Evaluation of geostatistical techniques to estimate the spatial distribution of aboveground biomass in the Amazon rainforest using high-resolution remote sensing data

ABSTRACT The spatial distribution of forest biomass in the Amazon is heterogeneous with a temporal and spatial variation, especially in relation to the different vegetation types of this biome. Biomass estimated in this region varies significantly depending on the applied approach and the data set used for modeling it. In this context, this study aimed to evaluate three different geostatistical techniques to estimate the spatial distribution of aboveground biomass (AGB). The selected techniques were: 1) ordinary least-squares regression (OLS), 2) geographically weighted regression (GWR) and, 3) geographically weighted regression - kriging (GWR-K). These techniques were applied to the same field dataset, using the same environmental variables derived from cartographic information and high-resolution remote sensing data (RapidEye). This study was developed in the Amazon rainforest from Sucumbíos - Ecuador. The results of this study showed that the GWR-K, a hybrid technique, provided statistically satisfactory estimates with the lowest prediction error compared to the other two techniques. Furthermore, we observed that 75% of the AGB was explained by the combination of remote sensing data and environmental variables, where the forest types are the most important variable for estimating AGB. It should be noted that while the use of high-resolution images significantly improves the estimation of the spatial distribution of AGB, the processing of this information requires high computational demand.

Associations, causation and model in psychiatry

This paper discusses models, associations and causation in psychiatry. The different types of association (linear, positive, negative, exponential, partial, U shaped relationship, hidden and spurious) between variables involved in mental disorders are presented as well as the use of multiple regression analysis to disentangle interrelatedness amongst multiple variables. A useful model should have internal consistency, external validity and predictive power; be dynamic in order to accommodate new sound knowledge; and should fit facts rather than they other way around. It is argued that whilst models are theoretical constructs they also convey a style of reasoning and can change clinical practice. Cause and effect are complex phenomena in that the same cause can yield different effects. Conversely, the same effect can have a different range of causes. In mental disorders and human behaviour there is always a chain of events initiated by the indirect and remote cause; followed by intermediate causes; and finally the direct and more immediate cause. Causes of mental disorders are grouped as those: (i) which are necessary and sufficient; (ii) which are necessary but not sufficient; and (iii) which are neither necessary nor sufficient, but when present increase the risk for mental disorders.

Subendocardial fibrosis in remote myocardium results from reduction of coronary driving pressure during acute infarction in rats

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the role of hemodynamic changes occurring during acute MI in subsequent fibrosis deposition within non-MI. METHODS: By using the rat model of MI, 3 groups of 7 rats each [sham, SMI (MI <30%), and LMI (MI >30%)] were compared. Systemic and left ventricular (LV) hemodynamics were recorded 10 minutes before and after coronary artery ligature. Collagen volume fraction (CVF) was calculated in picrosirius red-stained heart tissue sections 4 weeks later. RESULTS: Before surgery, all hemodynamic variables were comparable among groups. After surgery, LV end-diastolic pressure increased and coronary driving pressure decreased significantly in the LMI compared with the sham group. LV dP/dt max and dP/dt min of both the SMI and LMI groups were statistically different from those of the sham group. CVF within non-MI interventricular septum and right ventricle did not differ between each MI group and the sham group. Otherwise, subendocardial (SE) CVF was statistically greater in the LMI group. SE CVF correlated negatively with post-MI systemic blood pressure and coronary driving pressure, and positively with post-MI LV dP/dt min. Stepwise regression analysis identified post-MI coronary driving pressure as an independent predictor of SE CVF. CONCLUSION: LV remodeling in rats with MI is characterized by predominant SE collagen deposition in non-MI and results from a reduction in myocardial perfusion pressure occurring early on in the setting of MI.

Assessment of cardiovascular risk factors in a rural community in the Brazilian state of Bahia

OBJECTIVE: To assess the frequency of cardiovascular risk factors in the rural community of Cavunge, in the Brazilian state of Bahia. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out with 160 individuals (age > 19 years) randomly drawn from those listed in the population census of the Cavunge Project. The following parameters were studied: arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, obesity, smoking, waist-hip ratio (WHR), physical activity, and overall cardiovascular risk classified according to the Framingham score. The assessing parameters used were those established by the III Brazilian Consensus on Hypertension and the II Brazilian Consensus on Dyslipidemia. RESULTS: Of the randomly drawn individuals, 126 with a mean age of 46.6 + 19.7 years were included in the study, 43.7% of whom were males. The frequency of arterial hypertension was 36.5%; 20.4% of the individuals had cholesterol levels >240 mg/dL; 31.1% of the individuals had LDL-C levels > 130 mg/dL; 4% were diabetic; and 39.7% had a high-risk Framingham score. Abdominal obesity was observed in 41.3% of the population and in 57.7% of the females. High caloric-expenditure (HCE) physical activities were performed by 56.5% of the individuals. The HCE group had a greater frequency of normal triglyceride levels (63% vs 44%; P=0.05), no diabetes, and WHR tending towards normal (46% vs 27%, P=0.08) as compared with those in the low caloric-expenditure group. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension and hypercholesterolemia, are frequently found in rural communities. The greatest frequency of normal triglyceride levels and normal WHR in the HCE group reinforces the association between greater caloric expenditure and a better risk profile.

