A STUDY OF INFLUENZA AND OF STATISTICAL METHODS USED TO REPORT INFLUENZA

This paper defines and compares several models for describing excess influenza pneumonia mortality in Houston. First, the methodology used by the Center for Disease Control is examined and several variations of this methodology are studied. All of the models examined emphasize the difficulty of omitting epidemic weeks.^ In an attempt to find a better method of describing expected and epidemic mortality, time series methods are examined. Grouping in four-week periods, truncating the data series to adjust epidemic periods, and seasonally-adjusting the series y(,t), by:^ (DIAGRAM, TABLE OR GRAPHIC OMITTED...PLEASE SEE DAI)^ is the best method examined. This new series w(,t) is stationary and a moving average model MA(1) gives a good fit for forecasting influenza and pneumonia mortality in Houston.^ Influenza morbidity, other causes of death, sex, race, age, climate variables, environmental factors, and school absenteeism are all examined in terms of their relationship to influenza and pneumonia mortality. Both influenza morbidity and ischemic heart disease mortality show a very high relationship that remains when seasonal trends are removed from the data. However, when jointly modeling the three series it is obvious that the simple time series MA(1) model of truncated, seasonally-adjusted four-week data gives a better forecast.^

Development of combined micro -preparation, separation, and mass spectrometry methods and application in the microdialysis study of neuropeptide metabolism

Two sets of mass spectrometry-based methods were developed specifically for the in vivo study of extracellular neuropeptide biochemistry. First, an integrated micro-concentration/desalting/matrix-addition device was constructed for matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization mass spectrometry (MALDI MS) to achieve attomole sensitivity for microdialysis samples. Second, capillary electrophoresis (CE) was incorporated into the above micro-liquid chromatography (LC) and MALDI MS system to provide two-dimensional separation and identification (i.e. electrophoretic mobility and molecular mass) for the analysis of complex mixtures. The latter technique includes two parts of instrumentation: (1) the coupling of a preconcentration LC column to the inlet of a CE capillary, and (2) the utilization of a matrix-precoated membrane target for continuous CE effluent deposition and for automatic MALDI MS analysis (imaging) of the CE track.^ Initial in vivo data reveals a carboxypeptidase A (CPA) activity in rat brain involved in extracellular neurotensin metabolism. Benzylsuccinic acid, a CPA inhibitor, inhibited neurotensin metabolite NT1-12 formation by 70%, while inhibitors of other major extracellular peptide metabolizing enzymes increased NT1-12 formation. CPA activity has not been observed in previous in vitro experiments. Next, the validity of the methodology was demonstrated in the detection and structural elucidation of an endogenous neuropeptide, (L)VV-hemorphin-7, in rat brain upon ATP stimulation. Finally, the combined micro-LC/CE/MALDI MS was used in the in vivo metabolic study of peptide E, a mu-selective opioid peptide with 25 amino acid residues. Profiles of 88 metabolites were obtained, their identity being determined by their mass-to-charge ratio and electrophoretic mobility. The results indicate that there are several primary cleavage sites in vivo for peptide E in the release of its enkephalin-containing fragments. ^

Calcite saturation and yield and Mg/Ca, Mn/Ca, Al/Ca, Fe/Ca for four species of planktic foraminifera cleaned using Mg-cleaning and Cd-cleaning methods

Four species of planktic foraminifera from core-tops spanning a depth transect on the Ontong Java Plateau were prepared for Mg/Ca analysis both with (Cd-cleaning) and without (Mg-cleaning) a reductive cleaning step. Reductive cleaning caused etching of foraminiferal calcite, focused on Mg-rich inner calcite, even on tests which had already been partially dissolved at the seafloor. Despite corrosion, there was no difference in Mg/Ca of Pulleniatina obliquiloculata between cleaning methods. Reductive cleaning decreased Mg/Ca by an average (all depths) of ~ 4% for Globigerinoides ruber white and ~ 10% for Neogloboquadrina dutertrei. Mg/Ca of Globigerinoides sacculifer (above the calcite saturation horizon only) was 5% lower after reductive cleaning. The decrease in Mg/Ca due to reductive cleaning appeared insensitive to preservation state for G. ruber, N. dutertrei and P. obliquiloculata. Mg/Ca of Cd-cleaned G. sacculifer appeared less sensitive to dissolution than that of Mg-cleaned. Mg-cleaning is adequate, but SEM and contaminants (Al/Ca, Fe/Ca and Mn/Ca) show that Cd-cleaning is more effective for porous species. A second aspect of the study addressed sample loss during cleaning. Lower yield after Cd-cleaning for G. ruber, G. sacculifer and N. dutertrei confirmed this to be the more aggressive method. Strongest correlations between yield and Delta[CO3^2-] in core-top samples were for Cd-cleaned G. ruber (r = 0.88, p = 0.020) and Cd-cleaned P. obliquiloculata (r = 0.68, p = 0.030). In a down-core record (WIND28K) correlation, r, between yield values > 30% and dissolution index, XDX, was -0.61 (p = 0.002). Where cleaning yield < 30% most Mg-cleaned Mg/Ca values were biased by dissolution.

