955 resultados para Water Source Areas


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Hybridization by introduced taxa is a major threat to native species. Characterizing human introductions is thus one of the missions of conservation geneticists. Here we survey a declining population of the regionally endangered European tree frog (Hyla arborea) in the Grangettes natural reserve (Rhone valley, Western Switzerland), where previous evidence indicated human introduction of the Italian taxon H. intermedia. We combined fast-evolving mitochondrial and nuclear markers and an extended sampling to conduct population genetic analyses of the Grangettes and putative source areas. We show that the Grangettes population is a hybrid swarm, with all individuals featuring recent nuclear admixture and mitochondrial DNA of introduced H. intermedia, most likely of proximate south Alpine origin. In contrast, H. arborea and H. intermedia hardly introgress in their natural parapatric ranges, consistent with an advanced reproductive isolation. Thus, potential hybrid incompatibilities may account for the strong decline of this population, despite important conservation efforts. Although their hybrid nature makes them a priori unworthy of any protection, we propose specific measures to recover local H. arborea gene pool and preserve tree frogs in the Grangettes, the last population remaining from this heavily impacted part of the Alps.

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Characterizing the geological features and structures in three dimensions over inaccessible rock cliffs is needed to assess natural hazards such as rockfalls and rockslides and also to perform investigations aimed at mapping geological contacts and building stratigraphy and fold models. Indeed, the detailed 3D data, such as LiDAR point clouds, allow to study accurately the hazard processes and the structure of geologic features, in particular in vertical and overhanging rock slopes. Thus, 3D geological models have a great potential of being applied to a wide range of geological investigations both in research and applied geology projects, such as mines, tunnels and reservoirs. Recent development of ground-based remote sensing techniques (LiDAR, photogrammetry and multispectral / hyperspectral images) are revolutionizing the acquisition of morphological and geological information. As a consequence, there is a great potential for improving the modeling of geological bodies as well as failure mechanisms and stability conditions by integrating detailed remote data. During the past ten years several large rockfall events occurred along important transportation corridors where millions of people travel every year (Switzerland: Gotthard motorway and railway; Canada: Sea to sky highway between Vancouver and Whistler). These events show that there is still a lack of knowledge concerning the detection of potential rockfalls, making mountain residential settlements and roads highly risky. It is necessary to understand the main factors that destabilize rocky outcrops even if inventories are lacking and if no clear morphological evidences of rockfall activity are observed. In order to increase the possibilities of forecasting potential future landslides, it is crucial to understand the evolution of rock slope stability. Defining the areas theoretically most prone to rockfalls can be particularly useful to simulate trajectory profiles and to generate hazard maps, which are the basis for land use planning in mountainous regions. The most important questions to address in order to assess rockfall hazard are: Where are the most probable sources for future rockfalls located? What are the frequencies of occurrence of these rockfalls? I characterized the fracturing patterns in the field and with LiDAR point clouds. Afterwards, I developed a model to compute the failure mechanisms on terrestrial point clouds in order to assess the susceptibility to rockfalls at the cliff scale. Similar procedures were already available to evaluate the susceptibility to rockfalls based on aerial digital elevation models. This new model gives the possibility to detect the most susceptible rockfall sources with unprecented detail in the vertical and overhanging areas. The results of the computation of the most probable rockfall source areas in granitic cliffs of Yosemite Valley and Mont-Blanc massif were then compared to the inventoried rockfall events to validate the calculation methods. Yosemite Valley was chosen as a test area because it has a particularly strong rockfall activity (about one rockfall every week) which leads to a high rockfall hazard. The west face of the Dru was also chosen for the relevant rockfall activity and especially because it was affected by some of the largest rockfalls that occurred in the Alps during the last 10 years. Moreover, both areas were suitable because of their huge vertical and overhanging cliffs that are difficult to study with classical methods. Limit equilibrium models have been applied to several case studies to evaluate the effects of different parameters on the stability of rockslope areas. The impact of the degradation of rockbridges on the stability of large compartments in the west face of the Dru was assessed using finite element modeling. In particular I conducted a back-analysis of the large rockfall event of 2005 (265'000 m3) by integrating field observations of joint conditions, characteristics of fracturing pattern and results of geomechanical tests on the intact rock. These analyses improved our understanding of the factors that influence the stability of rock compartments and