118 resultados para Censoring. Dairy cattle. Kaplan-Meier estimator. Proportional hazards model


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Increased proteinuria is recognized as a risk predictor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in diabetic patients; however, no study has evaluated these relationships in Brazilian patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of gross proteinuria for all-cause and cardiovascular mortalities and for cardiovascular morbidity in a cohort study of 471 type 2 diabetic individuals followed for up to 7 years. Several clinical, laboratory and electrocardiographic variables were obtained at baseline. The relative risks for all-cause, cardiovascular and cardiac mortalities and for cardiovascular and cardiac events associated with the presence of overt proteinuria (>0.5 g/24 h) were assessed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves and by multivariate Cox regression model. During a median follow-up of 57 months (range 2-84 months), 121 patients (25.7%) died, 44 from cardiovascular and 30 from cardiac causes, and 106 fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular events occurred. Gross proteinuria was an independent risk predictor of all-cause, cardiovascular and cardiac mortalities and of cardiovascular morbidity with adjusted relative risks ranging from 1.96 to 4.38 for the different endpoints. This increased risk remained significant after exclusion of patients with prior cardiovascular disease at baseline from the multivariate analysis. In conclusion, gross proteinuria was a strong predictor of all-cause, cardiovascular and cardiac mortalities and also of cardiovascular morbidity in a Brazilian cohort of type 2 diabetic patients. Intervention studies are necessary to determine whether the reduction of proteinuria can decrease morbidity and mortality of type 2 diabetes in Brazil.

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Inflammatory markers have been associated with clinical outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The present study evaluated the role of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP) measurements as a predictor of late cardiovascular outcomes after ACS. One hundred and ninety-nine ACS patients in a Coronary Care Unit from March to November 2002 were included and were reassessed clinically after ~3 years. Clinical variables and CRP levels were evaluated as predictors of major cardiovascular events (MACE, defined as the occurrence of cardiac death, ischemic stroke or myocardial infarction) and mortality. Statistical analyses included Cox multivariable analysis and survival curves (Kaplan-Meier). Of the 199 patients, 11 died within 1 month (5.5%). Of the 188 remaining patients, 22 died after a mean follow-up of 2.9 ± 0.5 years. Baseline CRP levels for patients with MACE (N = 57) were significantly higher than those of patients with no events (median = 0.67 mg/L; 25th-75th percentiles = 0.32 and 1.99 mg/L vs median = 0.45 mg/L; 25th-75th percentiles = 0.24 and 0.83 mg/L; P < 0.001). Patients with CRP levels >3 mg/L had a significantly lower survival than the other two groups (1-3 and <1 mg/L; P = 0.001, log-rank test). The odds ratio for MACE was 7.41 (2.03-27.09) for patients with CRP >3 mg/L compared with those with CRP <1 mg/L. For death by any cause, the hazard ratio was 4.58 (1.93-10.86). High CRP levels predicted worse long-term outcomes (MACE and death by any cause) in patients with ACS.

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Because the superficial lymphatics in the lungs are distributed in the subpleural, interlobular and peribroncovascular interstitium, lymphatic impairment may occur in the lungs of patients with idiopathic interstitial pneumonias (IIPs) and increase their severity. We investigated the distribution of lymphatics in different remodeling stages of IIPs by immunohistochemistry using the D2-40 antibody. Pulmonary tissue was obtained from 69 patients with acute interstitial pneumonia/diffuse alveolar damage (AIP/DAD, N = 24), cryptogenic organizing pneumonia/organizing pneumonia (COP/OP, N = 6), nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP/NSIP, N = 20), and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis/usual interstitial pneumonia (IPF/UIP, N = 19). D2-40+ lymphatic in the lesions was quantitatively determined and associated with remodeling stage score. We observed an increase in the D2-40+ percent from DAD (6.66 ± 1.11) to UIP (23.45 ± 5.24, P = 0.008) with the advanced process of remodeling stage of the lesions. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a better survival for patients with higher lymphatic D2-40+ expression than 9.3%. Lymphatic impairment occurs in the lungs of IIPs and its severity increases according to remodeling stage. The results suggest that disruption of the superficial lymphatics may impair alveolar clearance, delay organ repair and cause severe disease progress mainly in patients with AIP/DAD. Therefore, lymphatic distribution may serve as a surrogate marker for the identification of patients at greatest risk for death due to IIPs.

