Socio-environmental factors and suicide in Queensland, Australia

Suicide has drawn much attention from both the scientific community and the public. Examining the impact of socio-environmental factors on suicide is essential in developing suicide prevention strategies and interventions, because it will provide health authorities with important information for their decision-making. However, previous studies did not examine the impact of socio-environmental factors on suicide using a spatial analysis approach. The purpose of this study was to identify the patterns of suicide and to examine how socio-environmental factors impact on suicide over time and space at the Local Governmental Area (LGA) level in Queensland. The suicide data between 1999 and 2003 were collected from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Socio-environmental variables at the LGA level included climate (rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature), Socioeconomic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) and demographic variables (proportion of Indigenous population, unemployment rate, proportion of population with low income and low education level). Climate data were obtained from Australian Bureau of Meteorology. SEIFA and demographic variables were acquired from ABS. A series of statistical and geographical information system (GIS) approaches were applied in the analysis. This study included two stages. The first stage used average annual data to view the spatial pattern of suicide and to examine the association between socio-environmental factors and suicide over space. The second stage examined the spatiotemporal pattern of suicide and assessed the socio-environmental determinants of suicide, using more detailed seasonal data. In this research, 2,445 suicide cases were included, with 1,957 males (80.0%) and 488 females (20.0%). In the first stage, we examined the spatial pattern and the determinants of suicide using 5-year aggregated data. Spearman correlations were used to assess associations between variables. Then a Poisson regression model was applied in the multivariable analysis, as the occurrence of suicide is a small probability event and this model fitted the data quite well. Suicide mortality varied across LGAs and was associated with a range of socio-environmental factors. The multivariable analysis showed that maximum temperature was significantly and positively associated with male suicide (relative risk [RR] = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.07). Higher proportion of Indigenous population was accompanied with more suicide in male population (male: RR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.03). There was a positive association between unemployment rate and suicide in both genders (male: RR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.06; female: RR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.16). No significant association was observed for rainfall, minimum temperature, SEIFA, proportion of population with low individual income and low educational attainment. In the second stage of this study, we undertook a preliminary spatiotemporal analysis of suicide using seasonal data. Firstly, we assessed the interrelations between variables. Secondly, a generalised estimating equations (GEE) model was used to examine the socio-environmental impact on suicide over time and space, as this model is well suited to analyze repeated longitudinal data (e.g., seasonal suicide mortality in a certain LGA) and it fitted the data better than other models (e.g., Poisson model). The suicide pattern varied with season and LGA. The north of Queensland had the highest suicide mortality rate in all the seasons, while there was no suicide case occurred in the southwest. Northwest had consistently higher suicide mortality in spring, autumn and winter. In other areas, suicide mortality varied between seasons. This analysis showed that maximum temperature was positively associated with suicide among male population (RR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.47) and total population (RR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.32). Higher proportion of Indigenous population was accompanied with more suicide among total population (RR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.19) and by gender (male: RR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.13; female: RR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.48). Unemployment rate was positively associated with total (RR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.24 to 1.59) and female (RR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.18) suicide. There was also a positive association between proportion of population with low individual income and suicide in total (RR = 1.28, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.48) and male (RR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.23 to 1.72) population. Rainfall was only positively associated with suicide in total population (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.19). There was no significant association for rainfall, minimum temperature, SEIFA, proportion of population with low educational attainment. The second stage is the extension of the first stage. Different spatial scales of dataset were used between the two stages (i.e., mean yearly data in the first stage, and seasonal data in the second stage), but the results are generally consistent with each other. Compared with other studies, this research explored the variety of the impact of a wide range of socio-environmental factors on suicide in different geographical units. Maximum temperature, proportion of Indigenous population, unemployment rate and proportion of population with low individual income were among the major determinants of suicide in Queensland. However, the influence from other factors (e.g. socio-culture background, alcohol and drug use) influencing suicide cannot be ignored. An in-depth understanding of these factors is vital in planning and implementing suicide prevention strategies. Five recommendations for future research are derived from this study: (1) It is vital to acquire detailed personal information on each suicide case and relevant information among the population in assessing the key socio-environmental determinants of suicide; (2) Bayesian model could be applied to compare mortality rates and their socio-environmental determinants across LGAs in future research; (3) In the LGAs with warm weather, high proportion of Indigenous population and/or unemployment rate, concerted efforts need to be made to control and prevent suicide and other mental health problems; (4) The current surveillance, forecasting and early warning system needs to be strengthened, to trace the climate and socioeconomic change over time and space and its impact on population health; (5) It is necessary to evaluate and improve the facilities of mental health care, psychological consultation, suicide prevention and control programs; especially in the areas with low socio-economic status, high unemployment rate, extreme weather events and natural disasters.

