Predictive oncology: a review of multidisciplinary, multiscale in silico modeling linking phenotype, morphology and growth.

Empirical evidence and theoretical studies suggest that the phenotype, i.e., cellular- and molecular-scale dynamics, including proliferation rate and adhesiveness due to microenvironmental factors and gene expression that govern tumor growth and invasiveness, also determine gross tumor-scale morphology. It has been difficult to quantify the relative effect of these links on disease progression and prognosis using conventional clinical and experimental methods and observables. As a result, successful individualized treatment of highly malignant and invasive cancers, such as glioblastoma, via surgical resection and chemotherapy cannot be offered and outcomes are generally poor. What is needed is a deterministic, quantifiable method to enable understanding of the connections between phenotype and tumor morphology. Here, we critically assess advantages and disadvantages of recent computational modeling efforts (e.g., continuum, discrete, and cellular automata models) that have pursued this understanding. Based on this assessment, we review a multiscale, i.e., from the molecular to the gross tumor scale, mathematical and computational "first-principle" approach based on mass conservation and other physical laws, such as employed in reaction-diffusion systems. Model variables describe known characteristics of tumor behavior, and parameters and functional relationships across scales are informed from in vitro, in vivo and ex vivo biology. We review the feasibility of this methodology that, once coupled to tumor imaging and tumor biopsy or cell culture data, should enable prediction of tumor growth and therapy outcome through quantification of the relation between the underlying dynamics and morphological characteristics. In particular, morphologic stability analysis of this mathematical model reveals that tumor cell patterning at the tumor-host interface is regulated by cell proliferation, adhesion and other phenotypic characteristics: histopathology information of tumor boundary can be inputted to the mathematical model and used as a phenotype-diagnostic tool to predict collective and individual tumor cell invasion of surrounding tissue. This approach further provides a means to deterministically test effects of novel and hypothetical therapy strategies on tumor behavior.

TEMOZOLOMIDE AND BEVACIZUMAB THERAPY IN ADVANCED HEMANGIOPERICYTOMA/ SOLITARY FIBROUS TUMOR

Tumors comprising the spectrum of hemangiopericytoma/ malignant solitary fibrous tumor (HPC/SFT) are thought to arise from fibroblasts and represent a small subset of soft tissue sarcomas. Surgery is typically the treatment of choice for localized disease, with reported 10-year overall survival rates of 54-89% after complete surgical resection. However, for the approximately 20% of HPC/SFT patients who eventually develop local recurrences and/or distant metastases, options for effective treatment are limited and are poorly defined. Alternative therapeutic options are therefore needed for improved palliation and disease control. We hypothesize that HPC/SFT are a spectrum of soft tissue tumors with unique clinical, pathological, and molecular makeup and clinical behavior. HPC/SFT respond to unique therapeutic agents that specifically target aberrations specific to these tumors. We retrospectively reviewed the characteristics and the clinical outcomes for all HPC/SFT patients whose tumor specimens have been reviewed at the MD Anderson Cancer Center from January 1993 to June 2007 by a MD Anderson pathologist and were treated at the institution with available electronic medical records. We identified 128 patients, 79 with primary localized disease and 49 with recurrent and/or metastatic disease. For the 23 patients with advanced HPC/SFT who received adriamycin-based, gemcitabine based, or paclitaxel chemotherapy as first- or second-line therapy, the overall RECIST response rate was 0%. Most patients achieved a brief duration of disease stabilization on chemotherapy, with median progression-free survival (PFS) period of 4.6 months. For the 14 patients with advanced HPC/SFT who received temozolomide and bevacizumab systemic therapy, the overall RECIST response rate was 14%, with the overall Choi response rate of 79%. The median PFS for the cohort was 9.7 months with a median 6-month progression free rate of 78.6%. The most frequently observed toxic effect of temzolomide-bevacizumab therapy was myelosuppression. We have designed a phase II study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of temozolomide-bevaciumab in locally advanced, recurrent, and metastatic HPC/SFT in a prospective manner. Combination therapy with temozolomide and bevacizumab may be a potentially clinically beneficial regimen for advanced HPC/SFT patients.

