Maps (pdf) and raster images (tif) of predicted rural land cover suitability under current (2010) conditions and future climate scenarios

This study projects land cover probabilities under climate change for corn (maize), soybeans, spring and winter wheat, winter wheat-soybean double cropping, cotton, grassland and forest across 16 central U.S. states at a high spatial resolution, while also taking into account the influence of soil characteristics and topography. The scenarios span three oceanic-atmospheric global circulation models, three Representative Concentration Pathways, and three time periods (2040, 2070, 2100). As climate change intensifies, the suitable area for all six crops display large northward shifts. Total suitable area for spring wheat, followed by corn and soybeans, diminish. Suitable area for winter wheat and for winter wheat-soybean double-cropping expand northward, while cotton suitability migrates to new, more northerly, locations. Suitability for forest intensifies in the south while yielding to crops in the north; grassland intensifies in the western Great Plains as crop suitability diminishes. To maintain current broad geographic patterns of land use, large changes in the thermal response of crops such as corn would be required. A transition from corn-soybean to winter wheat-soybean doubling cropping is an alternative adaptation.

Diatom biostratigraphy of ODP Holes 191-1179B and 191-1179C

Although the objective of Ocean Drilling Program Leg 191 was to install a seismic monitoring station and to test a hard rock reentry drilling system, several good, near-continuous sedimentary core sequences were recovered during the cruise. Two holes, 1179B and 1179C, yielded an upper Miocene to Pleistocene diatom record through an expanded section with excellent recovery. Because diatom species included in both low-latitude and high-latitude biostratigraphies are present, zonations for the equatorial Pacific and northwest Pacific are applied to the sediments. The oldest zones from each zonation that are represented in the cores are the Nitzschia miocenica Zone and the Rouxia californica Zone, respectively. Only one zonal boundary is not observed within the diatom assemblage, that being the top of the Nitzschia jouseae Zone and base of the Rhizosolenia praebergonii Subzone A (equatorial Pacific). Preservation is good overall, and sample abundances vary from rare to abundant. This would be an excellent section for further biostratigraphic, paleoclimatic, and paleoceanographic study.

Petrology, mineralogy, and chemistry of basaltic rocks at DSDP Leg 81 Holes

We detail the petrography and mineralogy of 145 basaltic rocks from the top, middle, and base of flow units identified on shipboard along with associated pyroclastic samples. Our account includes representative electron microprobe analyses of primary and secondary minerals; 28 whole-rock major-oxide analyses; 135 whole-rock analyses each for 21 trace elements; 7 whole-rock rare-earth analyses; and 77 whole-rock X-ray-diffraction analyses. These data show generally similar petrography, mineralogy, and chemistry for the basalts from all four sites; they are typically subalkaline and consanguineous with limited evolution along the tholeiite trend. Limited fractionation is indicated by immobile trace elements; some xenocrystic incorporation from more basic material also occurred. Secondary alteration products indicate early subaerial weathering followed by prolonged interaction with seawater, most likely below 150°C at Holes 552, 553A, and 554A. At Hole 555, greenschist alteration affected the deepest rocks (olivine-dolerite) penetrated, at 250-300°C.

Late Cretaceous-Early Neogene oxygen and carbon isotope record of the Indian Ocean

Stable isotopic data of calcareous nannofossil, monogeneric and monospecific planktic and benthic foraminifera from five Indian Ocean DSDP sites (212, 217, 220, 237, and 253), leads to the following paleoclimatic and paleoceanographic conclusions: - The latest Cretaceous oxygen isotopic record implies a cooling (3-4°C) during the Maastrichtian. At the Cretaceous/Tertiary boundary only a minor warming (about 2°C) has been recorded. The parallel delta13C decrease of more than 1? indicates a significant decrease in productivity. - During the latest Paleocene a positive delta13C excursion was detected in Sites 217 and 237. This transient enrichment in delta13C may be due to productivity changes on continents and/or a change in the storage rate of organic matter in marginal basins or shelf areas. - The most striking feature in the oxygen isotopic record is noted at the Early/Middle Eocene transition. The shift towards more positive values (which were probably enhanced to a certain extent by a preceding diagenetic alteration) delineates a dramatic climatic deterioration at high and mid latitudes during the earlier Tertiary. - Near the Eocene/Oligocene boundary a cooling is evident within the latest Eocene interval. During the earliest Oligocene time a hiatus at Sites 217 and 253 partially obscures the climatic record. - Several climatic fluctuations have been noted during the Oligocene: a cooling at the base of Zone NP 23, a warming at the top of Zone NP 23 through NP 24, and a cooling during Zone NP 25. - The Miocene oxygen isotopic record is dominated by changes in surface and bottom water environments during Zone NN5. The decreasing and then increasing delta18O values, together with the subsequent steepening of the vertical delta18O gradient, point towards major climatic instabilities. These events coincide with the Mid-Miocene build-up of Antarctic ice-sheets. During the latest Miocene to the earliest Pliocene the delta18O record of planktic foraminifera indicates a significant warming of the Indian Ocean at mid-latitudes. - The delta13C record during the Oligocene and Miocene reveals several cycles (delta13C enrichments: NP 24, NN2, NN5, NN9, and base NN 11) which are most likely related to changes in storage rates of organic matter and biological productivity due to climatic changes and transgression/regression cycles. In addition, changes in the circulation patterns may also have influenced the carbon isotopic record.

Photographs of the Mount Meager, southwestern British Columbia

On August 6, 2010, a large (~50 Mm**3) debris avalanche occurred on the flank of Mount Meager in the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia, Canada. We studied the deposits to infer the morphodynamics of the landslide from initiation to emplacement. Structure from motion (SfM) photogrammetry, based on oblique photos taken with a standard SLR camera during a low helicopter traverse, was used to create high-resolution orthophotos and base maps. Interpretation of the images and maps allowed us to recognize two main rheological phases in the debris avalanche. Just below the source area, in the valley of Capricorn Creek, the landslide separated into two phases, one water-rich and more mobile, and the other water-poor and less mobile. The water-rich phase spread quickly, achieved high superelevation on the valley sides, and left distal scattered deposits. The main water-poor phase moved more slowly, did not superelevate, and formed a thick continuous deposit (up to ~30 m) on the valley floor. The water-poor flow deposit has structural features such as hummocks, brittle-ductile faults, and shear zones. Our study, based on a freshly emplaced deposit, advances understanding of large mass movements by showing that a single landslide can develop multiple rheology phases with different behaviours. Rheological evolution and separation of phases should always be taken into account to provide better risk assessment scenarios.