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Many patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HC) have a poor prognosis. Snail, a transcription factor and E-cadherin repressor, is a novel prognostic factor in many cancers. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between snail and E-cadherin protein expression and the prognostic significance of snail expression in HC. We examined the protein expression of snail and E-cadherin in HC tissues from 47 patients (22 males and 25 females, mean age 61.2 years) using immunohistochemistry and RT-PCR. Proliferation rate was also evaluated in the same cases by the MIB1 index. High, low and negative snail protein expression was recorded in 18 (38%), 17 (36%), and 12 (26%) cases, respectively, and 40.4% (19/47) cases showed reduced E-cadherin protein expression in HC samples. No significant correlation was found between snail and E-cadherin protein expression levels (P = 0.056). No significant correlation was found between snail protein expression levels and gender, age, tumor grade, vascular or perineural invasion, nodal metastasis and invasion, or proliferative index. Cancer samples with positive snail protein expression were associated with poor survival compared with the negative expresser groups. Kaplan-Meier curves comparing different snail protein expression levels to survival showed highly significant separation (P < 0.0001, log-rank test). With multivariate analysis, only snail protein expression among all parameters was found to influence survival (P = 0.0003). We suggest that snail expression levels can predict poor survival regardless of pathological features and tumor proliferation. Immunohistochemical detection of snail protein expression levels in routine sections may provide the first biological prognostic marker.

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In this study, we demonstrated the importance of telomerase protein expression and determined the relationships among telomerase, endothelin-1 (ET-1) and myofibroblasts during early and late remodeling of parenchymal and vascular areas in usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) using 27 surgical lung biopsies from patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). Telomerase+, myofibroblasts α-SMA+, smooth muscle cells caldesmon+, endothelium ET-1+ cellularity, and fibrosis severity were evaluated in 30 fields covering normal lung parenchyma, minimal fibrosis (fibroblastic foci), severe (mural) fibrosis, and vascular areas of UIP by the point-counting technique and a semiquantitative score. The impact of these markers was determined in pulmonary functional tests and follow-up until death from IPF. Telomerase and ET-1 expression was significantly increased in normal and vascular areas compared to areas of fibroblast foci. Telomerase and ET-1 expression was inversely correlated with minimal fibrosis in areas of fibroblast foci and directly associated with severe fibrosis in vascular areas. Telomerase activity in minimal fibrosis areas was directly associated with diffusing capacity of the lung for oxygen/alveolar volume and ET-1 expression and indirectly associated with diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide and severe fibrosis in vascular areas. Cox proportional hazards regression revealed a low risk of death for females with minimal fibrosis displaying high telomerase and ET-1 expression in normal areas. Vascular dysfunction by telomerase/ET-1 expression was found earlier than vascular remodeling by myofibroblast activation in UIP with impact on IPF evolution, suggesting that strategies aimed at preventing the effect of these mediators may have a greater impact on patient outcome.