were used to define the most probable future rockfall volumes at the Dru. Terrestrial laser scanning point clouds were also successfully employed to perform geological mapping in 3D, using the intensity of the backscattered signal. Another technique to obtain vertical geological maps is combining triangulated TLS mesh with 2D geological maps. At El Capitan (Yosemite Valley) we built a georeferenced vertical map of the main plutonio rocks that was used to investigate the reasons for preferential rockwall retreat rate. Additional efforts to characterize the erosion rate were made at Monte Generoso (Ticino, southern Switzerland) where I attempted to improve the estimation of long term erosion by taking into account also the volumes of the unstable rock compartments. Eventually, the following points summarize the main out puts of my research: The new model to compute the failure mechanisms and the rockfall susceptibility with 3D point clouds allows to define accurately the most probable rockfall source areas at the cliff scale. The analysis of the rockbridges at the Dru shows the potential of integrating detailed measurements of the fractures in geomechanical models of rockmass stability. The correction of the LiDAR intensity signal gives the possibility to classify a point cloud according to the rock type and then use this information to model complex geologic structures. The integration of these results, on rockmass fracturing and composition, with existing methods can improve rockfall hazard assessments and enhance the interpretation of the evolution of steep rockslopes. -- La caractérisation de la géologie en 3D pour des parois rocheuses inaccessibles est une étape nécessaire pour évaluer les dangers naturels tels que chutes de blocs et glissements rocheux, mais aussi pour réaliser des modèles stratigraphiques ou de structures plissées. Les modèles géologiques 3D ont un grand potentiel pour être appliqués dans une vaste gamme de travaux géologiques dans le domaine de la recherche, mais aussi dans des projets appliqués comme les mines, les tunnels ou les réservoirs. Les développements récents des outils de télédétection terrestre (LiDAR, photogrammétrie et imagerie multispectrale / hyperspectrale) sont en train de révolutionner l'acquisition d'informations géomorphologiques et géologiques. Par conséquence, il y a un grand potentiel d'amélioration pour la modélisation d'objets géologiques, ainsi que des mécanismes de rupture et des conditions de stabilité, en intégrant des données détaillées acquises à distance. Pour augmenter les possibilités de prévoir les éboulements futurs, il est fondamental de comprendre l'évolution actuelle de la stabilité des parois rocheuses. Définir les zones qui sont théoriquement plus propices aux chutes de blocs peut être très utile pour simuler les trajectoires de propagation des blocs et pour réaliser des cartes de danger, qui constituent la base de l'aménagement du territoire dans les régions de montagne. Les questions plus importantes à résoudre pour estimer le danger de chutes de blocs sont : Où se situent les sources plus probables pour les chutes de blocs et éboulement futurs ? Avec quelle fréquence vont se produire ces événements ? Donc, j'ai caractérisé les réseaux de fractures sur le terrain et avec des nuages de points LiDAR. Ensuite, j'ai développé un modèle pour calculer les mécanismes de rupture directement sur les nuages de points pour pouvoir évaluer la susceptibilité au déclenchement de chutes de blocs à l'échelle de la paroi. Les zones sources de chutes de blocs les plus probables dans les parois granitiques de la vallée de Yosemite et du massif du Mont-Blanc ont été calculées et ensuite comparés aux inventaires des événements pour vérifier les méthodes. Des modèles d'équilibre limite ont été appliqués à plusieurs cas d'études pour évaluer les effets de différents paramètres sur la stabilité des parois. L'impact de la dégradation des ponts rocheux sur la stabilité de grands compartiments de roche dans la paroi ouest du Petit Dru a été évalué en utilisant la modélisation par éléments finis. En particulier j'ai analysé le grand éboulement de 2005 (265'000 m3), qui a emporté l'entier du pilier sud-ouest. Dans le modèle j'ai intégré des observations des conditions des joints, les caractéristiques du réseau de fractures et les résultats de tests géoméchaniques sur la roche intacte. Ces analyses ont amélioré l'estimation des paramètres qui influencent la stabilité des compartiments rocheux et ont servi pour définir des volumes probables pour des éboulements futurs. Les nuages de points obtenus avec le scanner laser terrestre ont été utilisés avec succès aussi pour produire des cartes géologiques en 3D, en utilisant l'intensité du signal réfléchi. Une autre technique pour obtenir des cartes géologiques des zones verticales consiste à combiner un maillage LiDAR avec une carte géologique en 2D. A El Capitan (Yosemite Valley) nous avons pu géoréferencer une carte verticale des principales roches plutoniques que j'ai utilisé ensuite pour étudier les raisons d'une érosion préférentielle de certaines zones de la paroi. D'autres efforts pour quantifier le taux d'érosion ont été effectués au Monte Generoso (Ticino, Suisse) où j'ai essayé d'améliorer l'estimation de l'érosion au long terme en prenant en compte les volumes des compartiments rocheux instables. L'intégration de ces résultats, sur la fracturation et la composition de l'amas rocheux, avec les méthodes existantes permet d'améliorer la prise en compte de l'aléa chute de pierres et éboulements et augmente les possibilités d'interprétation de l'évolution des parois rocheuses.

