Assessing inter-rater reliability when the raters are fixed: two concepts and two estimates.

Intraclass correlation (ICC) is an established tool to assess inter-rater reliability. In a seminal paper published in 1979, Shrout and Fleiss considered three statistical models for inter-rater reliability data with a balanced design. In their first two models, an infinite population of raters was considered, whereas in their third model, the raters in the sample were considered to be the whole population of raters. In the present paper, we show that the two distinct estimates of ICC developed for the first two models can both be applied to the third model and we discuss their different interpretations in this context.

Decision curve analysis revisited: overall net benefit, relationships to ROC curve analysis, and application to case-control studies.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Decision curve analysis has been introduced as a method to evaluate prediction models in terms of their clinical consequences if used for a binary classification of subjects into a group who should and into a group who should not be treated. The key concept for this type of evaluation is the "net benefit", a concept borrowed from utility theory. METHODS: We recall the foundations of decision curve analysis and discuss some new aspects. First, we stress the formal distinction between the net benefit for the treated and for the untreated and define the concept of the "overall net benefit". Next, we revisit the important distinction between the concept of accuracy, as typically assessed using the Youden index and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the concept of utility of a prediction model, as assessed using decision curve analysis. Finally, we provide an explicit implementation of decision curve analysis to be applied in the context of case-control studies. RESULTS: We show that the overall net benefit, which combines the net benefit for the treated and the untreated, is a natural alternative to the benefit achieved by a model, being invariant with respect to the coding of the outcome, and conveying a more comprehensive picture of the situation. Further, within the framework of decision curve analysis, we illustrate the important difference between the accuracy and the utility of a model, demonstrating how poor an accurate model may be in terms of its net benefit. Eventually, we expose that the application of decision curve analysis to case-control studies, where an accurate estimate of the true prevalence of a disease cannot be obtained from the data, is achieved with a few modifications to the original calculation procedure. CONCLUSIONS: We present several interrelated extensions to decision curve analysis that will both facilitate its interpretation and broaden its potential area of application.

Association between substance use and psychosocial characteristics among adolescents of the Seychelles.

BACKGROUND: We examined the associations between substance use (cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, and cannabis use) and psychosocial characteristics at the individual and family levels among adolescents of the Seychelles, a rapidly developing small island state in the African region. METHODS: A school survey was conducted in a representative sample of 1432 students aged 11-17 years from all secondary schools. Data came from a self-administered anonymous questionnaire conducted along a standard methodology (Global School-based Health Survey, GSHS). Risk behaviors and psychosocial characteristics were dichotomized. Association analyses were adjusted for a possible classroom effect. RESULTS: The prevalence of cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking and cannabis use was higher in boys than in girls and increased with age. Age-adjusted and multivariate analyses showed that several individual level characteristics (e.g. suicidal ideation and truancy) and family level characteristics (e.g. poor parental monitoring) were associated with substance use among students. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that health promotion programs should simultaneously address multiple risk behaviors and take into account a wide range of psychosocial characteristics of the students at the individual and family levels.

Pathogenesis of adult-onset Still's disease: new insights from the juvenile counterpart.

Adult-onset Still's disease (AOSD) is a rare inflammatory disease characterized by the classical triad of daily fever, arthritis, and typical salmon-colored rash. Recent accumulation of knowledge, mostly arising from hereditary autoinflammatory diseases and from the systemic-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis (sJIA), has given raise to new hypotheses on the pathophysiology of AOSD. In this review, we first discuss on the continuum between AOSD and sJIA. Then, we summarize current hypotheses on the underlying pathogenesis: (1) an infectious hypothesis; (2) an autoinflammatory hypothesis; (3) a lymphohistiocytic hypothesis; and (4) a hyperferritinemic hypothesis. Finally, we present the recent data suggesting that patients with AOSD fall into two distinct subgroups with different courses, one with prominent systemic features and one with chronic arthritis.

Discours sur le serment civique, prononcé le dimanche 14 février 1790, dans l'église de Notre-Dame ([Reprod.]) / par M. Mulot

[Discours. 1790-02-14. Paris, Eglise de Notre-Dame]

Valentine Greatrakes ja parantava kosketus : ihmeparantajan aiheuttama uskonnollinen ja lääketieteellinen keskustelu 1660-luvun Englannissa

Zusammenfassung: Valentine Greatrakes und die heilende Berührung : die durch Wunderheiler ausgelöste religiöse und medizinische Debatte in England in den 60er Jahren des 17. Jahrhunderts

Association of biomarkers of lipid modification with functional and morphological indices of coronary stenosis severity in stable coronary artery disease.

Biomarkers of blood lipid modification and oxidative stress have been associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity. We sought to determine whether these biomarkers were related to functional indices of stenosis severity among patients with stable coronary artery disease. We studied 197 consecutive patients with stable coronary artery disease due to single vessel disease. Fractional flow reserve (FFR) ≤ 0.80 was assessed as index of a functionally significant lesion. Serum levels of secretory phospholipase A2 (sPLA2) activity, secretory phospholipase A2 type IIA (sPLA2-IIA), myeloperoxydase (MPO), lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2), and oxidized low-density lipoprotein (OxLDL) were assessed using commercially available assays. Patients with FFR > 0.8 had higher sPLA2 activity, sPLA2 IIA, and OxLDL levels than patients with FFR ≤ 0.8 (21.25 [16.03-27.28] vs 25.85 [20.58-34.63] U/mL, p < 0.001, 2.0 [1.5-3.4] vs 2.6 [2.0-3.4] ng/mL, p < 0.01; and 53.0 [36.0-71.0] vs 64.5 [50-89.25], p < 0.001 respectively). Patients with FFR > 0.80 had similar Lp-PLA2 and MPO levels versus those with FFR ≤ 0.8. sPLA2 activity, sPLA2 IIA significantly increased area under the curve over baseline characteristics to predict FFR ≤ 0.8 (0.67 to 0.77 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.85) p < 0.01 and 0.67 to 0.77 (95 % CI: 0.69-0.84) p < 0.01, respectively). Serum sPLA2 activity as well as sPLA2-IIA level is related to functional characteristics of coronary stenoses in patients with stable coronary artery disease.

