics and in-hospital outcomes were analyzed. Independent predictors of in-hospital mortality were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1157 patients were identified, mean age 61+/-12 years, 76% male. Mean pain-to-balloon time was 7.6 hours and primary angiographic success was 88%. Overall in-hospital mortality was 6.9%, or 5.5% if patients presenting in cardiogenic shock were excluded from the analysis. Previous history of heart failure, cardiogenic shock on admission, invasive ventilatory support, major hemorrhage, and age over 75 years were found to be associated with increased risk of in-hospital death. Conclusions: In this center primary PCI is effective and safe. Angiographic success rates and in-hospital mortality and morbidity are similar to other international registries. Patients at increased risk for adverse outcome can be identified by simple clinical characteristics such as advanced age, cardiogenic shock on admission, mechanical ventilation and major hemorrhage during hospitalization.

Prognostic Value of a New Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing Parameter in Chronic Heart Failure: Oxygen Uptake Efficiency at Peak Exercise - Comparison with Oxygen Uptake Efficiency Slope

INTRODUCTION: A growing body of evidence shows the prognostic value of oxygen uptake efficiency slope (OUES), a cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) parameter derived from the logarithmic relationship between O(2) consumption (VO(2)) and minute ventilation (VE) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic value of a new CPET parameter - peak oxygen uptake efficiency (POUE) - and to compare it with OUES in patients with CHF. METHODS: We prospectively studied 206 consecutive patients with stable CHF due to dilated cardiomyopathy - 153 male, aged 53.3±13.0 years, 35.4% of ischemic etiology, left ventricular ejection fraction 27.7±8.0%, 81.1% in sinus rhythm, 97.1% receiving ACE-Is or ARBs, 78.2% beta-blockers and 60.2% spironolactone - who performed a first maximal symptom-limited treadmill CPET, using the modified Bruce protocol. In 33% of patients an cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) or cardiac resynchronization therapy device (CRT-D) was implanted during follow-up. Peak VO(2), percentage of predicted peak VO(2), VE/VCO(2) slope, OUES and POUE were analyzed. OUES was calculated using the formula VO(2) (l/min) = OUES (log(10)VE) + b. POUE was calculated as pVO(2) (l/min) / log(10)peakVE (l/min). Correlation coefficients between the studied parameters were obtained. The prognosis of each variable adjusted for age was evaluated through Cox proportional hazard models and R2 percent (R2%) and V index (V6) were used as measures of the predictive accuracy of events of each of these variables. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves from logistic regression models were used to determine the cut-offs for OUES and POUE. RESULTS: pVO(2): 20.5±5.9; percentage of predicted peak VO(2): 68.6±18.2; VE/VCO(2) slope: 30.6±8.3; OUES: 1.85±0.61; POUE: 0.88±0.27. During a mean follow-up of 33.1±14.8 months, 45 (21.8%) patients died, 10 (4.9%) underwent urgent heart transplantation and in three patients (1.5%) a left ventricular assist device was implanted. All variables proved to be independent predictors of this combined event; however, VE/VCO2 slope was most strongly associated with events (HR 11.14). In this population, POUE was associated with a higher risk of events than OUES (HR 9.61 vs. 7.01), and was also a better predictor of events (R2: 28.91 vs. 22.37). CONCLUSION: POUE was more strongly associated with death, urgent heart transplantation and implantation of a left ventricular assist device and proved to be a better predictor of events than OUES. These results suggest that this new parameter can increase the prognostic value of CPET in patients with CHF.

Predictive factors of mortality in burn patients

Burn mortality statistics may be misleading unless they account properly for the many factors that can influence outcome. Such estimates are useful for patients and others making medical and financial decisions concerning their care. This study aimed to define the clinical, microbiological and laboratorial predictors of mortality with a view to focus on better burn care. Data were collected using independent variables, which were analyzed sequentially and cumulatively, employing univariate statistics and a pooled, cross-sectional, multivariate logistic regression to establish which variables better predict the probability of mortality. Survivors and non-survivors among burn patients were compared to define the predictive factors of mortality. Mortality rate was 5.0%. Higher age, larger burn area, presence of fungi in the wound, shorter length of stay and the presence of multi-resistant bacteria in the wound significantly predicted increased mortality. The authors conclude that those patients who are most apt to die are those with age > 50 years, with limited skin donor sites and those with multi-resistant bacteria and fungi in the wound.

Does Metabolic Syndrome Predict Significant Angiographic Coronary Artery Disease?

