13 resultados para Risk-function

em DigitalCommons@The Texas Medical Center


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A gain-of-function R620W polymorphism in the PTPN22 gene, encoding the lymphoid tyrosine phosphatase LYP, has recently emerged as an important risk factor for human autoimmunity. Here we report that another missense substitution (R263Q) within the catalytic domain of LYP leads to reduced phosphatase activity. High-resolution structural analysis revealed the molecular basis for this loss of function. Furthermore, the Q263 variant conferred protection against human systemic lupus erythematosus, reinforcing the proposal that inhibition of LYP activity could be beneficial in human autoimmunity.

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BACKGROUND: Renal failure after thoracoabdominal aortic repair is a significant clinical problem. Distal aortic perfusion for organ and spinal cord protection requires cannulation of the left femoral artery. In 2006, we reported the finding that direct cannulation led to leg ischemia in some patients and was associated with increased renal failure. After this finding, we modified our perfusion technique to eliminate leg ischemia from cannulation. In this article, we present the effects of this change on postoperative renal function. METHODS: Between February 1991 and July 2008, we repaired 1464 thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms. Distal aortic perfusion was used in 1088, and these were studied. Median patient age was 68 years, and 378 (35%) were women. In September 2006, we began to adopt a sidearm femoral cannulation technique that provides distal aortic perfusion while maintaining downstream flow to the leg. This was used in 167 patients (15%). We measured the joint effects of preoperative glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and cannulation technique on the highest postoperative creatinine level, postoperative renal failure, and death. Analysis was by multiple linear or logistic regression with interaction. RESULTS: The preoperative GFR was the strongest predictor of postoperative renal dysfunction and death. No significant main effects of sidearm cannulation were noted. For peak creatinine level and postoperative renal failure, however, strong interactions between preoperative GFR and sidearm cannulation were present, resulting in reductions of postoperative renal complications of 15% to 20% when GFR was <60 mL>/min/1.73 m(2). For normal GFR, the effect was negated or even reversed at very high levels of GFR. Mortality, although not significantly affected by sidearm cannulation, showed a similar trend to the renal outcomes. CONCLUSION: Use of sidearm cannulation is associated with a clinically important and highly statistically significant reduction in postoperative renal complications in patients with a low GFR. Reduced renal effect of skeletal muscle ischemia is the proposed mechanism. Effects among patients with good preoperative renal function are less clear. A randomized trial is needed.

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In spite of new legislation and much public and professional interest, intensive family preservation service (IFPS) remains in a vulnerable position as compared to other child welfare services. This article details a method to project ideal IFPS caseloads as a function of children who are at-risk for placement by various referral sources. Using this approach, resource allocation for IFPS can be more nearly on equal ground with the traditional child welfare functions and help IFPS to assume its needed place as a core service in the child welfare continuum.

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There is growing support for the theory that an interaction between the immune and reproductive/endocrine systems underlies the pathogenesis of autoimmune rheumatic diseases. Most of the recent evidence derives from studies of sex hormones and pregnancy in women with systemic lupus. Other than an ameliorative effect of pregnancy, little is known about reproductive factors in relation to rheumatoid arthritis. To elucidate the relationship, a population-based retrospective study was undertaken. Included were 378 female residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis between 1950 and 1982 (cases) and 325 arthritis-free, married female controls matched to the 324 married cases on birth-year, age at first marriage, and duration of Olmsted County residency. Information of reproductive factors was extracted from the medical records system maintained by the Mayo Clinic.^ Cases had lower fertility rates compared with the female population of Minnesota (rate ratio = 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI)= 0.80-0.92). Fertility was significantly reduced even prior to the onset of rheumatoid factor positive arthritis. Restricting the comparison to married Olmsted County residents did not alter the results. Further adjustments for time not at risk of conception using survival analysis and proportional hazards modeling only intensified the fertility reduction in the married cases compared with controls. Nulligravidity was more common among cases than controls (odds ratio = 3.16, CI = 1.61-6.20). Independent of fertility, pregnancy had a protective effect against rheumatoid arthritis (odds ratio = 0.31, CI = 0.11-0.89), which was dramatically reversed in the 12 months postpartum (odds ratio = 4.67, CI = 1.50-14.47). Cases were younger at menopause than controls (p $<$ 0.01).^ Small but statistically insignificant associations were observed between rheumatoid arthritis and the following factors: increased frequency of complaints to a physician of infertility; increased frequency of spontaneous abortion, premature birth, and congenital malformations following arthritis onset; and increased prevalence of menopause at arthritis onset. Cases did not differ from controls on age at menarche, duration of pregnancy, or birth weight.^ The findings provide further support for the involvement of the reproductive/endocrine systems in the pathogenesis of autoimmune rheumatic disease. The search for biological mechanisms should be intensified. ^