Gender and socioeconomic disparities in BMI trajectories in the Seychelles using birth cohorts generated from serial population-based surveys.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and socioeconomic status (SES) tends to change over time and across populations. In this study, we examined, separately in men and women, whether the association between BMI and SES changed over successive birth cohorts in the Seychelles (Indian Ocean, African region). METHODS: We used data from all participants in three surveys conducted in 1989, 1994 and 2004 in independent random samples of the population aged 25-64 years in the Seychelles (N= 3'403). We used linear regression to model mean BMI according to age, cohort, SES and smoking status, allowing for a quadratic term for age to account for a curvilinear relation between BMI and age and interactions between SES and age and between SES and cohorts to test whether the relation between SES and BMI changed across subsequent cohorts. All analyses were performed separately in men and women. RESULTS: BMI increased with age in all birth cohorts. BMI was lower in men of low SES than high SES but was higher in women of low SES than high SES. In all SES categories, BMI increased over successive cohorts (1.24 kg/m2 in men and 1.51 kg/m2 for a 10-year increase in birth cohorts, p <0.001). The difference in BMI between men or women of high vs. low SES did not change significantly across successive cohorts (the interaction between SES and year of birth of cohort was statistically not significant). Smoking was associated with lower BMI in men and women (respectively -1.55 kg/m2 and 2.46 kg/m2, p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Although large differences exist between men and women, social patterning of BMI did not change significantly over successive cohorts in this population of a middle-income country in the African region.

Improvement in gross motor performance between 3 and 5 years of age.

This study examined gross motor performance of 101 typically developing children between 3 and 5 years of age (48 boys, 53 girls, M age = 3.9 yr., SD = 0.5). All children performed 7 different gross motor tasks which were rated on a 5-point scale. Age and sex were assessed by an ordinal-logistic model, and odds ratios were calculated for each task using age and sex as covariates. For standing on one leg, walking on a beam, hopping on one leg, running, and taking stairs, statistically significant age differences were found, while for rising and jumping down, none were apparent. Mean motor performance did not differ between boys and girls on the tasks. The older the children were, the better they performed on the tasks.

A Playful Glance at Hierarchical Questions for Two-Way Alternating Automata

Two-way alternating automata were introduced by Vardi in order to study the satisfiability problem for the modal μ-calculus extended with backwards modalities. In this paper, we present a very simple proof by way of Wadge games of the strictness of the hierarchy of Motowski indices of two-way alternating automata over trees.

Influencia del contenido de oxigeno sobre la ductilidad del hierro de granos ultra finos obtenido por compactación en caliente

Sabiendo que las propiedades mecánicas de un metal están gobernadas por sumicroestructura y más precisamente por su tamaño de grano, la industria busca desarrollarmateriales con un tamaño de grano nanométrico que tengan comportamientos mecánicosinteresantes: alto limite elástico y ductilidad aceptable.Este proyecto trata de la influencia del oxigeno sobre un material nanoestructurado obtenidopor compactación en caliente de polvo molido de hierro. Con este objetivo, se ha realizadodos polvo de hierro conteniendo cada uno una concentración en oxigeno diferente (0.238 y0.634% másico). Se los han compactado a diferentes temperaturas (575, 600, 625y 650°C).Se ha realizado diferentes pruebas sobre los consolidados: medición de la densidad,dureza, determinación del tamaño de grano, resistencia mecánica y ductilidad medianteensayo de tracción.Las piezas consolidadas con un porcentaje bajo de carbono muestran una buena resistenciacon porcentajes de alargamiento bajos pero suficientes. Para las piezas con altoscontenidos de oxígeno, se ha demostrado que el oxigeno fragiliza el material formandoóxidos que ralentizan el crecimiento de grano a alta temperatura y que dificultan suconsolidación. De esta manera, estas piezas tienen una resistencia teórica mucho mayorpero rompen por rotura frágil.

Influencia del contenido de oxigeno sobre la ductilidad del hierro de granos ultra finos obtenido por compactación en caliente

Sabiendo que las propiedades mecánicas de un metal están gobernadas por sumicroestructura y más precisamente por su tamaño de grano, la industria busca desarrollarmateriales con un tamaño de grano nanométrico que tengan comportamientos mecánicosinteresantes: alto limite elástico y ductilidad aceptable.Este proyecto trata de la influencia del oxigeno sobre un material nanoestructurado obtenidopor compactación en caliente de polvo molido de hierro. Con este objetivo, se ha realizadodos polvo de hierro conteniendo cada uno una concentración en oxigeno diferente (0.238 y0.634% másico). Se los han compactado a diferentes temperaturas (575, 600, 625y 650°C).Se ha realizado diferentes pruebas sobre los consolidados: medición de la densidad,dureza, determinación del tamaño de grano, resistencia mecánica y ductilidad medianteensayo de tracción.Las piezas consolidadas con un porcentaje bajo de carbono muestran una buena resistenciacon porcentajes de alargamiento bajos pero suficientes. Para las piezas con altoscontenidos de oxígeno, se ha demostrado que el oxigeno fragiliza el material formandoóxidos que ralentizan el crecimiento de grano a alta temperatura y que dificultan suconsolidación. De esta manera, estas piezas tienen una resistencia teórica mucho mayorpero rompen por rotura frágil.