INTRODUCTION: Metabolic syndrome (MS) is an independent predictor of acute cardiovascular events. However, few studies have addressed the relationship between MS and stable angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD), which has a different pathophysiological mechanism. We aimed to study the independent predictors for significant CAD, and to analyze the impact of MS (by the AHA/NHLBI definition) on CAD. METHODS: We prospectively included 300 patients, mean age 64±9 years, 59% male, admitted for elective coronary angiography (suspected ischemic heart disease), excluding patients with known cardiac disease. All patients underwent assessment of demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory data and risk factors, and subsequently underwent coronary angiography. RESULTS: In the study population, 23.0% were diabetic, 40.5% had MS (and no diabetes) and 36.7% had neither diagnosis. Significant CAD was present in 51.3% of patients. CAD patients were older and more frequently male and diabetic, with increased triglycerides and glucose and lower HDL cholesterol. Abdominal obesity was also less prevalent. MS was not associated with the presence of CAD (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.59-1.48, p=0.778). Of the MS components, the most important predictors of CAD were increased glucose and triglycerides. Abdominal obesity was associated with a lower risk of CAD. In a multivariate logistic regression model for CAD, independent predictors of CAD were age, male gender, glucose and triglycerides. Body mass index had a protective effect. CONCLUSIONS: Although MS is associated with cardiovascular events, the same was not found for stable angiographically proven CAD. Age, gender, diabetes and triglycerides are the most influential factors for CAD, with abdominal obesity as a protective factor.

Acute Kidney Injury after Pediatric Cardiac Surgery: Risk Factors and Outcomes. Proposal for a Predictive Model

Objectives: To characterize the epidemiology and risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI) after pediatric cardiac surgery in our center, to determine its association with poor short-term outcomes, and to develop a logistic regression model that will predict the risk of AKI for the study population. Methods: This single-center, retrospective study included consecutive pediatric patients with congenital heart disease who underwent cardiac surgery between January 2010 and December 2012. Exclusion criteria were a history of renal disease, dialysis or renal transplantation. Results: Of the 325 patients included, median age three years (1 day---18 years), AKI occurred in 40 (12.3%) on the first postoperative day. Overall mortality was 13 (4%), nine of whom were in the AKI group. AKI was significantly associated with length of intensive care unit stay, length of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital death (p<0.01). Patients’ age and postoperative serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen and lactate levels were included in the logistic regression model as predictor variables. The model accurately predicted AKI in this population, with a maximum combined sensitivity of 82.1% and specificity of 75.4%. Conclusions: AKI is common and is associated with poor short-term outcomes in this setting. Younger age and higher postoperative serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen and lactate levels were powerful predictors of renal injury in this population. The proposed model could be a useful tool for risk stratification of these patients.

Fatores de prognóstico para os resultados de sucesso da fisioterapia multimodal em utentes com dor cervical crónica