The Role of Acidic Fibroblast Growth Factor and Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor 4 in High Grade Serous Carcinoma

Background: High grade serous carcinoma whether ovarian, tubal or primary peritoneal, continues to be the most lethal gynecologic malignancy in the USA. Although combination chemotherapy and aggressive surgical resection has improved survival in the past decade the majority of patients still succumb to chemo-resistant disease recurrence. It has recently been reported that amplification of 5q31-5q35.3 is associated with poor prognosis in patients with high grade serous ovarian carcinoma. Although the amplicon contains over 50 genes, it is notable for the presence of several members of the fibroblast growth factor signaling axis. In particular acidic fibroblast growth factor (FGF1) has been demonstrated to be one of the driving genes in mediating the observed prognostic effect of the amplicon in ovarian cancer patients. This study seeks to further validate the prognostic value of fibroblast growth receptor 4 (FGFR4), another candidate gene of the FGF/FGFR axis located in the same amplicon. The emphasis will be delineating the role the FGF1/FGFR4 signaling axis plays in high grade serous ovarian carcinoma; and test the feasibility of targeting the FGF1/FGFR4 axis therapeutically. Materials and Methods: Spearman and Pearson correlation studies on data generated from array CGH and transcriptome profiling analyses on 51 microdissected tumor samples were used to identify genes located on chromosome 5q31-35.3 that showed significant correlation between DNA and mRNA copy numbers. Significant correlation between FGF1 and FGFR4 DNA copy numbers was further validated by qPCR analysis on DNA isolated from 51 microdissected tumor samples. Immunolocalization and quantification of FGFR4 expression were performed on paraffin embedded tissue samples from 183 cases of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma. The expression was then correlated with clinical data to assess impact on survival. The expression of FGF1 and FGFR4 in vitro was quantified by real-time PCR and western blotting in six high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma cell lines and compared to those in human ovarian surface epithelial cells to identify overexpression. The effect of FGF1 on these cell lines after serum starvation was quantified for in vitro cellular proliferation, migration/invasion, chemoresistance and survival utilizing a combination of commercially available colorimetric, fluorometric and electrical impedance assays. FGFR4 expression was then transiently silenced via siRNA transfection and the effects on response to FGF1, cellular proliferation, and migration were quantified. To identify relevant cellular pathways involved, responsive cell lines were transduced with different transcription response elements using the Cignal-Lenti reporter system and treated with FGF1 with and without transient FGFR4 knock down. This was followed by western blot confirmation for the relevant phosphoproteins. Anti-FGF1 antibodies and FGFR trap proteins were used to attempt inhibition of FGF mediated phenotypic changes and relevant signaling in vitro. Orthotopic intraperitoneal tumors were established in nude mice using serous cell lines that have been previously transfected with luciferase expressing constructs. The mice were then treated with FGFR trap protein. Tumor progression was then followed via bioluminescent imaging. The FGFR4 gene from 52 clinical samples was sequenced to screen for mutations. Results: FGFR4 DNA and mRNA copy numbers were significantly correlated and FGFR4 DNA copy number was significantly correlated with that of FGF1. Survival of patients with high FGFR4 expressing tumors was significantly shorter that those with low expression(median survival 28 vs 55 month p< 0.001) In a multivariate cox regression model FGFR expression significantly increased risk of death (HR 2.1, p<0.001). FGFR4 expression was significantly higher in all cell lines tested compared to HOSE, OVCA432 cell line in particular had very high expression suggesting amplification. FGF1 was also particularly overexpressed in OVCA432. FGF1 significantly increased cell survival after serum deprivation in all cell lines. Transient knock down of FGFR4 caused significant reduction in cell migration and proliferation in vitro and significantly decreased the proliferative effects of FGF1 in vitro. FGFR1, FGFR4 traps and anti-FGF1 antibodies did not show activity in vitro. OVCA432 transfected with the cignal lenti reporter system revealed significant activation of MAPK, NFkB and WNT pathways, western blotting confirmed the results. Reverse phase protein array (RPPA) analysis also showed activation of MAPK, AKT, WNT pathways and down regulation of E Cadherin. FGFR trap protein significantly reduced tumor growth in vivo in an orthotopic mouse model. Conclusions: Overexpression and amplification of several members of the FGF signaling axis present on the amplicon 5q31-35.3 is a negative prognostic indicator in high grade serous ovarian carcinoma and may drive poor survival associated with that amplicon. Activation of The FGF signaling pathway leads to downstream activation of MAPK, AKT, WNT and NFkB pathways leading to a more aggressive cancer phenotype with increased tumor growth, evasion of apoptosis and increased migration and invasion. Inhibition of FGF pathway in vivo via FGFR trap protein leads to significantly decreased tumor growth in an orthotopic mouse model.

