A study of severe vehicular accidents. Phase 2.

National Highway Safety Bureau, Washington, D.C.

Vakavat reaktorionnettomuudet ja niiden mallintaminen Olkiluoto 1 ja Olkiluoto 2 laitosyksiköille MELCOR-ohjelman versiolla 2.1

Vakaviin reaktorionnettomuuksiin liittyviä ilmiöitä on tutkittu jo 1980-luvulta lähtien ja tutkitaan edelleen. Ilmiöt liittyvät reaktorisydämen ja muiden paineastian sisäisten materi-aalien sulamiseen sekä reagointiin veden ja höyryn kanssa. Ilmiöt on myös tärkeää tuntea ja niiden esiintymistä mallintaa käytössä olevilla laitoksilla, jotta voidaan varmistua turval-lisuusjärjestelmien riittävyydestä. Olkiluoto 1 ja 2 laitosten käyttölupa uusitaan vuoteen 2018 mennessä. Lupaprosessiin liit-tyy analyysejä, joissa mallinnetaan laitosten toimintaa vakavassa reaktorionnettomuudessa. Näiden analyysien tekoon Teollisuuden Voima Oyj on käyttänyt ohjelmaa nimeltä MEL-COR jo vuodesta 1994 lähtien. Käytössä on ollut useita eri ohjelmaversioita ja viimeisin niistä on 1.8.6, joka riittää vielä tulevan käyttöluvan uusintaprojektiin liittyvien analyysien tekoon. MELCOR:n vanhaa 1.8.6 ohjelmaversioita ei kuitenkaan enää päivitetä, joten siirtyminen uudempaan 2.1 versioon on tulevaisuudessa välttämätöntä. Uusimman versiopäivityksen yhteydessä on kuitenkin muuttunut koko ohjelman lähdekoodi ja vanhojen laitosmallien käyttö uudessa ohjelmaversiossa vaatii tiedostojen konvertoinnin. Tässä työssä esitellään MELCOR-version 2.1 ominaisuuksia ja selvitetään, mitä 1.8.6 versioon luotujen laitosmal-lien käyttöönotto versiossa 2.1 vaatii. Vaatimusten määrittelemiseksi laitosmalleilla tehdään ajoja molemmilla ohjelmaversioilla ja erilaisilla onnettomuuden alkutapahtuman määrittelyillä. Tulosten perusteella arvioidaan ohjelmaversioiden eroja ja pohditaan mitä puutteita laitosmalleihin konversion jälkeen jää. Näiden perusteella arvioidaan mitä jatkotoimenpiteitä konversio vaatii.

Determining risk potential through accidents and near-accidents: an empirical study in a steel factory

Fatal and permanently disabling accidents form only one per I cent of all occupational accidents but in many branches of industry they account for more than half the accident costs. Furthermore the human suffering of the victim and his family is greater in severe accidents than in slight ones. For both human and economic reasons the severe accident risks should be identified befor injuries occur. It is for this purpose that different safety analysis methods have been developed . This study shows two new possible approaches to the problem.. The first is the hypothesis that it is possible to estimate the potential severity of accidents independent of the actual severity. The second is the hypothesis that when workers are also asked to report near accidents, they are particularly prone to report potentially severe near accidents on the basis of their own subjective risk assessment. A field study was carried out in a steel factory. The results supported both the hypotheses. The reliability and the validity of post incident estimates of an accident's potential severity were reasonable. About 10 % of accidents were estimated to be potentially critical; they could have led to death or very severe permanent disability. Reported near accidents were significantly more severe, about 60 $ of them were estimated to be critical. Furthermore the validity of workers subjective risk assessment, manifested in the near accident reports, proved to be reasonable. The studied new methods require further development and testing. They could be used both in routine usage in work places and in research for identifying and setting the priorities of accident risks.

A summary of industrial accidents in USAEC facilities /

Suppl. 3 (1961) has a revised edition.

Technical report No. 6 : containment of fragments from a runaway reactor /

"SRI Project No. GU-2164."

Containment of fragments from a runaway reactor : final report /

"Contract No. AT(04-3)-115 ; Project Agreement No. 2."

Technical report no. 2 : containment of fragments from runaway reactor /

"UC-80, Reactors--General ; TID-4500 (14th Edition) and Supplement."

Summary progress report : containment of fragments from runaway reactor /

"Contract AT(04-3)-115."

Technical report no. 3 : containment of fragments from runaway reactor /

"UC-80, Reactors--General ; TID-4500 (15th Edition) and Supplement."

Summary progress report no. 2 : containment of fragments from a runaway reactor /

"SRI Project No. GU-2164."

Technical report no. 4 : containment of fragments from a runaway reactor /

"SRI Project No. GU-2164."

