HPV vaccine coverage in Texas counties: An application of multilevel, small area estimation

Health departments, research institutions, policy-makers, and healthcare providers are often interested in knowing the health status of their clients/constituents. Without the resources, financially or administratively, to go out into the community and conduct health assessments directly, these entities frequently rely on data from population-based surveys to supply the information they need. Unfortunately, these surveys are ill-equipped for the job due to sample size and privacy concerns. Small area estimation (SAE) techniques have excellent potential in such circumstances, but have been underutilized in public health due to lack of awareness and confidence in applying its methods. The goal of this research is to make model-based SAE accessible to a broad readership using clear, example-based learning. Specifically, we applied the principles of multilevel, unit-level SAE to describe the geographic distribution of HPV vaccine coverage among females aged 11-26 in Texas.^ Multilevel (3 level: individual, county, public health region) random-intercept logit models of HPV vaccination (receipt of ≥ 1 dose Gardasil® ) were fit to data from the 2008 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (outcome and level 1 covariates) and a number of secondary sources (group-level covariates). Sampling weights were scaled (level 1) or constructed (levels 2 & 3), and incorporated at every level. Using the regression coefficients (and standard errors) from the final models, I simulated 10,000 datasets for each regression coefficient from the normal distribution and applied them to the logit model to estimate HPV vaccine coverage in each county and respective demographic subgroup. For simplicity, I only provide coverage estimates (and 95% confidence intervals) for counties.^ County-level coverage among females aged 11-17 varied from 6.8-29.0%. For females aged 18-26, coverage varied from 1.9%-23.8%. Aggregated to the state level, these values translate to indirect state estimates of 15.5% and 11.4%, respectively; both of which fall within the confidence intervals for the direct estimates of HPV vaccine coverage in Texas (Females 11-17: 17.7%, 95% CI: 13.6, 21.9; Females 18-26: 12.0%, 95% CI: 6.2, 17.7).^ Small area estimation has great potential for informing policy, program development and evaluation, and the provision of health services. Harnessing the flexibility of multilevel, unit-level SAE to estimate HPV vaccine coverage among females aged 11-26 in Texas counties, I have provided (1) practical guidance on how to conceptualize and conduct modelbased SAE, (2) a robust framework that can be applied to other health outcomes or geographic levels of aggregation, and (3) HPV vaccine coverage data that may inform the development of health education programs, the provision of health services, the planning of additional research studies, and the creation of local health policies.^

Evidence of hepatitis C transmission in healthcare settings in Karachi, Pakistan

Transmission of Hepatitis C (HCV) in Pakistan is a continuing public health problem. Several cultural and behavioral practices promote HCV transmission through the use of unsafe needles and blood products. This study aimed to determine the prominent risk factors associated with HCV transmission in the Indus Hospital catchment population. A case-control study design was implemented to enroll 300 laboratory confirmed HCV+ participants from consulting clinics at Indus Hospital and 300 laboratory confirmed HCV− participants from both the consulting clinics and the surrounding community. Odds ratios and their 95% were calculated for each risk factor to create a two gender specific multivariable models and a combined multivariable model. Participants who received 12 or more injections in the past year, ever received a blood transfusion, or ever had dental work performed were all independently significant more likely to be HCV+ when compared to those who received 1–4 injections in the past year, never received a blood transfusion, or never had dental work performed. Female participants who received 12 or more injections in the past year, had a blood transfusion while pregnant, or ever had dental work performed were all significantly more likely to be HCV+ while males who received 12 or more injections in the past year were also significantly more likely to be HCV+. Participants who brought their own needles to their injections or infusions along with those who were born in the Sindh province were significantly less likely to be HCV+ when compared to those who did not bring their own needles or born in the Punjab province. ^ Clearly transmission in healthcare settings are implicated for HCV transmission. A population level preventative approach must be taken to educate both the population and healthcare practitioners to prevent further transmission in the Pakistani healthcare system. Participants should also be followed and re-interviewed to ask where they received their various treatments as well as assess their knowledge and attitudes towards injections, infusions, and other unsafe medical procedures.^

Ascorbic acid effects on the immune system and type -1 /type -2 cytokine balance in humans

Vitamin C (ascorbic acid--AA) can have a substantial impact on human health by reducing the incidence and/or severity of coryza. Studies also suggest it has immunomodulatory functions in humans. Immune function is controlled by cytokines, such as type-1 cytokines (IFNγ) that promote antiviral immunity and type-2 cytokines (IL-4, IL-10) that promote humoral immunity. Knowing the mechanisms responsible for both antiviral immunity and type-1/type-2 cytokine balance, we sought to identify AA-induced alterations of human peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) in vivo and in vitro . We hypothesized that AA modulates the immune system, altering both number and function of PBMC. We first described the effect of 14 days of oral (1 gram) AA in healthy subjects. AA increased circulating natural killer (NK) cells, CD25+ and HLA-DR+ T cells, and PMA/ionomycin-stimulated intracellular IFNγ. We subsequently developed models for in vitro use. We determined that AA was toxic in vitro to T cells when used at doses found intracellularly but doses found in plasma from individuals taking 1gm/day AA were nontoxic. The model that most fully reproduced our in vivo intracellular cytokine findings used dehydroascorbic acid and buffers to deliver AA intracellularly. This model generated the largest increase in IFNγ at physiologic plasma concentrations. Previous studies demonstrate that chronic psychological stress is associated with a type-2 cytokine response. We hypothesized that vitamin C could prevent the type-2 cytokine shift associated with stress. In a study of medical students taking 1 g AA or placebo, a significant increase in IFNγ was seen intracellularly in CD4+ and CD8+ cells and in tetanus-stimulated cultures in the AA group only. We also observed increases in IFNγ/IL-4 and IFNγ/IL-10 ratios with AA supplementation, indicating a type-1 shift. Furthermore, we noted increased numbers of NK cells and activated T cells in the peripheral blood in the AA treated group only. Lastly, we investigated the role of the CD40L/CD40 and CD28/B7 costimulatory pathway in these cytokine alterations. AA did not have any effect on either pathway studied. Thus costimulatory pathways are not contributing to AA induced modulation of the type-1/type-2 immune balance. ^