An artificial neural network approach for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal

This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal. The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid, as nowadays occurs in Portugal, poses new challenges due to its intermittency and volatility. Hence, good forecasting tools play a key role in tackling these challenges. The accuracy of the wind power forecasting attained with the proposed approach is evaluated against persistence and ARIMA approaches, reporting the numerical results from a real-world case study.

Dynamic artificial neural network for electricity market prices forecast

This paper presents an artificial neural network applied to the forecasting of electricity market prices, with the special feature of being dynamic. The dynamism is verified at two different levels. The first level is characterized as a re-training of the network in every iteration, so that the artificial neural network can able to consider the most recent data at all times, and constantly adapt itself to the most recent happenings. The second level considers the adaptation of the neural network’s execution time depending on the circumstances of its use. The execution time adaptation is performed through the automatic adjustment of the amount of data considered for training the network. This is an advantageous and indispensable feature for this neural network’s integration in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System), a multi-agent system that has the purpose of providing decision support to the market negotiating players of MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets).

Rede neural artificial para detecção de sobremortalidade atribuível à cólera no Ceará

OBJETIVO: Avaliar as redes neurais recorrentes enquanto técnica preditiva para séries temporais em saúde. MÉTODOS: O estudo foi realizado durante uma epidemia de cólera ocorrida no Estado do Ceará, em 1993 e 1994, a partir da sobremortalidade tendo como causa básica as infecções intestinais mal definidas (CID-9). O número mensal de óbitos por essa causa, referente ao período de 1979 a 1995 no Estado do Ceará, foram obtidos do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade (SIM) do Ministério da Saúde. Estruturou-se uma rede com dois neurônios na camada de entrada, 12 na camada oculta, um neurônio na camada de saída e um na camada de memória. Todas as funções de ativação eram a função logística. O treinamento foi realizado pelo método de backpropagation, com taxa de aprendizado de 0,01 e momentum de 0,9, com dados de janeiro de 1979 a junho de 1991. O critério para fim do treinamento foi atingir 22.000 epochs. Compararam-se os resultados com os de um modelo de regressão binomial negativa. RESULTADOS: A predição da rede neural a médio prazo foi adequada, em dezembro de 1993 e novembro e dezembro de 1994. O número de óbitos registrados foi superior ao limite do intervalo de confiança. Já o modelo regressivo detectou sobremortalidade a partir de março de 1992. CONCLUSÕES: A rede neural se mostrou capaz de predição, principalmente no início do período, como também ao detectar uma alteração concomitante e posterior à ocorrência da epidemia de cólera. No entanto, foi menos precisa do que o modelo de regressão binomial, que se mostrou mais sensível para detectar aberrações concomitantes à circulação da cólera.

Estudo do recife artificial a construir na Leirosa: aplicação de modelação numérica para simulação da propagação da agitação marítima

A temática dos recifes artificiais multifuncionais é relativamente recente, sendo que o primeiro recife artificial multifuncional construído data do ano de 1999 (Perth, Austrália). A palavra multifuncional está associada aos múltiplos propósitos que se podem atingir com a construção de uma estrutura destas, sendo eles, a proteção costeira, o aumento da biodiversidade local, a melhoria da qualidade das ondas para o Surf e a promoção do turismo ligado aos desportos de ondas. Para dar resposta a um caso de proteção costeira, na zona marítima adjacente à praia de Leirosa, Portugal, foi pensada uma construção de um recife artificial que funcione como obra de proteção do sistema dunar local e que, adicionalmente melhore as condições locais para a prática de Surf. Este trabalho descreve a análise de duas soluções de recife (em forma de “V”, formando um ângulo de 45º e 66º, entre si), através dos valores das características das ondas (altura, período e direção) e parâmetros de surfabilidade (linha de rebentação, número de Iribarren e ângulo de rebentação), para uma gama alargada de condições de agitação frequente. Para tal, foi necessário caracterizar a agitação marítima, através do modelo numérico SWAN para determinação dos casos de agitação mais frequentes na zona marítima adjacente ao local de implantação do recife e para, posteriormente, se proceder à sua utilização no modelo numérico DREAMS, que permitiu a simulação da propagação das ondas sobre o recife. A comparação dos resultados do modelo numérico DREAMS para as situações de com e sem recife (para as duas soluções de recife) permitiu avaliar a influência do mesmo em termos de alturas de onda, linha de rebentação e ângulo de rebentação, tendo-se chegado a resultados satisfatórios do ponto de vista do melhoramento das condições locais para a prática do Surf.

Scheduling distributed energy resources in an isolated grid - an artificial neural network approach

Power Systems (PS), have been affected by substantial penetration of Distributed Generation (DG) and the operation in competitive environments. The future PS will have to deal with large-scale integration of DG and other distributed energy resources (DER), such as storage means, and provide to market agents the means to ensure a flexible and secure operation. Virtual power players (VPP) can aggregate a diversity of players, namely generators and consumers, and a diversity of energy resources, including electricity generation based on several technologies, storage and demand response. This paper proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) based methodology to support VPP resource schedule. The trained network is able to achieve good schedule results requiring modest computational means. A real data test case is presented.

Combining artificial intelligence techniques for the training of power system control centre operators

Control Centre operators are essential to assure a good performance of Power Systems. Operators’ actions are critical in dealing with incidents, especially severe faults, like blackouts. In this paper we present an Intelligent Tutoring approach for training Portuguese Control Centre operators in incident analysis and diagnosis, and service restoration of Power Systems, offering context awareness and an easy integration in the working environment.