Tracking of physical activity in young children

The purpose of this study was to determine whether physical activity behavior tracks during early childhood. Forty-seven children (22 males, 25 females) aged 3-4 yr at the beginning of the study were followed over a 3-yr period. Heart rates were measured at least 2 and up to 4 d . yr(-1) with a Quantum XL Telemetry heart rate monitor. Physical activity was quantified as the percentage of observed minutes between 3:00 and 6:00 p.m. during which heart rate was 50% or more above individual resting heart rate (PAHR-50 Index). Tracking of physical activity was analyzed using Pearson and Spearman correlations. Yearly PAHR-50 index tertiles were created and examined for percent agreement and Cohen's kappa. Repeated measures ANOVA was used to calculate the intraclass correlation coefficient across the 3 yr of the study. Spearman rank order correlations ranged from 0.57 to 0.66 (P < 0.0001). Percent agreement ranged from 49% to 62%. The intraclass R for the 3 yr was 0.81. It was concluded that physical activity behavior tends to track during early childhood.

Agreement between student-reported and proxy-reported physical activity questionnaires

Parents and 531 students (46% males, 78% white) completed equivalent questionnaires. Agreement between student and parent responses to questions about hypothesized physical activity (PA) correlates was assessed. Relationships between hypothesized correlates and an objective measure of student's moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) in a subset of 177 students were also investigated. Agreement between student and parent ranged from r = .34 to .64 for PA correlates. Spearman correlations between MVPA and PA correlates ranged from –.04 to .21 for student report and –.14 to .32 for parent report, and there were no statistical differences for 8 out of 9 correlations between parent and student. Parents can provide useful data on PA correlates for students in Grades 7–12.

Advances in population surveillance for physical activity and sedentary behavior : reliability and validity of time use surveys

Many countries conduct regular national time use surveys, some of which date back as far as the 1960s. Time use surveys potentially provide more detailed and accurate national estimates of the prevalence of sedentary and physical activity behavior than more traditional self-report surveillance systems. In this study, the authors determined the reliability and validity of time use surveys for assessing sedentary and physical activity behavior. In 2006 and 2007, participants (n = 134) were recruited from work sites in the Australian state of New South Wales. Participants completed a 2-day time use diary twice, 7 days apart, and wore an accelerometer. The 2 diaries were compared for test-retest reliability, and comparison with the accelerometer determined concurrent validity. Participants with similar activity patterns during the 2 diary periods showed reliability intraclass correlations of 0.74 and 0.73 for nonoccupational sedentary behavior and moderate/vigorous physical activity, respectively. Comparison of the diary with the accelerometer showed Spearman correlations of 0.57-0.59 and 0.45-0.69 for nonoccupational sedentary behavior and moderate/vigorous physical activity, respectively. Time use surveys appear to be more valid for population surveillance of nonoccupational sedentary behavior and health-enhancing physical activity than more traditional surveillance systems. National time use surveys could be used to retrospectively study nonoccupational sedentary and physical activity behavior over the past 5 decades.

