Determinação do tamanho ótimo da parcela experimental pelos métodos da máxima curvatura modificado, do coeficiente de correlação intraclasse e da análise visual em testes clonais de eucalipto

O objetivo deste trabalho foi determinar o tamanho ótimo da parcela experimental em testes clonais de eucalipto, por meio dos métodos da máxima curvatura modificado, do coeficiente de correlação intraclasse e da análise visual, com base nas características de crescimento em altura, dap e volume. A partir de quatro testes clonais, dispostos no delineamento em blocos ao acaso, com quatro repetições e parcela experimental quadrada de 25 plantas (5 x 5), foram simulados diferentes tamanhos de parcela com 2, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10, 15, 20 e 25 plantas, visando determinar o tamanho ótimo da parcela pelos métodos de máxima curvatura modificado, do coeficiente de correlação intraclasse e da análise visual. Pôde-se concluir que em programas iniciais para seleção de clones parcelas de cinco a dez plantas proporcionam boa precisão experimental, sendo recomendadas, principalmente, em situação com limitações de mudas, teste de grande número de clones e avaliações de cunho preliminar e em idades precoces.

Propriedades mecânicas de peças com dimensões estruturais de Pinus spp: correlação entre resistência à tração e classificação visual

A redução da disponibilidade de espécies de madeiras nativas e seus efeitos na economia, associada ao fortalecimento dos conceitos de preservação ambiental, criou a necessidade de desenvolvimento de alternativas viáveis para utilização racional de espécies de reflorestamento. E uma das opções é a realização de classificação visual das peças. Autores de trabalhos desenvolvidos nessa linha de pesquisa verificaram a adequação das regras de classificação visual do Southern Pine Inspection Bureau (SPIB) dos EUA à madeira de Pinus do Brasil e apresentaram proposta para normalizar o processo de classificação visual dessa madeira. Nessa classificação, os aspectos com maior influência são: presença de nós, desvio de grã em relação ao eixo da peça e densidade de anéis de crescimento. Assim, esta pesquisa apresenta um estudo experimental que consistiu na classificação visual e determinação da resistência à tração de 85 peças de Pinus spp e um estudo teórico, que propôs uma equação para determinar a resistência à tração média de peças estruturais em função da classificação visual. Com este trabalho, foi possível observar a influência dos nós e dos anéis de crescimento sobre a resistência à tração das peças analisadas.

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE VARIABLES, TRUNK GROWTH RATE AND WOOD DENSITY OF Eucalyptus grandis W. Mill ex Maiden TREES

ABSTRACT Climatic conditions stimulates the cambial activity of plants, and cause significant changes in trunk diameter growth and wood characteristics. The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of climate variables in the diameter growth rate of the stem and the wood density of Eucalyptus grandis trees in different classes of the basal area. A total of 25 Eucalyptus trees at 22 months of age were selected according to the basal area distribution. Dendrometer bands were installed at the height of 1.30 meters (DBH) to monitor the diameter growth every 14 days, for 26 months. After measuring growth, the trees were felled and wood discs were removed at the DBH level to determine the radial density profile through x-ray microdensitometry and then re-scale the average values every 14 days. Climatic variables for the monitoring period were obtained and grouped every 14 days. The effect of the climate variables was determined by maximum and minimum growth periods in assessing trunk growth. These growth periods were related with precipitation, average temperature and relative air humidity. The re-scaled wood density values, calculated using the radial growth of the tree trunks measured accurately with steel dendrometers, enabled the determination of the relationship of small changes in wood density and the effect of the climatic variations and growth rate of eucalyptus tree trunks. A high sensitivity of the wood density to variation in precipitation levels was found.

