Sensitivity of the Amazon biome to high resolution climate change projections

ABSTRACT: Despite the reduction in deforestation rate in recent years, the impact of global warming by itself can cause changes in vegetation cover. The objective of this work was to investigate the possible changes on the major Brazilian biome, the Amazon Rainforest, under different climate change scenarios. The dynamic vegetation models may simulate changes in vegetation distribution and the biogeochemical processes due to climate change. Initially, the Inland dynamic vegetation model was forced with initial and boundary conditions provided by CFSR and the Eta regional climate model driven by the historical simulation of HadGEM2-ES. These simulations were validated using the Santarém tower data. In the second part, we assess the impact of a future climate change on the Amazon biome by applying the Inland model forced with regional climate change projections. The projections show that some areas of rainforest in the Amazon region are replaced by deciduous forest type and grassland in RCP4.5 scenario and only by grassland in RCP8.5 scenario at the end of this century. The model indicates a reduction of approximately 9% in the area of tropical forest in RCP4.5 scenario and a further reduction in the RCP8.5 scenario of about 50% in the eastern region of Amazon. Although the increase of CO2 atmospheric concentration may favour the growth of trees, the projections of Eta-HadGEM2-ES show increase of temperature and reduction of rainfall in the Amazon region, which caused the forest degradation in these simulations.

A change in the treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms

OBJECTIVE: One of the most exciting potential applications of percutaneous therapy is the treatment of abdominal aneurysms. METHODS: Of 230 patients treated with a self-expanding polyester-lined stent-graft for different aortic pathologies at our institution, we selected 80 abdominal aneurysm cases undergoing treatment (from May 1997 to December 2002). The stent was introduced through the femoral artery, in the hemodynamic laboratory, with the patient under general anesthesia, with systemic heparinization, and induced hypotension. RESULTS: The procedure was successful in 70 (92.9%) cases; 10 patients with exclusion of abdominal aortic aneurysms were documented immediately within the hemodynamic room and 5 patients persisted with a residual leak. Two surgical conversions were necessary. Additional stent-grafts had to be inserted in 3 (3.7%) cases. In the follow-up, 91.4% of patients were alive at a mean follow-up of 15.8 months. CONCLUSION: We believe that stent-grafts are an important tool in improving the treatment of abdominal aneurysms, and this new policy may change the conventional medical management of these patients.

Nutrient enrichment effect on macroinvertebrates in a lowland stream of Argentina

ABSTRACT One of the most important effects derived from the intensive land use is the increase of nutrient concentration in the aquatic systems due to superficial drainage. Besides, the increment of precipitations in South America connected to the global climate change could intensify these anthropic impacts due to the changes in the runoff pattern and a greater discharge of water in the streams and rivers. The pampean streams are singular environments with high natural nutrient concentrations which could be increased even more if the predictions of global climate change for the area are met. In this context, the effect of experimental nutrient addition on macroinvertebrates in a lowland stream is studied. Samplings were carried out from March 2007 to February 2009 in two reaches (fertilized and unfertilized), upstream and downstream from the input of nutrients. The addition of nutrients caused an increase in the phosphorus concentration in the fertilized reach which was not observed for nitrogen concentration. From all macroinvertebrates studied only two taxa had significant differences in their abundance after fertilization: Corbicula fluminea and Ostracoda. Our results reveal that the disturbance caused by the increase of nutrients on the benthic community depends on basal nutrients concentration. The weak response of macroinvertebrates to fertilization in the pampean streams could be due to their tolerance to high concentrations of nutrients in relation to their evolutionary history in streams naturally enriched with nutrients. Further research concerning the thresholds of nutrients affecting macroinvertebrates and about the adaptive advantages of taxa in naturally eutrophic environments is still needed. This information will allow for a better understanding of the processes of nutrient cycling and for the construction of restoration measures in natural eutrophic ecosystems.

The change of behavior of two strains of Leishmania after cultivation in a defined medium

Attempts have been made to characterize two strains of Leishmania that became infective to golden hamsters only after they had been maintained for several years in a chemically defined culture medium. Observations were made on the growth rates of promastigotes in vitro, course of infection in hamsters, morphology of amastigotes, and electrophoretic mobility patterns of eight isoenzymes. Information was obtained about the buoyant densities of n-DNA and k-DNA, and one strain was tested against monoclonal antibodies. The identity of both strains remains obscure.

