A priori parameterisation of the CERES soil-crop models and tests against several European data sets

Mechanistic soil-crop models have become indispensable tools to investigate the effect of management practices on the productivity or environmental impacts of arable crops. Ideally these models may claim to be universally applicable because they simulate the major processes governing the fate of inputs such as fertiliser nitrogen or pesticides. However, because they deal with complex systems and uncertain phenomena, site-specific calibration is usually a prerequisite to ensure their predictions are realistic. This statement implies that some experimental knowledge on the system to be simulated should be available prior to any modelling attempt, and raises a tremendous limitation to practical applications of models. Because the demand for more general simulation results is high, modellers have nevertheless taken the bold step of extrapolating a model tested within a limited sample of real conditions to a much larger domain. While methodological questions are often disregarded in this extrapolation process, they are specifically addressed in this paper, and in particular the issue of models a priori parameterisation. We thus implemented and tested a standard procedure to parameterize the soil components of a modified version of the CERES models. The procedure converts routinely-available soil properties into functional characteristics by means of pedo-transfer functions. The resulting predictions of soil water and nitrogen dynamics, as well as crop biomass, nitrogen content and leaf area index were compared to observations from trials conducted in five locations across Europe (southern Italy, northern Spain, northern France and northern Germany). In three cases, the model’s performance was judged acceptable when compared to experimental errors on the measurements, based on a test of the model’s root mean squared error (RMSE). Significant deviations between observations and model outputs were however noted in all sites, and could be ascribed to various model routines. In decreasing importance, these were: water balance, the turnover of soil organic matter, and crop N uptake. A better match to field observations could therefore be achieved by visually adjusting related parameters, such as field-capacity water content or the size of soil microbial biomass. As a result, model predictions fell within the measurement errors in all sites for most variables, and the model’s RMSE was within the range of published values for similar tests. We conclude that the proposed a priori method yields acceptable simulations with only a 50% probability, a figure which may be greatly increased through a posteriori calibration. Modellers should thus exercise caution when extrapolating their models to a large sample of pedo-climatic conditions for which they have only limited information.

Wald tests for IV regression with weak instruments

This dissertation deals with the problem of making inference when there is weak identification in models of instrumental variables regression. More specifically we are interested in one-sided hypothesis testing for the coefficient of the endogenous variable when the instruments are weak. The focus is on the conditional tests based on likelihood ratio, score and Wald statistics. Theoretical and numerical work shows that the conditional t-test based on the two-stage least square (2SLS) estimator performs well even when instruments are weakly correlated with the endogenous variable. The conditional approach correct uniformly its size and when the population F-statistic is as small as two, its power is near the power envelopes for similar and non-similar tests. This finding is surprising considering the bad performance of the two-sided conditional t-tests found in Andrews, Moreira and Stock (2007). Given this counter intuitive result, we propose novel two-sided t-tests which are approximately unbiased and can perform as well as the conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) test of Moreira (2003).

Contributions to the Theory of Optimal Tests

This paper considers tests which maximize the weighted average power (WAP). The focus is on determining WAP tests subject to an uncountable number of equalities and/or inequalities. The unifying theory allows us to obtain tests with correct size, similar tests, and unbiased tests, among others. A WAP test may be randomized and its characterization is not always possible. We show how to approximate the power of the optimal test by sequences of nonrandomized tests. Two alternative approximations are considered. The rst approach considers a sequence of similar tests for an increasing number of boundary conditions. This discretization allows us to implement the WAP tests in practice. The second method nds a sequence of tests which approximate the WAP test uniformly. This approximation allows us to show that WAP similar tests are admissible. The theoretical framework is readily applicable to several econometric models, including the important class of the curved-exponential family. In this paper, we consider the instrumental variable model with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors (HAC-IV) and the nearly integrated regressor model. In both models, we nd WAP similar and (locally) unbiased tests which dominate other available tests.