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In this work the contamination, by organochlorinated, of a drinking water source located in the region of Viçosa, MG, was evaluated. The identification and quantification of the analytes was carried out using a gas-chromatograph equipped with an electron capture detector after liquid-liquid extraction and concentration. Four insecticides, Aldrin, Epoxy heptachloride, Endrin and op'- DDT were detected in concentrations that are higher than the safety limits established in the Brazilian legislation.

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Occurrence and removal of 81 representative Pharmaceutical Active Compounds (PhACs) were assessed in a municipal WWTP located in a highly industrialized area, with partial water reuse after UV tertiary treatment and discharge to a Mediterranean river. Water monitoring was performed in an integrated way at different points in the WWTP and river along three seasons. Consistent differences between therapeutic classes were observed in terms of influent concentration, removal efficiencies and seasonal variation. Conventional (primary and secondary) treatment was unable to completely remove numerous compounds and UV-based tertiary treatment played a complementary role for some of them. Industrial activity influence was highlighted in terms of PhACs presence and seasonal distribution. Even if global WWTP effluent impact on the studied river appeared to be minor, PhACs resulted widespread pollutants in river waters. Contamination can be particularly critical in summer in water scarcity areas, when water flow decreases considerably

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Työssä tarkasteltiin hulevesien ravinnekuormituksen muodostumista ja kuormituksen vähentämismahdollisuuksia rakennetussa ympäristössä esimerkkialueena Sunisenlahden valuma-alue. Työn tavoitteena oli löytää ns. hotspot- alueet ja esittää valuma-alueelle osa-alueittain käsittelymenetelmä, joka soveltuu kyseisen alueen hulevesien käsittelyyn, huomioi alueen maankäytön, maastoprofiilin, maanomistuksesta ja maaperästä johtuvat rajoitukset. Sunisenlahden valuma-alue on kokonaisuudessaan rakennettua, jakautuen 24 osavaluma-alueeseen, joiden pinta-alat ja maankäyttö poikkeavat toisistaan. Alueella on kauttaaltaan sadevesiverkosto, jonka purku tapahtuu pääosin Sunisenlahdelle. Osa valuma-alueista on keskustamaisia, osa väljästi rakennettua pientaloaluetta. Joillakin valuma-alueilla on myös toimintoja, joiden hulevesien käsittely edellyttää myös haitta-aineiden poistamista. Valuma-alueella tutkittiin ravinnekuormituksen muodostumista näyttein 12 näytepisteellä. Typpikuormituksesta hulevesien osuus on noin 48 % ja fosforikuormituksesta hulevesien osuus on noin 36 %.

