Persistently elevated troponin I in heart failure patients - a suitable prognosticator and a possible boon to public health?

Baseline elevation of troponin I (TnI) has been associated with worse outcomes in heart failure (HF). However, the prevalence of persistent TnI elevation and its association with clinical outcomes has not been well described. HF is a major public health issue due to its wide prevalence and prognosticators of this condition will have a significant impact on public health. Methods: A retrospective study was performed in 510 patients with an initial HF admission between 2002 to 2004, and all subsequent hospital admissions up to May 2009 were recorded in a de-identified database. Persistent TnI elevation was defined as a level ≥0.05 ng/ml on ≥3 HF admissions. Baseline characteristics, hospital readmissions and all cause mortality were compared between patients with persistent TnI elevation (Persistent), patients with no persistence of TnI (Nonpersistent) and patients who had less than three hospital admissions (admission <3) groups. Also the same data was analyzed using the mean method in which the mean value of all recorded troponin values of each patient was used to define persistence i.e. patients who had a mean troponin level ≥0.05 ng/ml were classified as persistent. Results: Mean age of our cohort was 68.4 years out of which 99.6% subjects were male, 62.4% had ischemic HF. 78.2% had NYHA class III to IV HF, mean LVEF was 25.9%. Persistent elevation of TnI was seen in 26% of the cohort and in 66% of patients with more than 3 hospital admissions. Mean TnI level was 0.67 ± 0.15 ng/ml in the 'Persistent' group. Mean TnI using the mean method was 1.11 ± 7.25 ng/ml. LVEF was significantly lower in persistent group. Hypertension, diabetes, chronic renal insufficiency and mean age did not differ between the two groups. 'Persistent' patients had higher mortality (HR = 1.26, 95% CI = 0.89–1.78, p = 0.199 when unadjusted and HR = 1.29, 95% CI = 0.89–1.86, p = 0.176 when adjusted for race, LVEF and ischemic etiology) HR for mortality in persistent patients was 1.99 (95% CI = 1.06–3.73, p = 0.03) using the mean method. The following results were found in those with ischemic cardiomyopathy (HR = 1.44034, 95% CI = 0.92–2.26, p = 0.113) and (HR = 1.89, 95% CI = 1.01–3.55, p = 0.046) by using the mean method. 2 out of three patients with HF who were readmitted three or more times had persistent elevation of troponin I levels. Patients with chronic persistence of troponin I elevation showed a trend towards lesser survival as compared to patients who did not have chronic persistence, however this did not reach statistical significance. This trend was seen more among ischemic patients than non ischemic patients, but did not reach statistical significance. With the mean method, patients with chronic persistence of troponin I elevation had significantly lesser survival than those without it. Also ischemic patients had significantly lesser survival than non ischemic patients. ^

Cardiovascular diseases risk factors during the first year of life

The pattern of change in cardiovascular risk factors, blood pressure (SBP and DBP) and plasma total cholesterol (TC), over time, their tracking and their relation to anthropometric measurements during the first year of life were investigated. Also, the effect of breast feeding on TC and the relationship of blood pressure measurements and family history of CVD risk factors were examined. One hundred five newborn term, healthy infants who were seen at a pediatric clinic in The Woodlands, Texas were followed longitudinally from 2 weeks to 1 year of age. TC, blood pressure, weight and length of the infants were measured at age 2 weeks, and again at 2, 4, 6, 9 and 12 months. In addition, family history, maternal and paternal, of CVD risk factors was obtained. Data analyses included only 40 infants who completed one year of follow up.^ At 2 weeks of age, the median value for TC was 23 mg/dl higher for females than for males. This difference disappeared as infants got older. For males, most of the increase in TC median levels, from 114 to 137 mg/dl, occurred between the ages of 2 weeks and 2 months, whereas for the female group, TC levels increased moderately, about 10 mg/dl, between 9 and 12 months of age. Tracking of TC was examined by using Spearman's correlation analysis. There were strong correlations between measurements taken as early as 2 weeks of age with later measurements. These correlations were stronger and more significant for males than for females (for males, r varied between 0.51 to 0.70, whereas for females, r varied between 0.11 to 0.70). The association of body measurements with TC is no more than modest and is closer for female infants than for male infants. Analysis, also, showed that infants who received breast milk had a TC mean value 47 mg/dl higher than that for infants who received formula milk only during the period of breast feeding and this difference disappeared by age 12 months.^ In both genders, most of the increase in blood pressure (about 10-15 mmHg in both SBP and DBP) occurred during the first 4 months of life. Most of the increase for male infants occurred during the first 2 months of life, while for females, the increase in SBP and DBP was between the age of 2 and 4 months. Neither SBP nor DBP track well during the first year of life and most of the correlations between measurements at different ages were not significant for either gender. The cross-sectional relationship of blood pressure measurements and selected body measurements was assessed. For females, only at age of 12 months did DBP have positive and significant correlations with weight, length and Quetelet index (r = 0.57, 0.60 and 0.57, respectively). There were no significant correlations between blood pressure and body measurements for males. Finally, analysis showed that maternal history of CV risk factors was significantly related to SBP in the female infant group, but not for males. For DBP, neither maternal nor paternal history was related. ^