Reliability and validity of objective measures of physical activity in youth with cerebral palsy who are ambulatory

BACKGROUND Physical therapy for youth with cerebral palsy (CP) who are ambulatory includes interventions to increase functional mobility and participation in physical activity (PA). Thus, reliable and valid measures are needed to document PA in youth with CP. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to evaluate the inter-instrument reliability and concurrent validity of 3 accelerometer-based motion sensors with indirect calorimetry as the criterion for measuring PA intensity in youth with CP. METHODS Fifty-seven youth with CP (mean age=12.5 years, SD=3.3; 51% female; 49.1% with spastic hemiplegia) participated. Inclusion criteria were: aged 6 to 20 years, ambulatory, Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS) levels I through III, able to follow directions, and able to complete the full PA protocol. Protocol activities included standardized activity trials with increasing PA intensity (resting, writing, household chores, active video games, and walking at 3 self-selected speeds), as measured by weight-relative oxygen uptake (in mL/kg/min). During each trial, participants wore bilateral accelerometers on the upper arms, waist/hip, and ankle and a portable indirect calorimeter. Intraclass coefficient correlations (ICCs) were calculated to evaluate inter-instrument reliability (left-to-right accelerometer placement). Spearman correlations were used to examine concurrent validity between accelerometer output (activity and step counts) and indirect calorimetry. Friedman analyses of variance with post hoc pair-wise analyses were conducted to examine the validity of accelerometers to discriminate PA intensity across activity trials. RESULTS All accelerometers exhibited excellent inter-instrument reliability (ICC=.94-.99) and good concurrent validity (rho=.70-.85). All accelerometers discriminated PA intensity across most activity trials. LIMITATIONS This PA protocol consisted of controlled activity trials. CONCLUSIONS Accelerometers provide valid and reliable measures of PA intensity among youth with CP.

Influência do ruído sonoro subaquático na variação dos assobios do boto-cinza, Sotalia guianensis

A poluição sonora é um grave problema nos oceanos devido à eficiência de propagação do som na água e à importância da comunicação acústica para os organismos marinhos. Delfinídeos utilizam o som para comunicação, coordenação de grupo, percepção do hábitat e busca por alimentos, já tendo sido demonstrado que podem alterar suas vocalizações em função do aumento do ruído subaquático. O presente estudo realizou uma comparação dos assobios do boto-cinza Sotalia guianensis em dois ambientes acústicos distintos, um silencioso e um ruidoso, dentro da Baía de Guanabara, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil. Também foram realizadas investigadas as relações dos parâmetros acústicos dos assobios de S. guianensis com os valores de pressão sonora do ruído subaquático. O sistema de gravação foi totalmente calibrado e consistiu de um gravador digital Marantz PMD670 com taxa de amostragem de 96 kHz e um hidrofone HTI-96MIN (5 Hz 30 kHz, sensibilidade média de -170,5 dB re 1 Pa). As gravações realizadas dos assobios e do ruído subaquático ocorreram simultaneamente em duas regiões da baía: a APA de Guapimirim e o Canal central. Durante o período de amostragem os grupos de S. guianensis foram observados em três estados comportamentais: alimentação, deslocamento e socialização; foram anotadas também informações quanto a tamanho e composição de grupo. A análise dos assobios foi realizada no software Raven 1.4 e 10 parâmetros acústicos foram extraídos. Também foi calculada a razão de emissão de assobios. A análise de ruído subaquático foi realizada no software Adobe Audition 1.5, onde foram extraídos valores de pressão sonora do ruído 300ms imediatamente antes de cada assobio analisado, sendo utilizados para análise estatística os maiores valores de pressão sonora dentro de sete intervalos de frequência. Um Teste U de Mann-Whitney foi aplicado para comparar os parâmetros acústicos dos assobios e os valores de pressão sonora das duas regiões amostradas. Esta comparação foi feita para cada estado comportamental observado durante a coleta. Posteriormente foi realizado um teste de correlações de Spearman para investigar a relação entre os parâmetros acústicos e os valores de pressão sonora. Este teste também foi feito separadamente para cada estado comportamental. No comportamento de alimentação foi encontrada diferença na duração, na frequência central e em todos os valores de pressão sonora. Durante o comportamento de socialização foi encontrada diferença na duração e em todos os valores de pressão sonora. Durante o comportamento de alimentação foi encontrada relação entre cinco parâmetros acústicos, a taxa de vocalização e a pressão sonora. Durante o comportamento de socialização foi encontrada relação entre a duração e a pressão sonora. S. guianensis alterou seu comportamento acústico em situações ruidosas, diminuindo a duração e aumentando a taxa de vocalização. Na Baía de Guanabara esta espécie está exposta diariamente a poluição sonora, sendo a APA de Guapimirim o ambiente acústico menos perturbado a que S. guianensis tem acesso.

