Modelling the chromosphere and transition region of ε Eri (K2 V)

Measurements of ultraviolet line fluxes from Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph and Far-Ultraviolet Spectroscopic Explorer spectra of the K2-dwarf e Eri are reported. These are used to develop new emission measure distributions and semi-empirical atmospheric models for the chromosphere and lower transition region of the star. These models are the most detailed constructed to date for a main-sequence star other than the Sun. New ionization balance calculations, which account for the effect of finite density on dielectronic recombination rates, are presented for carbon, nitrogen, oxygen and silicon. The results of these calculations are significantly different from the standard Arnaud & Rothenflug ion balance, particularly for alkali-like ions. The new atmospheric models are used to place constraints on possible first ionization potential (FIP)-related abundance variations in the lower atmosphere and to discuss limitations of single-component models for the interpretation of certain optically thick line fluxes. © 2005 RAS.

Score for neonatal acute physiology-II and neonatal pain predict corticospinal tract development in premature newborns

Premature infants are at risk for adverse motor outcomes, including cerebral palsy and developmental coordination disorder. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship of antenatal, perinatal, and postnatal risk factors for abnormal development of the corticospinal tract, the major voluntary motor pathway, during the neonatal period. In a prospective cohort study, 126 premature neonates (24-32 weeks' gestational age) underwent serial brain imaging near birth and at term-equivalent age. With diffusion tensor tractography, mean diffusivity and fractional anisotropy of the corticospinal tract were measured to reflect microstructural development. Generalized estimating equation models examined associations of risk factors on corticospinal tract development. The perinatal risk factor of greater early illness severity (as measured by the Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology-II [SNAP-II]) was associated with a slower rise in fractional anisotropy of the corticospinal tract (P = 0.02), even after correcting for gestational age at birth and postnatal risk factors (P = 0.009). Consistent with previous findings, neonatal pain adjusted for morphine and postnatal infection were also associated with a slower rise in fractional anisotropy of the corticospinal tract (P = 0.03 and 0.02, respectively). Lessening illness severity in the first hours of life might offer potential to improve motor pathway development in premature newborns.

Emotional development among early school-age children: Gender differences in the role of problem behaviours

There has been an increasing focus on social and emotional development in educational programmes in early childhood as both variables are believed to influence behavioural outcomes in the classroom. However, relationships between social and emotional development and behaviour in early childhood have rarely been explored. This article sets out to investigate the conceptualisation of these variables and their inter-relationships. Structural equation models were used to assess if differences exist between boys and girls in relation to social and emotional competences, which could affect the relative success of such programmes. This article is based on cross-sectional data collected from 749 four- to six-year-olds and their teachers. The findings generally supported the hypothesised relationships between social and emotional development variables and prosocial behaviour (including internalising behaviour) for boys and girls. However, some gender differences were noted in externalising behaviour, which teachers often consider to be most significant due to its potentially disruptive nature in the classroom.

Changes in epilithic biomasses and invertebrate community structure over a deposit metal concentration gradient in upland headwater streams

Stream bed metal deposits affect the taxon richness, density and taxonomic diversity of primary and secondary producers by a variety of direct or indirect abiotic and biotic processes but little is known about the relative importance of these processes over a deposit metal concentration gradient. Inorganic matter (IM), algal and non-photosynthetic detrital (NPD) dry biomasses were estimated for 10 monthly samples, between 2007 and 2008, from eight sites differing in deposit density. Invertebrate abundance, taxon richness and composition were also determined. Relations between these variables were investigated by canonical correspondence analysis (CCA), generalized estimating equation models and path analysis. The first CCA axis correlates with deposit density and invertebrate abundance, with lumbriculids and chironomids increasing in abundance with deposit density and all other taxa declining. Community structure changes significantly above a deposit density of approximately 8 mg cm, when algal biomass, invertebrate richness and diversity decline. Invertebrate richness and diversity were determined by direct effects of NPD biomass and indirect effects of IM. Algal biomass only had an effect on invertebrate abundance. Possible pH, oxygen, food and ecotoxicological effects of NPD biomass on the biota are discussed.