Climatic change in northeastern Brazil: paleoparasitological data

Trichuris eggs were observed in Kerodon rupestris coprolites dated 9,000 years before present, collected in archeological sites of São Raimundo Nonato, northeastern Brazil. However, present day local rodents seem not to be infected by the parasite, suggesting its disappearence due to climatic changes.

An ocellar "pupil" that does not change with light intensity, but with the insect age in Triatoma infestans

The simple eyes (ocelli) of recently emerged adult Triatoma infestans exhibit a narrow elongated "pupil", surrounded by a ring of brown-reddish pigment, the "iris". This pupil does not respond to changes in the illumination, but varies in size after the imaginal ecdysis. This change corresponds, internally, with the growth of the corneal lens and the associated retina up to an age of about 20 days. This has not been previously observed in an insect. The use of this characteristic for recognising young adults of this species is suggested.

Temporal change of the aggregation response in Triatoma infestans

Adults and larvae of Triatoma infestans spend daylight hours assembled in shaded places. An assembling factor has been demonstrated in the excrement of this species. We analysed different aspects of the dynamics of the response of bugs. Recently fed insects do not aggregate around faeces. They start to show a significant assembling response from the 8th hour after feeding onwards. Just deposited faeces do not evoke assembling, but a significant rejection instead. This reaction switches 3 h after deposition, when the faeces become attractive to the insects. The attractiveness of faeces persists for about 10 days and can be recovered after this time by rehydration. These findings are discussed in relation to the biological role of faeces and the dynamics of the use of refuges by T. infestans.

The effects of temperature change on the infection rate of Biomphalaria glabrata with Schistosoma mansoni

The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of temperature on the development of Schistosoma mansoni infections in Biomphalaria glabrata. The snails were infected at 15, 20, and 30ºC, and the cercarial release was analyzed after 30 and 60 days post-infection. Our results showed that a decrease in the temperature has a substantial influence on the development of S. mansoni infection in B. glabrata, with significant differences (p < 0.05) between 15 and 30ºC. These data could provide a better understanding of the epidemiological aspects of schistosomiasis.

Quantification of the genetic change in the transition of Rhodnius pallescens Barber, 1932 (Hemiptera: Reduviidae) from field to laboratory

Previous studies have reported genetic differences between wild-caught sylvatic, domestic and laboratory pop-ulations of several Triatominae species. The differences between sylvatic and laboratory colonies parallel are similar to the differences observed between sylvatic and domestic populations. Laboratory colonies are frequently used as references for field populations, but the consequences of founder events on the genetic makeup of laboratory or domestic populations are rarely quantified. Our goal was to quantify the genetic change in Rhodnius pallescens populations artificially submitted to founder effects via laboratory colonization. We compared the genetic makeup of two sylvatic populations and their laboratory descendants using a panel of 10 microsatellite markers. Both sylvatic populations were initially collected from palm trees, but the colonies differed in the number of founder insects and amount of time kept in the laboratory. We evaluated allelic polymorphism, differences between expected and observed heterozygosity, estimates of population differentiation (Fst) and inbreeding (Fis, Fit) and cluster analyses based on Nei's distances. We found a unique genetic structure for each sample population, with significant differentiation between the field insects and each of the laboratory generations. These analyses showed strong founder effects and showed that genetic drift had led to a genetic equilibrium over several generations of isolation. Our results suggest that laboratory colonies of R. pallescens have a different genetic structure than their wild relatives and similar processes likely affect other Triatominae laboratory stocks.

