Effect of sampling effort and sampling frequency on the composition of the planktonic crustacean assemblage: a case study of the river Danube

Although numerous studies have focused on the seasonal dynamics of riverine zooplankton, little is known about its short-term variation. In order to examine the effects of sampling frequency and sampling effort, microcrustacean samples were collected at daily intervals between 13 June and 21 July of 2007 in a parapotamal side arm of the river Danube, Hungary. Samples were also taken at biweekly intervals from November 2006 to May 2008. After presenting the community dynamics, the effect of sampling effort was evaluated with two different methods; the minimal sample size was also estimated. We introduced a single index (potential dynamic information loss; to determine the potential loss of information when sampling frequency is reduced. The formula was calculated for the total abundance, densities of the dominant taxa, adult/larva ratios of copepods and for two different diversity measures. Results suggest that abundances may experience notable fluctuations even within 1 week, as do diversities and adult/larva ratios.

Theory and practice in the field of foresight

Purpose – The paper aims to explore the gap between theory and practice in foresight and to give some suggestions on how to reduce it. Design/methodology/approach – Analysis of practical foresight activities and suggestions are based on a literature review, the author's own research and practice in the field of foresight and futures studies, and her participation in the work of a European project (COST A22). Findings – Two different types of practical foresight activities have developed. One of them, the practice of foresight of critical futures studies (FCFS) is an application of a theory of futures studies. The other, termed here as praxis foresight (PF), has no theoretical basis and responds directly to practical needs. At present a gap can be perceived between theory and practice. PF distinguishes itself from the practice and theory of FCFS and narrows the construction space of futures. Neither FCFS nor PF deals with content issues of the outer world. Reducing the gap depends on renewal of joint discourses and research about experience of different practical foresight activities and manageability of complex dynamics in foresight. Production and feedback of self-reflective and reflective foresight knowledge could improve theory and practice. Originality/value – Contemporary practical foresight activities are analysed and suggestions to reduce the gap are developed in the context of the linkage between theory and practice. This paper is thought provoking for futurists, foresight managers and university researchers.

A sikeres növekedés és innováció feltételei (The condition of successful growth and innovation)

Kutatásukban a szerzők a sikeres innovációs-növekedési stratégiák beazonosítására törekedtek két dimenzió mentén: növekedési erőfeszítés és innovációs erőfeszítés. A sikert mint a radikális innováció piaci bevezetéseként definiálták. A szakirodalom áttekintése és kvalitatív kutatási eredményeink alapján azt találták, hogy a siker feltételei a következők: (1) „felkészültség”, azaz biztos szakmai tudás (know-what); a (2) „gyakorlás”, azaz a folyamatok tökéletes ismerete (know-how); a (3) „tehetséggondozás”, azaz a megfelelő kapcsolati tőke a hiányzó képességek, erőforrások és információk megszerzéséhez (know-who); és végül a (4) „tehetség”, azaz kreativitás, magas asszociációs készség, és innovatív ötletek. A vezető feladata annak felismerése, hogy mikor szükséges lassítania a szervezetre nehezedő növekedési nyomáson. A nyugalmi időszakban továbbra is fontos az innovációs képességek fejlesztése. Következetesen fel kell ismernie, hogy mikor lesz nagyobb a szétaprózott erőforrások és a megosztott figyelem költsége, mint a potenciális hozadéka. _______ In present research the successful innovation-growth strategies are identified along two dimensions: growth effort and innovation effort. The success is defined as the introduction to the market of a radical innovation. After reviewing the literature and conducting a qualitative research, authors found that the threshold condition of success are the followings: (1) “preparation”, that is expertise (know-what); (2) “practice”, that is deep understanding of processes (know-how); (3) “talent support”, that is access to missing resources; and finally (4) “talent”, that is creativity, innovative idea, and high association capability. This is the role of the manager to decide when the organizational growth should be slowed down. While the development of innovation capability is still important in times of slow growth periods, the manager must recognize that the cost of divided attention and fragmented resources is higher, than the potential return of the innovation.