A categorical data analysis approach to estimation of demographic characteristics for Texas county populations

The need for timely population data for health planning and Indicators of need has Increased the demand for population estimates. The data required to produce estimates is difficult to obtain and the process is time consuming. Estimation methods that require less effort and fewer data are needed. The structure preserving estimator (SPREE) is a promising technique not previously used to estimate county population characteristics. This study first uses traditional regression estimation techniques to produce estimates of county population totals. Then the structure preserving estimator, using the results produced in the first phase as constraints, is evaluated.^ Regression methods are among the most frequently used demographic methods for estimating populations. These methods use symptomatic indicators to predict population change. This research evaluates three regression methods to determine which will produce the best estimates based on the 1970 to 1980 indicators of population change. Strategies for stratifying data to improve the ability of the methods to predict change were tested. Difference-correlation using PMSA strata produced the equation which fit the data the best. Regression diagnostics were used to evaluate the residuals.^ The second phase of this study is to evaluate use of the structure preserving estimator in making estimates of population characteristics. The SPREE estimation approach uses existing data (the association structure) to establish the relationship between the variable of interest and the associated variable(s) at the county level. Marginals at the state level (the allocation structure) supply the current relationship between the variables. The full allocation structure model uses current estimates of county population totals to limit the magnitude of county estimates. The limited full allocation structure model has no constraints on county size. The 1970 county census age - gender population provides the association structure, the allocation structure is the 1980 state age - gender distribution.^ The full allocation model produces good estimates of the 1980 county age - gender populations. An unanticipated finding of this research is that the limited full allocation model produces estimates of county population totals that are superior to those produced by the regression methods. The full allocation model is used to produce estimates of 1986 county population characteristics. ^

MS#73 William C. Moloney, M.D., papers; 1952-1954

Dr. Moloney kept a personal journal, with photographs, for much of his two years with the Atomic Bomb Casualty Commission in Japan. Along with other scientists, he studied the biological and medical effects of ionized radiation on the survivors of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombings. In January of 1986, Dr. Moloney donated his journal, correspondence and diary pages to the Harris County Medical Archive, whose collections were later incorporated into the Texas Medical Center Library. Dr. Moloney's journal is in relatively good shape containing a mix of handwritten notes and comments, news-clippings, photos, and ephemera. The journal is an important record of personal impressions, thoughts and details of events during a pivotal time in Japan. This 192-pagee journal gives new insights into the work of the ABCC and into the people who participated in that work. The journal covers the period from April 1952 to February 1954. In these documents, Moloney records his struggles with understanding the Japanese culture, his frustration at not being allowed to treat the survivors he studied, and his concerns, fears, hopes and revelations as he dealt with the bombing survivors and their children. The original papers are open for research at the John P. McGovern Historical Collections and Research Center in the TMC Library in Houston.

William Osler: Original Papers 1898-1906

Part 1: 1898-1899 On Chronic Symmetrical Enlargement of the Salivary and Lachrymal Glands, 1898 Leprosy in the United States, with the Report of a Case, 1898 An Acute Myxaedematous Condition, with Tachycardia, Glycosuria, Melaena, Mania and Death, 1898 On some of the Intestinal Features of Typhoid Fever, 1898 Cerebro-Spinal Fever, 1898 The Arthritis of Cerebro-Spinal Fever, 1898 In Memoriam, William Pepper, 1899 After Twenty-Five Years, 1899 The Diagnosis of Typhoid Fever, 1899 Interstitial Processes in the Central Nervous System, 1899 Part 2: 1900 The Home Treatment of Consumption, 1900 On Splenic Anaemia, 1900 The Chronic Intermittent Fever of Endocarditis, 1900 A Case of Multiple Gangrene in Malarial Fever, 1900 Latent Cancer of the Stomach, 1900 On the Study of Tuberculosis, 1900 Fatal Angina Pectoris without Lesions of the Coronary Arteries of a Young Man, 1900 On the Advantages of a Trace of Albumin and a Few Casts in the Urine of Certain Men above Fifty Years of Age, 1900 Part 3: 1901-1902 Congenital Absence of the Abdominal Muscles with Distended Hypertrophied Urinary Bladder, 1901 Intermittent Claudication, 1902 On the Diagnosis of Bilateral Cystic Kidney, 1902 On Amebic Abscess of the Liver, 1902 Note on the Occurrence of Ascites in Solid Abdominal Tumors, 1902 Amebic Dysentery, 1902 Notes on Aneurism, 1902 William Beaumont; a Pioneer American Physiologist, 1902 Part 4: 1903 On the Educational Value of the Medical Society, 1903 On obliteration of the Superior Vena Cava,1903 Chronic Cyanosis, with Polycythemia and Enlarged Spleen: A New Clinical Entity, 1903 The Home and its Relation to the Tuberculosis Problem, 1903 Unity, Peace, and Concord, 1903 Typhoid Fever and Tuberculosis, 1903 Part 5: 1904-1906 Ochronosis, 1904 The “Phthisiologia” of Richard Morton, M.D., 1904 On the Surgical Importance of the Visceral Crises In the Erythema Group of Skin Diseases, 1904 Aneurysm of the Abdominal Aorta, 1905 Back Notes