Branching Processes in Autoregressive Random Environment

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 60K05.

Sensitivity Analysis of the Risk of Forecasting for Autoregressive Time Series with Missing Values

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 62M20, 62M10, 62-07.

Branching Processes with Immigration and Integer-valued Time Series

In this paper, we indicate how integer-valued autoregressive time series Ginar(d) of ordre d, d ≥ 1, are simple functionals of multitype branching processes with immigration. This allows the derivation of a simple criteria for the existence of a stationary distribution of the time series, thus proving and extending some results by Al-Osh and Alzaid [1], Du and Li [9] and Gauthier and Latour [11]. One can then transfer results on estimation in subcritical multitype branching processes to stationary Ginar(d) and get consistency and asymptotic normality for the corresponding estimators. The technique covers autoregressive moving average time series as well.

Maximal Number of Successors in a Nginar(1) Process

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 60J20, 60J10, 60G10, 60G70, 60F99.

Accent Recognition for Noisy Audio Signals

It is well established that accent recognition can be as accurate as up to 95% when the signals are noise-free, using feature extraction techniques such as mel-frequency cepstral coefficients and binary classifiers such as discriminant analysis, support vector machine and k-nearest neighbors. In this paper, we demonstrate that the predictive performance can be reduced by as much as 15% when the signals are noisy. Specifically, in this paper we perturb the signals with different levels of white noise, and as the noise become stronger, the out-of-sample predictive performance deteriorates from 95% to 80%, although the in-sample prediction gives overly-optimistic results. ACM Computing Classification System (1998): C.3, C.5.1, H.1.2, H.2.4., G.3.