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The purpose of this dissertation was to examine the relationship between key psychosocial and behavioral components of the Transtheoretical Model and the Theory of Reasoned Action for sexual risk reduction in a population of crack cocaine smokers and sex workers, not in drug treatment. ^ The first study examined the results of an analysis of the association between two principal constructs in the Transtheoretical Model, the processes of change and the stages of change for condom use, in a high risk population. In the analysis of variance for all respondents, the overall F-test revealed that people in different stages have different levels of experiential process use, F(3,317) = 17.79, p = 0.0001 and different levels of behavioral process use, F(3,317) = 28.59, p = .0001. For the experiential processes, there was a significant difference between the precontemplation/contemplation stage, and both the action, and maintenance, stages.^ The second study explored the relationship between the Theory of Reasoned Action “beliefs” and the stages-of-change in the same population. In the analysis of variance for all participants, the results indicate that people in different stages did value the positive beliefs differently, F(3,502) = 15.38, p = .0001 but did not value the negative beliefs differently, F(3,502) = 2.08, p = .10. ^ The third study explored differences in stage-of-change by gender, partner type drug use, and HIV status. Three discriminant functions emerged, with a combined χ2(12) = 139.57, p = <.0001. The loading matrix of correlations between predictors and discriminant functions demonstrate that the strongest predictor for distinguishing between the precontemplation/contemplation stage and the preparation, action, and maintenance stages (first function) is partner type (.962). The loadings on the second discriminant function suggest that once partner type has been accounted for, ever having HIV/AIDS (.935) was the best predictor for distinguishing between the first three stages and the maintenance stage. ^ These studies demonstrate that behavioral change theories can contribute important insight to researchers and program planners attempting to alter HIV risk behavior in high-risk populations. ^

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The application of Markov processes is very useful to health-care problems. The objective of this study is to provide a structured methodology of forecasting cost based upon combining a stochastic model of utilization (Markov Chain) and deterministic cost function. The perspective of the cost in this study is the reimbursement for the services rendered. The data to be used is the OneCare database of claim records of their enrollees over a two-year period of January 1, 1996–December 31, 1997. The model combines a Markov Chain that describes the utilization pattern and its variability where the use of resources by risk groups (age, gender, and diagnosis) will be considered in the process and a cost function determined from a fixed schedule based on real costs or charges for those in the OneCare claims database. The cost function is a secondary application to the model. Goodness-of-fit will be used checked for the model against the traditional method of cost forecasting. ^

