23 resultados para SMOOTHING SPLINE
Resumo:
Evolution of approaches and methods for reconstruction of paleoenvironmental conditions from microfossils contained in bottom sediments is assessed. Authors elaborated a new actualistic basis for such reconstructions, consisting of a database on contents of tests of planktonic foraminifers in the surface layer of Atlantic sediments and a package of mathematical tools for computer data processing. Structure of the database is described. It contains data on test contents for 29 species and varieties of planktonic foraminifers in 381 samples. A mathematical model designed for reconstructions is based on factor analysis and multidimensional spline interpolation. The model allows one to deduce Quaternary hydrological parameters (paleotemperature, paleosalinity) for standard hydrological levels down to depth of 250 m for the four seasons of the year. Reconstructions are illustrated by an example of a sedimentary core from the North Atlantic representing a period of 300 ky. During the next to last and the last maxima of continental glaciation (oxygen isotope stages 8, 6, 4, and 2), the subarctic water mass was spread here. Winter and summer surface water temperatures comprised 1-5° and 5-7°C, respectively. During interglacials and in Holocene the conditions were close to present ones: winter and summer surface water temperatures comprised 10-12 and 15-17°C, respectively. Vertical paleohydrological profiles compiled for peaks of climatostratigraphic intervals suggest that during cold intervals water stratification was stronger than during the warm ones. At depth 50 m seasonal salinity oscillations did not exceed 0.4 per mil and commonly salinity was minimum in winter and maximum in summer.
Resumo:
The concentrations and isotopic compositions of strontium in interstitial waters from several DSDP sites, where sediments consist chiefly of carbonate oozes and chalks, are used as indicators of carbonate diagenesis by reference to a recently-produced curve showing detailed variations in the 87Sr/86Sr ratio of seawater with time. Carbonate sediments of the Walvis Ridge show increases in interstitial Sr[2+] concentrations in the upper carbonate-ooze sections with the highest concentrations near the ooze-chalk boundary where maximum rates of carbonate recrystallization occur. Below this, in situ production of Sr[2+] diminishes and there is a diffusive flux of Sr to an underlying sink, presumably volcanogenic sediments or basalts, leading to Sr isotopic disequilibrium between carbonates and interstitial waters. In some other sites, however, there is no apparent Sr sink at depth and isotopic equilibrium is retained. Overall, diffusive smoothing of profiles exerts an important control on the 87Sr/86Sr ratios, although lower ratios than contemporaneous seawater values in the carbonate oozes often correlate with zones of Mg[2+] loss and reflect a combination of a flux of Sr[2+] from the zone of maximum recrystallization rates together with a contribution from the in situ alteration of volcanic matter.
Resumo:
We analyse ice cores from Vestfonna ice cap (Nordaustlandet, Svalbard). Oxygen isotopic measurements were made on three firn cores (6.0, 11.0 and 15.5 m deep) from the two highest summits of the glacier located on the SW-NE and NW-SE central ridges. Sub-annual d18O cycles were preserved and could be counted visually in the uppermost parts of the cores, but deeper layers were affected by post-depositional smoothing. A pronounced d18O minimum was found near the bottom of the three cores. We consider candidates for this d18O signal to be a valuable reference horizon since it is also seen elsewhere in Nordaustlandet. We attribute it to isotopically depleted snow precipitation, which NCEP/NCAR reanalysis shows was unusual for Vestfonna, and came from northerly air during the cold winter of 1994/95. Finding the 1994/95 time marker allows establishment of a precise depth/age scale for the three cores. The derived annual accumulation rates indirectly fill a geographical gap in mass balance measurements and thus provide information on spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over the glacier for the period spanned by the cores (1992-2009). Comparing records at the two locations also reveals that the snow net accumulation at the easternmost part of Vestfonna was only half of that in the western part over the last 17 years.
Resumo:
We have developed a statistical gap-filling method adapted to the specific coverage and properties of observed fugacity of surface ocean CO2 (fCO2). We have used this method to interpolate the Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT) v2 database on a 2.5°×2.5° global grid (south of 70°N) for 1985-2011 at monthly resolution. The method combines a spatial interpolation based on a 'radius of influence' to determine nearby similar fCO2 values with temporal harmonic and cubic spline curve-fitting, and also fits long term trends and seasonal cycles. Interannual variability is established using deviations of observations from the fitted trends and seasonal cycles. An uncertainty is computed for all interpolated values based on the spatial and temporal range of the interpolation. Tests of the method using model data show that it performs as well as or better than previous regional interpolation methods, but in addition it provides a near-global and interannual coverage.