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Tämä diplomityö on tehty Lappeenrannan teknillisen yliopiston, Liikuntakeskus Pajulahden ja Nastolan Energiasäätiön yhteisprojektina. Työn tarkoituksena on tutkia aurinkosähköjärjestelmien taloudellista kannattavuutta ostosähkön korvaamisessa Liikuntakeskus Pajulahden kiinteistössä. Työssä tehdään laskelmat aurinkopaneelien tuotoista, tuotetun sähkön hinnasta, investointien takaisinmaksuajoista sekä tuotetun aurinkosähkön synnyttämistä hiilidioksidipäästövähenemistä. Lisäksi tarkastellaan energiaveron vaikutusta pientuotantolaitoksen kannattavuuteen. Tämän hetkisillä aurinkosähköjärjestelmien hinnoilla pystytään tuottamaan puhdasta, ympäristöystävällistä sähköä kilpailukykyiseen hintaan. Työssä tehdään yleiskatsaus myös muiden uusiutuviin energialähteisiin perustuvien tuotantomenetelmien käyttömahdollisuuksista. Yhtenä erityistarkastelunkohteena on Pajulahden monitoimihalliin vuonna 2008 suunniteltu vesistöä lämmönlähteenä käyttävä lämpöpumppujärjestelmä, jonka toteutukseen ei saatu tarvittavia lupia. Tarkastelussa tutkitaan myös aiemmin Suomessa toteutettuja vastaavia hankkeita ja niiden lupien saantia. Lisäksi on haettu tosiasioihin perustuvia argumentteja keskusteluun vesistölämmön hyödyntämisestä. Tarkastelun kohteena oleva vesistölämpöhanke voidaan todeta olevan erittäin kannattava, taloudellisesti sekä ympäristöllisesti. Tutkimuksen pohjalta Nastolan Energiasäätiölle tuotetaan havainnollinen ja selkeä aineisto aurinkoenergian hyödyntämismahdollisuuksista Nastolan kunnassa.

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Tämän diplomityön tavoitteena on selvittää Kymenlaakson Opiston energiatehokkuuden parantamista ja tutkia onko olemassa selvästi taloudellisempi sekä ekologisempi tapa kattaa Opiston lämmitystarve verrattuna nykyisin käytössä olevaan kaukolämpöön. Työn teoriaosuudessa tehdään katsaus rakennusten energiatehokkuuteen vaikuttaviin seikkoihin, lähienergian tuotantoon ja energiatehokkuuden parantamiseen liittyvään lainsäädäntöön ja säädöksiin. Useasta rakennuksesta koostuva kansanopisto tarjoaa mielenkiintoisen pohjan selvitystyölle ja suuri lämmitystehontarve yhdistettynä monille saneerauskohteille tyypillisiin ahtaisiin teknisiin tiloihin asettaa rajoituksia lämmitysjärjestelmän suunnittelulle. Soveltavassa osuudessa määritellään reunaehdot mahdolliselle kaukolämmön korvaavalle lämmitysratkaisulle. Tutkitaan vesistölämmön hyödyntämisen mahdollisuutta ja lasketaan aurinkosähkön ja -lämmön tuotantopotentiaalia. Maalämpöjärjestelmän mitoituksessa ja taloudellisessa vertailussa käytettiin apuna maalämpöjärjestelmiä toimittavia yrityksiä. Työssä saatujen tulosten perusteella maalämpöjärjestelmä on taloudellisesti kannattava isossa kohteessa, tosin järjestelmän asennukseen liittyy ahtaiden tilojen johdosta ongelmia. Maalämpö on myös selvästi ekologisempi, kuin nykyisin käytössä oleva kaukolämpö. Aurinkosähkön tuotannolle on Kymenlaakson Opistolla hyvä potentiaali ja sähkön tuotanto kohtaa hyvin sähkön käytön.

