Katalónia a következő független állam Európában? (Will Catalonia be the next independent state?)

A Katalóniában tapasztalható függetlenségi törekvések nem minősülnek csupán spanyol belügynek, komoly uniós és nemzetközi jogi vonatkozással bírnak. Különösen érdekes megvizsgálni, hogy egyes elemzők hogyan közelítik meg a potenciális függetlenedés közgazdasági összefüggéseit, előnyeit és hátrányait. A téma személyesen is érint, mivel 2012 júliusa és 2013 januárja között a barcelonai Universitat Abat Oliba CEU egyetem vendégoktatója és kutatója voltam, így első kézből tapasztaltam a téma érzékenységét. _____ The independence of Catalonia is not just simple Spanish “internal affair”, since it has serious international and European legal aspects. It is very interesting to analyse the different approaches of the parties and experts about the economic pros and cons of the potential independence. The topic is affecting me personally; because I was guest professor and researcher of the Universitat Abat Oliba CEU in Barcelona in a turbulent period from July 2012 until January 2013, so I could experience the sensitiveness of the subject.

The paradox of the binomial Ixodes ricinus activity and the observed unimodal Lyme borreliosis season in Hungary

The change of ambient temperature plays a key role in determining the run of the annual Lyme season. Our aim was to explain the apparent contradiction between the annual unimodal Lyme borreliosis incidence and the bimodal Ixodes ricinus tick activity run – both observed in Hungary – by distinguishing the temperaturedependent seasonal human and tick activity, the temperature-independent factors, and the multiplicative effect of human outdoor activity in summer holiday, using data from Hungary in the period of 1998–2012. This separation was verified by modeling the Lyme incidence based on the separated factors, and comparing the run of the observed and modeled incidence. We demonstrated the bimodality of tick season by using the originally unimodal Lyme incidence data. To model the outdoor human activity, the amount of camping guest nights was used, which showed an irregular run from mid-June to September. The human outdoor activity showed a similar exponential correlation with ambient temperature to that what the relative incidence did. It was proved that summer holiday has great influence on Lyme incidence.

The paradox of the binomial Ixodes ricinus activity and the observed unimodal Lyme borreliosis season in Hungary

The change of ambient temperature plays a key role in determining the run of the annual Lyme season. Our aim was to explain the apparent contradiction between the annual unimodal Lyme borreliosis incidence and the bimodal Ixodes ricinus tick activity run – both observed in Hungary – by distinguishing the temperaturedependent seasonal human and tick activity, the temperature-independent factors, and the multiplicative effect of human outdoor activity in summer holiday, using data from Hungary in the period of 1998–2012. This separation was verified by modeling the Lyme incidence based on the separated factors, and comparing the run of the observed and modeled incidence. We demonstrated the bimodality of tick season by using the originally unimodal Lyme incidence data. To model the outdoor human activity, the amount of camping guest nights was used, which showed an irregular run from mid-June to September. The human outdoor activity showed a similar exponential correlation with ambient temperature to that what the relative incidence did. It was proved that summer holiday has great influence on Lyme incidence.