Invariant tests in an instrumental variables model with unknown data generating process

In this work we focus on tests for the parameter of an endogenous variable in a weakly identi ed instrumental variable regressionmodel. We propose a new unbiasedness restriction for weighted average power (WAP) tests introduced by Moreira and Moreira (2013). This new boundary condition is motivated by the score e ciency under strong identi cation. It allows reducing computational costs of WAP tests by replacing the strongly unbiased condition. This latter restriction imposes, under the null hypothesis, the test to be uncorrelated to a given statistic with dimension given by the number of instruments. The new proposed boundary condition only imposes the test to be uncorrelated to a linear combination of the statistic. WAP tests under both restrictions to perform similarly numerically. We apply the di erent tests discussed to an empirical example. Using data from Yogo (2004), we assess the e ect of weak instruments on the estimation of the elasticity of inter-temporal substitution of a CCAPM model.

Instabilities and drop formation in cylindrical liquid jets in reduced gravity

The effects of convective and absolute instabilities on the formation of drops formed from cylindrical liquid jets of glycerol/water issuing into still air were investigated. Medium-duration reduced gravity tests were conducted aboard NASA's KC-135 and compared to similar tests performed under normal gravity conditions to aid in understanding the drop formation process. In reduced gravity, the Rayleigh-Chandrasekhar Equation was found to accurately predict the transition between a region of absolute and convective instability as defined by a critical Weber number. Observations of the physics of the jet, its breakup, and subsequent drop dynamics under both gravity conditions and the effects of the two instabilities on these processes are presented. All the normal gravity liquid jets investigated, in regions of convective or absolute instability, were subject to significant stretching effects, which affected the subsequent drop and associated geometry and dynamics. These effects were not displayed in reduced gravity and, therefore, the liquid jets would form drops which took longer to form (reduction in drop frequency), larger in size, and more spherical (surface tension effects). Most observed changes, in regions of either absolute or convective instabilities, were due to a reduction in the buoyancy force and an increased importance of the surface tension force acting on the liquid contained in the jet or formed drop. Reduced gravity environments allow better investigations to be performed into the physics of liquid jets, subsequently formed drops, and the effects of instabilities on these systems. In reduced gravity, drops form up to three times more slowly and as a consequence are up to three times larger in volume in the theoretical absolute instability region than in the theoretical convective instability region. This difference was not seen in the corresponding normal gravity tests due to the masking effects of gravity. A drop is shown to be able to form and detach in a region of absolute instability, and spanning the critical Weber number (from a region of convective to absolute instability) resulted in a marked change in dynamics and geometry of the liquid jet and detaching drops. (C) 2002 American Institute of Physics.

Quality assurance and quality control in mammography: a review of available guidance worldwide

Objectives - Review available guidance for quality assurance (QA) in mammography and discuss its contribution to harmonise practices worldwide. Methods - Literature search was performed on different sources to identify guidance documents for QA in mammography available worldwide in international bodies, healthcare providers, professional/scientific associations. The guidance documents identified were reviewed and a selection was compared for type of guidance (clinical/technical), technology and proposed QA methodologies focusing on dose and image quality (IQ) performance assessment. Results - Fourteen protocols (targeted at conventional and digital mammography) were reviewed. All included recommendations for testing acquisition, processing and display systems associated with mammographic equipment. All guidance reviewed highlighted the importance of dose assessment and testing the Automatic Exposure Control (AEC) system. Recommended tests for assessment of IQ showed variations in the proposed methodologies. Recommended testing focused on assessment of low-contrast detection, spatial resolution and noise. QC of image display is recommended following the American Association of Physicists in Medicine guidelines. Conclusions - The existing QA guidance for mammography is derived from key documents (American College of Radiology and European Union guidelines) and proposes similar tests despite the variations in detail and methodologies. Studies reported on QA data should provide detail on experimental technique to allow robust data comparison. Countries aiming to implement a mammography/QA program may select/prioritise the tests depending on available technology and resources.