Resumo:
We provide new evidence on sea surface temperature (SST) variations and paleoceanographic/paleoenvironmental changes over the past 1500 years for the north Aegean Sea (NE Mediterranean). The reconstructions are based on multiproxy analyses, obtained from the high resolution (decadal to multi-decadal) marine record M2 retrieved from the Athos basin. Reconstructed SSTs show an increase from ca. 850 to 950 AD and from ca. 1100 to 1300 AD. A cooling phase of almost 1.5 °C is observed from ca. 1600 AD to 1700 AD. This seems to have been the starting point of a continuous SST warming trend until the end of the reconstructed period, interrupted by two prominent cooling events at 1832 ± 15 AD and 1995 ± 1 AD. Application of an adaptive Kernel smoothing suggests that the current warming in the reconstructed SSTs of the north Aegean might be unprecedented in the context of the past 1500 years. Internal variability in atmospheric/oceanic circulations systems as well as external forcing as solar radiation and volcanic activity could have affected temperature variations in the north Aegean Sea over the past 1500 years. The marked temperature drop of approximately ~2 °C at 1832 ± 15 yr AD could be related to the 1809 ?D 'unknown' and the 1815 AD Tambora volcanic eruptions. Paleoenvironmental proxy-indices of the M2 record show enhanced riverine/continental inputs in the northern Aegean after ca. 1450 AD. The paleoclimatic evidence derived from the M2 record is combined with a socio-environmental study of the history of the north Aegean region. We show that the cultivation of temperature-sensitive crops, i.e. walnut, vine and olive, co-occurred with stable and warmer temperatures, while its end coincided with a significant episode of cooler temperatures. Periods of agricultural growth in Macedonia coincide with periods of warmer and more stable SSTs, but further exploration is required in order to identify the causal links behind the observed phenomena. The Black Death likely caused major changes in agricultural activity in the north Aegean region, as reflected in the pollen data from land sites of Macedonia and the M2 proxy-reconstructions. Finally, we conclude that the early modern peaks in mountain vegetation in the Rhodope and Macedonia highlands, visible also in the M2 record, were very likely climate-driven.
Resumo:
In a sediment core AMK4-316 (460 cm long) on the basis of radiocarbon, oxygen isotope, and lithological data climatostratigraphy is established for time interval about 145 ka. The method of factor analysis and spline interpolation applied to data on distribution of planktic foraminifera species has allowed to reconstruct average annual and seasonal temperatures and salinity at the surface and at depth 100 m. The optimum of the Last Interglaciation (5e) is characterized by maximal temperatures, low amplitudes of seasonal fluctuations, and by increased thickness of the upper homogeneous layer. The glacial hydrological mode has arisen here 115 ka ago. Coolings outstripped appropriate events of the global continental glaciation. Minimal average annual temperatures (4-4.5°C) are reconstructed for 47-45, 42, 36, 29-30, and 10 ka. For 50-30 ka interval numerous strong temperature fluctuations that reflect migrations of the polar front are established. Maximal differences of salinity at the surface and depth 100 m showing influence of melting waters were in the beginning of deglaciations (135 and 20 ka) and repeatedly arose in 50-30 ka interval. The Last Glacial Maximum (18 ka) is characterized by the lowest salinity but not by a peak of low temperatures at the surface. Surface temperature was lowered up to 10 ka. Average annual surface temperature of the Holocene optimum was 2°C above the modern one and 2°C below temperature in the Interglaciation optimum (5e), thickness of the upper homogeneous layer exceeded 100 m.
Resumo:
A multicentennial and absolutely-dated shell-based chronology for the marine environment of the North Icelandic Shelf has been constructed using annual growth increments in the shell of the long-lived bivalve clam Arctica islandica. The region from which the shells were collected is close to the North Atlantic Polar Front and is highly sensitive to the varying influences of Atlantic and Arctic water masses. A strong common environmental signal is apparent in the increment widths, and although the correlations between the growth increment indices and regional sea surface temperatures are significant at the 95% confidence level, they are low (r ~ 0.2), indicating that a more complex combination of environmental forcings is driving growth. Remarkable longevities of individual animals are apparent in the increment-width series used in the chronology, with several animals having lifetimes in excess of 300 years and one, at 507 years, being the longest-lived non-colonial animal so far reported whose age at death can be accurately determined. The sample depth is at least three shells after AD 1175, and the time series has been extended back to AD 649 with a sample depth of one or two by the addition of two further series, thus providing a 1357-year archive of dated shell material. The statistical and spectral characteristics of the chronology are investigated by using two different methods of removing the age-related trend in shell growth. Comparison with other proxy archives from the same region reveals several similarities in variability on multidecadal timescales, particularly during the period surrounding the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age.