39 resultados para Asymptotic normality of sums


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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classi cation: 60J80.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 30B40, 30B10, 30C15, 31A15.

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This study is focused on the comparison and modification of different estimates arising in the branching processes. Simulations of models with or without migration are put through. Due to the complexity of the computations the algorithms are designed with the language of technical computing MATLAB. Using the simulations, estimates of the o spring mean of the generated processes are calculated. It is well known in the literature that under certain conditions the asymptotic distribution of the estimates is proved to be normal. Using the asymptotic normality a modified method of maximum likelihood is proposed. The aim is to obtain trimmed maximum likelihood estimates based on several sample paths with the same number of generations. Thus in a natural way the observations, inconsistent with the aprior information about the asymptotic normality are excluded from the model. The computation of the standard error allows the comparison of different types of estimates.

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* The authors thank the “Swiss National Science Foundation” for its support.

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In this paper, we indicate how integer-valued autoregressive time series Ginar(d) of ordre d, d ≥ 1, are simple functionals of multitype branching processes with immigration. This allows the derivation of a simple criteria for the existence of a stationary distribution of the time series, thus proving and extending some results by Al-Osh and Alzaid [1], Du and Li [9] and Gauthier and Latour [11]. One can then transfer results on estimation in subcritical multitype branching processes to stationary Ginar(d) and get consistency and asymptotic normality for the corresponding estimators. The technique covers autoregressive moving average time series as well.

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AMS Subj. Classification: 11M41, 11M26, 11S40

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 62M05.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: primary 60J80; secondary 60J85, 92C37.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 05A16, 05A17.

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Let (Xi ) be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables, and let N be a geometric random variable independent of (Xi ). Geometric stable distributions are weak limits of (normalized) geometric compounds, SN = X1 + · · · + XN , when the mean of N converges to infinity. By an appropriate representation of the individual summands in SN we obtain series representation of the limiting geometric stable distribution. In addition, we study the asymptotic behavior of the partial sum process SN (t) = ⅀( i=1 ... [N t] ) Xi , and derive series representations of the limiting geometric stable process and the corresponding stochastic integral. We also obtain strong invariance principles for stable and geometric stable laws.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 14H50.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J60, 62M99.

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The asymptotic behavior of multiple decision procedures is studied when the underlying distributions depend on an unknown nuisance parameter. An adaptive procedure must be asymptotically optimal for each value of this nuisance parameter, and it should not depend on its value. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of such a procedure is derived. Several examples are investigated in detail, and possible lack of adaptation of the traditional overall maximum likelihood rule is discussed.

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We study the limit behaviour of the sequence of extremal processes under a regularity condition on the norming sequence ζn and asymptotic negligibility of the max-increments of Yn.