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The Horwood Peninsula - Gander Bay area is located at NE Newfoundland in the Botwood Zone (Williams et a1., 1974) or in the Dunnage Zone (Williams, 1979) of the Central Mobile Belt of the Newfoundland Appalachians. The area is underlain by Middle Ordovician to possible Lower Silurian rocks of the Davidsville and Indian Islands Groups, respectively. Three conformable formations named informally : the Mafic Volcanic Formation, the Greywacke and Siltstone Formation and the Black Slate Formation, have been recognized in the Davidsville Group. The Greywacke and the Black Slate Formations pass locally into a Melange Formation. From consideration of regional structure and abundant locally-derived mafic volcanic olisto- 1iths in the melange, it is considered to have originated by gravity sliding rather than thrusting. Four formations have been recognized in the Indian Islands Group. They mainly contain silty slate and phyllite, grey cherty siltstone, green to red micaceous siltstone and limestone horizons. Repetition of lithological units by F1 folding are well-demonstrated in one of formations in this Group. The major structure in this Group on the Horwood Peninsula is interpreted to be a synclinal complex. The lithology of this Group is different from the Botwood Group to the west and is probably Late Ordovician and/or Early Silurian in age. The effects of soft-sediment deformation can be seen from the lower part of the Davidsville Group to the middle part of the Indian Islands Group indicating continuous and/or episodic slumping and sliding activities throughout the whole area. However, no siginificant depOSitional and tectonic break that could be assigned to the Taconian Orogeny has been recognized in this study. Three periods of tectonic deformation were produced by the Acadian Orogeny. Double boudinage in thin dikes indicates a southeast-northwest sub-horizontal compression and main northeast-southwest sub-horizontal extension during the D1 deformation. A penetrative, axial planar slaty cleavage (Sl) and tight to isocJ.ina1 F1 folds are products of this deformation. The D2 and D3 deformations formed S2 and S3 fabrics associated with crenulations and kink bands which are well-shown in the slates and phyllites of the Indian Islands Group. The D2 and D3 deformations are the products of vertical and northeast-southwest horizontal shortening respectively. The inferred fault between the Ordovician slates (Davidsville Group) and the siltstones (Indian Islands Group) suggested by Williams (1963, 1964b, 1972, 1978) is absent. Formations can be followed without displacement across this inferred fault. Chemically, the pillow lavas, mafic agglomerates, tuff beds and diabase dikes are subdivided into three rock suites : (a) basaltic komatiite (Beaver Cove Assemblage), (b) tholeiitic basalt (diabase dikes), (c) alkaline basalt (Shoal Bay Assemblage). The high Ti02 , MgO, Ni contents and bimodal characteristic of the basaltic komatiite in the area are comparable to the Svartenhuk Peninsula at Baffin Bay and are interpreted to be the result of an abortive volcano-tectonic rift-zone in a rear-arc basin. Modal and chemical analyses of greywackes and siltstones show the trend of maturity of these rocks increasing from poorly sorted Ordovician greywackes to fairly well-sorted Silurian siltstones. Rock fragments in greywackes indicate source areas consisting of plagiogranite, low grade metamorphic rocks and ultramafic rocks. Rare sedimentary structures in both Groups indicate a southeasterly provenance. Trace element analyses of greywackes also reveal a possible island-arc affinity.

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Campylobacter est l’agent pathogène zoonotique responsable de la majorité des gastro-entérites d’origine bactérienne chez l’homme. Les produits de volaille représentent la principale source d’infection; toutefois, l’exposition peut également découler de contacts directs avec les animaux ou avec l’eau. Une forte variation saisonnière est présente dans les cas rapportés, qui n’est toujours pas élucidée : les eaux environnementales, sources d’infection connues, sont soupçonnées. Cette étude transversale a été réalisée dans la région Sud-Est du Québec (Canada) où Campylobacter fut quantifié et génotypé à partir de différentes sources d’eau (eaux de captage, récréatives et usées) et de cas cliniques afin d’évaluer les risques potentiels posé par l’eau environnementale. Différents essais PCR en temps réel furent appliqués à l’eau environnementale et comparés: 2 ont été sélectionnés pour leur spécificité et sensibilité de quantification. Les courbes standards ont été calibrées en utilisant la PCR digitale pour déterminer précisément les concentrations. Les isolats environnementaux et cliniques furent comparés génétiquement en utilisant le CGF (« comparative genomic fingerprinting »). Les eaux usées étaient plus contaminées que les eaux de captage et récréatives (3.9Log, 1.7Log et 1.0Log cellules/L en moyenne, respectivement). Six pour cent des isolats d’eaux environnementales étaient génétiquement similaires (100 % homologie) aux isolats cliniques. Les cas cliniques de campylobactériose d’été montraient des isolats avec davantage de similarités génétiques avec les isolats retrouvés dans l’eau environnementale comparativement aux autres saisons (p<0.01). Les faibles concentrations et similarités génétiques entre les isolats d’eau et cliniques suggèrent un risque de transmission possible, mais faible.