Age effects on the pharmacokinetics of tityustoxin from Tityus serrulatus scorpion venom in rats

The pharmacokinetics of scorpion venom and its toxins has been investigated in experimental models using adult animals, although, severe scorpion accidents are associated more frequently with children. We compared the effect of age on the pharmacokinetics of tityustoxin, one of the most active principles of Tityus serrulatus venom, in young male/female rats (21-22 days old, N = 5-8) and in adult male rats (150-160 days old, N = 5-8). Tityustoxin (6 µg) labeled with 99mTechnetium was administered subcutaneously to young and adult rats. The plasma concentration vs time data were subjected to non-compartmental pharmacokinetic analysis to obtain estimates of various pharmacokinetic parameters such as total body clearance (CL/F), distribution volume (Vd/F), area under the curve (AUC), and mean residence time. The data were analyzed with and without considering body weight. The data without correction for body weight showed a higher Cmax (62.30 ± 7.07 vs 12.71 ± 2.11 ng/ml, P < 0.05) and AUC (296.49 ± 21.09 vs 55.96 ± 5.41 ng h-1 ml-1, P < 0.05) and lower Tmax (0.64 ± 0.19 vs 2.44 ± 0.49 h, P < 0.05) in young rats. Furthermore, Vd/F (0.15 vs 0.42 l/kg) and CL/F (0.02 ± 0.001 vs 0.11 ± 0.01 l h-1 kg-1, P < 0.05) were lower in young rats. However, when the data were reanalyzed taking body weight into consideration, the Cmax (40.43 ± 3.25 vs 78.21 ± 11.23 ng kg-1 ml-1, P < 0.05) and AUC (182.27 ± 11.74 vs 344.62 ± 32.11 ng h-1 ml-1, P < 0.05) were lower in young rats. The clearance (0.03 ± 0.002 vs 0.02 ± 0.002 l h-1 kg-1, P < 0.05) and Vd/F (0.210 vs 0.067 l/kg) were higher in young rats. The raw data (not adjusted for body weight) strongly suggest that age plays a pivotal role in the disposition of tityustoxin. Furthermore, our results also indicate that the differences in the severity of symptoms observed in children and adults after scorpion envenomation can be explained in part by differences in the pharmacokinetics of the toxin.

National energy policies of the Federal Republic of Germany and Canada in the 1970s and 1980s: are economic and/or environmental concerns responsible for change?

The thesis presents a comparison of the national energy policies of the Federal Republic of Germany and Canada from 1973 until the late 1980s. The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether economic and/or environmental concerns were responsible for changes in the· West-German and Canadian national energy policies. Furthermore, the feasibility of implementing a soft energy path in West-Germany and Canada is examined. For better comprehension of the policy-making process and implemented changes in the national energy policies of the two states, the West-German and Canadian parliamentary systems and the political cultures were compared. For the analysis, several events with international impact were taken as guidelines. Furthermore, based on statistical data, the West-German and Canadian energy production and consumption were analyzed. With reference to these results the degree of the de facto changes in the national energy policies were analyzed. In addition, the thesis discusses the possibilities which a soft energy path offers to both national governments to renounce themselves from the dependencies on a few energy resources. The thesis reveals that changes in the West-German and Canadian national energy policies, in their energy production and consumption are correlated to various world events. In particular, governmental reponses security of energy supply by the two international oil crises of 1973 and 1979/1980 demonstrate that changes in the West-German and Canadian national energy policies were implemented in reaction to economic concerns than environmental ones. With the policies "away from oil" and "off oil", the West-German and Canadian government implemented the i i substitution of oil through various diverse energy supply resources. However, energy savings concepts and policies were initiated through the first oil crisis in 1973. The world recessions in 1975 and 1982 had no 'profound impacts on the agenda of West-German and Canadian energy policies. As a consequence of the stagnation or the negative growth of the world economic market, changes in their energy production and consumption can be perceived. However, the West-German and Canadian energy production and consumption intensified with the augmentation of the world economy. During the period of study, environmental concerns were taken into account in the energy policy agendas of the Federal Republic of Germany and Canada but they were not of primary concern. wi thin the decade of. the 1980s notably more environmental considerations were taken into account in the energy policies of the two states. The two nuclear reactor accidents in 1979 and 1986 sharpened to various degrees West-German and Canadian public discourse of present energy supply mix and attitude towards energy production and consumption. The statistical data reflects yet no changes in the energy policies in regard to the position of nuclear power. However, in the next several years possible changes can be observed through statistical data, because the planning, the construction and possible phase out of nuclear power requires several years. Finally, the thesis reveals that the implementation of a soft energy path requires profound changes in the consumer behaviour. As several studies indicate, a soft energy path is technological and economically feasible for the Federal Republic of Germany and Canada, its implementation remains to be a political decision.

Factors relacionats amb l'ús del casc en adolescents i aspectes canviants després d'un accident amb ciclomotor

Les lesions cerebrals per traumatismes craniencefàlics són la causa més freqüent de defunció en els accidents de trànsit en els que estan implicats vehicles de dues rodes. Malgrat la provada eficàcia de l'ús del casc per amortir les lesions en cas d'accidents, molts adolescents i joves no el fan servir o fan un ús incorrecte. El principal objectiu d'aquesta investigació és identificar les variables que millor prediuen l'ús del casc entre els adolescents. En la recerca es combinen la metodologia quantitativa i qualitativa i consta de dues fases. A la primera fase participen 876 estudiants de secundària (46,8% nois) amb edats compreses entre 14 i 18 anys. A la segona fase, s'estudien quatre casos d'adolescents que han patit un accident greu circulant amb ciclomotor i que no portaven el casc o feien un ús incorrecte. Els resultats suggereixen que l'edat i la influència social són les variables més rellevants per predir l'ús continuat del casc entre els adolescents. De l'estudi se'n deriven estratègies d'intervenció per incrementar l'ús del casc entre els dolescents.