Candidin: comparison of two antigens for cutaneous delayed hypersensitivity testing

A candidin, which is a suspension of killed yeast cells, is commonly used for intradermal tests of delayed hypersensitivity, to evaluate the immunological cellular competence of the patient, when the test is applied along with other similar tests. When working with a cellular antigen, the histopathology of positive skin tests reveals a cellular infiltrate which not only presents a characteristic hypersensitivity reaction but also a neutrophilic abscess in the central part. This research presents the results of a comparison between the yeast cell suspension and the polysaccharide antigens, both obtained from the same strains of Candida albicans. The results obtained by skin tests in one hundred individuals were 61.0% with the polysaccharide antigen and 69.0% with the yeast cell suspension antigen. Concordant results concerning the two antigens were observed in 82.0% of the individuals. The discussion section presents an assumption to explain the differences of positivity obtained with the two antigens. We conclude that the polysaccharide antigen can be utilized in the intradermal test of delayed hypersensitivity to Candida albicans.

Gap junction reduction in cardiomyocytes following transforming growth factor-β treatment and Trypanosoma cruzi infection

Gap junction connexin-43 (Cx43) molecules are responsible for electrical impulse conduction in the heart and are affected by transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β). This cytokine increases during Trypanosoma cruzi infection, modulating fibrosis and the parasite cell cycle. We studied Cx43 expression in cardiomyocytes exposed or not to TGF-β T. cruzi, or SB-431542, an inhibitor of TGF-β receptor type I (ALK-5). Cx43 expression was also examined in hearts with dilated cardiopathy from chronic Chagas disease patients, in which TGF-β signalling had been shown previously to be highly activated. We demonstrated that TGF-β treatment induced disorganised gap junctions in non-infected cardiomyocytes, leading to a punctate, diffuse and non-uniform Cx43 staining. A similar pattern was detected in T. cruzi-infected cardiomyocytes concomitant with high TGF-β secretion. Both results were reversed if the cells were incubated with SB-431542. Similar tests were performed using human chronic chagasic patients and we confirmed a down-regulation of Cx43 expression, an altered distribution of plaques in the heart and a significant reduction in the number and length of Cx43 plaques, which correlated negatively with cardiomegaly. We conclude that elevated TGF-β levels during T. cruzi infection promote heart fibrosis and disorganise gap junctions, possibly contributing to abnormal impulse conduction and arrhythmia that characterise severe cardiopathy in Chagas disease.

Determination of Asphalt Content and Characteristics of Bituminous Paving Mixtures, MLR-88-11, 1988

Due to the hazardous nature of chemical asphalt extraction agents, nuclear gauges have become an increasingly popular method of determining the asphalt content of a bituminous mix. This report details the results of comparisons made between intended, tank stick, extracted, and nuclear asphalt content determinations. A total of 315 sets of comparisons were made on samples that represented 110 individual mix designs and 99 paving projects. All samples were taken from 1987 construction projects. In addition to the comparisons made, seventeen asphalt cement samples were recovered for determination of penetration and viscosity. Results were compared to similar tests performed on the asphalt assurance samples in an attempt to determine the amount of asphalt hardening that can be expected due to the hot mix process. Conclusions of the report are: 1. Compared to the reflux extraction procedure, nuclear asphalt content gauges determine asphalt content of bituminous mixes with much greater accuracy and comparable precision. 2. As a means for determining asphalt content, the nuclear procedure should be used as an alternate to chemical extractions whenever possible. 3. Based on penetration and viscosity results, softer grade asphalts undergo a greater degree 'of hardening due to hot mix processing than do harder grades, and asphalt viscosity changes caused by the mixing process are subject to much more variability than are changes in penetration. 4. Based on changes in penetration and viscosity, the Thin Film Oven Test provides a reasonable means of estimating how much asphalt hardening can be anticipated due to exposure to the hot mix processing environment.