EARLY RADIO AND X-RAY OBSERVATIONS OF THE YOUNGEST NEARBY TYPE Ia SUPERNOVA PTF 11kly (SN 2011fe)

On 2011 August 24 (UT) the Palomar Transient Factory (PTF) discovered PTF11kly (SN 2011fe), the youngest and most nearby Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) in decades. We followed this event up in the radio (centimeter and millimeter bands) and X-ray bands, starting about a day after the estimated explosion time. We present our analysis of the radio and X-ray observations, yielding the tightest constraints yet placed on the pre-explosion mass-loss rate from the progenitor system of this supernova. We find a robust limit of from sensitive X-ray non-detections, as well as a similar limit from radio data, which depends, however, on assumptions about microphysical parameters. We discuss our results in the context of single-degenerate models for SNe Ia and find that our observations modestly disfavor symbiotic progenitor models involving a red giant donor, but cannot constrain systems accreting from main-sequence or sub-giant stars, including the popular supersoft channel. In view of the proximity of PTF11kly and the sensitivity of our prompt observations, we would have to wait for a long time (a decade or longer) in order to more meaningfully probe the circumstellar matter of SNe Ia.

Central corneal thickness and corneal hysteresis associated with glaucoma damage.

PURPOSE:

We sought to measure the impact of central corneal thickness (CCT), a possible risk factor for glaucoma damage, and corneal hysteresis, a proposed measure of corneal resistance to deformation, on various indicators of glaucoma damage.

DESIGN:

Observational study.

METHODS:

Adult patients of the Wilmer Glaucoma Service underwent measurement of hysteresis on the Reichert Ocular Response Analyzer and measurement of CCT by ultrasonic pachymetry. Two glaucoma specialists (H.A.Q., N.G.C.) reviewed the chart to determine highest known intraocular pressure (IOP), target IOP, diagnosis, years with glaucoma, cup-to-disk ratio (CDR), mean defect (MD), pattern standard deviation (PSD), glaucoma hemifield test (GHT), and presence or absence of visual field progression.

RESULTS:

Among 230 subjects, the mean age was 65 +/- 14 years, 127 (55%) were female, 161 (70%) were white, and 194 (85%) had a diagnosis of primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) or suspected POAG. In multivariate generalized estimating equation models, lower corneal hysteresis value (P = .03), but not CCT, was associated with visual field progression. When axial length was included in the model, hysteresis was not a significant risk factor (P = .09). A thinner CCT (P = .02), but not hysteresis, was associated with a higher CDR at the most recent examination. Neither CCT nor hysteresis was associated with MD, PSD, or GHT "outside normal limits."

CONCLUSIONS:

Thinner CCT was associated with the state of glaucoma damage as indicated by CDR. Axial length and corneal hysteresis were associated with progressive field worsening.

Corneal biomechanics, refractive error, and axial length in Chinese primary school children.

PURPOSE: Low corneal hysteresis is associated with longer axial length in Chinese secondary school children. The authors sought to explore this association in primary school children. METHODS: LogMAR presenting visual acuity, cycloplegic refractive error, ocular biometry, central corneal thickness (CCT), and corneal hysteresis (CH) was assessed for children in grades 1 to 3 at an academically competitive urban school in Shantou, China. RESULTS: Among 872 eligible children (mean age, 8.6 ± 2.1 years), 651 (74.7%) completed the examination. Among 1299 examined eyes, 111 (8.5%) had uncorrected vision ≤6/12. Mean spherical equivalent refractive error for all eyes was +0.26 ± 1.41 D, and axial length (AL) was 22.7 ± 0.90 mm. CH for the lowest (mean AL, 21.7 ± 0.39 mm), two middle (mean AL, 22.4 ± 0.15 and 22.9 ± 0.15 mm), and highest quartiles (mean AL, 23.7 ± 0.74 mm) of AL were 10.6 ± 2.1 mm Hg, 10.4 ± 2.1 mm Hg, 10.3 ± 2.3 mm Hg, and 10.2 ± 2.3 mm Hg respectively (age- and gender-adjusted Pearson's correlation coefficient r = -0.052; P = 0.001). In generalized estimating equation models adjusting for age, gender, and CCT, lower CH was significantly associated with longer AL (P < 0.001) and more myopic refractive error (P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CH measurement is practical in young children because this is when myopia undergoes its most rapid progression. Prospective follow-up of this cohort at high risk for myopia is under way to determine whether low CH is predictive, or a consequence, of long AL.