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Background. Polyomavirus reactivation is common in solid-organ transplant recipients who are given immunosuppressive medications as standard treatment of care. Previous studies have shown that polyomavirus infection can lead to allograft failure in as many as 45% of the affected patients. Hypothesis. Ubiquitous polyomaviruses when reactivated by post-transplant immunosuppressive medications may lead to impaired renal function and possibly lower survival prospects. Study Overview. Secondary analysis of data was conducted on a prospective longitudinal study of subjects who were at least 18 years of age and were recipients of liver and/or kidney transplant at Mayo Clinic Scottsdale, Arizona. Methods. DNA extractions of blinded urine and blood specimens of transplant patients collected at Mayo Clinic during routine transplant patient visits were performed at Baylor College of Medicine using Qiagen kits. Virologic assays included testing DNA samples for specific polyomavirus sequences using QPCR technology. De-identified demographic and clinical patient data were merged with laboratory data and statistical analysis was performed using Stata10. Results. 76 patients enrolled in the study were followed for 3.9 years post transplantation. The prevalence of BK virus and JC virus urinary excretion was 30% and 28%. Significant association was observed between JC virus excretion and kidney as the transplanted organ (P = 0.039, Pearson Chi-square test). The median urinary JCV viral loads were two logs higher than those of BKV. Patients that excreted both BKV and JCV appeared to have the worst renal function with a mean creatinine clearance value of 71.6 millimeters per minute. A survival disadvantage was observed for dual shedders of BKV and JCV, log-rank statistics, p = 0.09; 2/5 dual-shedders expired during the study period. Liver transplant and male sex were determined to be potential risk factors for JC virus activation in renal and liver transplant recipients. All patients tested negative for SV40 and no association was observed between polyomavirus excretion and type of immunosuppressive medication (tacrolimus, mycophenolate mofetil, cyclosporine and sirolimus). Conclusions. Polyomavirus reactivation was common after solid-organ transplantation and may be associated with impaired renal function. Male sex and JCV infection may be potential risk factors for viral reactivation; findings should be confirmed in larger studies.^

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The mechanism for higher susceptibility of diabetes patients to TB is unknown. Chronic hyperglycemia has been shown to be associated with altered immunity to Mycobacterium tuberculosis, and may explain the higher risk of TB among diabetes patients. However, it is possible that other conditions that frequently occur in these patients are also contributing to TB susceptibility. Our goal was to determine whether lipid metabolism, liver function and/or chronic inflammation are altered in tuberculosis (TB) patients with diabetes (DM), compared to non-DM.^ Confirmed TB patients who were 20 years or older (n=159) were selected from a database in the south Texas and northeast Mexico area. Differences between serum values for liver function, lipid metabolism and/or chronic inflammation were compared between TB patients with DM to non-DM.^ We found that CRP was the most frequent alteration, with about 80% having high values suggestive of chronic inflammation. The other frequent abnormalities were high triglycerides in about 40% of the patients and low HDL cholesterol in about 60% of the patients. Otherwise, less than 10% of the TB patients had an abnormal finding for any of the other laboratory tests. The abnormalities were not more frequent among the patients with either DM (versus non-DM) or high HbA1c (versus normal).^ A possible explanation for the high levels or CRP may be that everyone in the study had TB, which in itself causes inflammation and may have masked the increased CRP levels that characterize diabetes patients. There was a mild alteration in lipid metabolism in patients with DM, which is unlikely to explain altered immunity to TB. Otherwise, liver function tests were normal in patients with DM. Therefore the processing of anti-TB medications should be no different between the TB patients with and without diabetes. Our findings, however, do not rule out that other study populations have more remarkable metabolic alterations associated with diabetes. Therefore, it would be interesting to conduct a similar study in patients from different ethnic groups (White, African American, or Native American) in order to see if the same pattern is observed.^