Plasmodium falciparum gametocyte carriage, sex ratios and asexual parasite rates in Nigerian children before and after a treatment protocol policy change instituting the use of artemisinin-based combination therapies

The effects of artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) on transmission of Plasmodium falciparum were evaluated after a policy change instituting the use of ACTs in an endemic area. P. falciparum gametocyte carriage, sex ratios and inbreeding rates were examined in 2,585 children at presentation with acute falciparum malaria during a 10-year period from 2001-2010. Asexual parasite rates were also evaluated from 2003-2010 in 10,615 children before and after the policy change. Gametocyte carriage declined significantly from 12.4% in 2001 to 3.6% in 2010 (@@χ² for trend = 44.3, p < 0.0001), but sex ratios and inbreeding rates remained unchanged. Additionally, overall parasite rates remained unchanged before and after the policy change (47.2% vs. 45.4%), but these rates declined significantly from 2003-2010 (@@χ² for trend 35.4, p < 0.0001). Chloroquine (CQ) and artemether-lumefantrine (AL) were used as prototype drugs before and after the policy change, respectively. AL significantly shortened the duration of male gametocyte carriage in individual patients after treatment began compared with CQ (log rank statistic = 7.92, p = 0.005). ACTs reduced the rate of gametocyte carriage in children with acute falciparum infections at presentation and shortened the duration of male gametocyte carriage after treatment. However, parasite population sex ratios, inbreeding rates and overall parasite rate were unaffected.

Change in mutation patterns of Plasmodium vivax dihydrofolate reductase (Pvdhfr) and dihydropteroate synthase (Pvdhps) in P. vivax isolates from malaria endemic areas of Thailand

Malaria is the most important public health problem in several countries. In Thailand, co-infections of Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum are common. We examined the prevalence and patterns of mutations in P. vivax dihydrofolate reductase (Pvdhfr) and P. vivax dihydropteroate synthase (Pvdhps) in 103 blood samples collected from patients with P. vivax infection who had attended the malaria clinic in Mae Sot, Tak Province during 2009 and 2010. Using nested polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorfism, we examined single nucleotide polymorphisms-haplotypes at amino acid positions 13, 33, 57, 58, 61, 117 and 173 of Pvdhfr and 383 and 553 of Pvdhps. All parasite isolates carried mutant Pvdhfr alleles, of which the most common alleles were triple mutants (99%). Eight different types of Pvdhfr and combination alleles were found, as follows: 57I/58R/117T, 57I/58R/117T, 57I/58R/117T/N, 57L/58R/117T, 57L/58R/117T, 58R/61M/117N, 58R/61M/117N and 13L/57L/58R/117T. The most common Pvdhfr alleles were 57I/58R/117T (77.7%), 57I/58R/117T/N (1%), 57L/58R/117T (5.8%) and 58R/61M/117N (14.5%). The most common Pvdhfr alleles were 57I/58R/117T (77.7%), 57I/58R/117T/N (1%), 57L/58R/117T (5.8%) and 58R/61M/117N (14.5%). Additionally, we recovered one isolate of a carrying a quadruple mutant allele, 13L/57L/58R/117T. The most prevalent Pvdhps allele was a single mutation in amino acid 383 (82.5%), followed by the wild-type A383/A553 (17.5%) allele. Results suggest that all P. vivax isolates in Thailand carry some combination of mutations in Pvdhfr and Pvdhps. Our findings demonstrate that development of new antifolate drugs effective against sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine-resistant P. vivax is required.

Influência da crosta superficial nas taxas de infiltração de água medidas com simulador de chuva e anéis concêntricos