RESUMO: Introdução: O conhecimento acerca da influência das características dos indivíduos com dor cervical crónica (DCC) no prognóstico dos resultados alcançados com a Fisioterapia é ainda inconsistente, sendo escassos os estudos desenvolvidos neste âmbito. Objetivo: Este relatório pretende determinar se um modelo baseado em fatores de prognóstico é capaz de prever os resultados de sucesso da Fisioterapia, a curto prazo, em utentes com DCC, ao nível da incapacidade funcional, intensidade da dor e perceção global de melhoria. Metodologia: Trata-se de estudo de coorte prospetivo com 112 participantes. Os utentes foram avaliados na primeira semana de tratamento e sete semanas após o início da intervenção. Os instrumentos utilizados foram o Neck Disability Index–Versão Portuguesa (NDI-PT) e a Escala Numérica da Dor (END) nos dois momentos de avaliação, um Questionário de Caracterização Sociodemográfica e Clínica da Amostra na baseline e a Patient Global Impression Change Scale–Versão Portuguesa (PGIC-PT) no follow-up. As características sociodemográficas e clínicas foram incluídas como potenciais fatores de prognóstico e estes foram definidos com base nas diferenças mínimas clinicamente importantes (DMCI) dos instrumentos NDIPT (DMCI≥6) e END (DMCI≥2) e no critério de pontuação ≥5 na PGIC-PT. A análise dos dados foi realizada através do método de regressão logística (backward conditional procedure) para identificar as associações entre os indicadores e as variáveis de resultado (p<0.05). Resultados: Dos 112 participantes incluídos no estudo, 108 completaram o follow-up (média de idade: 51.76±10.19). No modelo multivariado relativo à incapacidade funcional, os resultados de sucesso encontram-se associados a elevados níveis de incapacidade na baseline (OR=1.123; 95% IC 1.056–1.194) e a duração da dor inferior a 12 meses (OR=2.704; 95% IC 1.138–6.424). Este modelo explica 30.0% da variância da melhoria da funcionalidade e classifica corretamente 74.1% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 75.9%; especificidade: 72.0%). O modelo relativo à intensidade da dor identificou apenas a associação do outcome com níveis elevados de intensidade da dor na baseline (OR=1.321; 95% IC 1.047–1.668), explicando 7.5% da variância da redução da mesma e classificando corretamente 68.2% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 94.4%; especificidade: 16.7%). O modelo final referente à perceção global de melhoria apresentou uma associação com a intensidade da dor na baseline (OR=0.621; 95% IC 0.465–0.829), com a presença de cefaleias e/ou tonturas (OR=2.538; 95% IC 0.987–6.526) e com a duração da dor superior a 12 meses (OR=0.279; 95% IC 0.109–0.719). Este modelo explica 27.5% da variância dos resultados de sucesso para este outcome e classifica corretamente 73.1% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 81.8%; especificidade: 59.5%). Conclusões: Utentes com DCC com elevada incapacidade na baseline e queixas de dor há menos de 12 meses apresentam maior probabilidade de obter melhorias ao nível da incapacidade funcional. Elevados níveis de intensidade da dor na baseline predizem resultados de sucesso na redução da dor após sete semanas de tratamento. Utentes com DCC com baixos níveis de dor na baseline, com cefaleias e/ou tonturas e com queixas de dor há mais de 12 meses apresentam maior probabilidade de obter uma melhor perceção de melhoria.--------------- ABSTRACT:Introduction: The influence of the characteristics of individuals with chronic neck pain (CNP) on the prognosis of physiotherapy outcomes is still inconsistent, there being few studies developed in this context. Aim: This study seeks to determine whether a model based on prognostic factors can predict the short-term physiotherapy successful outcomes in CNP patients, regarding functional disability, pain intensity and perceived recovery. Methodology: This is a prospective cohort study with 112 participants. Patients were assessed during the first week of treatment and seven weeks after the start of the intervention. The instruments used were the Neck Disability Index–Portuguese Version (NDI-PT) and the Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) at both moments of assessment, a Sample Sociodemographic and Clinical Characterization Questionnaire at baseline and Patient Global Impression Change Scale–Portuguese Version (PGIC-PT) at the follow-up. The sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were included as potential predictors of successful outcomes, and these were defined on the basis of minimal clinically important differences (MCID) of NDI-PT (MCID≥6) and END (MCID≥2) and the criteria score ≥5 on the PGIC-PT. Data analysis was performed using logistic regression (backward conditional procedure) to identify associations between predictors and outcomes (p<0.05). Results: Of the 112 participants included in the study, 108 completed the follow-up (mean age: 51.76±10.19). In the multivariate model of functional disability, the successful outcomes are associated with high levels of disability at baseline (OR = 1.123; 95% CI 1.056-1.194), and pain duration shorter than 12 months (OR=2.704; 95% CI 1.138–6.424). This model explains 30.0% of the variance of improved functional capacity and correctly classifies 74.1% of the patients (sensitivity: 75.9%, specificity: 72.0%). The model for pain intensity solely identified an outcome association with high pain intensity at baseline (OR=1.321; 95% CI 1.047-1.668), explaining 7.5% of the variance of pain reduction and correctly classifying 68.2% of the patients (sensitivity: 94.4%, specificity: 16.7%). The final model of perceived recovery showed an association with pain intensity at baseline (OR=0.621; 95% CI 0465-0829), with the presence of headache and/or dizziness (OR=2.538; 95% CI 0.987-6.526) and the duration of pain over 12 months (OR=0.279; 95% CI 0.109-0.719). This model explains 27.5% of the variance of successful outcomes and correctly classifies 73.1% of the patients (sensitivity: 81.8%, specificity: 59.5%). Conclusions: Patients with CNP with high disability at baseline and complaints of pain for less than 12 months are more likely to obtain improvements in functional disability. High levels of pain intensity at baseline predict successful outcomes in pain reduction after seven weeks of treatment. Patients with CNP with low levels of pain at baseline, with headache and/or dizziness and with pain complaints for more than 12 months are more likely to get a better perceived recovery.