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The use of exercise electrocardiography (ECG) to detect latent coronary heart disease (CHD) is discouraged in apparently healthy populations because of low sensitivity. These recommendations however, are based on the efficacy of evaluation of ischemia (ST segment changes) with little regard for other measures of cardiac function that are available during exertion. The purpose of this investigation was to determine the association of maximal exercise hemodynamic responses with risk of mortality due to all-causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and coronary heart disease (CHD) in apparently healthy individuals. Study participants were 20,387 men (mean age = 42.2 years) and 6,234 women (mean age = 41.9 years) patients of a preventive medicine center in Dallas, TX examined between 1971 and 1989. During an average of 8.1 years of follow-up, there were 348 deaths in men and 66 deaths in women. In men, age-adjusted all-cause death rates (per 10,000 person years) across quartiles of maximal systolic blood pressure (SBP) (low to high) were: 18.2, 16.2, 23.8, and 24.6 (p for trend $<$0.001). Corresponding rates for maximal heart rate were: 28.9, 15.9, 18.4, and 15.1 (p trend $<$0.001). After adjustment for confounding variables including age, resting systolic pressure, serum cholesterol and glucose, body mass index, smoking status, physical fitness and family history of CVD, risks (and 95% confidence interval (CI)) of all-cause mortality for quartiles of maximal SBP, relative to the lowest quartile, were: 0.96 (0.70-1.33), 1.36 (1.01-1.85), and 1.37 (0.98-1.92) for quartiles 2-4 respectively. Similar risks for maximal heart rate were: 0.61 (0.44-0.85), 0.69 (0.51-0.93), and 0.60 (0.41-0.87). No associations were noted between maximal exercise rate-pressure product mortality. Similar results were seen for risk of CVD and CHD death. In women, similar trends in age-adjusted all-cause and CVD death rates across maximal SBP and heart rate categories were observed. Sensitivity of the exercise test in predicting mortality was enhanced when ECG results were evaluated together with maximal exercise SBP or heart rate with a concomitant decrease in specificity. Positive predictive values were not improved. The efficacy of the exercise test in predicting mortality in apparently healthy men and women was not enhanced by using maximal exercise hemodynamic responses. These results suggest that an exaggerated systolic blood pressure or an attenuated heart rate response to maximal exercise are risk factors for mortality in apparently healthy individuals. ^

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Objective measurements of physical fitness and pulmonary function are related individually to long-term survival, both in healthy people and in those who are ill. These factors are furthermore known to be related to one another physiologically in people with pulmonary disease, because advanced pulmonary disease causes ventilatory limitation to exercise. Healthy people do not have ventilatory limitation to exercise, but rather have ventilatory reserve. The relationship between pulmonary function and exercise performance in healthy people is minimal. Exercise performance has been shown to modify the effect of pulmonary function on mortality in people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, but the relationship between these factors in healthy people has not been studied and is not known. The purpose of this study is to quantify the joint effects of pulmonary function and exercise performance as these bear on mortality in a cohort of healthy adults. This investigation is an historical cohort study over 20 years of follow-up of 29,624 adults who had complete preventive medicine, spirometry and treadmill stress examinations at the Cooper Clinic in Dallas, Texas.^ In 20 years of follow-up, there were 738 evaluable deaths. Forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV$\sb1$) percent of predicted, treadmill time in minutes percent of predicted, age, gender, body mass index, baseline smoking status, serum glucose and serum total cholesterol were all significant, independent predictors of mortality risk. There were no frank interactions, although age had an important increasing effect on the risk associated with smoking when other covariates were controlled for in a proportional-hazards model. There was no confounding effect of exercise performance on pulmonary function. In agreement with the pertinent literature on independent effects, each unit increase in FEV$\sb1$ percent predicted was associated with about eight tenths of a percent reduction in adjusted mortality rate. The concept of physiologic reserve is useful in interpretation of the findings. Since pulmonary function does not limit exercise tolerance in healthy adults, it is reasonable to expect that exercise tolerance would not modify the effect of pulmonary function on mortality. Epidemiologic techniques are useful for elucidating physiological correlates of mortality risk. ^

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Childhood obesity is a persistent problem in the U.S., especially among Hispanics. Health complications like hypertension, type II diabetes, and metabolic syndrome (Met-S) are being seen at younger ages, and current screening procedures may be inadequate. This study sought to describe the risk factors for Met-S present in a sample of 106 overweight and obese Hispanic children, aged 5-14 years, participating in Nutrition and Exercise Start Today (NEST), a randomized weight management intervention trial at a rural health clinic in New Braunfels, Texas; and to determine associations between these factors and other clinical and socio-demographic characteristics linked to obesity. Baseline data was analyzed for the prevalence of large waist circumference (WC), elevated blood pressure (BP), high fasting serum glucose and serum triglycerides (TG), and low serum HDL cholesterol, in relationship with selected sample characteristics. Main findings included high baseline prevalence rates of large WC (77%), reduced HDL (57%), and elevated BP (30%). WC was significantly associated with BMI percentile and the serum liver function test alanine aminotransferase (ALT) by Fisher's exact test (p<0.001 and p=0.032, respectively), while there were significant relationships between HDL and both female gender and ALT. BMI percentile and ALT were associated with all sets of Met-S diagnostic criteria examined. BMI percentile also had a strong association (p=0.005) with total number of Met-S risk factors, while ALT had a weaker association (p=0.093). WC is a low-cost, simple measure whose use may improve clinic surveillance for childhood obesity and complications like Met-S. WC, BP, HDL and ALT may be used as part of targeted screening for obesity complications like Met-S, particularly in situations where resources are limited.^

