Département du Var : Divisé par les Contributions Indirectes en directions d'Arrondissements Recettes Sédentaires Recettes Ambulantes à cheval Recettes Ambulantes à pied & Recettes Buralistes

Échelle(s) : [ca 1:263 000], Echelle de 40000 Mètres

[Archives de la Parole]. , Chant populaire roumain : Haĩ salcâm, salcâm de vară! / M. Michel Vulpesco, baryton ; accompagnement instrumental. Chant populaire roumain : Foaie verde sansurastră [samura stră] / M. Michel Vulpesco, baryton

Langue roumaine

Panel index VAR models: Specification, Estimation, Testing and Leading Indicators

This paper proposes a method to conduct inference in panel VAR models with cross unit interdependencies and time variations in the coefficients. The approach can be used to obtain multi-unit forecasts and leading indicators and to conduct policy analysis in a multiunit setups. The framework of analysis is Bayesian and MCMC methods are used to estimate the posterior distribution of the features of interest. The model is reparametrized to resemble an observable index model and specification searches are discussed. As an example, we construct leading indicators for inflation and GDP growth in the Euro area using G-7 information.

ENSAIO DE REGA: Análise de seis modelos de sistema de rega gota a gota na produção de cenoura (Daucus carota var. brasília)

INTRODUÇÃO As culturas geralmente apresentam um desenvolvimento e rendimento intensamente influenciados pelas condições do clima e da humidade do solo. A deficiência de água no solo é, frequentemente, o factor mais limitante para a obtenção de altos rendimentos, embora o excesso pode, também, ser prejudicial, ou perante o uso da má qualidade de água, a salinização do solo. Assim para que a gestão de irrigação se processe dentro de um critério racional, é necessário o controle da humidade do solo, durante todo o ciclo da cultura para, deste modo, determinar o momento da irrigação e a quantidade de água a ser aplicada. Com este propósito é necessário o conhecimento do complexo fenómeno da interacção solo-planta – clima. Em Cabo Verde, geralmente os agricultores utilizam uma mesma instalação de rega para um leque grande de hortícolas cujas distâncias de plantação diferem grandemente de espécie para espécie. O INIDA vem desenvolvendo uma pesquisa que engloba uma sucessão de ensaios com varias hortícolas sobre os mesmos modelos de instalação com o objectivo principal de encontrar modelo (s) de sistema de rega gota a gota de maior resultado sobre a produtividade das hortícolas em geral.

Oviposition behavior and performance aspects of Ascia monuste (Godart, 1919) (Lepidoptera, Pieridae) on kale (Brassica oleracea var. acephala)

Host part selection by ovipositing females of Ascia monuste (Godart, 1919) (Lepidoptera, Pieridae) on kale (Brassica oleracea var. acephala) was determined in greenhouse and field. Performance of offspring (larval period, efficiency of food utilization, number of eggs/female and others) was investigated under laboratory conditions. In the field, the number of A. monuste egg clutches on the apical and medium parts of kale leaves was greater than on the basal part. In greenhouse, A. monuste exhibited a strong preference for the apical part of kale leaves for ovipositing. The best results on food utilization indices, pupal mass and female wing size were obtained with the leaf apical part. This part of kale leaves exhibited the highest nitrogen and protein concentration and the smallest water content, when compared to the other leaf parts. However, the apical part of the leaves seems not to provide ovipositing females with enough protection against birds, making them easy preys in the field. We suggest that good relationship between oviposition preference and performance of offspring was hindered by predation in field conditions.

Spanish monetary policy: A structural VAR analysis

Some past studies analyzed Spanish monetary policy with the standard VAR. Their problem is that this method obliges researchers to impose a certain extreme form of the short run policy rule on their models. Hence, it does not allow researchers to study the possibility of structural changes in this rule, either. This paper overcomes these problems by using the structural VAR. I find that the rule has always been that of partial accommodation. Prior to 1984, it was quite close to money targeting. After 1984, it became closer to the interest rate targeting, with more emphasis on the exchange rate.

Monetary policy misspecification in VAR models

We examine the effects of extracting monetary policy disturbances with semi-structural and structural VARs, using data generated bya limited participation model under partial accommodative and feedback rules. We find that, in general, misspecification is substantial: short run coefficients often have wrong signs; impulse responses and variance decompositions give misleadingrepresentations of the dynamics. Explanations for the results and suggestions for macroeconomic practice are provided.

Dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis, related with temperature, density and concentration of insecticide

The dynamics of the control of Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti Linnaeus, (Diptera, Culicidae) by Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis has been related with the temperature, density and concentration of the insecticide. A mathematical model for biological control of Aedes aegypti with Bacillus thuringiensis var israelensis (Bti) was constructed by using data from the literature regarding the biology of the vector. The life cycle was described by differential equations. Lethal concentrations (LC50 and LC95) of Bti were determined in the laboratory under different experimental conditions. Temperature, colony, larvae density and bioinsecticide concentration presented marked differences in the analysis of the whole set of variables; although when analyzed individually, only the temperature and concentration showed changes. The simulations indicated an inverse relationship between temperature and mosquito population, nonetheless, faster growth of populations is reached at higher temperatures. As conclusion, the model suggests the use of integrated control strategies for immature and adult mosquitoes in order to achieve a reduction of Aedes aegypti.

Estimating multi-country VAR models

This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypothesesand to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian: a prior flexibly reduces the dimensionality of the model and puts structure on the time variations; MCMC methods are used to obtain posterior distributions; and marginal likelihoods to check the fit of various specifications. Impulse responses and conditional forecasts are obtained with the output of MCMC routine. The transmission of certain shocks across countries is analyzed.

Monetary policy shocks and transmission in Italy: A VAR analysis

This paper provides updated empirical evidence about the real and nominal effects of monetary policy in Italy, by using structural VAR analysis. We discuss different empirical approaches that have been used in order to identify monetary policy exogenous shocks. We argue that the data support the view that the Bank of Italy, at least in the recent past, has been targeting the rate on overnight interbank loans. Therefore, we interpret shocks to the overnight rate as purely exogenous monetary policy shocks and study how different macroeconomic variables react to such shocks.

Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model

We provide methods for forecasting variables and predicting turning points in panel Bayesian VARs. We specify a flexible model which accounts for both interdependencies in the cross section and time variations in the parameters. Posterior distributions for the parameters are obtained for a particular type of diffuse, for Minnesota-type and for hierarchical priors. Formulas for multistep, multiunit point and average forecasts are provided. An application to the problem of forecasting the growth rate of output and of predicting turning points in the G-7 illustrates the approach. A comparison with alternative forecasting methods is also provided.

Histoplasma capsulatum var. duboisii infection in a patient with AIDS: rapid diagnosis using polymerase chain reaction-sequencing.

We describe an original case of disseminated infection with Histoplasma capsulatum (Hc) var. duboisii in an African patient with AIDS who migrated to Switzerland. The diagnosis of histoplasmosis was suggested using direct examination of tissues and confirmed in 24 h with a panfungal polymerase chain reaction assay. The variety duboisii of Hc was established using DNA sequencing of the polymorphic genomic region OLE. Molecular tools allow diagnosis of histoplasmosis in 24 h, which is drastically shorter than culture procedures.

Composição, abundância e riqueza de Calliphoridae (Diptera) das matas e clareiras com diferentes coberturas vegetais da Base de Extração Petrolífera, bacia do Rio Urucu, Coari, Amazonas

Este trabalho foi realizado na base de extração petrolífera, bacia do Rio Urucu, Coari, Amazonas, nos meses de abril, junho e outubro de 2007. Um total de 16 áreas foram amostradas, 12 delas de clareiras e quatro de florestas, sendo categorizadas em quatro ambientes (clareiras pouco recuperadas, clareiras semi-recuperadas, clareiras bem recuperadas e floresta preservada). Um total de 7.215 califorídeos foram capturados pertencentes a 16 espécies e uma única delas, a Chloroprocta idioidea (Robineau-Desvoidy, 1830), representou 88,06% deste total. Os padrões de abundância da família não diferiram entre os ambientes, porém eles diferiram para as seguintes espécies: Eumesembrinella randa (Walker, 1849), Hemilucilia semidiaphana (Rondani, 1850) e Paralucilia adespota Dear, 1985. A riqueza estimada variou significativamente entre os ambientes, formando dois grupos: I, clareiras pouco recuperadas (C1) e clareiras semi-recuperadas (C2); e II, clareiras bem recuperadas (C3) e floresta preservada (MT).

Département du Var : Divisé par les Contributions Indirectes en directions d'Arrondissements Recettes Sédentaires Recettes Ambulantes à cheval Recettes Ambulantes à pied & Recettes Buralistes

Échelle(s) : [ca 1:263 000], Echelle de 40000 Mètres