Logistic regression to estimate the welfare of broiler breeders in relation to environmental and behavioral variables

The increasing demand of consumer markets for the welfare of birds in poultry house has motivated many scientific researches to monitor and classify the welfare according to the production environment. Given the complexity between the birds and the environment of the aviary, the correct interpretation of the conduct becomes an important way to estimate the welfare of these birds. This study obtained multiple logistic regression models with capacity of estimating the welfare of broiler breeders in relation to the environment of the aviaries and behaviors expressed by the birds. In the experiment, were observed several behaviors expressed by breeders housed in a climatic chamber under controlled temperatures and three different ammonia concentrations from the air monitored daily. From the analysis of the data it was obtained two logistic regression models, of which the first model uses a value of ammonia concentration measured by unit and the second model uses a binary value to classify the ammonia concentration that is assigned by a person through his olfactory perception. The analysis showed that both models classified the broiler breeder's welfare successfully.

Alteração do campo visual em função do uso de cabinas em tratores agrícolas

Com o objetivo de avaliar a alteração do campo visual de um trator, ocasionada pela instalação de uma cabina, foram determinadas as áreas de visibilidade nula em função da presença ou não da mesma, para cada campo visual. Os procedimentos adotados basearam-se na norma ISO 5721-1981 - Agricultural tractors - Operator's field of vision. A cabina aumentou em 34,42% a área de visibilidade nula. A relação área de projeção do trator/área total sombreada foi de 0,075 para o trator sem cabina, e 0,057 para o trator com cabina, indicando as melhores condições de visibilidade do primeiro em relação ao segundo. No que se refere aos campos visuais, a maior redução ocorreu no campo visual dos olhos e no obtido com o movimento da cabeça, em função dos suportes da cabina e da estrutura de proteção contra o capotamento. A cabina diminui o campo de visão do operador, e adequações no projeto da estrutura avaliada são necessárias para melhorar as condições de visibilidade.

Method of numerical correction of errors occasioned by delay of records during the monitoring of environmental variables of interest for animal production

Thermal and air conditions inside animal facilities change during the day due to the influence of the external environment. For statistical and geostatistical analyses to be representative, a large number of points spatially distributed in the facility area must be monitored. This work suggests that the time variation of environmental variables of interest for animal production, monitored within animal facility, can be modeled accurately from discrete-time records. The aim of this study was to develop a numerical method to correct the temporal variations of these environmental variables, transforming the data so that such observations are independent of the time spent during the measurement. The proposed method approached values recorded with time delays to those expected at the exact moment of interest, if the data were measured simultaneously at the moment at all points distributed spatially. The correction model for numerical environmental variables was validated for environmental air temperature parameter, and the values corrected by the method did not differ by Tukey's test at 5% significance of real values recorded by data loggers.

Tabular cusum control charts of chemical variables applied to the control of surface water quality

The aim of this study was to evaluate the application possibility of tabular CUSUM control charts in the quality control of chemical variables in surface water. It was performed bibliographic and field research to collect water samples from 2003 to 2009, totaling 30 samples, some monthly and others semi-annual in order to observe the variables that regulate water quality. It was found that these charts may be applied to control the quality of river water; showing to be effective in the perception of changes during the process, especially for small samples (n=1) which there is no repetition as in this research. It was also concluded that the Mandurim River does not presents significant levels of pollution.

Management zones in agriculture acording to the soil and landscape variables

The study of spatial variability of soil and plants attributes, or precision agriculture, a technique that aims the rational use of natural resources, is expanding commercially in Brazil. Nevertheless, there is a lack of mathematical analysis that supports the correlation of these independent variables and their interactions with the productivity, identifying scientific standards technologically applicable. The aim of this study was to identify patterns of soil variability according to the eleven physical and seven chemical indicators in an agricultural area. It was used two multivariate techniques: the hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) and the principal component analysis (PCA). According to the HCA, the area was divided into five management zones: zone 1 with 2.87ha, zone 2 with 0.8ha, zone 3 with 1.84ha, zone 4 with 1.33ha and zone 5 with 2.76ha. By the PCA, it was identified the most important variables within each zone: V% for the zone 1, CTC in the zone 2, levels of H+Al in the zone 4 and sand content and altitude in the zone 5. The zone 3 was classified as an intermediate zone with characteristics of all others. According to the results it is concluded that it is possible to separate into groups (management zones) samples with the same patterns of variability by the multivariate statistical techniques.