Passive Solar Building Design Using Genetic Programming

Passive solar building design is the process of designing a building while considering sunlight exposure for receiving heat in winter and rejecting heat in summer. The main goal of a passive solar building design is to remove or reduce the need of mechanical and electrical systems for cooling and heating, and therefore saving energy costs and reducing environmental impact. This research will use evolutionary computation to design passive solar buildings. Evolutionary design is used in many research projects to build 3D models for structures automatically. In this research, we use a mixture of split grammar and string-rewriting for generating new 3D structures. To evaluate energy costs, the EnergyPlus system is used. This is a comprehensive building energy simulation system, which will be used alongside the genetic programming system. In addition, genetic programming will also consider other design and geometry characteristics of the building as search objectives, for example, window placement, building shape, size, and complexity. In passive solar designs, reducing energy that is needed for cooling and heating are two objectives of interest. Experiments show that smaller buildings with no windows and skylights are the most energy efficient models. Window heat gain is another objective used to encourage models to have windows. In addition, window and volume based objectives are tried. To examine the impact of environment on designs, experiments are run on five different geographic locations. Also, both single floor models and multi-floor models are examined in this research. According to the experiments, solutions from the experiments were consistent with respect to materials, sizes, and appearance, and satisfied problem constraints in all instances.

Organizational Design of R&D Activities

This paper addresses the question of whether R&D should be carried out by an independent research unit or be produced in-house by the firm marketing the innovation. We define two organizational structures. In an integrated structure, the firm that markets the innovation also carries out and finances research leading to the innovation. In an independent structure, the firm that markets the innovation buys it from an independent research unit which is financed externally. We compare the two structures under the assumption that the research unit has some private information about the real cost of developing the new product. When development costs are negatively correlated with revenues from the innovation, the integrated structure dominates. The independent structure dominates in the opposite case.

Quadratic M-Estimators for ARCH-Type Processes

This paper addresses the issue of estimating semiparametric time series models specified by their conditional mean and conditional variance. We stress the importance of using joint restrictions on the mean and variance. This leads us to take into account the covariance between the mean and the variance and the variance of the variance, that is, the skewness and kurtosis. We establish the direct links between the usual parametric estimation methods, namely, the QMLE, the GMM and the M-estimation. The ususal univariate QMLE is, under non-normality, less efficient than the optimal GMM estimator. However, the bivariate QMLE based on the dependent variable and its square is as efficient as the optimal GMM one. A Monte Carlo analysis confirms the relevance of our approach, in particular, the importance of skewness.

Testing Mean-Variance Efficiency in CAPM with Possibly Non-Gaussian Errors : An Exact Simulation-Based Approach

In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the frame-work of multivariate linear regressions (MLR). It is well known however that despite their simple statistical structure, standard asymptotically justified MLR-based tests are unreliable. In financial econometrics, exact tests have been proposed for a few specific hypotheses [Jobson and Korkie (Journal of Financial Economics, 1982), MacKinlay (Journal of Financial Economics, 1987), Gib-bons, Ross and Shanken (Econometrica, 1989), Zhou (Journal of Finance 1993)], most of which depend on normality. For the gaussian model, our tests correspond to Gibbons, Ross and Shanken’s mean-variance efficiency tests. In non-gaussian contexts, we reconsider mean-variance efficiency tests allowing for multivariate Student-t and gaussian mixture errors. Our framework allows to cast more evidence on whether the normality assumption is too restrictive when testing the CAPM. We also propose exact multivariate diagnostic checks (including tests for multivariate GARCH and mul-tivariate generalization of the well known variance ratio tests) and goodness of fit tests as well as a set estimate for the intervening nuisance parameters. Our results [over five-year subperiods] show the following: (i) multivariate normality is rejected in most subperiods, (ii) residual checks reveal no significant departures from the multivariate i.i.d. assumption, and (iii) mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio is not rejected as frequently once it is allowed for the possibility of non-normal errors.