Seismic imaging of the western Iberian crust using ambient noise: Boundaries and internal structure of the Iberian Massif

We present new Rayleigh-wave dispersion maps of the western Iberian Peninsula for periods between 8 and 30 s, obtained from correlations of seismic ambient noise, following the recent increase in seismic broadband network density in Portugal and Spain. Group velocities have been computed for each station pair using the empirical Green's functions generated by cross-correlating one-day-length seismic ambient-noise records. The resulting high-path density allows us to obtain lateral variations of the group velocities as a function of period in cells of 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees with an unprecedented resolution. As a result we were able to address some of the unknowns regarding the lithospheric structure beneath SW Iberia. The dispersion maps allow the imaging of the major structural units, namely the Iberian Massif, and the Lusitanian and Algarve Meso-Cenozoic basins. The Cadiz Gulf/Gibraltar Strait area corresponds to a strong low-velocity anomaly, which can be followed to the largest period inverted, although slightly shifted to the east at longer periods. Within the Iberian Massif, second-order perturbations in the group velocities are consistent with the transitions between tectonic units composing the massif. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Perspectives and progress of ecology and conservation science in the Azores: the possible contribution of Artificial Intelligence

EPIA 2013 - XVI Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence Angra do Heroísmo, Azores, Portugal, 9 – 12 September.

Feasibility study on multifunctional artificial reefs for the Azores

Tese de Doutoramento, Geografia (Ordenamento do Território), 25 de Novembro de 2013, Universidade dos Açores.

A 5GHz1.8V Low Power CMOS Low-Noise Amplifier

Wireless local-area networks (WLANs) have been deployed as office and home communications infrastructures worldwide. The diversification of the standards, such as IEEE 802.11 series demands the design of RF front-ends. Low power consumption is one of the most important design concerns in the application of those technologies. To maintain competitive hardware costs, CMOS has been used since it is the best solution for low cost and high integration processing, allowing analog circuits to be mixed with digital ones. In the receiver chain, the low noise amplifier (LNA) is one of the most critical blocks in a transceiver design. The sensitivity is mainly determined by the LNA noise figure and gain. It interfaces with the pre-select filter and the mixer. Furthermore, since it is the first gain stage, care must be taken to provide accurate input match, low-noise figure, good linearity and a sufficient gain over a wide band of operation. Several CMOS LNAs have been reported during the last decade, showing that the most research has been done at 802.11/b and GSM standards (900-2400MHz spectrum) and more recently at 802.11/a (5GHz band). One of the more significant disadvantages of 802.11/b is that the frequency band is crowded and subject to interference from other technologies, as is 2.4GHz cordless phones and Bluetooth. As the demand for radio-frequency integrated circuits, operating at higher frequency bands, increases, the IEEE 802.11/a standard becomes a very attractive option to wireless communication system developers. This paper presents the design and implementation of a low power, low noise amplifier aimed at IEEE 802.11a for WLAN applications. It was designed to be integrated with an active balun and mixer, representing the first step toward a fully integrated monolithic WLAN receiver. All the required circuits are integrated at the same die and are powered by 1.8V supply source. Preliminary experimental results (S-parameters) are shown and promise excellent results. The LNA circuit design details are illustrated in Section 2. Spectre simulation results focused at gain, noise figure (NF) and input/output matching are presented in Section 3. Finally, conclusions and comparison with other recently reported LNAs are made in Section 4, followed by future work.

Analysis of the combined exposure to noise and ototoxic substances—pilot study

Abstract: Ototoxic substances have been associated to damage of the auditory system, and its effects are potentiated by noise exposure. The present study aims at analyzing auditory changes from combined exposure to noise and organic solvents, through a pilot study in the furniture industry sector. Audiological tests were performed on 44 workers, their levels of exposure to toluene, xylene and ethylbenzene were determined and the levels of noise exposure were evaluated. The results showed that workers are generally exposed to high noise levels and cabin priming filler and varnish sector workers have high levels of exposure to toluene. However, no hearing loss was registered among the workers. Workers exposed simultaneously to noise and ototoxic substances do not have a higher degree of hearing loss than those workers exposed only to noise. Thus, the results of this study did not show that the combined exposure to noise and the organic solvent is associated with hearing disorders.

Mixed integer non linear programming and artificial neural network based approach to ancillary services dispatch in competitive electricity markets

Ancillary services represent a good business opportunity that must be considered by market players. This paper presents a new methodology for ancillary services market dispatch. The method considers the bids submitted to the market and includes a market clearing mechanism based on deterministic optimization. An Artificial Neural Network is used for day-ahead prediction of Regulation Down, regulation-up, Spin Reserve and Non-Spin Reserve requirements. Two test cases based on California Independent System Operator data concerning dispatch of Regulation Down, Regulation Up, Spin Reserve and Non-Spin Reserve services are included in this paper to illustrate the application of the proposed method: (1) dispatch considering simple bids; (2) dispatch considering complex bids.

Controlo e optimização de sistemas AVAC recorrendo a técnicas de inteligência artificial

Trabalho Final de Mestrado para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Mecânica

Noise management at work

Every single day millions of European workers are exposed to noise at work. One in five of European’s workers have to raise his voice to be heard for at least half of the time that there are at work and 7% suffer from work-related hearing impairment. In Europe noise-induced hearing loss is the most common reported occupational disease. This paper deals with issues related with noise management at work, especially regarding the compliance with the new noise European Directive, (2003/10/EC).

Exploiting sensor redundancy for the calculation of fractional derivatives in the presence of noise

In this paper a new method for the calculation of the fractional expressions in the presence of sensor redundancy and noise, is presented. An algorithm, taking advantage of the signal characteristics and the sensor redundancy, is tuned and optimized through genetic algorithms. The results demonstrate the good performance for different types of expressions and distinct levels of noise.