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Osteoprotegerin (OPG) regulates bone mass by inhibiting osteoclast differentiation and activation, and plays a role in vascular calcification. We evaluated the relationship between osteoprotegerin levels and inflammatory markers, atherosclerosis, and mortality in patients with stages 3-5 chronic kidney disease. A total of 145 subjects (median age 61 years, 61% men; 36 patients on hemodialysis, 55 patients on peritoneal dialysis, and 54 patients with stages 3-5 chronic kidney disease) were studied. Clinical characteristics, markers of mineral metabolism (including fibroblast growth factor-23 [FGF-23]) and inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP] and interleukin-6 [IL-6]), and the intima-media thickness (IMT) in the common carotid arteries were measured at baseline. Cardiac function was assessed by color tissue Doppler echocardiography. After 36 months follow-up, the survival rate by Kaplan-Meier analysis was significantly different according to OPG levels (χ2=14.33; P=0.002). Increased OPG levels were positively associated with IL-6 (r=0.38, P<0.001), FGF-23 (r=0.26, P<0.001) and hsCRP (r=0.0.24, P=0.003). In addition, OPG was positively associated with troponin I (r=0.54, P<0.001) and IMT (r=0.39, P<0.0001). Finally, in Cox analysis, only OPG (HR=1.07, 95%CI=1.02-1.13) and hsCRP (HR=1.02, 95%CI=1.01-1.04) were independently associated with increased risk of death. These results suggested that elevated levels of serum OPG might be associated with atherosclerosis and all-cause mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease.

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Milk products such as cheeses may be contaminated by aflatoxin M1 when dairy cattle have consumed feeds contaminated with aflatoxin B1. Samples of "Minas" cheeses (fresh, canastra and standard) were collected by the Inspection Service in the Mercado Central in Belo Horizonte city, Minas Gerais - Brazil. A purified extract was obtained by extraction with dichloromethane followed by a washing with n-hexane and immunoaffinity column purification. The quantification of aflatoxin M1 was done by high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) using a fluorescence detector. Recoveries were about 75%. In 56 of the 75 samples (74.7%), the presence of aflatoxin M1 was detected in concentrations ranging between 0.02 and 6.92ng/g of cheese. In the positive cases ( > or = 0.02ng/g) the mean contamination level of aflatoxin M1 was 0.08ng/g in fresh cheese, 0.36ng/g in canastra cheese and 0.62ng/g in standard cheese. No aflatoxin M1 maximum tolerance level in cheese has been established in Brazil.

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INTRODUÇÃO: A maioria dos pacientes com doença renal crônica terminal depende de hemodiálise (HD) para a manutenção de sua vida. A análise dos fatores que influenciam na sobrevida pode auxiliar na busca contínua por melhores resultados. MÉTODOS: Analisamos 1.009 pacientes tratados por HD crônica em três unidades de diálise de Santa Maria, RS, Brasil, durante 25 anos (1982-2007). RESULTADOS: A sobrevida (método de Kaplan-Meier) em 1, 2 e 5 anos foi de 91%, 84% e 64%, respectivamente. No modelo proporcional de Cox, tiveram influência estatisticamente significativa sobre o risco de mortalidade: idade ao iniciar HD (aumento de 4,5% por ano a mais; p = 0,0001), presença de diabetes (aumento de 56%; p = 0,001) e ano de início da HD (redução de 5,2% por ano mais tarde; p = 0,0001). A sobrevida foi significativamente melhor para pacientes que iniciaram HD de 1997 a 2007 do que para os que iniciaram de 1982 a 1996, tanto em diabéticos (54% versus 41% em 5 anos; p = 0,01) como não diabéticos (72% versus 65% em 5 anos; p = 0,045), embora, nestes, a idade tenha sido significativamente maior no período mais recente. CONCLUSÕES: A presença de diabete e cada ano a mais na idade determinaram risco significativamente aumentado. Cada ano subsequente do calendário trouxe um risco significativamente menor. Nos anos mais recentes, a melhora de sobrevida foi maior para pacientes diabéticos e idosos, sendo atribuída a avanços diagnósticos e terapêuticos e melhor qualidade global do programa dialítico.