Identification, Weak Instruments and Statistical Inference in Econometrics

We discuss statistical inference problems associated with identification and testability in econometrics, and we emphasize the common nature of the two issues. After reviewing the relevant statistical notions, we consider in turn inference in nonparametric models and recent developments on weakly identified models (or weak instruments). We point out that many hypotheses, for which test procedures are commonly proposed, are not testable at all, while some frequently used econometric methods are fundamentally inappropriate for the models considered. Such situations lead to ill-defined statistical problems and are often associated with a misguided use of asymptotic distributional results. Concerning nonparametric hypotheses, we discuss three basic problems for which such difficulties occur: (1) testing a mean (or a moment) under (too) weak distributional assumptions; (2) inference under heteroskedasticity of unknown form; (3) inference in dynamic models with an unlimited number of parameters. Concerning weakly identified models, we stress that valid inference should be based on proper pivotal functions —a condition not satisfied by standard Wald-type methods based on standard errors — and we discuss recent developments in this field, mainly from the viewpoint of building valid tests and confidence sets. The techniques discussed include alternative proposed statistics, bounds, projection, split-sampling, conditioning, Monte Carlo tests. The possibility of deriving a finite-sample distributional theory, robustness to the presence of weak instruments, and robustness to the specification of a model for endogenous explanatory variables are stressed as important criteria assessing alternative procedures.

Inflation dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: an identification robust econometric analysis

In this paper, we use identification-robust methods to assess the empirical adequacy of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) equation. We focus on the Gali and Gertler’s (1999) specification, on both U.S. and Canadian data. Two variants of the model are studied: one based on a rationalexpectations assumption, and a modification to the latter which consists in using survey data on inflation expectations. The results based on these two specifications exhibit sharp differences concerning: (i) identification difficulties, (ii) backward-looking behavior, and (ii) the frequency of price adjustments. Overall, we find that there is some support for the hybrid NKPC for the U.S., whereas the model is not suited to Canada. Our findings underscore the need for employing identificationrobust inference methods in the estimation of expectations-based dynamic macroeconomic relations.

