Interim analysis of clinical trials: Simulation studies of fractional Brownian motion

Interim clinical trial monitoring procedures were motivated by ethical and economic considerations. Classical Brownian motion (Bm) techniques for statistical monitoring of clinical trials were widely used. Conditional power argument and α-spending function based boundary crossing probabilities are popular statistical hypothesis testing procedures under the assumption of Brownian motion. However, it is not rare that the assumptions of Brownian motion are only partially met for trial data. Therefore, I used a more generalized form of stochastic process, called fractional Brownian motion (fBm), to model the test statistics. Fractional Brownian motion does not hold Markov property and future observations depend not only on the present observations but also on the past ones. In this dissertation, we simulated a wide range of fBm data, e.g., H = 0.5 (that is, classical Bm) vs. 0.5< H <1, with treatment effects vs. without treatment effects. Then the performance of conditional power and boundary-crossing based interim analyses were compared by assuming that the data follow Bm or fBm. Our simulation study suggested that the conditional power or boundaries under fBm assumptions are generally higher than those under Bm assumptions when H > 0.5 and also matches better with the empirical results. ^

The effects of DNA cytosine methylation on H -ras promoter structure and function

The effect of DNA cytosine methylation on H-ras promoter activity was assessed using a transient expression system employing the plasmid H-rasCAT (NaeI H-ras promoter linked to the chloramphenicol acetyltransferase (CAT) gene). This 551 bp promoter is 80% GC rich, enriched with 168 CpG dinucleotides, and contains six functional GC box elements which represent major DNA methylation target sites. Prokaryotic methyltransferases HhaI (CGm$\sp5$CG) and HpaII (Cm$\sp5$CGG) alone or in combination with a human placental methyltransferase (HP MTase) were used to introduce methyl groups at different CpG sites within the promoter. To test for functional promoter activity, the methylated plasmids were introduced into CV-1 cells and CAT activity assessed 48 h post-transfection. Methylation at specific HhaI and HpaII sites reduced CAT expression by 70%, whereas more extensive methylation at generalized CpG sites with HP MTase inactivated the promoter $>$95%. The inhibition of H-ras promoter activity was not attributable to methylation-induced differences in DNA uptake or stability in the cell, topological form of the plasmid, or methylation effects in nonpromoter regions. We also observed that DNA cytosine methylation of a 360 bp promoter fragment by HP MTase induced a local change in DNA conformation. Using three independent methodologies (nitrocellulose filter binding assays, gel mobility shifts, and Southwestern blots), we determined that this change in promoter conformation affected the interaction of nuclear proteins with cis-regulatory sequences residing in the promoter region. The results provide evidence to suggest that DNA methylation may regulate gene expression by inducing changes in local promoter conformation which in turn alters the interactions between DNA and protein factors required for transcription. The results provide supportive evidence for the hypothesis of Cedar and Riggs, who postulated that DNA methylation may regulate gene expression by altering the binding affinities of proteins for DNA. ^