THE ROLE OF CYCLIN E IN PKC IOTA-DRIVEN EARLY OVARIAN TUMORIGENESIS

Among the gynecologic malignancies, epithelial ovarian tumors are the leading cause of death. For the past few decades, the only treatment has involved surgical resection of the tumor and/or general chemotherapies. In an attempt to improve treatment options, we have shown that several oncogenes that are overexpressed in ovarian cancer, PI3K, PKCiota, and cyclin E, all of which have been shown to lead to a poor prognosis and decreased survival, converge into a single pathway that could potentially be targeted therapeutically. Because of the ability of either PKCiota or cyclin E overexpression to independently induce anchorage-independent growth, a hallmark of cancer, we hypothesized that targeting PKCiota expression in ovarian cancer cells could induce a reversion of the transformed phenotype through down regulation of cyclin E. To test this hypothesis, we first established a correlation between PKCiota and cyclin E in a panel of 20 ovarian cancer cell lines. To show that PKCiota is upstream of cyclin E, PKCiota was stably knocked down using RNAi in IGROV cells (epithelial ovarian cancer cell line of serous histology). The silencing of PKCiota resulted in decreased expression of cell cycle drivers, such as cyclin D1/E and CDK2/4, and an increase in p27. These alteration in the regulators of the cell cycle resulted in a decrease in both proliferation and anchorage-independent growth, which was specifically through cyclin E, as determined by a rescue experiment. We also found that the mechanism of cyclin E regulation by PKCiota was at the level of degradation rather than transcription. Using two inhibitors to PI3K, we found that both the active form of PKCiota and total cyclin E levels decreased, implying that the PKCiota/cyclin E pathway is downstream from PI3K. In conclusion, we have identified a novel pathway in epithelial ovarian tumorigenesis (PI3K à PKCiota à Cyclin E à anchorage-independent growth), which could potentially be targeted therapeutically.

Pathologic Markers of Prognosis in Ampullary Carcinoma

Ampullary cancer is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy that can be curable with surgical resection of localized disease. The benefit of adjuvant therapy, however, remains unknown in these patients partly because of difficulty in stratifying which patients are at high risk for recurrence. To better identify those patients who may benefit from adjuvant therapy, I conducted a retrospective analysis the pathology reports from 176 patients with surgically resected ampullary cancer who had not received any neoadjuvant therapy, the systemic therapy given, and the patient outcomes. A tissue microarray (TMA) of 95 surgically resected ampullary specimens was also constructed to examine whether there is a correlation between classical immunohistochemical profiles for intestinal and pancreaticobiliary tumors and their histologic classification. In this study, I confirmed the prognostic value of advanced T-stage, nodal metastases, and lymphovascular invasion. Patients whose tumors had “high risk” features had a significantly worse overall survival (p=.002). Furthermore, my research highlighted the importance of histology and its impact on survival, with pancreaticobiliary-like features being a negative prognostic factor (p=0.001). Importantly, patients whose tumors have pancreaticobiliary histology appear to benefit from adjuvant therapy, further implicating histology as an important pathologic marker (p=0.053). In addition, the TMA confirmed a correlation between classical immunohistochemical profiles for intestinal and pancreaticobiliary tumors and histologic classification. My research findings suggest that histology subtypes, T-stage, nodal metastases, and lymphovascular invasion should all be taken into consideration when determining which patients with ampullary cancer may benefit from further adjuvant therapy.

αvβ8 Integrin Interacts with RhoGDI1 to Regulate Rac1 and Cdc42 Activation and Drive Glioblastoma Cell Invasion

As an interface between the circulatory and central nervous systems, the neurovascular unit is vital to the development and survival of tumors. The malignant brain cancer glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) displays invasive growth behaviors that are major impediments to surgical resection and targeted therapies. Adhesion and signaling pathways that drive GBM cell invasion remain largely uncharacterized. Here we have utilized human GBM cell lines, primary patient samples, and pre-clinical mouse models to demonstrate that integrin αvβ8 is a major driver of GBM cell invasion. β8 integrin is overexpressed in many human GBM cells, with higher integrin expression correlating with increased invasion and diminished patient survival. Silencing β8 integrin in human GBM cells leads to impaired tumor cell invasion due to hyperactivation of the Rho GTPases Rac1 and Cdc42. β8 integrin associates with Rho GDP Dissociation Inhibitor 1 (RhoGDI1), an intracellular signaling effector that sequesters Rho GTPases in their inactive GDP-bound states. Silencing RhoGDI1 expression or uncoupling αvβ8 integrin-RhoGDI1 protein interactions blocks GBM cell invasion due to Rho GTPase hyperactivation. These data reveal for the first time that αvβ8 integrin, via interactions with RhoGDI1, suppresses activation of Rho proteins to promote GBM cell invasiveness. Hence, targeting the αvβ8 integrin-RhoGDI1 signaling axis may be an effective strategy for blocking GBM cell invasion.