Estimating the mean and standard deviation of concentration distributions using censored samples

Environmental data sets of pollutant concentrations in air, water, and soil frequently include unquantified sample values reported only as being below the analytical method detection limit. These values, referred to as censored values, should be considered in the estimation of distribution parameters as each represents some value of pollutant concentration between zero and the detection limit. Most of the currently accepted methods for estimating the population parameters of environmental data sets containing censored values rely upon the assumption of an underlying normal (or transformed normal) distribution. This assumption can result in unacceptable levels of error in parameter estimation due to the unbounded left tail of the normal distribution. With the beta distribution, which is bounded by the same range of a distribution of concentrations, $\rm\lbrack0\le x\le1\rbrack,$ parameter estimation errors resulting from improper distribution bounds are avoided. This work developed a method that uses the beta distribution to estimate population parameters from censored environmental data sets and evaluated its performance in comparison to currently accepted methods that rely upon an underlying normal (or transformed normal) distribution. Data sets were generated assuming typical values encountered in environmental pollutant evaluation for mean, standard deviation, and number of variates. For each set of model values, data sets were generated assuming that the data was distributed either normally, lognormally, or according to a beta distribution. For varying levels of censoring, two established methods of parameter estimation, regression on normal ordered statistics, and regression on lognormal ordered statistics, were used to estimate the known mean and standard deviation of each data set. The method developed for this study, employing a beta distribution assumption, was also used to estimate parameters and the relative accuracy of all three methods were compared. For data sets of all three distribution types, and for censoring levels up to 50%, the performance of the new method equaled, if not exceeded, the performance of the two established methods. Because of its robustness in parameter estimation regardless of distribution type or censoring level, the method employing the beta distribution should be considered for full development in estimating parameters for censored environmental data sets. ^

Mean corpuscular volume as a marker for adherence to antiretroviral therapy among HIV infected children and adolescents in Uganda

Mean corpuscular volume, which is an inexpensive and widely available measure to assess, increases in HIV infected individuals receiving zidovudine and stavudine raising the hypothesis that it could be used as a surrogate for adherence.^ The aim of this study was to examine the association between mean corpuscular volume and adherence to antiretroviral therapy among HIV infected children and adolescents aged 0–19 years in Uganda as well as the extent to which changes in mean corpuscular volume predict adherence as determined by virologic suppression.^ The investigator retrospectively reviewed and analyzed secondary data of 158 HIV infected children and adolescents aged 0–19 years who initiated antiretroviral therapy under an observational cohort at the Baylor College of Medicine Children's Foundation - Uganda. Viral suppression was used as the gold standard for monitoring adherence and defined as viral load of < 400 copies/ml at 24 and 48 weeks. ^ Patients were at least 48 weeks on therapy, age 0.2–18.4 years, 54.4% female, 82.3% on zidovudine based regimen, 92% WHO stage III at initiation of therapy, median pre therapy MCV 80.6 fl (70.3–98.3 fl), median CD4% 10.2% (0.3%–28.0%), and mean pre therapy viral load 407,712.9 ± 270,413.9 copies/ml. For both 24 and 48 weeks of antiretroviral therapy, patients with viral suppression had a greater mean percentage change in mean corpuscular volume (15.1% ± 8.4 vs. 11.1% ± 7.8 and 2.3% ± 13.2 vs. -2.7% ± 10.5 respectively). The mean percentage change in mean corpuscular volume was greater in the first 24 weeks of therapy for patients with and without viral suppression (15.1% ± 8.4 vs. 2.3% ± 13.2 and 11.1% ± 7.8 vs. -2.7% ± 10.5 respectively). In the multivariate logistic regression model, percentage change in mean corpuscular volume ≥ 20% was significantly associated with viral suppression (adjusted OR 4.0; CI 1.2–13.3; p value 0.02). The ability of percentage changes in MCV to correctly identify children and adolescents with viral suppression was higher at a cut off of ≥ 20% (90.7%; sensitivity, 31.7%) than at ≥ 9% (82.9%; sensitivity, 78.9%). Negative predictive value was lower at ≥ 20% change (25%; specificity, 84.8%) than at ≥ 9% change (33.3%; specificity, 39.4%).^ Mean corpuscular volume is a useful marker of adherence among children and adolescents with viral suppression. ^