Tamanho de amostra para estimação do coeficiente de correlação linear de Pearson entre caracteres de milho

O objetivo deste trabalho foi determinar o tamanho de amostra para a estimação do coeficiente de correlação linear de Pearson entre caracteres de três híbridos de milho. Para as análises, foram tomadas aleatoriamente 361, 373 e 416 plantas, respectivamente, de híbridos simples, triplo e duplo. Para cada planta, os seguintes caracteres foram mensurados: diâmetro maior e menor do colmo, altura da planta e altura, peso, comprimento e diâmetro da espiga, número de fileiras por espiga, peso e diâmetro de sabugo, massa de cem grãos, número de grãos por espiga, comprimento e produtividade de grãos. Para cada um dos 91 pares de caracteres e híbridos, foi determinado o tamanho de amostra a partir de "bootstrap", com reposição de 1.000 amostras, de cada tamanho de amostra simulado. Na estimação do coeficiente de correlação linear de Pearson com a mesma precisão, o tamanho de amostra (número de plantas) aumenta na direção de pares de caracteres com menor intensidade de relação linear, independentemente do tipo de híbrido. Para os 91 pares de caracteres estudados, 252 plantas são suficientes para a estimação do coeficiente de correlação linear de Pearson, no intervalo de confiança de "bootstrap" de 95%, igual a 0,30

Degree of multicollinearity and variables involved in linear dependence in additive-dominant models

The objective of this work was to assess the degree of multicollinearity and to identify the variables involved in linear dependence relations in additive-dominant models. Data of birth weight (n=141,567), yearling weight (n=58,124), and scrotal circumference (n=20,371) of Montana Tropical composite cattle were used. Diagnosis of multicollinearity was based on the variance inflation factor (VIF) and on the evaluation of the condition indexes and eigenvalues from the correlation matrix among explanatory variables. The first model studied (RM) included the fixed effect of dam age class at calving and the covariates associated to the direct and maternal additive and non-additive effects. The second model (R) included all the effects of the RM model except the maternal additive effects. Multicollinearity was detected in both models for all traits considered, with VIF values of 1.03 - 70.20 for RM and 1.03 - 60.70 for R. Collinearity increased with the increase of variables in the model and the decrease in the number of observations, and it was classified as weak, with condition index values between 10.00 and 26.77. In general, the variables associated with additive and non-additive effects were involved in multicollinearity, partially due to the natural connection between these covariables as fractions of the biological types in breed composition.

Tolerance to preharvest sprouting and yield of wheat genotypes from different breeding programs

Abstract:The objective of this work was to characterize the performance of elite wheat genotypes from different Brazilian breeding programs for traits associated with grain yield and preharvest sprouting. The study was conducted in 2010 and 2011 in the municipality of Capão do Leão, in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, in a randomized complete block design with three replicates. Thirty-three wheat genotypes were evaluated for traits related to preharvest sprouting and grain yield. The estimate of genetic distance was used to predict potential combinations for selection of plants with high grain yield and tolerance to preharvest sprouting. The combined analysis of sprouted grains and falling number shows that the TBIO Alvorada, TBIO Mestre, Frontana, Fundacep Raízes, Fundacep Cristalino, and BRS Guamirim genotypes are tolerant to preharvest sprouting. Combinations of TBIO Alvorada and TBIO Mestre with Fundacep Cristalino show high potential for recovering superior genotypes for high grain yield and tolerance to preharvest sprouting.

INCLUDING RISK IN ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS:A STOCHASTIC SIMULATION MODEL FOR BLUEBERRY INVESTMENT DECISIONS IN CHILE

ABSTRACT The traditional method of net present value (NPV) to analyze the economic profitability of an investment (based on a deterministic approach) does not adequately represent the implicit risk associated with different but correlated input variables. Using a stochastic simulation approach for evaluating the profitability of blueberry (Vaccinium corymbosum L.) production in Chile, the objective of this study is to illustrate the complexity of including risk in economic feasibility analysis when the project is subject to several but correlated risks. The results of the simulation analysis suggest that the non-inclusion of the intratemporal correlation between input variables underestimate the risk associated with investment decisions. The methodological contribution of this study illustrates the complexity of the interrelationships between uncertain variables and their impact on the convenience of carrying out this type of business in Chile. The steps for the analysis of economic viability were: First, adjusted probability distributions for stochastic input variables (SIV) were simulated and validated. Second, the random values of SIV were used to calculate random values of variables such as production, revenues, costs, depreciation, taxes and net cash flows. Third, the complete stochastic model was simulated with 10,000 iterations using random values for SIV. This result gave information to estimate the probability distributions of the stochastic output variables (SOV) such as the net present value, internal rate of return, value at risk, average cost of production, contribution margin and return on capital. Fourth, the complete stochastic model simulation results were used to analyze alternative scenarios and provide the results to decision makers in the form of probabilities, probability distributions, and for the SOV probabilistic forecasts. The main conclusion shown that this project is a profitable alternative investment in fruit trees in Chile.

Dosimetria dos cones radiocirúrgicos Radionics de diâmetros de 5 mm a 50 mm para um feixe de 6 MV de um acelerador linear Mevatron MD digital

Os parâmetros dosimétricos de um feixe de raios X de pequeno diâmetro para um sistema de radiocirurgia comercial foram medidos em água com um detector de diodo de Si do tipo p. As razões tecido-máximo, o fator de espalhamento total e os perfis dos feixes a profundidades de 5 e 10 cm foram medidos para 17 feixes de diâmetros circulares de 5 mm a 50 mm, em incrementos de 2,5 mm. Os fatores de espalhamento totais caíram lentamente, de 0,947 para 0,888 entre os cones de 50 mm e 12,5 mm de diâmetro (variação de 7%); para os cones entre 10 mm e 5 mm de diâmetro, esta queda foi bem maior, de 0,854 para 0,666 (variação de 28%). Os valores obtidos para a relação tecido-máximo são consistentes com dados publicados. Os perfis dos feixes foram medidos nas direções x e y, e estão dentro de 0,2 mm para todos os cones entre as duas direções. A medida da largura à meia-altura se encontra dentro de 1 mm com o diâmetro nominal dos cones.