Mechanism of surgical stress impairment of murine natural killer cell cytotoxicity

Natural killer cells may provide an important first line of defense against metastatic implantation of solid tumors. This antitumor function occurs during the intravascular and visceral lodgment phase of cancer dissemination, as demonstrated in small animal metastasis models. The role of the NK cell in controlling human tumor dissemination is more difficult to confirm, at least partially because of ethical restraints on experimental design. Nonetheless, a large number of solid tumor patient studies have demonstrated NK cell cytolysis of both autologous and allogeneic tumors.^ Of the major cancer therapeutic modalities, successful surgery in conjunction with other treatments offers the best possibility of cure. However, small animal experiments have demonstrated that surgical stress can lead to increased rates of primary tumor take, and increased incidence, size, and rapidity of metastasis development. Because the physiologic impact of surgical stress can also markedly impair perioperative antitumor immune function in humans, we examined the effect of surgical stress on perioperative NK cell cytolytic function in a murine preclinical model. Our studies demonstrated that hindlimb amputation led to a marked impairment of postoperative NK cell cytotoxicity. The mechanism underlying this process is complex and involves the postsurgical generation of splenic erythroblasts that successfully compete with NK cells for tumor target binding sites; NK cell-directed suppressor cell populations; and a direct impairment of NK cell recycling capacity. The observed postoperative NK cell suppression could be prevented by in vivo administration of pyrimidinone biologic response modifiers or by short term in vitro exposure of effector cells to recombinant Interleukin-2. It is hoped that insights gained from this research may help in the future development of NK cell specific perioperative immunotherapy relevant to the solid tumor patients undergoing cancer resection. ^

Clinical and economic outcomes of serious postoperative infections following resection of common respiratory and gastrointestinal solid tumors

Unlike infections occurring during periods of chemotherapy-induced neutropenia, postoperative infections in patients with solid malignancy remain largely understudied. The purpose of this population-based study was to evaluate the clinical and economic burden, as well as the relationship of hospital surgical volume and outcomes associated with serious postoperative infection (SPI) – i.e., bacteremia/sepsis, pneumonia, and wound infection – following resection of common solid tumors.^ From the Texas Discharge Data Research File, we identified all Texas residents who underwent resection of cancer of the lung, esophagus, stomach, pancreas, colon, or rectum between 2002 and 2006. From their billing records, we identified ICD-9 codes indicating SPI and also subsequent SPI-related readmissions occurring within 30 days of surgery. Random-effects logistic regression was used to calculate the impact of SPI on mortality, as well as the association between surgical volume and SPI, adjusting for case-mix, hospital characteristics, and clustering of multiple surgical admissions within the same patient and patients within the same hospital. Excess bed days and costs were calculated by subtracting values for patients without infections from those with infections computed using multilevel mixed-effects generalized linear model by fitting a gamma distribution to the data using log link.^ Serious postoperative infection occurred following 9.4% of the 37,582 eligible tumor resections and was independently associated with an 11-fold increase in the odds of in-hospital mortality (95% Confidence Interval [95% CI], 6.7-18.5, P < 0.001). Patients with SPI required 6.3 additional hospital days (95% CI, 6.1 - 6.5) at an incremental cost of $16,396 (95% CI, $15,927–$16,875). There was a significant trend toward lower overall rates of SPI with higher surgical volume (P=0.037). ^ Due to the substantial morbidity, mortality, and excess costs associated with SPI following solid tumor resections and given that, under current reimbursement practices, most of this heavy burden is borne by acute care providers, it is imperative for hospitals to identify more effective prophylactic measures, so that these potentially preventable infections and their associated expenditures can be averted. Additional volume-outcomes research is also needed to identify infection prevention processes that can be transferred from higher- to lower-volume providers.^