Weather variables, water balance, growth, and agro industrial yield of sugarcane

The objective of this study was to evaluate the meteorological variables, water deficiency, growth, and agro-industrial yield of sugarcane varieties: RB72454, RB863129, RB867515, RB92579, RB93509, RB931003, RB951541, and RB971755, in rainfed crop in two harvests in the Rio Largo-AL region. The meteorological variables were obtained in an automatic station and water balance was done by Thornthwaite & Mather method. During the study period, the air temperature ranged from 16.6 to 35.9 ºC. In the first production cycle rained 1,806 mm and the crop evapotranspiration was 1,775 mm. In the second cycle, the rainfall totaled 1,632 mm and the crop evapotranspiration was 1,290 mm. The average water excess of two production cycles was 689 mm and the water deficit totaled 665 mm. The average agricultural productivity in the plant was 86.8 t ha-1, in the first ratoon was 75.2 t ha-1 and the agro-industrial yield average was 12.9 and 10.9 tons of sugar per hectare in the plant and first ratoon, respectively. The air temperature was not limiting to the growth of sugarcane and the rainfall was higher than the crop evapotranspiration, but due to poor distribution of the rains there was water deficit. The most productive varieties were RB93509, RB92579, and RB863129.

Redundant variables and the quality of management zones

ABSTRACT Precision agriculture (PA) allows farmers to identify and address variations in an agriculture field. Management zones (MZs) make PA more feasible and economical. The most important method for defining MZs is a fuzzy C-means algorithm, but selecting the variable for use as the input layer in the fuzzy process is problematic. BAZZI et al. (2013) used Moran’s bivariate spatial autocorrelation statistic to identify variables that are spatially correlated with yield while employing spatial autocorrelation. BAZZI et al. (2013) proposed that all redundant variables be eliminated and that the remaining variables would be considered appropriate on the MZ generation process. Thus, the objective of this work, a study case, was to test the hypothesis that redundant variables can harm the MZ delineation process. BAZZI This work was conducted in a 19.6-ha commercial field, and 15 MZ designs were generated by a fuzzy C-means algorithm and divided into two to five classes. Each design used a different composition of variables, including copper, silt, clay, and altitude. Some combinations of these variables produced superior MZs. None of the variable combinations produced statistically better performance that the MZ generated with no redundant variables. Thus, the other redundant variables can be discredited. The design with all variables did not provide a greater separation and organization of data among MZ classes and was not recommended.

Avaliação de métodos alternativos à citologia no rastreamento de lesões cervicais: detecção de DNA-HPV e inspeção visual

OBJETIVO: avaliar o desempenho da citologia oncológica (CO), de captura híbrida II (CH II) e da inspeção visual com ácido acético na detecção de lesões pré-neoplásicas e neoplásicas cervicais. MÉTODOS: 2281 mulheres foram submetidas a exame clínico além da coleta de material para citologia, para CH II para detecção de DNA-HPV. Foi feita a inspeção visual do colo após aplicação do ácido acético a 5% (IVA). As mulheres com pelo menos um exame positivo eram convocadas para colposcopia, que também foi realizada em 420 mulheres com todos os exames normais. O desempenho dos testes foi calculado utilizando como padrão ouro a colposcopia com ou sem biopsia. RESULTADOS: a CO foi anormal em 209 mulheres (9,2%); a CH II foi positiva em 399 (17,5%) e em 249 (10,9%) foram encontradas alterações na IVA. Entre as 2281 mulheres avaliadas, 671 (29,4%) apresentaram pelo menos um resultado de exame positivo, embora apenas 82 (3,6%) apresentassem doença confirmada histologicamente (50 NIC1, 20 NIC2, sete NIC3 e cinco carcinomas invasores). As sensibilidades da IVA e da CH II foram semelhantes e significativamente maiores que a da CO. A especificidade da CO foi maior que a da IVA e da CH II. Nos casos com resultado de CO negativo, a IVA apresentou melhor desempenho comparada à CH II. CONCLUSÃO: o desempenho da CO associada à IVA foi melhor que o da CO associada à CH II e do que o da CO isolada.