A simulation study of the standard design, the rolling six design, the CRM, and the modified CRM in Phase I clinical trials

The Phase I clinical trial is considered the "first in human" study in medical research to examine the toxicity of a new agent. It determines the maximum tolerable dose (MTD) of a new agent, i.e., the highest dose in which toxicity is still acceptable. Several phase I clinical trial designs have been proposed in the past 30 years. The well known standard method, so called the 3+3 design, is widely accepted by clinicians since it is the easiest to implement and it does not need a statistical calculation. Continual reassessment method (CRM), a design uses Bayesian method, has been rising in popularity in the last two decades. Several variants of the CRM design have also been suggested in numerous statistical literatures. Rolling six is a new method introduced in pediatric oncology in 2008, which claims to shorten the trial duration as compared to the 3+3 design. The goal of the present research was to simulate clinical trials and compare these phase I clinical trial designs. Patient population was created by discrete event simulation (DES) method. The characteristics of the patients were generated by several distributions with the parameters derived from a historical phase I clinical trial data review. Patients were then selected and enrolled in clinical trials, each of which uses the 3+3 design, the rolling six, or the CRM design. Five scenarios of dose-toxicity relationship were used to compare the performance of the phase I clinical trial designs. One thousand trials were simulated per phase I clinical trial design per dose-toxicity scenario. The results showed the rolling six design was not superior to the 3+3 design in terms of trial duration. The time to trial completion was comparable between the rolling six and the 3+3 design. However, they both shorten the duration as compared to the two CRM designs. Both CRMs were superior to the 3+3 design and the rolling six in accuracy of MTD estimation. The 3+3 design and rolling six tended to assign more patients to undesired lower dose levels. The toxicities were slightly greater in the CRMs.^

Functional analysis of p53 phosphorylation and a p53 hot spot mutation

The tumor suppressor p53 is a phosphoprotein which functions as a transcriptional activator. By monitoring the transcriptional activity, we studied how p53 functions is regulated in relation to cell growth and contact inhibition. When cells were arrested at G1 phase of the cell cycle by contact inhibition, we found that p53 transactivation function was suppressed. When contact inhibition was overridden by cyclin E overexpression which stimulates cell cycle progression, p53 function was restored. This observation led to the development of a cell density assay to study the regulation of p53 function during cell cycle for the functional significance of p53 phosphorylation. The murine p53 is phosphorylated at serines 7, 9, 12, 18, 37, 312 and 389. To understand the role of p53 phosphorylation, we generated p53 constructs encoding serine-to-alanine or serine-to-glutamate mutations at these codons. The transcriptional activity were measured in cells capable of contact inhibition. In low-density cycling cells, no difference in transcriptional activity was found between wild type p53 and any of the mutants. In contact-inhibited cells, however, only mutations of p53 at serine 389 resulted in altered responses to cell cycle arrest and to cyclin E overexpression. The mutant with serine-to-glutamate substitution at codon 389 retained its function in contact inhibited cells. Cyclin E overexpression in these cells induced p53 phosphorylation at serine 389. Furthermore, we showed that phosphorylation at serine 389 regulates p53 DNA binding activity. Our findings implicate that phosphorylation is an important mechanism for p53 activation.^ p53 is the most frequently mutated gene in human tumors. To study the mechanism of p53 inactivation by mutations, we carried out detailed analysis of a murine p53 mutation with an arginine-to-tryptophane substitution at codon 245. The corresponding human p53 mutation at amino acid 248 is the most frequently mutated codon in tumors. We showed that this mutant is inactive in suppressing focus formation, binding to DNA and transactivation. Structural analysis revealed that this mutant assumes the wild type protein conformation. These findings define a novel class of p53 mutations and help to understand structure-function relationship of p53. ^