Habilidades sociais, bem-estar psicológico e rendimento escolar

O propósito do presente estudo foi o de examinar o impacto da implementação de um programa de desenvolvimento de habilidades sociais no bem-estar psicológico (BEP) e no rendimento escolar numa amostra de estudantes adolescentes portugueses. Para aferir o BEP, foi utilizada a versão portuguesa de 30 itens para adolescentes das escalas de Ryff; o rendimento escolar foi aferido com recurso às avaliações finais de cada período letivo. O programa utilizado baseou-se no desenvolvimento das habilidades sociais de comunicação, assertividade e resolução de problemas, durante o ano letivo numa frequência semanal de 45 minutos nas aulas de Formação Cívica, em estudantes do 7º e 8º anos de escolaridade. Os dados longitudinais foram analisados através da estatística não paramétrica, recorrendo aos testes Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney correlação de Spearman do programa SPSS®, versão 20.0. Os resultados mostram impacto do programa de desenvolvimento de habilidades sociais nas dimensões do BEP – autoaceitação, relações positivas com os outros, domínio do meio, crescimento pessoal, objetivos na vida e no BEP global em um ou mais momentos do pós teste. Os resultados demonstram igualmente correlações positivas entre as dimensões do BEP – autonomia, autoaceitação, domínio do meio, objetivos na vida e do BEP global e o rendimento escolar, em três ou mais momentos observados.

Relação entre a unidade de biofeedback de pressão, deslocamento do centro de pressão e atividade eletromiográfica durante o active straight leg raising em indivíduos com e sem dor lombo-pélvica.

Introdução: A unidade de biofeedback de pressão, em indivíduos com dor lombo-pélvica, é utilizada durante exercícios de estabilização segmentar, no entanto ainda carece de evidência científica. Objetivo: Determinar a relação entre a unidade de biofeedback de pressão (UBFP), o deslocamento do centro de pressão no sentido médio-lateral (COPml) e a atividade eletromiográfica abdominal durante o active straight leg raising (ASLR) em indivíduos com e sem dor lombo-pélvica, bem como identificar diferenças entre os grupos. Metodologia: Estudo transversal analítico em 18 estudantes universitários voluntários com dor lombo-pélvica crónica inespecífica (GCD) e em 20 sem dor (GSD). Durante o ASLR (desafio postural dinâmico) foram avaliadas as variações máxima e média da pressão (recorrendo à UBFP) e do deslocamento do COPml (através da plataforma de forças), bem como a atividade muscular abdominal, bilateralmente, com recurso à eletromiografia de superfície. Estatisticamente recorreu-se à correlação de Spearman e ao teste Mann-Whitney U, ambos com um nível de significância de 0,05. Resultados: No GCD, ao contrário do GSD, não foi verificada uma relação entre a UBFP e a atividade do transverso abdominal/obliquo interno (TrA/OI) contra-lateral. Correlações moderadas, mas com sentidos opostos, foram evidenciadas em ambos os grupos, entre o deslocamento do COPml e a atividade do TrA/OI contra-lateral. Em ambos os grupos, a UBFP demonstrou estar fortemente correlacionada com o COPml. Não foram observadas diferenças significativas entre os grupos nas variáveis avaliadas. Conclusão: A UBFP, no GCD, não se apresentou relacionada com a atividade do TrA/OI. Contudo, demonstrou uma relação com o deslocamento do COPml, em ambos os grupos, sendo portanto um indicador de estabilidade do tronco e assim, uma ferramenta útil em ambiente clínico. No GCD observou-se que uma maior atividade muscular TrA/OI pressupõe maior deslocamento do COPml, sendo uma relação contrária à verificada no GSD, podendo ser um indicador da perda da sua ação tónica.

