Field data, numerical simulations and probability analyses to assess lava flow hazards at Mount Etna

Improving lava flow hazard assessment is one of the most important and challenging fields of volcanology, and has an immediate and practical impact on society. Here, we present a methodology for the quantitative assessment of lava flow hazards based on a combination of field data, numerical simulations and probability analyses. With the extensive data available on historic eruptions of Mt. Etna, going back over 2000 years, it has been possible to construct two hazard maps, one for flank and the other for summit eruptions, allowing a quantitative analysis of the most likely future courses of lava flows. The effective use of hazard maps of Etna may help in minimizing the damage from volcanic eruptions through correct land use in densely urbanized area with a population of almost one million people. Although this study was conducted on Mt. Etna, the approach used is designed to be applicable to other volcanic areas.

TECHNO encrustation description and analysis

The distribution of radioactivities in a large polymetallic encrustation (TECHNO) sampled from the Pacific sea floor has been studied in great detail. The study includes measurements of the long-lived U and Th decay series isotopes, alpha-particle tracks and SUP-10 Be and SUP-26 Al (Results on the latter two cosmonuclides have been reported by Guichard, Reyss and Yokoyama, 1978). The data are discussed in terms of their implication on age dating of the sample. Two interpretations of the data are presented leading to vastly different time scales for the formation of the sample. Here the opinion is divided among the authorship. One group, as well as Guichard et al (1978), favours the million-years scale and the other favors scale measured in thousands of years. The principal pros-and-cons aspects of the two views are mentioned.