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em Corvinus Research Archive - The institutional repository for the Corvinus University of Budapest

Vilgpolitikai tendencik 2011-ben = Global political trends in 2011

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Az Amerikai Egyeslt llamok mint a vilg gazdasgilag s katonailag legersebb hatalma hamarosan lekzdi a jelenlegi vlsgot s tovbbra is vezet hatalom marad. Eurpban a fbb tennivalkat tovbbra is a demogrfiai helyzet, a migrci kezelse s az sszeurpai intzmnyek kialaktsa jelenti. A szovjet utdllamok etnikai feszltsgekkel s demogrfiai hanyatlssal, tovbb az orosz befolys ersdsvel szmolhatnak. A hbors trsgekben a feszltsg nem fog cskkenni Irak, Afganisztn Irn, szak-Afrika s a Kzel-Kelet tovbbra is a figyelem kzppontjban lesz. Kna gazdasgi nvekedse kvetkeztben a vilg msodik legnagyobb hatalmv lphet el. sszessgben megllapthat, hogy a vilg az elmlt vekben nem lett biztonsgosabb s ez a tendencia folytatdik 2011-ben is. / === / The economic and political processes experienced in the world are followed by great attention not only by experts, but also by public opinion. The most important conclusions of the study are as follows: the United States as the economically and politically strongest power in the world will soon overcome the present crisis and preserve its leading power status. The main task in Europe will remain handling the demographic decline and migration, as well as to establish appropriate pan-European institutions. The post-Soviet successor states are facing ethnical tensions and demographic decline. In addition , they cannot resist the strengthening Russian influence. The tension in the war-zones is not expected to significantly ease, Iraq, Afghanistan, North Africa and the Middle East will remain high on the world's agenda. China thanks to its economic growth is going to become the second greatest power of the world. In the study we can read in detail about the development tendencies of the regions and states. To sum up, the world has not become safer at all in the past years and this tendency will continue also in 2011.

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