Curso clínico da dor lombar crónica após alta da fisioterapia : trajetórias de dor no follow-up aos quatro e seis meses

RESUMO:Introdução: O conhecimento acerca da influência das características dos indivíduos com dor cervical crónica (DCC) no prognóstico dos resultados alcançados com a Fisioterapia é ainda inconsistente, sendo escassos os estudos desenvolvidos neste âmbito. Objetivo: Este relatório pretende determinar se um modelo baseado em fatores de prognóstico é capaz de prever os resultados de sucesso da Fisioterapia, a curto prazo, em utentes com DCC, ao nível da incapacidade funcional, intensidade da dor e perceção global de melhoria. Metodologia: Trata-se de estudo de coorte prospetivo com 112 participantes. Os utentes foram avaliados na primeira semana de tratamento e sete semanas após o início da intervenção. Os instrumentos utilizados foram o Neck Disability Index–Versão Portuguesa (NDI-PT) e a Escala Numérica da Dor (END) nos dois momentos de avaliação, um Questionário de Caracterização Sociodemográfica e Clínica da Amostra na baseline e a Patient Global Impression Change Scale–Versão Portuguesa (PGIC-PT) no follow-up. As características sociodemográficas e clínicas foram incluídas como potenciais fatores de prognóstico e estes foram definidos com base nas diferenças mínimas clinicamente importantes (DMCI) dos instrumentos NDIPT (DMCI≥6) e END (DMCI≥2) e no critério de pontuação ≥5 na PGIC-PT. A análise dos dados foi realizada através do método de regressão logística (backward conditional procedure) para identificar as associações entre os indicadores e as variáveis de resultado (p<0.05). Resultados: Dos 112 participantes incluídos no estudo, 108 completaram o follow-up (média de idade: 51.76±10.19). No modelo multivariado relativo à incapacidade funcional, os resultados de sucesso encontram-se associados a elevados níveis de incapacidade na baseline (OR=1.123; 95% IC 1.056–1.194) e a duração da dor inferior a 12 meses (OR=2.704; 95% IC 1.138–6.424). Este modelo explica 30.0% da variância da melhoria da funcionalidade e classifica corretamente 74.1% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 75.9%; especificidade: 72.0%). O modelo relativo à intensidade da dor identificou apenas a associação do outcome com níveis elevados de intensidade da dor na baseline (OR=1.321; 95% IC 1.047–1.668), explicando 7.5% da variância da redução da mesma e classificando corretamente 68.2% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 94.4%; especificidade: 16.7%). O modelo final referente à perceção global de melhoria apresentou uma associação com a intensidade da dor na baseline (OR=0.621; 95% IC 0.465–0.829), com a presença de cefaleias e/ou tonturas (OR=2.538; 95% IC 0.987–6.526) e com a duração da dor superior a 12 meses (OR=0.279; 95% IC 0.109–0.719). Este modelo explica 27.5% da variância dos resultados de sucesso para este outcome e classifica corretamente 73.1% dos utentes (sensibilidade: 81.8%; especificidade: 59.5%). Conclusões: Utentes com DCC com elevada incapacidade na baseline e queixas de dor há menos de 12 meses apresentam maior probabilidade de obter melhorias ao nível da incapacidade funcional. Elevados níveis de intensidade da dor na baseline predizem resultados de sucesso na redução da dor após sete semanas de tratamento. Utentes com DCC com baixos níveis de dor na baseline, com cefaleias e/ou tonturas e com queixas de dor há mais de 12 meses apresentam maior probabilidade de obter uma melhor perceção de melhoria.-----------ABSTRACT: Introduction: The influence of the characteristics of individuals with chronic neck pain (CNP) on the prognosis of physiotherapy outcomes is still inconsistent, there being few studies developed in this context. Aim: This study seeks to determine whether a model based on prognostic factors can predict the short-term physiotherapy successful outcomes in CNP patients, regarding functional disability, pain intensity and perceived recovery. Methodology: This is a prospective cohort study with 112 participants. Patients were assessed during the first week of treatment and seven weeks after the start of the intervention. The instruments used were the Neck Disability Index–Portuguese Version (NDI-PT) and the Numerical Rating Scale (NRS) at both moments of assessment, a Sample Sociodemographic and Clinical Characterization Questionnaire at baseline and Patient Global Impression Change Scale–Portuguese Version (PGIC-PT) at the follow-up. The sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were included as potential predictors of successful outcomes, and these were defined on the basis of minimal clinically important differences (MCID) of NDI-PT (MCID≥6) and END (MCID≥2) and the criteria score ≥5 on the PGIC-PT. Data analysis was performed using logistic regression (backward conditional procedure) to identify associations between predictors and outcomes (p<0.05). Results: Of the 112 participants included in the study, 108 completed the follow-up (mean age: 51.76±10.19). In the multivariate model of functional disability, the successful outcomes are associated with high levels of disability at baseline (OR = 1.123; 95% CI 1.056-1.194), and pain duration shorter than 12 months (OR=2.704; 95% CI 1.138–6.424). This model explains 30.0% of the variance of improved functional capacity and correctly classifies 74.1% of the patients (sensitivity: 75.9%, specificity: 72.0%). The model for pain intensity solely identified an outcome association with high pain intensity at baseline (OR=1.321; 95% CI 1.047- 1.668), explaining 7.5% of the variance of pain reduction and correctly classifying 68.2% of the patients (sensitivity: 94.4%, specificity: 16.7%). The final model of perceived recovery showed an association with pain intensity at baseline (OR=0.621; 95% CI 0465-0829), with the presence of headache and/or dizziness (OR=2.538; 95% CI 0.987-6.526) and the duration of pain over 12 months (OR=0.279; 95% CI 0.109- 0.719). This model explains 27.5% of the variance of successful outcomes and correctly classifies 73.1% of the patients (sensitivity: 81.8%, specificity: 59.5%). Conclusions: Patients with CNP with high disability at baseline and complaints of pain for less than 12 months are more likely to obtain improvements in functional disability. High levels of pain intensity at baseline predict successful outcomes in pain reduction after seven weeks of treatment. Patients with CNP with low levels of pain at baseline, with headache and/or dizziness and with pain complaints for more than 12 months are more likely to get a better perceived recovery.