A taxa de infiltração de água no solo, conjuntamente com a taxa de chuva, determina a taxa de enxurrada, constituindo medida importante para a previsão de erosão e estudos de conservação do solo. Pode-se medir a taxa de infiltração por meio de um infiltrômetro de cilindros concêntricos (CC) ou de um simulador de chuva (SC). A utilização do CC requer menos trabalho do que o SC, mas os resultados obtidos com o CC comumente estão em desacordo com as taxas de infiltração que ocorrem em situações de chuva natural, possivelmente por causa da formação de uma crosta superficial sob chuva. A formação dessa crosta procede tanto de fatores independentes do manejo do solo, como a intensidade da chuva e a textura do solo, quanto de fatores dependentes do manejo, principalmente a resistência ao cisalhamento e a cobertura vegetal. Em situações favoráveis à ocorrência de formação de crosta, espera-se que taxas de infiltração medidas com o CC superestimem as taxas reais durante uma chuva. Para verificar a correlação entre o manejo do solo e a razão das taxas de infiltração obtidas com CC e SC, essas taxas foram medidas por ambos os métodos em dois Podzólicos (Ultissolos) da região sul do Brasil. Os tratamentos diferiram com a cobertura vegetal e com a existência de crosta superficial. Medidas da taxa de infiltração com SC foram realizadas com um simulador de chuva com bicos aspersores Veejet 80100, em parcelas de 3,5 x 11,0 m, gerando chuva de intensidade de 64,2 mm h-1, durante 100 a 150 minutos. As parcelas foram delimitadas com chapas de metal e a enxurrada foi coletada no lado inferior por três segundos a cada três minutos. O CC consistiu de dois cilindros (diâmetros de 0,30 e 0,60 m), cravados no solo até 0,10 m pouco antes da determinação com o SC. A área dentro dos anéis foi inundada e as taxas de infiltração foram registradas dentro do anel interior, em intervalos de tempo regulares, com três repetições por parcela. Os resultados mostraram que a taxa de infiltração final, quando medida com o CC, foi de cinco a 10 vezes superior à medida com o SC. Medidas da taxa de infiltração com o CC diferiram menos das do SC, quando uma cobertura do solo estava presente. Taxas instantâneas de infiltração diferiram menos quando a crosta preexistente foi removida anterior aos testes. Esses resultados mostram que as taxas de infiltração determinadas pelo CC e SC não podem ser utilizadas em estudos de conservação do solo sem correção e que essa correção deve considerar as condições de manejo, especialmente aquelas relacionadas com a existência e formação de crosta superficial e com a presença de cobertura vegetal.

Alterações de atributos do solo pela calagem superficial e incorporada a partir de pastagem natural

A aplicação superficial de calcário pode ser uma alternativa para a correção da acidez do solo sob plantio direto. Este trabalho avaliou as modificações em alguns atributos químicos provocadas pela aplicação de calcário superficial e incorporado ao solo a partir de pastagem natural. O experimento foi feito na área Experimental do Departamento de Solos da Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (RS), num Argissolo Acinzentado distrófico plíntico. Os tratamentos, com 0,0, 2,0, 8,5 e 17,0 t ha-1 de calcário incorporado na camada de 0-20 cm e em superfície, foram distribuídos em blocos ao acaso, com quatro repetições. Aos 24 meses, reaplicou-se em superfície a dose no tratamento de 2,0 t ha-1. Aos 6, 18, 36 e 48 meses da aplicação do calcário, coletaram-se amostras de solo nas profundidades de 0,0-2,5; 2,5-5,0; 5,0-10,0 e 10,0-15,0 cm. Avaliaram-se os atributos químicos relacionados com a acidez do solo. A correção da acidez do solo foi proporcional à dose de calcário aplicada, independentemente do modo de aplicação. A aplicação de calcário superficial criou uma frente de correção da acidez em profundidade proporcional à dose e ao tempo. Foram necessários 36 meses para que a saturação com alumínio atingisse nível próximo de zero na camada de 0,0-2,5 cm com a aplicação de 2,0 + 2,0 t ha-1; 36 meses para a camada 2,5-5,0 cm com 8,5 t ha-1; e 48 meses para a camada 5,0-10,0 cm com 17,0 t ha-1.

Comparação entre dois métodos para a determinação do volume de escoamento superficial

A determinação do volume máximo de escoamento superficial é fundamental para o dimensionamento de diversos tipos de obras hidráulicas, constituindo o parâmetro de maior importância no projeto de sistemas de terraceamento em nível. A determinação incorreta do volume escoado superficialmente gera imprecisões no dimensionamento destes sistemas que, quando superdimensionados, apresentam elevado custo de instalação. Tendo em vista esses aspectos, o presente trabalho teve por objetivo comparar os valores de volume máximo de escoamento superficial, obtidos por meio do método empírico do número da curva, desenvolvido pelo Serviço de Conservação de Solos dos Estados Unidos, com aqueles obtidos por meio do método desenvolvido por Pruski e colaboradores, baseado em princípios consagrados na hidrologia. O desempenho dos dois métodos foi analisado com base nas condições pluviométricas correspondentes a Belo Horizonte e Uberlândia, para período de retorno de 10 anos. Evidenciaram-se grandes diferenças entre os valores de volume de escoamento superficial obtidos pelos dois métodos, as quais se mostraram mais acentuadas para maiores velocidades de infiltração de água no solo, tendo o método proposto por Pruski e colaboradores apresentado comportamento mais condizente com a realidade.