Diagnosing the Prodromal State of Alzheimer's Disease

Mild Cognitive Impairment- Amnestic Subtype (MCIa) is a putative prodromal stage of Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) characterized by focal deficits in episodic verbal memory. Less is known about relative deficits in visuospatial learning, although there is ample evidence indicating involvement of the hippocampus in visuospatial learning, as well as hippocampal degeneration in early AD. The aim of this study was to better characterize the components of working memory dysfunction in people with MCIa to increase the ability to reliably diagnose this disease. Fifty-six elderly adults diagnosed with MCIa and 94 healthy elderly completed a hidden maze learning task. Results indicated similar functioning between groups on measures of reasoning, problem solving, and accuracy. However, MCIa subjects were less efficient at learning the hidden path, making more errors per second on average (Cohen’s d= -.78) and requiring a longer time to complete the maze (Cohen’s d=.77). The learning curve between the first two trials was four times as steep for healthy elderly compared to MCIa (slopes = 4.9 vs. 1.24, respectively), indicating that MCIa subjects exhibited relative difficulty in holding and making effective use of an internal spatial map in order to improve performance. Our results suggest that MCIa patients have focal deficits in visuospatial working memory, with relative preservation of functioning on other more global measures of cognitive functioning. This particular pattern of results may be specific to the amnestic variant of MCI.

Direct and Indirect Measures of Capacity Utilization: A Nonparametric Analysis of U.S. Manufacturing

We measure the capacity output of a firm as the maximum amount producible by a firm given a specific quantity of the quasi-fixed input and an overall expenditure constraint for its choice of variable inputs. We compute this indirect capacity utilization measure for the total manufacturing sector in the US as well as for a number of disaggregated industries, for the period 1970-2001. We find considerable variation in capacity utilization rates both across industries and over years within industries. Our results suggest that the expenditure constraint was binding, especially in periods of high interest rates.

Nonparametric Measures of Capacity Utilization: A Dual Approach

This paper develops a nonparametric method of obtaining the minimum of the long run average cost curve of a firm to define its capacity output. This provides a benchmark for measuring of capacity utilization at the observed output level of the firm. In the case of long run constant returns to scale, the minimum of the short run average cost curve is determined to measure short run capacity utilization. An empirical application measures yearly rates of capacity utilization in U.S. manufacturing over the period 1968-1998. Nonparametric determination of the short run average cost curve under variable returns to scale using an iterative search procedure is described in an appendix to this paper.