6 resultados para density-dependent model

em Publishing Network for Geoscientific


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Snow cover has dramatic effects on the structure and functioning of Arctic ecosystems in winter. In the tundra, the subnivean space is the primary habitat of wintering small mammals and may be critical for their survival and reproduction. We have investigated the effects of snow cover and habitat features on the distributions of collared lemming (Dicrostonyx groenlandicus) and brown lemming (Lemmus trimucronatus) winter nests, as well as on their probabilities of reproduction and predation by stoats (Mustela erminea) and arctic foxes (Vulpes lagopus). We sampled 193 lemming winter nests and measured habitat features at all of these nests and at random sites at two spatial scales. We also monitored overwinter ground temperature at a subsample of nest and random sites. Our results demonstrate that nests were primarily located in areas with high micro-topography heterogeneity, steep slopes, deep snow cover providing thermal protection (reduced daily temperature fluctuations) and a high abundance of mosses. The probability of reproduction increased in collared lemming nests at low elevation and in brown lemming nests with high availability of some graminoid species. The probability of predation by stoats was density dependent and was higher in nests used by collared lemmings. Snow cover did not affect the probability of predation of lemming nests by stoats, but deep snow cover limited predation attempts by arctic foxes. We conclude that snow cover plays a key role in the spatial structure of wintering lemming populations and potentially in their population dynamics in the Arctic.

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Stable isotopic and micropaleontological studies were made of selected sapropels (organic-rich sediments) deposited in the Mediterranean Sea during the last 5.0 m.y. to determine the processes responsible for their formation. Distinct isotopic and faunal changes occur across sapropels of late Pleistocene, early Pleistocene and latest Pliocene age, while smaller isotopic changes and more stable faunal assemblages are associated with the early and mid-late Pliocene sapropels. The large d18O depletions and euryhaline fauna associated with latest Pliocene-Pleistocene sapropels supports a density stratification model with a low salinity surface layer. In contrast, early Pliocene and mid-late Pliocene sapropels appear to have been formed as the result of sluggish circulation and low oxygen contents in bottom waters of the eastern Mediterranean due to the stable, warm climatic conditions of that time period.

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Goose grazing on arctic tundra vegetation has shown both positive and negative effects on subsequent foraging conditions. To understand the potential of a density-dependent feedback on herbivore population size, the relation between grazing pressure and future foraging conditions is essential. We studied the effect of increasing grazing pressure of barnacle geese (Branta leucopsis) on Spitsbergen. During the establishment of a breeding colony in the period 1992-2004, the proportion of graminoids decreased in the diet of wild geese, while the percentage of mosses increased. Grazing trials with captive geese in an unexploited area showed a similar shift in diet composition. High-quality food plants were depleted within years and over years. Intake rate declined too and as consequence, metabolisable energy intake rate (MEIR) decreased rapidly with increasing grazing pressure. During three successive years of experimental grazing, MEIR decreased at all levels of grazing pressure and declined below minimal energetic requirements when grazing exceeded natural levels of grazing pressure. This suggests that foraging conditions rapidly decline with increasing grazing pressure in these low-productive habitats. The potential for density-dependent feedbacks on local population increase is discussed.

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This study provides a theoretical assessment of the potential bias due to differential lateral transport on multi-proxy studies based on a range of marine microfossils. Microfossils preserved in marine sediments are at the centre of numerous proxies for paleoenvironmental reconstructions. The precision of proxies is based on the assumption that they accurately represent the overlying watercolumn properties and faunas. Here we assess the possibility of a syn-depositional bias in sediment assemblages caused by horizontal drift in the water column, due to differential settling velocities of sedimenting particles based on their shape, size and density, and due to differences in current velocities. Specifically we calculate the post-mortem lateral transport undergone by planktic foraminifera and a range of other biological proxy carriers (diatoms, radiolaria and fecal pellets transporting coccolithophores) in several regions with high current velocities. We find that lateral transport of different planktic foraminiferal species is minimal due to high settling velocities. No significant shape- or size-dependent sorting occurs before reaching the sediment, making planktic foraminiferal ideal proxy carriers. In contrast, diatoms, radiolaria and fecal pellets can be transported up to 500km in some areas. For example in the Agulhas current, transport can lead to differences of up to 2°C in temperature reconstructions between different proxies in response to settling velocities. Therefore, sediment samples are likely to contain different proportions of local and imported particles, decreasing the precision of proxies based on these groups and the accuracy of the temperature reconstruction.

