An individual based model spatial distribution, production and biomass for Calanus finmarchicus in the Norwegian Sea

The copepod Calanus finmarchicus is the dominant species of the meso-zooplankton in the Norwegian Sea, and constitutes an important link between the phytoplankton and the higher trophic levels in the Norwegian Sea food chain. An individualbased model for C. finmarchicus, based on super-individuals and evolving traits for behaviour, stages, etc., is two-way coupled to the NORWegian ECOlogical Model system (NORWECOM). One year of modelled C. finmarchicus spatial distribution, production and biomass are found to represent observations reasonably well. High C. finmarchicus abundance is found along the Norwegian shelf-break in the early summer, while the overwintering population is found along the slope and in the deeper Norwegian Sea basins. The timing of the spring bloom is generally later than in the observations. Annual Norwegian Sea production is found to be 29 million tonnes of carbon and a production to biomass (P/B) ratio of 4.3 emerges. Sensitivity tests show that the modelling system is robust to initial values of behavioural traits and with regards to the number of super-individuals simulated given that this is above about 50,000 individuals. Experiments with the model system indicate that it provides a valuable tool for studies of ecosystem responses to causative forces such as prey density or overwintering population size. For example, introducing C. finmarchicus food limitations reduces the stock dramatically, but on the other hand, a reduced stock may rebuild in one year under normal conditions. The NetCDF file contains model grid coordinates and bottom topography.

Treeline dynamics in Siberia under changing climates as inferred from an individual-based model for Larix, supplementary material

Siberian boreal forests are expected to expand northwards in the course of global warming. However, processes of the treeline ecotone transition, as well astiming and related climate feedbacks are still not understood. Here, we present 'Larix Vegetation Simulator' LAVESI, an individual-based spatially-explicit model that can simulate Larix gmelinii (RUPR.) RUPR. stand dynamics in an attempt to improve our understanding about past and future treeline movements under changing climates. The relevant processes (growth, seed production and dispersal, establishment and mortality) are incorporated and adjusted to observation data mainly gained from the literature. Results of a local sensitivity analysis support the robustness of the model's parameterization by giving relatively small sensitivity values. We tested the model by simulating tree stands under modern climate across the whole Taymyr Peninsula, north-central Siberia (c. 64-80° N; 92-119° E). We find tree densities similar to observed forests in the northern to mid-treeline areas, but densities are overestimated in the southern parts of the simulated region. Finally, from a temperature-forcing experiment, we detect that the responses of tree stands lag the hypothetical warming by several decades, until the end of 21st century. With our simulation experiments we demonstrate that the newly-developed model captures the dynamics of the Siberian latitudinal treeline.

Smear slide analysis of sediment core GeoB5836-2

Laminated sediments spanning the last 20,000 years (though not continuously) in the Shaban Deep, a brine-filled basin in the northern Red Sea, were analyzed microscopically and with backscattered electron imagery in order to determine laminae composition with emphasis on the diatomaceous component. Based on this detailed study, we present schematic models to propose paleoflux scenarios for laminae formation at different time-slices. The investigated core (GeoB 5836-2; 26°12.61'N, 35°21.56'E; water depth 1475 m) shows light and dark alternating laminae that are easily distinguishable in the mid-Holocene and at the end of the deglaciation (13-15 ka) period. Light layers are mainly composed of coccoliths, terrigenous material and diatom fragments, while dark layers consist almost exclusively of diatom frustules (monospecific or mixed assemblages). The regularity in the occurrence of coccolith/diatom couplets points to an annual deposition cycle where contrasting seasons and associated plankton blooms are represented (diatoms-fall/winter deposition, coccoliths-summer signal). We propose that, for the past ~15,000 years, the laminations represent two-season annual varves. Strong dissolution of carbonate, with the concomitant loss of the coccolith-rich layer in sediments older than 15 ka, prevents us from presenting a schematic model of annual deposition. However, the diatomaceous component reveals a marked switch in species composition between Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) sediments (dominated by Chaetoceros resting spores) and sediments somewhat younger (18-19 ka; dominated by Rhizosolenia). We propose that different diatom assemblages reflect changing conditions in stratification in the northern Red Sea: Strong stratification conditions, such as during two meltwater pulses at 14.5 and 11.4 ka, are reflected in the sediment by Rhizosolenia layers, while Chaetoceros-dominated assemblages represent deep convection conditions.