Associação entre obesidade central, triglicerídeos e hipertensão arterial em uma área rural do Brasil

FUNDAMENTO: A hipertensão, importante problema de saúde pública, representa uma das principais causas de morbidade em todo o mundo. OBJETIVO: Estimar a prevalência da hipertensão arterial e seus fatores de risco em uma comunidade rural do nordeste do estado de Minas Gerais, Brasil. MÉTODOS: Estudo transversal realizado em 2004, em Virgem das Graças, comunidade rural localizada no Vale do Jequitinhonha. A amostra era composta por 287 indivíduos, com idades entre 18 e 88 anos. Hipertensão foi definida segundo os critérios da Joint National Committee (pressão arterial sistólica > 140 mmHg e/ou pressão arterial diastólica > 90 mmHg): indivíduos que já usavam medicamentos anti-hipertensivos também foram considerados hipertensos. Usou-se a análise bivariada para testar a relação entre as variáveis independentes e hipertensão, e a regressão logística para ajustar fatores de confusão e identificar interações. A força de associação foi mensurada usando-se odds ratio (OR) e seus intervalos de confiança de 95% [IC (95%)]. RESULTADOS: A prevalência bruta da hipertensão foi de 47,0% [IC (95%): 41,1 - 53,0], a prevalência ajustada por idade foi de 43,2% [IC (95%): 35,7 - 50,7], enquanto a prevalência ajustada por escolaridade foi de 44,1% [IC (95%): 43,9 - 44,3]. De acordo com a análise multivariada, observou-se que idade, triglicerídeos, circunferência da cintura e sexo eram fatores de risco independentes associados à hipertensão. CONCLUSÃO: Os achados fornecem evidências importantes de que a hipertensão é um problema de saúde pública associado à dislipidemia e à obesidade abdominal, na área rural de Minas Gerais.

Perfil clínico-demográfico e indicadores de qualidade da insuficiência cardíaca em uma área rural

FUNDAMENTOS: Os dados sobre insuficiência cardíaca (IC) no Brasil são provenientes de centros terciários. Esses dados não podem ser extrapolados para a população rural, pois refletem características socioeconômico-culturais distintas. OBJETIVO: Estabelecer o perfil clínico-demográfico e indicadores de qualidade da IC em área rural. MÉTODOS: Estudo de coorte transversal, incluindo 166 pacientes da área rural do município de Valença-RJ. Após avaliação dos dados clínicos, laboratoriais e ecocardiográficos e utilizados o teste do qui-quadrado e o exato de Fisher para a análise das proporções, assim como o teste t de Student para as variáveis numéricas, com o intuito de estabelecer as características da população. RESULTADOS: A idade média foi de 61±14 anos, sendo 85 (51%) homens; 88 (53%) afrobrasileiros e 85 (51%) com ICFER. Comorbidades prevalentes: HAS em 151 (91%) e síndrome metabólica (SM) em 103 (62%). Etiologias mais comuns: hipertensiva em 77 (46%), isquêmica em 62 (37%). Indicadores de qualidade na IC: 43 (26%) com ecocardiograma prévio; 102 (62%) utilizavam betabloqueador; 147 (88%) receberam IECA ou BRA; e 22% dos portadores de FA utilizavam anticoagulação oral. Na ICFEN, predominou o sexo feminino p=0,001 RC 0,32 CI (0,17-0,60); SM p=0,004 RC 0,28 CI (1,31-4,78); e etiologia hipertensiva p<0,0001 RC 6,83 CI (3,45-13,5). Na ICFER, predominou o sexo masculino p=0,001, RC 0,32 CI (0,170-0,605) e etiologia isquêmica p<0,0001 RC 0,16 CI (0,079-0,330). CONCLUSÃO: Na área rural, a IC mostra semelhanças em relação ao sexo, cor e classificação da IC. A etiologia mais comum foi a hipertensiva. A ICFEN foi mais prevalente em mulheres e na SM. A ICFER associou-se a homens e etiologia isquêmica.