Da sobrevivência física à sobrevivência mental : aspectos do funcionamento psíquico em ex-combatentes da guerra colonial portuguesa

Tese de Doutoramento apresentada ao ISPA - Instituto Universitário

Evolução, a curto prazo, do perfil do estado de nutrição no transplante hepático, em adultos : contributo para otimização da abordagem clínica e nutricional

RESUMO:Contexto: A avaliação do estado de nutrição do doente com indicação para transplante hepático (TH) deve ser abrangente, considerando o amplo espetro de situações clínicas e metabólicas. As alterações metabólicas relacionadas com a doença hepática podem limitar a aplicação de métodos de avaliação nutricional, subestimando a desnutrição. Após o TH, é expectável a reversão dos distúrbios metabólicos da doença hepática, pela melhoria da função do fígado. No entanto, algumas complicações metabólicas podem surgir após o TH, relacionadas com a má-nutrição, a desnervação hepática e o uso prolongado de imunossupressão, comprometendo os resultados clínicos a longo-prazo. A medição longitudinal e confiável do metabolismo energético e dos compartimentos corporais após o TH, avaliada em conjunto com fatores influentes no estado de nutrição, pode identificar precocemente situações de risco e otimizar e individualizar estratégias clínicas e nutricionais com vantagens no prognóstico. Objetivo: Avaliar longitudinalmente, a curto prazo, o estado de nutrição após o TH em doentes com insuficiência hepática por doença crónica e identificar os fatores, para além da cirurgia, que determinam diferentes evoluções do metabolismo energético e da composição corporal. Métodos: Foi estudada uma coorte de indivíduos com indicação para TH por doença hepática crónica, admitidos consecutivamente para TH ortotópico eletivo, durante 2 anos. Foram programados 3 momentos de avaliação: na última consulta pré-TH (T0), logo que adquirida autonomia respiratória e funcional após o TH (T1) e um mês após o TH (T2). Nesses momentos, foram medidos no mesmo dia: o suprimento nutricional por recordatório das últimas 24 horas, o estado de nutrição por Avaliação Subjetiva Global (ASG), o gasto energético em repouso (GER) por calorimetria indireta, a antropometria, a composição corporal por bioimpedância elétrica tetrapolar multifrequências e a força muscular por dinamometria de preensão palmar. O índice de massa magra (IMM) e a massa celular corporal (MCC) foram usados como indicadores do músculo esquelético e a percentagem de massa gorda (%MG) e o índice de massa gorda (IMG) como indicadores de adiposidade. O GER foi comparado com o estimado pelas fórmulas de Harris-Benedict para classificação do estado metabólico em:hipermetabolismo (GER medido >120% do GER estimado), normometabolismo (GER medido entre 80 e 120% do GER estimado) e hipometabolismo (GER medido <80% do GER estimado). Foi utilizada análise multivariável: por regressão logística, para identificar variáveis associadas à possibilidade (odds ratio – OR) de pertencer a cada grupo metabólico pré-TH; por regressão linear múltipla, para identificar variáveis associadas à variação dos compartimentos corporais no período pós-TH; e por modelos de efeitos mistos generalizados, para identificar variáveis associadas à evolução do GER e dos compartimentos corporais entre o período pré- e pós-TH. Resultados: Foram incluídos 56 indivíduos com idade, média (DP), 53,7 (8,5) anos, 87,5% do sexo masculino, 23,2% com doença hepática crónica de etiologia etanólica. Após o TH, em 60,7% indivíduos foi administrado regime imunossupressor baseado no tacrolimus. Os indivíduos foram avaliados [mediana (AIQ)] 90,5 (P25: 44,2; P75: 134,5) dias antes do TH (T0), 9,0 (P25: 7,0; P75: 12,0) dias após o TH (T1) e 36,0 (P25: 31,0; P75: 43,0) dias após o TH (T2). Após o TH houve melhoria significativa do estado de nutrição, com diminuição da prevalência de desnutrição classificada pela ASG (37,5% em T0, 16,1% em T2, p<0,001). Antes do TH, 41,1% dos indivíduos eram normometabólicos, 37,5% hipometabólicos e 21,4% hipermetabólicos. A possibilidade de pertencer a cada grupo metabólico pré-TH associou-se à: idade (OR=0,899, p=0,010) e desnutrição pela ASG (OR=5,038, p=0,015) para o grupo normometabólico; e índice de massa magra (IMM, OR=1,264, p=0,049) e etiologia viral da doença hepática (OR=8,297, p=0,019) para o grupo hipermetabólico. Não se obteve modelo múltiplo para o grupo de hipometabólico pré-TH, mas foram identificadas associações univariáveis com a história de toxicodependência (OR=0,282, p=0,047) e com a sarcopénia pré- TH (OR=8,000, p=0,040). Após o TH, houve normalização significativa e progressiva do estado metabólico, indicada pelo aumento da prevalência de normometabolismo (41,1% em T0, 57,1% em T2, p=0,040). Foram identificados diferentes perfis de evolução do GER após o TH, estratificado pelo estado metabólico pré-TH: no grupo hipometabólico pré-TH, o GER (Kcal) aumentou significativa e progressivamente (1030,6 em T0; 1436,1 em T1, p=0,001; 1659,2 em T2, p<0,001); no grupo hipermetabólico pré-TH o GER diminuiu significativa e progressivamente (2097,1 em T0; 1662,5 em T1, p=0,024; 1493,0 em T2, p<0.001); no grupo normometabólico não houve variações significativas. Os perfis de evolução do GER associaram-se com: peso corporal (β=9,6, p<0,001) e suprimento energético (β=13,6, p=0,005) na amostra total; com peso corporal (β=7,1, p=0,018) e contributo energético dos lípidos (β=18,9, p=0,003) no grupo hipometabólico pré-TH; e com peso corporal (β=14,1, p<0,001) e desnutrição pela ASG (β=-171,0, p=0,007) no grupo normometabólico pré-TH.Houve redução transitória dos compartimentos corporais entre T0 e T1, mas a maioria destes recuperou para valores semelhantes aos pré-TH. As exceções foram a água extracelular, que diminuiu entre T0 e T2 (média 18,2 L e 17,8 L, p=0,042), a massa gorda (média 25,1 Kg e 21,7 Kg, p<0,001) e o IMG (média 10,6 Kg.m-2 e 9,3 Kg.m-2, p<0,001) que diminuíram entre T1 e T2. Relativamente à evolução dos indicadores de músculo esquelético e adiposidade ao longo do estudo: a evolução do IMM associou-se com força de preensão palmar (β=0,06, p<0,001), creatininémia (β=2,28, p<0,001) e número total de fármacos administrados (β=-0,21, p<0,001); a evolução da MCC associou-se com força de preensão palmar (β=0,16, p<0,001), creatininémia (β=4,17, p=0,008) e número total de fármacos administrados (β=-0,46, p<0,001); a evolução da %MG associou-se com força de preensão palmar (β=-0,11, p=0,028), história de toxicodependência (β=-5,75, p=0,024), creatininémia (β=-5,91, p=0,004) e suprimento proteico (β=-0,06, p=0,001); a evolução do IMG associou-se com história de toxicodependência (β=- 2,64, p=0,019), creatininémia (β=-2,86, p<0,001) e suprimento proteico (β=-0,02, p<0,001). A variação relativa (%Δ) desses compartimentos corporais entre T1 e T2 indicou o impacto da terapêutica imunossupressora na composição corporal: o regime baseado na ciclosporina associou-se positivamente com a %Δ do IMM (β=23,76, p<0,001) e %Δ da MCC (β=26,58, p<0,001) e negativamente com a %Δ MG (β=-25,64, p<0,001) e %Δ do IMG (β=-25,62, p<0,001), relativamente ao regime baseado no tacrolimus. Os esteróides não influenciaram a evolução do GER nem com a dos compartimentos corporais. Conclusões: O estado de nutrição, avaliado por ASG, melhorou significativamente após o TH, traduzida pela diminuição da prevalência de desnutrição. O normometabolismo pré-TH foi prevalente e associou-se à menor idade e à desnutrição pré- TH. O hipometabolismo pré-TH associou-se à história de toxicodependência e à sarcopénia pré-TH. O hipermetabolismo pré-TH associou-se ao maior IMM e à etiologia viral da doença hepática. Após o TH, houve normalização progressiva do estado metabólico. Foram identificados três perfis de evolução do GER, associando-se com: peso corporal e suprimento energético na amostra total; peso corporal e contributo energético dos lípidos no grupo hipometabólico pré- TH; e peso corporal e desnutrição pela ASG no grupo normometabólico pré-TH. Foram identificados diferentes perfis de evolução da composição corporal após TH. A evolução do músculo esquelético associou-se positivamente com a força de preensão palmar e a creatininémia e negativamente com o número total de fármacos administrados. A evolução da adiposidade (%MG e IMG) associou-se inversamente com a história de toxicodependência, a creatininémia e o suprimento proteico; adicionalmente, a %MG associou-se inversamente com a força de preensão palmar. O regime baseado na ciclosporina associou-se independentemente com diminuição da adiposidade e aumento do músculo esquelético, comparativamente ao regime baseado no tacrolimus.