Virtauslaskennankäyttö keskipakopumpun eroosiokulumisen mallintamisessa

Diplomityössä kehitetään malli tiheän kaksifaasivirtauksen aiheuttaman eroosiokulumi-sen mallintamiseksi, ratkaistaan virtauskenttä kahdessa erilaisessa keskipakopumpussa, sovelletaan kehitettyä mallia, sekävertaillaan mallin antamia tuloksia käytännön kokeissa saavutettuihin tuloksiin. Työssä on erityisenä mielenkiinnon kohteena savukaasupesurin pumppu. Työn alkuosa sisältää tarkemman kuvauksen savukaasupesurin toi-minnasta. Numeerinen ratkaisu ja laskentahilan generointi suoritetaan ANSYS CFX- ja Turbo-Grid-ohjelmistoilla. Laskennassa virtauksen Navier-Stokesin yhtälöt on aikakeskiarvo-tettu ja ratkaistu käyttäen kontrollitilavuusmenetelmää. Tiheiden kaksifaasivirtausten eroosiokulumista on mallinnettu tekijän kehittämällä mallilla, jonka käytännön toteutus-ta ei kuitenkaan saateta julkiseksi, koodin kehittämisessä käytetty teoria on kuitenkin esitetty työssä. Työn piirissä tehtiin myös kulumiskokeita Sulzer Pumps Finlandin Karhulan tehtailla, sekä vertailtiin simuloinnin tuloksia aikaisemmissa kokeissa saavutettuihin. Koejärjestelyt kuvataan työssä.

Happaman hydrometallurgisen PLS-liuoksen puhdistaminen kiintoaineesta kalvosuodatustekniikalla

Tässä diplomityössä tutkittiin keraamisten mikrosuodatuskalvojen soveltuvuutta kiintoaineen erottamiseen happamasta PLS-liuoksesta eri huokoskoon omaavilla mikrosuodatuskalvoilla. Koelaitteistolla suodatettiin puhdasta vettä, kaoliinipitoista vesiliuosta sekä hapanta kuparia, kalsiumia ja kaoliinia sisältävää malliliuosta. Koeajojen tavoitteena oli saada tietoa permeaattivuon maksimimäärästä eri mikrosuodatuskalvoilla sekä tuotteen puhtaudesta. Näiden lisäksi saatiin tietoa kalvojen likaantumisesta ajon aikana. Teoriaosassa käsiteltiin yleisesti kalvosuodatusta, esitettiin yleiset kalvotekniset menetelmät ja sovellukset sekä käytiin läpi tutkimuksia samankaltaisiin kalvoihin ja sovelluksiin liittyen. Lisäksi teoriaosuudessa pohdittiin mahdollisuutta käyttää myös muita, kuin putkimoduulisia mikrosuodatuskalvoja. Myös työhön oleellisena taustana kuuluvaa hydrometallurgiaa tarkasteltiin teoreettiselta kannalta. Puhtaan veden suodatuskoetuloksista havaittiin, että kaikki kalvot jäivät selvästi valmistajan ilmoittamista arvoista. 1,0 µm CoMetas CoMem® kalvon teoreettinen vesivuo on 10 m3/(h bar) ja 3,0 µm CoMetas CoMem® teoreettinen vesivuo on yli 50 m3/(h bar). Näistä parhaimman vuon arvon sai 1,0 µm CoMetas CoMem® mikrosuodatuskalvo. Tämä kalvo oli paras sekä veden suodatuksissa että malliliuoksella tehdyillä suodatuksilla. Malliliuoksella saavutettiin n. 2000 L/(m2 h) paineen ollessa 2,0 bar ja virtausnopeuden ollessa 4,4 m/s. Vastaavat vesiajon tulokset olivat n. 1100 L/(m2 h) paineen ollessa 1,0 bar ja virtausnopeuden 2,9 m/s. Kaikki kolme käytettyä kalvoa pidättivät kaoliiniliuoksen 81–100 %:sesti. Kuparipitoista malliliuosta suodatettaessa pystyttiin vastaavasti erottamaan 77–99 % kiintoaineesta. Koeajoissa kuitenkin havaittiin huomattava vuon arvojen putoaminen, joka johtui kalvon likaantumisesta. Huomioitavaa oli kuitenkin, että hapanta malliliuosta suodatettaessa permeaattivuon arvot olivat kaoliiniliuoksen suodatuksessa saatuja vastaavia arvoja korkeammat.