Fidélité et validité de la mesure clinique du déjettement du tronc auprès d’enfants et d’adolescents présentant une scoliose idiopathique

La mesure du déjettement du tronc est un élément important pour évaluer la posture en ce qui a trait à la scoliose idiopathique. Cependant, il y a peu d'informations quant à sa mesure et les associations entre le déjettement du tronc et d'autres indicateurs ou facteurs pertinents. Les objectifs de cette étude sont : 1) d’évaluer la validité et la fiabilité de test-retest du fil à plomb pour mesurer le déjettement du tronc de C7 à S1 chez les personnes atteintes de scoliose idiopathique; et 2) d'étudier l'association entre le déjettement du tronc et les facteurs suivants : la douleur, l’angle de Cobb, le type de scoliose, la santé mentale et l’image de soi chez les personnes atteintes de scoliose idiopathique. Nous avons recruté 55 sujets âgés de 10 à 21 ans atteints de scoliose idiopathique (angle de Cobb : 15º à 60º) de la clinique de scoliose dans un hôpital pédiatrique de soins tertiaires. Le déjettement a été mesuré directement sur les sujets à deux reprises par la même physiothérapeute de même que sur les radiographies prises ce jour-là. Deux mesures ont été prises à chaque fois : une les pieds joints (FT) et l’autre en écartant les pieds (FA). Les sujets ont répondu au questionnaire adressé au patient de la Scoliosis Research Society-22, qui traite de la douleur, de l'image de soi et de la santé mentale. Le type de scoliose et l'angle de Cobb ont été mesurés sur les radiographies prises ce jour-là. Nous avons utilisé la théorie de la généralisabilité pour calculer la fidélité de test-retest pour les mesures FT et FA, en rapportant les coefficients de fiabilité (f) et les erreurs types de mesure (SEM). La validité de la mesure du fil à plomb a été calculée en comparant les mesures prises directement sur les radiographies en utilisant le coefficient de corrélation de Pearson. Les corrélations de Pearson ont été calculées entre le déjettement du tronc et la douleur, l'angle de Cobb, l'image de soi et la santé mentale. Les corrélations de Spearman ont été calculées entre le déjettement du tronc et le type de scoliose. Nous avons ensuite utilisé des modèles de régression linéaire multiple pour déterminer les associations entre ces variables. Nos résultats indiquent que les mesures de déjettement du tronc en utilisant un fil à plomb ont une forte corrélation (r = 0,87) avec la mesure obtenue par radiographie. La mesure du déjettement du tronc en utilisant un fil à plomb a démontré une excellente fidélité de test-retest (f: 0,98 pour la mesure FT et 0,99 pour la mesure FA) et les SEM étaient de 2,0 mm pour la mesure FT et 1,8 mm pour la mesure FA. Le déjettement du tronc est corrélé positivement avec l'angle de Cobb (r = 0,32, p = 0,02), mais il n'est pas corrélé à la douleur, la santé mentale, l'image de soi ou le type de scoliose. Les conclusions de notre étude ont montré que la mesure clinique du déjettement du tronc en utilisant un fil à plomb est une méthode fiable et valide et que le déjettement du tronc est associé à l'angle de Cobb. Une étude longitudinale est nécessaire pour déterminer si le déjettement du tronc est un indicateur pronostique de la progression de la scoliose. Mots-clés: la scoliose idiopathique, le déjettement du tronc, fil à plomb, posture, déplacement latéral du tronc