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Following posterior fossa surgery for resection of childhood medulloblastoma and primitive neuroectodermal tumor (M/PNET), cerebellar mutism (CM) may develop. This is a condition of absent or diminished speech in a conscious patient with no evidence of oral apraxia, which can be accompanied by other symptoms of the posterior fossa syndrome complex, which includes ataxia and hypotonia. Little is known about the etiology. Therefore, we conducted a SNP, gene, and pathway-level analysis to assess the role of host genetic variation on the risk of CM in M/PNET subjects following treatment. Cases (n= 20) and controls (n= 53) were recruited from the Childhood Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Center, in Houston, TX. DNA samples were genotyped using the Illumina Human 1M Quad SNP chip. Ten pathways were identified from logistic regression used to identify the marginal effect of each SNP on CM risk. The minP test was conducted to identify associations between SNPs categorized to genes and CM risk. Pathways were assessed to determine if there was a significant enrichment of genes in the pathway compared to all other pathways. There were 78 genes that reached the threshold of min P ≤0.05 in 948 genes. The Neurotoxicity pathway was the most significant pathway after adjusting for multiple comparisons (q=0.040 and q=0.005, using Fisher's exact test and a test of proportions, respectively). Most genes within the Neurotoxicity pathway that reached a threshold of minP ≤0.05 were known to have an apoptosis function, possibly inducing neuronal apoptosis in the dentatothalamocortical pathway, and may be important in CM etiology in this population. This is the first study to assess the potential role of genetic risk factors on CM. As an exploratory study, these results should be replicated in a larger sample. ^

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Conservative procedures in low-dose risk assessment are used to set safety standards for known or suspected carcinogens. However, the assumptions upon which the methods are based and the effects of these methods are not well understood.^ To minimize the number of false-negatives and to reduce the cost of bioassays, animals are given very high doses of potential carcinogens. Results must then be extrapolated to much smaller doses to set safety standards for risks such as one per million. There are a number of competing methods that add a conservative safety factor into these calculations.^ A method of quantifying the conservatism of these methods was described and tested on eight procedures used in setting low-dose safety standards. The results using these procedures were compared by computer simulation and by the use of data from a large scale animal study.^ The method consisted of determining a "true safe dose" (tsd) according to an assumed underlying model. If one assumed that Y = the probability of cancer = P(d), a known mathematical function of the dose, then by setting Y to some predetermined acceptable risk, one can solve for d, the model's "true safe dose".^ Simulations were generated, assuming a binomial distribution, for an artificial bioassay. The eight procedures were then used to determine a "virtual safe dose" (vsd) that estimates the tsd, assuming a risk of one per million. A ratio R = ((tsd-vsd)/vsd) was calculated for each "experiment" (simulation). The mean R of 500 simulations and the probability R $<$ 0 was used to measure the over and under conservatism of each procedure.^ The eight procedures included Weil's method, Hoel's method, the Mantel-Byran method, the improved Mantel-Byran, Gross's method, fitting a one-hit model, Crump's procedure, and applying Rai and Van Ryzin's method to a Weibull model.^ None of the procedures performed uniformly well for all types of dose-response curves. When the data were linear, the one-hit model, Hoel's method, or the Gross-Mantel method worked reasonably well. However, when the data were non-linear, these same methods were overly conservative. Crump's procedure and the Weibull model performed better in these situations. ^