---------------------------ABSTRACT:Background: The assessment of nutritional status in patients undergoing liver transplantation (LTx) should be comprehensive, accounting for the wide spectrum of the clinical and metabolic conditions. The metabolic disturbances related to liver disease may limit the precision and accuracy of traditional nutritional assessment methods underestimating the undernourishment. After LTx, it is expected that many metabolic derangements improve with the recovery of liver function. However, some metabolic complications arising after LTx, related to nutritional status, hepatic denervation, and prolonged immunosuppression, may compromise the longterm outcome. A reliable longitudinal assessment of both energy metabolism and body compartments after LTx, combined with assessments of other factors potentially affecting the nutritional status, may enable a better interpretation on the relationship between the metabolic and the nutritional status. These reliable assessments may precociously identify nutritional risk conditions and optimize and customize clinical and nutritional strategies improving the prognosis. Objective: To assess longitudinally the nutritional status shortly after orthotopic LTx in patients with chronic liver disease, and identify factors, beyond surgery, determining different energy metabolism and body composition profiles.Methods: A cohort of consecutive patients who underwent LTx due to chronic liver disease was studied within a period of two years. The assessments were performed in three occasions: at the last visit before LTx (T0), after surgery as soon as respiratory and functional autonomy was established (T1), and approximately one month after surgery (T2). On each occasion all assessments were performed on the same day, and included: the dietary assessment by 24- hour dietary recall, nutritional status by the Subjective Global Assessment (SGA), the resting energy expenditure (REE) by indirect calorimetry, anthropometry, body composition by multifrequency bioelectrical impedance analysis, and muscle strength by handgrip strength. Both the lean mass index (LMI) and body cell mass (BCM) were used as surrogates of skeletal muscle, and both the percentage of fat mass (%FM) and fat mass index (FMI) of adiposity. The REE was predicted according to the Harris and Benedict equation. Hypermetabolism was defined as a measured REE more than 120% of the predicted value; normometabolism as a measured REE within 80-120% of the predicted value; and hypometabolism as a measured REE less than 80% of the predicted value. Multiple regression analysis was used: by logistic regression to identify variables associated with odds of belong each pre-LTx metabolic groups; by linear multiple regression analysis to identify variables associated with body compartments relative variations (%Δ) in the post-LTx period; and by mixed effects models to identify variables associated with the REE and body compartments profiles pre- and post-LTx. Results: Fifty six patients with a mean (SD) of 53.7 (8.5) years of age were included, 87.5% were men and 23.2% with alcoholic liver disease. After LTx 60.7% individuals were assigned to tacrolimus-based immunosuppressive regimen. The patients were assessed at a median time (inter-quartil range) of 90.5 (P25 44.2; P75 134.5) days before LTx (T0), at a median time of 9.0 (P25 7.0; P75 12.0) (T1) and 36 (P25 31.0; P75 43.0) (T2) days after LTx. After LTx the nutritional status significantly improved: the SGA-undernourishment decreased from 37.5% (T0) to 16.1% (T2) (p<0.001). Before LTx, 41.1% patients were normometabolic, 37.5% hypometabolic, and 21.4% hypermetabolic. The predictors of each pre-LTx metabolic group were: age (OR=0.899, p=0.010) and SGA-undernourishment (OR=5.038, p=0.015) for the normometabolic group; and LMI (OR=1.264, p=0.049) and viral etiology of liver disease (OR=8.297, p=0.019) for the hypermetabolic group. No multiple model was found for the pre-LTx hypometabolic group, but univariate association was found with history