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INTRODUÇÃO: A incidência e prevalência dos pacientes em fase final da doença renal crônica (DRC) continuam a crescer em todo o mundo. O transplante renal continua tendo preferência na terapia renal substitutiva, mas, dada a limitada oferta de doadores de órgãos, terapias dialíticas são as modalidades mais realizadas. OBJETIVOS: Avaliar um registro de pacientes admitidos para terapia renal substitutiva no período de 1984 a 2009, em um único Centro. MÉTODOS: Este é um estudo epidemiológico retrospectivo. Foram analisadas as características demográficas e clínicas, incidência, principal doença renal de base, modalidades dialíticas, mortalidade e causas de óbitos. Para comparar as variáveis, foram utilizados o teste do qui-quadrado, teste t de Student, ANOVA e teste de Tukey. Curvas de Kaplan-Meier foram utilizadas para estimar a sobrevida dos pacientes. Um valor de p < 0,05 foi considerado estatisticamente significativo. RESULTADOS: No período compreendido, 878 pacientes foram admitidos em diálise. A média de idade dos pacientes foi 47,0 ± 16,2 anos, 549 (62,5%) eram do sexo masculino e 712 (81,1%) eram brancos. As principais causas da DRC foram a hipertensão, encontrada em 351 (40,0%) pacientes; nefropatia diabética, em 174 (19,8%); e glomerulonefrite crônica, em 180 (20,5%) pacientes. A principal modalidade dialítica foi a hemodiálise. A taxa de mortalidade em um ano foi de 10,4%. As causas mais comuns de morte foram as cardiovasculares, em 126 (34,6%) pacientes. CONCLUSÕES: Neste estudo esta coorte de pacientes apresentou baixa mortalidade. A doença cardiovascular permanece a principal causa de óbito na população com doença renal crônica em estágio terminal. Triagem para doença cardiovascular é altamente recomendada para esses pacientes.

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INTRODUÇÃO: O transplante renal (TR) é considerado como a melhor terapia para a Doença Renal Crônica (DRC). Fatores associados à sobrevida dos receptores de TR devem ser avaliados tendo em vista a implementação de condutas adequadas no manejo desses pacientes. OBJETIVOS: Analisar a sobrevida de receptores de TR e fatores associados à sua mortalidade. MÉTODOS: Estudo observacional de coorte, retrospectivo, com todos os 215 pacientes submetidos a TR no Hospital Universitário da Universidade Federal do Maranhão-HUUFMA, entre 18 de março de 2000 e 18 de setembro de 2008, com seguimento mínimo de 12 e máximo de 101 meses. Características demográficas e clínicas dos pacientes foram observadas. Utilizou-se o método Kaplan-Meier para construção das curvas de sobrevida do paciente, sendo as mesmas comparadas pelo teste log-rank. O modelo de riscos proporcionais de Cox identificou fatores associados à mortalidade. RESULTADOS: A prevalência de óbito no período foi de 10,6%. A sobrevida de 1, 3 e 5 anos com doadores vivos foi de 97,8%, 94,1% e 92,9%, respectivamente, e com doadores falecidos, 95,6% e 95,6% para 1 e 3 anos, respectivamente. Foram fatores associados à menor sobrevida do paciente: idade > 40 anos (RR = 6,19; p = 0,001; IC 95% = 2,01-18,99) e intercorrência cirúrgica (RR = 4,98; p = 0,041; IC 95% = 1,07-23,27). CONCLUSÕES: As taxas de sobrevida do receptor de TR no HUUFMA foram semelhantes àquelas encontradas em outros trabalhos, nacionais e internacionais. Idade do receptor acima de 40 anos e intercorrências cirúrgicas foram significantemente associados à mortalidade do paciente neste estudo.

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INTRODUTION: Steroid resistant idiopathic nephrotic syndrome (SRINS) in children is one of the leading causes of progression to chronic kidney disease stage V (CKD V)/end stage renal disease (ESRD). OBJECTIVE: The aim of this retrospective study is to evaluate the efficacy of immunosuppressive drugs (IS) and to identify risk factors for progression to ESRD in this population. METHODS: Clinical and biochemical variables at presentation, early or late steroid resistance, histological pattern and response to cyclosporine A (CsA) and cyclophosfamide (CP) were reviewed in 136 children with SRINS. The analyzed outcome was the progression to ESRD. Univariate as well as multivariate Cox-regression analysis were performed. RESULTS: Median age at onset was 5.54 years (0.67-17.22) and median follow up time was 6.1 years (0.25-30.83). Early steroid-resistance was observed in 114 patients and late resistance in 22. Resistance to CP and CsA was 62.9% and 35% respectively. At last follow-up 57 patients reached ESRD. The renal survival rate was 71.5%, 58.4%, 55.3%, 35.6% and 28.5% at 5, 10, 15, 20 and 25 years respectively. Univariate analysis demonstrated that older age at onset, early steroid-resistance, hematuria, hypertension, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS), and resistance to IS were risk factors for ESRD. The Cox proportional-hazards regression identified CsAresistance and FSGS as the only predictors for ESRD. CONCLUSION: Our findings showed that CsA-resistance and FSGS were risk factors for ESRD.