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A nested ice flow model was developed for eastern Dronning Maud Land to assist with the dating and interpretation of the EDML deep ice core. The model consists of a high-resolution higher-order ice dynamic flow model that was nested into a comprehensive 3-D thermomechanical model of the whole Antarctic ice sheet. As the drill site is on a flank position the calculations specifically take into account the effects of horizontal advection as deeper ice in the core originated from higher inland. First the regional velocity field and ice sheet geometry is obtained from a forward experiment over the last 8 glacial cycles. The result is subsequently employed in a Lagrangian backtracing algorithm to provide particle paths back to their time and place of deposition. The procedure directly yields the depth-age distribution, surface conditions at particle origin, and a suite of relevant parameters such as initial annual layer thickness. This paper discusses the method and the main results of the experiment, including the ice core chronology, the non-climatic corrections needed to extract the climatic part of the signal, and the thinning function. The focus is on the upper 89% of the ice core (appr. 170 kyears) as the dating below that is increasingly less robust owing to the unknown value of the geothermal heat flux. It is found that the temperature biases resulting from variations of surface elevation are up to half of the magnitude of the climatic changes themselves.

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The wet bulk density is one of the most important parameters of the physical and geological properties of marine sediments. The density is connected directly with sedimentation history and a few sedirnent properties. Knowledge of the fine scale density-depth structure is the base for many model calculations, for both sedimentological and palaeoclimatic research. A density measurement system was designed and built at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Bremerhaven for measuring the wet buk density of sediment cores with high resolution in a non-destructive way. The density is deterrnined by measuring the absorption of Gamma-rays in the sediment. This principle has been used since the 50's in materials research and in the geosciences. In the present case, Cs137 is used as the radioactive source and the intensity is measured by a detector system (scintillator and photomultiplier). Density values are obtainable in both longitudinal core sections and planar cross-sections (the latter are a function of the axial rotation angle). Special studies on inhomogenity can be applied with core rotation. Detection of ice rafted debris (IRD) is made possible with this option. The processes that run the density measurement system are computer controlled. Besides the absorption measurement the core diameter at every measurement point is determined with a potentiometric system. The data values taken are stored on a personal computer. Before starting routine measurements on the sediment cores, a few experiments conceming the statistical aspects of the gamma-ray signal and its accuracy were carried out. These experiments led to such things as the optimum operational parameters. A high spatial resolution in the mm-range is possible with the 4mm-thin gamma-ray measurements. Within five seconds the wet bulk density can be deterrnined with an absolute accuracy of 1%. A comparison between data measured with the new system and conventional measurements on core samples after core splitting shows an agreement within +I- 5% for most of the values. For this thesis, density determinations were carried out on ten sediment cores. A few sediment characteristics are obtainable from using just the standard measurement results without core rotation. In addition to differentes and steps in the absolute density range, variations in the "frequency" of the density-depth structure can be detected due to the close spatial measurement interval and high resolution. Examples from measurements with small (9°) and great (90°) angle increments show that abrupt and smooth transitional changes of sedirnent layers as well as ice rafted debris of several dimensions can be detected and distiflguished clearly. After the presentation of the wet bulk density results, a comparison with data from other investigations was made. Measurements of the electrical resistivity correlated very well with the density data because both parameters are closely related to the porosity of the sedirnent. Additionally, results from measurements of the magnetic susceptibility and from ultra-sonic wave velocity investigations were considered for a integrative interpretation. The correlation of these both parameters and wet bulk density data is strongly dependent on the local (environmental) conditions. Finally, the densities were compared with recordings from sediment-echographic soundings and an X-ray computer tomography analysis. The individual results of all investigations were then finally combined into an accurate picture of the core. Problems of ambiguity, which exist when just one Parameter is determined alone, can be reduced more or less according to the number of parameters and sedimentary characteristics measured. The important role of the density data among other parameters of such an integrated interpretation is evident. Evidence of this role include the high resolution of the measurement, the excellent accuracy and the key position within methods and parameters concerning marine sediments.