of drug addiction (OR=0.282, p=0.047) and pre- LTx sarcopenia (OR=8.000, p=0.040). After LTx a significant normalization of the metabolic status occurred, indicated by the increase in the prevalence of normometabolic patients (from T0: 41.1% to T2: 57.1%, p=0.040). Different REE profiles were found with REE stratified by preoperative metabolic status: in the hypometabolic group a significant progressive increase in mean REE (Kcal) was observed (T0: 1030.6; T1: 1436.1, p=0.001; T2: 1659.2, p<0.001); in the hypermetabolic group, a significant progressive decrease in mean REE (Kcal) was observed (T0: 2097.1; T1: 1662.5, p=0.024; T2: 1493.0, p<0.001); and in the normometabolic group, no significant differences were found. The REE profiles were associated with: body weight (β- estimate=9.6, p<0.001) and energy intake (β-estimate=13.6, p=0.005) in the whole sample; with body weight (β-estimate=7.1, p=0.018) and %TEV from lipids (β-estimate=18.9, p=0.003) in the hypometabolic group; and with body weight (β-estimate=14.1, p<0.001), and SGAundernourishment (β-estimate=-171, p=0.007) in the normometabolic group. A transient decrease in most body compartments occurred from T0 to T1, with subsequent catch-up to similar preoperative values. Exceptions were the extracellular water, decreasing from T0 to T2 (mean 18.2 L to 17.8 L, p=0.042), the fat mass (mean 25.1 Kg to 21.7 Kg, p<0.001) and FMI (mean 10.6 Kg.m-2 to 9.3 Kg.m-2, p<0.001), decreasing from T1 to T2. Significant predictors of skeletal muscle and adiposity profiles were found: LMI evolution was associated with handgrip strength (β-estimate=0.06, p<0.001), serum creatinine (β- estimate=2.28, p<0.001) and number of medications (β-estimate=-0.21, p<0.001); BCM evolution was associated with handgrip strength (β-estimate=0.16, p<0.001), serum creatinine (β-estimate=4.17, p<0.001) and number of medications (β-estimate=-0.46, p<0.001); the %FM evolution was associated with handgrip strength (β-estimate=-0.11, p=0.028), history of drug addiction (β-estimate=-5.75, p=0.024), serum creatinine (β-estimate=-5.91, p=0.004) and protein intake (β-estimate=-0.06, p=0.001); and FMI evolution was associated with history of drug addiction (β-estimate=-2.64, p=0.019), serum creatinine (β-estimate=-2.86, p<0.001) and protein intake (β-estimate=-0.02, p<0.001). The %Δ of the aforementioned body compartments from T1 to T2 indicated the influence of immunosuppressive agents on body composition: the cyclosporine-based regimen, compared with tacrolimus-based regimen, was positively associated with %Δ LMI (β-estimate=23.76, p<0.001) and %Δ BCM (β- estimate=26.58, p<0.001), and inversely associated with %Δ FM (β-estimate=-25.64, p<0.001) and %Δ FMI (β-estimate=-25.62, p<0.001). No significant changes in REE or body composition were observed associated with dose or duration of steroid therapy. Conclusions: The SGA-assessed nutritional status improved shortly after LTx, with significant decrease in prevalence undernourished individuals. XXI Preoperative normometabolism was prevalent and was associated with younger age and SGAundernourishment before LTx. Preoperative hypometabolism was associated with history of drug addiction and pre-LTx sarcopenia. Preoperative hypermetabolism was associated with higher LMI and viral etiology of liver disease. A significant normalization of the metabolic status was observed after LTx. The REE profiles were positively predicted by body weight and energy intake in the whole sample, by body weight and percentage of energy intake from lipids in the preoperative hypometabolic patients, and by body weight and SGA–undernourishment in the preoperative normometabolic patients. Different body composition profiles were found after LTx. Skeletal muscle profile was positively associated with handgrip strength and serum creatinine, and inversely with the number of medications. The adiposity profile was inversely associated with history of drug addiction, serum creatinine and protein intake. Additionally, the %FM evolution was inversely associated with handgrip strength. The cyclosporine-based regimen, compared with tacrolimus-based regimen, was independently associated with skeletal muscle increase and adiposity decrease.