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ResumoIntrodução:O Ministério da Saúde do Peru não tem um programa nacional de hemodiálise e os hospitais que oferecem este tipo de tratamento apresentam problemas de cobertura que podem resultar em aumento da mortalidade.Objetivo:Avaliar a mortalidade da população incidente em hemodiálise em um hospital de Lima.Métodos:Análise da população acima de 18 anos que iniciou o tratamento entre 1 de janeiro de 2012 e 31 de dezembro de 2013, com data de corte final do acompanhamento em 31 de março de 2014. Foi realizada regressão logística bivariada e multivariada dos fatores associados com a mortalidade e usadas as curvas de Kaplan-Meier para determinar a probabilidade de sobrevivência durante o acompanhamento.Resultados:Foram incluídos 235 pacientes para estudo, com idade média de 56,4 ± 15,8 anos. A mediana de acompanhamento foi 0,6 anos (IQR 0,3 a 1,5). A pesquisa mostra que 50% dos pacientes abandonaram o tratamento durante o estudo por falta de vagas ou recursos econômicos. No final do terceiro mês, a mortalidade foi 37,7% (IC 95% 29,3 a 48,5) e 49,5% (IC 95% 38,8 a 61,4) ao sétimo mês. A mortalidade foi menor quando o paciente tinha mais de seis meses com diagnóstico de doença insuficiência renal crônica (OR = 0,39 [IC 95% 0,12-1,27]) e quando o paciente ingressava à diálise programada (OR = 0,28 [IC 95% 0,01 a 2,28]).Conclusão:Metade dos pacientes foi a óbito no sétimo mês de seguimento. Ter ingressado com diálise programada e ter mais tempo de diagnóstico foi associado à menor mortalidade.

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AbstractIntroduction/objective:We evaluated the predictability of early changes in serum albumin (sAlb) on the two-year mortality of incident hemodialysis patients.Methods:Observational, longitudinal retrospective study using the database of Fresenius Medical Care of Latin America. Adult patients starting dialysis from January/2000 to June/2004, from 25 centers were included. Changes in sAlb during the first 3 months on hemodialysis were used as the main predictor. The outcome was death from any cause.Results:1,679 incident patients were included. They were 52 ± 15 years old, 58.7% male and 21.5% diabetic, with a median sAlb of 38 g/L (bromocresol green). 923 patients had sAlb < 38 g/L (Low sAlb Group) and 756 ones had sAlb > 38.0 g/L (Adequate sAlb Group). The mortality was significantly higher in Low sAlb Group (17% vs. 11%, p < 0.001). Early changes in sAlb significantly affected two-year mortality. Factoring the Kaplan Meier curve of Low sAlb Group by the presence of an increase in sAlb uncovered of a statistically significant difference in mortality favoring the ones whose sAlb went up (19% vs. 15%, p = 0.043). Differently, patients from Adequate sAlb Group with a decrease in their sAlb had a statistically higher mortality rate (13% vs. 8%, p = 0.029).Conclusions:Early sAlb changes showed a significant predictive power on mortality at 2 years in incident hemodialysis patients. Those with low initial sAlb may have a better prognosis if their sAlb rises. In contrast, patients with satisfactory initial levels can have a worsening of their prognosis in the case of an early reduction in sAlb.