The challenge of validation: assessing the performance of a test of productive vocabulary

This paper assesses the performance of a vocabulary test designed to measure second language productive vocabulary knowledge.The test, Lex30, uses a word association task to elicit vocabulary, and uses word frequency data to measure the vocabulary produced. Here we report firstly on the reliability of the test as measured by a test-retest study, a parallel test forms experiment and an internal consistency measure. We then investigate the construct validity of the test by looking at changes in test performance over time, analyses of correlations with scores on similar tests, and comparison of spoken and written test performance. Last, we examine the theoretical bases of the two main test components: eliciting vocabulary and measuring vocabulary. Interpretations of our findings are discussed in the context of test validation research literature. We conclude that the findings reported here present a robust argument for the validity of the test as a research tool, and encourage further investigation of its validity in an instructional context

A conditional likelihood ratio test for structural models

This paper develops a general method for constructing similar tests based on the conditional distribution of nonpivotal statistics in a simultaneous equations model with normal errors and known reducedform covariance matrix. The test based on the likelihood ratio statistic is particularly simple and has good power properties. When identification is strong, the power curve of this conditional likelihood ratio test is essentially equal to the power envelope for similar tests. Monte Carlo simulations also suggest that this test dominates the Anderson- Rubin test and the score test. Dropping the restrictive assumption of disturbances normally distributed with known covariance matrix, approximate conditional tests are found that behave well in small samples even when identification is weak.

A critical value function approach, with an application to persistent time-series

Researchers often rely on the t-statistic to make inference on parameters in statistical models. It is common practice to obtain critical values by simulation techniques. This paper proposes a novel numerical method to obtain an approximately similar test. This test rejects the null hypothesis when the test statistic islarger than a critical value function (CVF) of the data. We illustrate this procedure when regressors are highly persistent, a case in which commonly-used simulation methods encounter dificulties controlling size uniformly. Our approach works satisfactorily, controls size, and yields a test which outperforms the two other known similar tests.

Compósito de poliuretano de mamona e vermiculita para isolação térmica

They are in this study the experimental results of the analysis of thermal performance of composite material made from a plant matrix of polyurethane derived from castor oil of kernel of mamona (COF) and loading of clay-mineral called vermiculite expanded. Bodies of evidence in the proportions in weight of 10%, 15% and 20% were made to determine the thermal properties: conductivity (k), diffusivity (ά) and heat capacity (C), for purposes of comparison, the measurements were also performed the properties of polyurethane of castor without charge and also the oil polyurethane (PU), both already used in thermal insulation. Plates of 0.25 meters of material analyzed were manufactured for use as insulation material in a chamber performance thermal coverage. Thermocouples were distributed on the surface of the cover, and inside the material inside the test chamber and this in turn was subjected to artificial heating, consisting of a bank of incandescent lamps of 3000 w. The results obtained with the composite materials were compared with data from similar tests conducted with the camera alone with: (a) of oil PU, (b) of COF (c) glass wool, (d ) of rock wool. The heat resistance tests were performed with these composites, obtaining temperature limits for use in the range of 100 º C to 130 º C. Based on the analysis of the results of performance and thermal properties, it was possible to conclude that the COF composites with load of expanded vermiculite present behavior very close to those exhibited by commercial insulation material