137Cs concentrations in the southeastern Baltic Sea in 1997-2000

Variations of 137Cs concentration in the southeastern Baltic Sea were investigated over the period 1997-2000, i.e. in 11-14 years after the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident. Rate of "self-cleaning" proved to be very slow. Some results obtained in 1999 were almost the same as those measured after the accident, in 1986. Calculated results showed that "Chernobyl" caesium-137 would be "cleaned" in the Baltic Sea by 2020-2022. In 2000 average concentration had to be about 50-60 Bq/m**3. Sometimes mentioned concentrations were observed. In some cases higher concentrations averaging from 67 to 80 Bq/m**3 were registered in the southeastern Baltic Sea in 1999; and in some samples 137Cs concentrations were very high. They varied from 110 to 212 Bq/m**3. No steady correlation was observed between 137Cs concentration, salinity and temperature in surface water of the area. Distribution of radionuclide concentration sometimes depends on direction of water mass transport. Abnormally high concentrations of 137Cs in the southeastern Baltic Sea may result from additional radioactive waste discharge.

(Table 1) 137Cs and 90Sr concentrations, salinity, and temperature in waters of the southeastern Baltic Sea on October 16, 2001

An analysis of variations in 137Cs and 90Sr concentrations in Baltic Sea surface waters after the accident at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant was performed. Instability of 137Cs concentrations during the short-term observations was found, when they differed 2- to 3-fold. Concentrations of 90Sr appeared to be more stable; meanwhile, their deviations sometimes exceeded ranges of experimental errors. By variations in the monthly average values of radionuclide concentrations in surface waters of the Baltic Sea in 1989-1995, no trend of water self-purification was observed. Theoretical results obtained confirmed a potential of formation and propagation of patches with increased concentrations of 137Cs in the southeastern Baltic Sea. The most reliable factor that controlled the process of self-purification of Baltic Sea water appeared to be the mean annual value of radionuclide concentration. Pronounced divergences were obtained between the measured and calculated mean annual concentrations of 137Cs and 90Sr in surface waters of the Baltic Sea in 1989-2001. These divergences are explained by potential influence of waters from the Gulf of Bothnia and by other additional supplies of radionuclides to marine environment, which were not included into mathematical models.