3 resultados para Bayesian Inference, HIghest Posterior Density, Invariance, Odds Ratio, Objective Priors

em Publishing Network for Geoscientific


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The subduction of oceanic plates regulates crustal growth, influences arc volcanism, and refertilizes the mantle. Continental growth occurs by subduction of crustal material (seawater components, marine sediments, and basaltic crust). The geochemical and physical evolution of the Earth's crust depends, in large part, on the fate of subducted material at convergent margins (Armstrong, 1968, doi:10.1029/RG006i002p00175; Karig and Kay, 1981, 10.1098/rsta.1981.0108). The crustal material on the downgoing plate is recycled to various levels in the subduction zone. The recycling process that takes place in the "Subduction Factory" is difficult to observe directly but is clearly illuminated using chemical tracers. Von Huene and Scholl (1991, doi:10.1029/91RG00969) and Plank and Langmuir (1993, doi:10.1038/362739a0) preliminarily calculated a large flux of subducted materials. By mass balancing the chemical tracers and measuring the fractionations that occur between them, the Subduction Factory work and the effect on the Earth's evolution can be estimated. In order to elucidate this mass balance, Ocean Drilling Program Leg 185 drilled two deepwater shales into the oceanic crust situated in the Mariana-Izu Trenches and recovered core samples of incoming oceanic crust. The calculations of mass circulation in the subduction zone, however, did not take into account the mass transfer properties within subducted oceanic crust, although the dewatering fluid and diffused ions may play an important role in various activities such as seismogeneity, serpentine diapiring, and arc volcanism. Thus, this paper focuses on the quantitative measurements of the physical and mass transfer properties of subducted oceanic crust.

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We investigated the nonconsumptive effects (NCEs) of predatory dogwhelks (Nucella lapillus) on intertidal barnacle (Semibalanus balanoides) recruitment through field experiments on the Gulf of St. Lawrence coast and the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia, Canada. We studied the recruitment seasons (May-June) of 2011 and 2013. In 2011, the Gulf coast had five times more nearshore phytoplankton (food for barnacle larvae and recruits) during the recruitment season and yielded a 58% higher barnacle recruit density than the Atlantic coast at the end of the recruitment season. In 2013, phytoplankton levels and barnacle recruit density were similar on both coasts and also lower than for the Gulf coast in 2011. Using the comparative-experimental method, the manipulation of dogwhelk presence (without allowing physical contact with prey) revealed that dogwhelk cues limited barnacle recruitment under moderate recruit densities (Atlantic 2011/2013 and Gulf 2013) but had no effect under a high recruit density (Gulf 2011). Barnacle recruits attract settling larvae through chemical cues. Thus, the highest recruit density appears to have neutralized dogwhelk effects. This study suggests that the predation risk perceived by settling larvae may decrease with increasing recruit density and that prey food supply may indirectly influence predator NCEs on prey recruitment.