Beta2-agonists use during pregnancy and the risk of congenital malformations

Selon les lignes directrices de traitement de l'asthme pendant la grossesse, les beta2-agonistes inhalés à courte durée d’action (SABA) sont les médicaments de choix pour tous les types d’asthme [intermittent, persistant, léger, modéré et sévère] comme médicaments de secours rapide et dans la gestion des exacerbations aiguës. D’autre part, les beta2-agonistes inhalés à longue durée d’action (LABA) sont utilisés pour les patients atteints d'asthme persistant, modéré à sévère, qui ne sont pas entièrement contrôlés par des corticostéroïdes inhalés seuls. Malgré que plusieurs études aient examinées l’association entre les LABA, les SABA et les malformations congénitales chez les nouveau-nés, les risques réels restent controversés en raison de résultats contradictoires et des difficultés inhérentes à la réalisation d'études épidémiologiques chez les femmes enceintes. L'objectif de cette étude était d'évaluer l'association entre l'exposition maternelle aux SABA et LABA pendant le premier trimestre de grossesse et le risque de malformations congénitales chez les nouveau-nés de femmes asthmatiques. Une cohorte de grossesses de femmes asthmatiques ayant accouchées entre le 1er janvier 1990 et le 31 décembre 2002 a été formée en croisant trois banques de données administratives de la province de Québec (Canada). Les issues principales de cette étude étaient les malformations congénitales majeures de touts types. Comme issues secondaires, nous avons considéré des malformations congénitales spécifiques. L'exposition principale était la prise de SABA et/ou de LABA au cours du premier trimestre de grossesse. L'exposition secondaire étudiée était le nombre moyen de doses de SABA par semaine au cours du premier trimestre. L'association entre les malformations congénitales et la prise de SABA et de LABA a été évaluée en utilisant des modèles d’équations généralisées (GEE) en ajustant pour plusieurs variables confondantes reliées à la grossesse, l’asthme de la mère et la santé de la mère et du foetus. Dans la cohorte formée de 13 117 grossesses de femmes asthmatiques, nous avons identifié 1 242 enfants avec une malformation congénitale (9,5%), dont 762 avaient une malformation majeure (5,8%). Cinquante-cinq pour cent des femmes ont utilisé des SABA et 1,3% ont utilisé des LABA pendant le premier trimestre. Les rapports de cotes ajustées (IC à 95%) pour une malformation congénitale associée à l'utilisation des SABA et des LABA étaient de 1,0 (0,9-1,2) et 1,3 (0,9-2,1), respectivement. Les résultats correspondants étaient de 0,9 (0,8-1,1) et 1,3 (0,8-2,4) pour les malformations majeures. Concernant le nombre moyen de doses de SABA par semaine, les rapports de cotes ajustées (IC à 95%) pour une malformation congénitale était de 1.1 (1.0-1.3), 1.1 (0.9-1.3), et 0.9 (0.7-1.1) pour les doses >0-3, >3-10, and >10 respectivement. Les résultats correspondants étaient de 1.0 (0.8-1.2), 0.8 (0.7-1.1), et 0.7 (0.5-1.0) pour les malformations majeures. D'autre part, des rapports de cotes (IC à 95%) statistiquement significatifs ont été observés pour les malformations cardiaques (2.4 (1.1-5.1)), les malformations d'organes génitaux (6.8 (2.6-18.1)), et d'autres malformations congénitales (3.4 (1.4 à 8.5)), en association avec les LABA pris pendant le premier trimestre. Notre étude procure des données rassurantes pour l’utilisation des SABA pendant la grossesse, ce qui est en accord avec les lignes directrices de traitement de l’asthme. Toutefois, d'autres études sont nécessaires avant de pouvoir se prononcer sur l’innocuité des LABA pendant la grossesse.

Étude longitudinale des liens prédictifs entre les traits de personnalité et les symptômes intériorisés à l'adolescence.

Cette étude longitudinale visait à vérifier si les traits de personnalité (selon le modèle en cinq facteurs, « Big Five ») au début de l’adolescence (12-13 ans) permettent de prédire les symptômes intériorisés deux ans plus tard (14-15 ans), en contrôlant pour le niveau initial de symptômes intériorisés ainsi que l’influence de plusieurs facteurs de risque connus. Les données employées proviennent d’une étude longitudinale prospective. L’échantillon compte 1036 adolescents provenant de huit écoles secondaires québécoises. Les adolescents ont répondu à un questionnaire autorévélé. Des modèles d’équations structurales ont d’abord démontré la pertinence de conceptualiser les symptômes intériorisés comme une variable latente. D’autres modèles ont démontré que certains traits de personnalité prédisent effectivement les symptômes intériorisés ultérieurs. Cependant, contrairement aux études effectuées auprès d’adultes, le rôle de la Stabilité émotionnelle et de l’Extraversion n’est pas significatif après que l’influence de facteurs de risque connus et du sexe ait été contrôlée. Ce sont plutôt le Contrôle et l’Amabilité qui sont significativement reliés aux symptômes intériorisés ultérieurs dans la présente étude. Les résultats soulignent également le rôle important des facteurs de risque liés aux relations avec les pairs. Finalement, des modèles d’équations structurales multi-groupes ont mis en évidence des différences sexuelles significatives dans les relations prédictives. Cette étude confirme que les traits de personnalité des adolescents peuvent jouer un rôle dans le développement des symptômes intériorisés, ce qui leur confère une pertinence théorique et clinique.