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Metapenaeus dobsoni (Miers) is the most abundant species along the coast of Kerala. It is cultured extensively by adoption of traditional farming practices. The geographical location and water source determines the seasonal and annual environmental fluctuations the prawn farming systems experiences. The life cycle of the shrimp includes its migration to the coastal deeper waters for spawning and the immigration of larvae to the estuaries for growth. The survival of the species in such complex ecosystems is thus critical to its life cycle. The animal adapts itself to different environments through a physiological process known as osmoregulation. The present study on osmoregulation in the penaeid prawn Metapenaeus dobsoni was thus undertaken to understand the mechanism adopted by this species to survive in different environments. A number of experimental work have been conducted to understand the effect of salinity on the internal variations. However the effect of the complex environmental conditions as existent in nature on the osmotic variations in this species has not been dealt with in any of the earlier studies.

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The Palma Project is an experiment in the use of cultural identity as a social trigger to address ecological degradation. The research methodology draws from environmental, social and urban analyses to unveil the best strategy to address the ecological, river restoration and water treatment challenges in Berkeley, California’s “Sister City” in southeast Cuba, Palma Soriano. The objective is to provide a better quality of life and to create new opportunities for the local community to reconnect with natural cycles of water and the cultivation of their own land. The project aim is to promote the strength and capacity of local communities to protect their own environment based upon a master plan, which includes natural wastewater treatment, reforestation, urban agriculture and the facilitation and utilization of a public space bordering the major river which flows by Palma Soriano, the Cauto. This project will contribute and produce healthy water recycling for Palma, provide a potable water source for the city, encourage ecological restoration of the riparian zone of the Cauto, and provide new opportunities for food production. It is designed to preserve the cultural identity of the local community, and to restore the essential balance between the community’s need to sustain both itself and the natural environment.

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El retardo mental se caracteriza por limitaciones en el desempeño como resultado de significativas deficiencias de la inteligencia y la conducta adaptativa. En Colombia, la mayor parte de los pacientes con esta alteración no reciben evaluación genética. El objetivo de este trabajo es evaluar y caracterizar el retardo mental en un grupo de personas con esta condición en la población de Rovira (Tolima, Colombia) e identificar los posibles factores asociados. La metodología consistió en realizar un diagnóstico clínico preliminar de 25 pacientes con retardo mental y realizar la correspondiente toma de muestras de sangre y orina para efectuar los exámenes correspondientes. Se realizaron estudios bioquímicos (cloruro férrico, nitrosonaftol, nitroprusiato de sodio, Benedict, cromatografía para la detección de aminoácidos y carbohidratos) y citogenéticos (bandeo G). Para la detección de plaguicidas, se realizó un muestreo aleatorio en diferentes puntos de todo el recorrido del sistema de distribución de agua y ciertos lugares del centro del municipio de Rovira. Con este fin, se recolectaron 20 muestras de agua y 20 muestras de tomate, elegidas al azar, de los diferentes sitios de distribución y cultivos de la hortaliza. Se identificó una familia de tres hijos afectados (dos mujeres y un hombre) con retardo mental, lo cual sugiere un componente genético en este caso. Las pruebas metabólicas fueron negativas y los cariotipos normales. Se plantea la necesidad de realizar pruebas moleculares que incluyan el síndrome de X-frágil para complementar el estudio y realizar consejería genética. En cuanto a los resultados y el análisis pertinente de las muestras para organofosforados, el 100% de éstas resultaron positivas. Se reportó un 60% de positividad en las muestras de agua y del 100% en las muestras de tomate, para el caso de los carbamatos; sin embargo, para el caso de los organoclorados, el 100% de las muestras estudiadas resultaron negativas.