Hybrid topological derivative and gradient-based methods for electrical impedance tomography

We present a technique to reconstruct the electromagnetic properties of a medium or a set of objects buried inside it from boundary measurements when applying electric currents through a set of electrodes. The electromagnetic parameters may be recovered by means of a gradient method without a priori information on the background. The shape, location and size of objects, when present, are determined by a topological derivative-based iterative procedure. The combination of both strategies allows improved reconstructions of the objects and their properties, assuming a known background.

Comparative study about the use of two and three-dimensional methods in surface finishing characterization

The increasing number of works related to the surface texture characterization based on 3D information, makes convenient rethinking traditional methods based on two-dimensional measurements from profiles. This work compares results between measurements obtained using two and three-dimensional methods. It uses three kinds of data sources: reference surfaces, randomly generated surfaces and measured. Preliminary results are presented. These results must be completed trying to cover a wider number of possibilities according to the manufacturing process and the measurement instrumentation since results can vary quite significantly between them.

BiGlobal and point vortex methods for the instability analysis of wakes

To better understand destruction mechanisms of wake-vortices behind aircraft, the point vortex method for stability (inviscid) used by Crow is here compared with viscous modal global stability analysis of the linearized Navier-Stokes equations acting on a two-dimensional basic flow, i.e. BiGlobal stability analysis. The fact that the BiGlobal method is viscous, and uses a flnite área vortex model, gives rise to results somewhat different from the point vortex model. It adds more parameters to the problem, but is more realistic.

On the geometry of solutions of the quasi-geostrophic and Euler equations

We study solutions of the two-dimensional quasi-geostrophic thermal active scalar equation involving simple hyperbolic saddles. There is a naturally associated notion of simple hyperbolic saddle breakdown. It is proved that such breakdown cannot occur in finite time. At large time, these solutions may grow at most at a quadruple-exponential rate. Analogous results hold for the incompressible three-dimensional Euler equation.

Radical SAM, a novel protein superfamily linking unresolved steps in familiar biosynthetic pathways with radical mechanisms: functional characterization using new analysis and information visualization methods

A novel protein superfamily with over 600 members was discovered by iterative profile searches and analyzed with powerful bioinformatics and information visualization methods. Evidence exists that these proteins generate a radical species by reductive cleavage of S-adenosylmethionine (SAM) through an unusual Fe-S center. The superfamily (named here Radical SAM) provides evidence that radical-based catalysis is important in a number of previously well- studied but unresolved biochemical pathways and reflects an ancient conserved mechanistic approach to difficult chemistries. Radical SAM proteins catalyze diverse reactions, including unusual methylations, isomerization, sulfur insertion, ring formation, anaerobic oxidation and protein radical formation. They function in DNA precursor, vitamin, cofactor, antibiotic and herbicide biosynthesis and in biodegradation pathways. One eukaryotic member is interferon-inducible and is considered a candidate drug target for osteoporosis; another is observed to bind the neuronal Cdk5 activator protein. Five defining members not previously recognized as homologs are lysine 2,3-aminomutase, biotin synthase, lipoic acid synthase and the activating enzymes for pyruvate formate-lyase and anaerobic ribonucleotide reductase. Two functional predictions for unknown proteins are made based on integrating other data types such as motif, domain, operon and biochemical pathway into an organized view of similarity relationships.