Les valeurs des ergothérapeutes : résultats quantitatifs d’une étude exploratoire

Article

Mapping power law distributions in digital health social networks: methods, interpretations, and practical implications

BACKGROUND: Social networks are common in digital health. A new stream of research is beginning to investigate the mechanisms of digital health social networks (DHSNs), how they are structured, how they function, and how their growth can be nurtured and managed. DHSNs increase in value when additional content is added, and the structure of networks may resemble the characteristics of power laws. Power laws are contrary to traditional Gaussian averages in that they demonstrate correlated phenomena. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to investigate whether the distribution frequency in four DHSNs can be characterized as following a power law. A second objective is to describe the method used to determine the comparison. METHODS: Data from four DHSNs—Alcohol Help Center (AHC), Depression Center (DC), Panic Center (PC), and Stop Smoking Center (SSC)—were compared to power law distributions. To assist future researchers and managers, the 5-step methodology used to analyze and compare datasets is described. RESULTS: All four DHSNs were found to have right-skewed distributions, indicating the data were not normally distributed. When power trend lines were added to each frequency distribution, R(2) values indicated that, to a very high degree, the variance in post frequencies can be explained by actor rank (AHC .962, DC .975, PC .969, SSC .95). Spearman correlations provided further indication of the strength and statistical significance of the relationship (AHC .987. DC .967, PC .983, SSC .993, P<.001). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study to investigate power distributions across multiple DHSNs, each addressing a unique condition. Results indicate that despite vast differences in theme, content, and length of existence, DHSNs follow properties of power laws. The structure of DHSNs is important as it gives insight to researchers and managers into the nature and mechanisms of network functionality. The 5-step process undertaken to compare actor contribution patterns can be replicated in networks that are managed by other organizations, and we conjecture that patterns observed in this study could be found in other DHSNs. Future research should analyze network growth over time and examine the characteristics and survival rates of superusers.

Análise da efetividade do transplante renal na qualidade de vida dos receptores no estado do Rio Grande do Norte

This study was developed with the aim of analyzing the effectiveness of renal transplantation on quality of life of kidney recipients in the Rio Grande do Norte State. This is a descriptive study with longitudinal design, panel type with quantitative approach to data analysis. The Quality of Life (QoL) of chronic disease kidney patients before and after kidney transplantation was assessed by the WHOQOL-bref, The population consisted of patients in pre and post-renal transplantation, the sample had 63 patients older than 18 years. The study was conducted after approval by the Research Ethics Committee of the Onofre Lopes University Hospital, Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte, No. CAAE 0008.0.294.000-10. Data collection was performed at a referral center for renal transplantation in Rio Grande do Norte, from May 2010 to May 2013. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and presented in tables and graphs. For statistical analyzes, Microsoft Excel XP and SPSS 15.0 software were used. The tests used were simple variance (ANOVA), t-test, Mann-Whitney and Wilcoxon test to compare means, and Spearman correlations. P values <0.05 were considered significant. The demographic data showed a predominance of people between 18 and 45 years (68.2%) with a mean age of 39.9 years (SD 12.2), male (63.5%), married (58.7%), with children (51.0%). Regarding the education level was observed that 49.2% of participants had completed primary school, and most did not engage in any work activity (90.4%) during the study period. Hemodialysis was the predominant renal replacement therapy (96.8%) and the average waiting time for execution of transplantation was 1.9 years (SD 1.9). Comparison of QoL before and after transplantation showed significant differences in all areas analyzed, demonstrating that kidney transplantation had a positive impact on QoL in chronic renal patients undergoing kidney transplantation. Sociodemographic factors did not influence the quality of life in this group of patients, indicating that transplantation was the main factor to explain the improvement in quality of life. Thus, the alternative hypothesis of the study was accept, that there is a significant difference in quality of life before and after kidney transplant. It is expected that the results of this study may contribute to the development of strategies to encourage organ donation and kidney transplantation process

Políticas públicas para agricultura familiar: uma avaliação sobre a correspondência do paa e do PRONAF nos territórios da cidadania do Rio Grande do Norte - 2008 a 2010.