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The active accretional features that have developed along the modern Nile Delta promontories during shoreline retreat are analysed using topographic maps, remote imagery, ground and hydrographic surveys, together providing 15 time-slice maps (1922-2000) at Rosetta and 14 time-slice maps (1909-2000) at Damietta. Small double sandy spits developed and persisted at Rosetta between 1986 and 1991. At Damietta, a much larger single spit, 9 km long, formed approximately east of the mouth of the Damietta Nile branch between 1955 and 1972, although its source has now been depleted. Both the Rosetta and Damietta inlets are associated with submerged mouth bars that accumulated prior to the damming of the Nile, but that continue to contribute to local sedimentation problems, particularly at Rosetta. The development of the active accretional features along the Nile promontories reflects a combination of factors including sediment availability, transport pathways from source areas, a decrease in the magnitude of Nile flood discharges, as well as the impact of protective structures at the river mouths.

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During glacial periods, dust deposition rates and inferred atmospheric concentrations were globally much higher than present. According to recent model results, the large enhancement of atmospheric dust content at the last glacial maximum (LGM) can be explained only if increases in the potential dust source areas are taken into account. Such increases are to be expected, due to effects of low precipitation and low atmospheric (CO2) on plant growth. Here the modelled three-dimensional dust fields from Mahowald et al. and modelled seasonally varying surface-albedo fields derived in a parallel manner, are used to quantify the mean radiative forcing due to modern (non-anthropogenic) and LGM dust. The effect of mineralogical provenance on the radiative properties of the dust is taken into account, as is the range of optical properties associated with uncertainties about the mixing state of the dust particles. The high-latitude (poleward of 45°) mean change in forcing (LGM minus modern) is estimated to be small (–0.9 to +0.2 W m–2), especially when compared to nearly –20 W m–2 due to reflection from the extended ice sheets. Although the net effect of dust over ice sheets is a positive forcing (warming), much of the simulated high-latitude dust was not over the ice sheets, but over unglaciated regions close to the expanded dust source region in central Asia. In the tropics the change in forcing is estimated to be overall negative, and of similarly large magnitude (–2.2 to –3.2 W m–2) to the radiative cooling effect of low atmospheric (CO2). Thus, the largest long-term climatic effect of the LGM dust is likely to have been a cooling of the tropics. Low tropical sea-surface temperatures, low atmospheric (CO2) and high atmospheric dust loading may be mutually reinforcing due to multiple positive feedbacks, including the negative radiative forcing effect of dust.

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Natural mineral aerosol (dust) is an active component of the climate system and plays multiple roles in mediating physical and biogeochemical exchanges between the atmosphere, land surface and ocean. Changes in the amount of dust in the atmosphere are caused both by changes in climate (precipitation, wind strength, regional moisture balance) and changes in the extent of dust sources caused by either anthropogenic or climatically induced changes in vegetation cover. Models of the global dust cycle take into account the physical controls on dust deflation from prescribed source areas (based largely on soil wetness and vegetation cover thresholds), dust transport within the atmospheric column, and dust deposition through sedimentation and scavenging by precipitation. These models successfully reproduce the first-order spatial and temporal patterns in atmospheric dust loading under modern conditions. Atmospheric dust loading was as much as an order-of-magnitude larger than today during the last glacial maximum (LGM). While the observed increase in emissions from northern Africa can be explained solely in terms of climate changes (colder, drier and windier glacial climates), increased emissions from other regions appear to have been largely a response to climatically induced changes in vegetation cover and hence in the extent of dust source areas. Model experiments suggest that the increased dust loading in tropical regions had an effect on radiative forcing comparable to that of low glacial CO2 levels. Changes in land-use are already increasing the dust loading of the atmosphere. However, simulations show that anthropogenically forced climate changes substantially reduce the extent and productivity of natural dust sources. Positive feedbacks initiated by a reduction of dust emissions from natural source areas on both radiative forcing and atmospheric CO2 could substantially mitigate the impacts of land-use changes, and need to be considered in climate change assessments.