Innovative analytical strategies for the development of sensor devices and mass spectrometry methods

Il lavoro presentato in questa tesi di Dottorato è incentrato sullo sviluppo di strategie analitiche innovative basate sulla sensoristica e su tecniche di spettrometria di massa in ambito biologico e della sicurezza alimentare. Il primo capitolo tratta lo studio di aspetti metodologici ed applicativi di procedure sensoristiche per l’identificazione e la determinazione di biomarkers associati alla malattia celiaca. In tale ambito, sono stati sviluppati due immunosensori, uno a trasduzione piezoelettrica e uno a trasduzione amperometrica, per la rivelazione di anticorpi anti-transglutaminasi tissutale associati a questa malattia. L’innovazione di questi dispositivi riguarda l’immobilizzazione dell’enzima tTG nella conformazione aperta (Open-tTG), che è stato dimostrato essere quella principalmente coinvolta nella patogenesi. Sulla base dei risultati ottenuti, entrambi i sistemi sviluppati si sono dimostrati una valida alternativa ai test di screening attualmente in uso per la diagnosi della celiachia. Rimanendo sempre nel contesto della malattia celiaca, ulteriore ricerca oggetto di questa tesi di Dottorato, ha riguardato lo sviluppo di metodi affidabili per il controllo di prodotti “gluten-free”. Il secondo capitolo tratta lo sviluppo di un metodo di spettrometria di massa e di un immunosensore competitivo per la rivelazione di prolammine in alimenti “gluten-free”. E’ stato sviluppato un metodo LC-ESI-MS/MS basato su un’analisi target con modalità di acquisizione del segnale selected reaction monitoring per l’identificazione di glutine in diversi cereali potenzialmente tossici per i celiaci. Inoltre ci si è focalizzati su un immunosensore competitivo per la rivelazione di gliadina, come metodo di screening rapido di farine. Entrambi i sistemi sono stati ottimizzati impiegando miscele di farina di riso addizionata di gliadina, avenine, ordeine e secaline nel caso del sistema LC-MS/MS e con sola gliadina nel caso del sensore. Infine i sistemi analitici sono stati validati analizzando sia materie prime (farine) che alimenti (biscotti, pasta, pane, etc.). L’approccio sviluppato in spettrometria di massa apre la strada alla possibilità di sviluppare un test di screening multiplo per la valutazione della sicurezza di prodotti dichiarati “gluten-free”, mentre ulteriori studi dovranno essere svolti per ricercare condizioni di estrazione compatibili con l’immunosaggio competitivo, per ora applicabile solo all’analisi di farine estratte con etanolo. Terzo capitolo di questa tesi riguarda lo sviluppo di nuovi metodi per la rivelazione di HPV, Chlamydia e Gonorrhoeae in fluidi biologici. Si è scelto un substrato costituito da strips di carta in quanto possono costituire una valida piattaforma di rivelazione, offrendo vantaggi grazie al basso costo, alla possibilità di generare dispositivi portatili e di poter visualizzare il risultato visivamente senza la necessità di strumentazioni. La metodologia sviluppata è molto semplice, non prevede l’uso di strumentazione complessa e si basa sull’uso della isothermal rolling-circle amplification per l’amplificazione del target. Inoltre, di fondamentale importanza, è l’utilizzo di nanoparticelle colorate che, essendo state funzionalizzate con una sequenza di DNA complementare al target amplificato derivante dalla RCA, ne permettono la rivelazione a occhio nudo mediante l’uso di filtri di carta. Queste strips sono state testate su campioni reali permettendo una discriminazione tra campioni positivi e negativi in tempi rapidi (10-15 minuti), aprendo una nuova via verso nuovi test altamente competitivi con quelli attualmente sul mercato.

Fish diversity and traditional fishing methods in semiarid irrigated system in the Bajo Vinalopó region, Southeastern Spain

The aim of this paper is to obtain a comprehensive picture of the importance of the fish fauna in the wetlands and coastal lagoons of the Bajo Vinalopó region (Alicante, South eastern Spain) and the ecological, historical and cultural value of the traditional knowledge on fishing maintained by local people. We have compiled data from different information sources: (1) the revision of historical archives, (2) personal interviews and collaborative research, and (3) ecological and water quality data. The results show that the area sustains important fish fauna diversity (17 species) and that local people have inherited a considerable traditional knowledge on fishing methods (11 modalities), on the maintenance and sound management of the water system and on the ecology and behaviour of fish. We conclude that a comprehensive consideration of all these ecological, historical and socio-cultural aspects related to fish and fishing shows clearly the value of this ecological and cultural heritage and provides a necessary base for a sustainable management of the area.