Family farming has been considered as the new axis of rural development in the country, the focus of several public policies, especially the National Program for Strengthening Family Agriculture - PRONAF and Food Purchase Program - PAA. PRONAF was created with the aim of providing credit to farmers, while the PAA to support family farmers through the purchase of its production. In this context, the objective of this study is to analyze the correspondence of these two public policies for family farming, in the Territories of Citizenship of the state of Rio Grande do Norte, between the years 2008 to 2010. In the methodology, the analysis was performed by comparing the distributions of the two programs in the territories of citizenship status. There were also statistical tests of differences in proportions, and Spearman correlations, and estimated a logit regression model, in order to measure the probability of a farmer participating in the PAA is associated with one of the modes of PRONAF. The data used were obtained from the National and Supply - CONAB at the Institute of Technical Assistance and Rural Extension - EMATER, and the Ministry of Agrarian Development - MDA. Among the key findings was noted that policies were associated with a direct, but low in the districts of the Territories of Citizenship. And that, in the years 2008 and 2009, only in the territories of Mato Grande, Alto Oeste and Seridó, the actions of PAA and PRONAF had direct and significant correlations. It was found that in most of the territories, policies are performed randomly, ie that both have no correlation to each other. The estimates of the logit model showed that the chance of a family farmer, the PAA participant, receive credits PRONAF A, is higher in the territory of Mato Grande, and would have a chance to fall in PRONAF B in all areas surveyed. Moreover, farmers in the territories of the Assu-Mossoró, Sertão of Apodi, Seridó and Alto Oeste, participating in the PAA would be more likely to receive credits PRONAF C, reflecting thus the family farm more consolidated these territories

Genetic parameters for milk yield of Bubalus bubalis using unadjusted and adjusted milk production for days in milk.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Avaliação genética de touros da raça Gir para produção de leite no dia do controle e em 305 dias de lactação

Dados de 32.779 controles mensais, de 3.605 lactações em 305 dias (PL305), de 2.082 vacas Gir, filhas de 281 touros, com partos ocorridos de 1987 a 1999 em 11 rebanhos, foram usados com o objetivo de verificar a viabilidade de utilização da produção de leite no dia do controle (PLDC) em avaliações genéticas de touros da raça Gir. Foram realizadas análises univariadas das PLDC1 a PLDC10 e da PL305 pelo método de máxima verossimilhança restrita, sob modelo animal, incluindo as três primeiras lactações como medidas repetidas de um mesmo animal, diferenciados conforme o grupo contemporâneo de rebanho-ano-estação, de acordo com a idade da vaca ao parto e, do intervalo parto-primeiro controle na PLDC1. As médias observadas e os respectivos desvios-padrão (kg) para PLDC1 a PLDC10 e PL305 foram: 11,97±4,64; 11,93±4,68; 10,98±4,40; 10,18±4,12; 9,66±3,88; 9,20±3,69; 8,63±3,51; 8,08±3,33; 7,59±3,27; 7,22±3,15 e 2.746,17±1.299,90. As estimativas de herdabilidade para as PLDC1 a PLDC10 foram de 0,26; 0,19; 0,18; 0,20; 0,15; 0,13; 0,14; 0,10; 0,11 e 0,10, respectivamente; para a PL305 foi de 0,18. As correlações de ordem dos valores genéticos preditos de 281 touros, obtidos entre as PLDC e a PL305, foram altas, oscilando de 0,85 a 0,94. O percentual de coincidência de touros que seriam selecionados pelos valores genéticos preditos das PLDC2 a PLDC5 foram acima de 80%, a partir de 5% dos melhores classificados pela PL305. em algumas PLDC o nível de coincidência de classificação dos touros com a PL305 foi muito baixo.