Predictors of weight stability in women and men: The aerobic center longitudinal study, 1987--1995

It is estimated that more than half the U.S. adult population is overweight or obese as classified by a body mass index of 25.0–29.9 or ≥30 kg/m 2, respectively. Since the current treatment approaches for long-term maintenance of weight loss are lacking, the National Institutes of Health state that an effective approach may be to focus on weight gain prevention. There is a limited body of literature describing how adults maintain a stable weight as they age. It is hypothesized that weight stability is the result of a balance between energy consumption and energy expenditure as influenced by diet, lifestyle, behavior, genetics and environment. The purpose of this research was to examine the dietary intake and behaviors, lifestyle habits, and risk factors for weight change that predict weight stability in a cohort of 2101 men and 389 women aged 20 to 8 7 years in the Aerobic Center Longitudinal Study regardless of body weight at baseline. At baseline, participants completed a maximal exercise treadmill test to determine cardiorespiratory fitness, a medical history questionnaire, which included self-reported measures of weight, dietary behaviors, lifestyle habits, and risk factors for weight change, a three-day diet record, and a mail-back version of the medical history questionnaire in 1990 or 1995. All analyses were performed separately for men and women. Results from multivariate regression analyses indicated that the strongest predictor of follow-up weight for men and women was previous weight, accounting for 87.0% and 81.9% of the variance, respectively. Age, length of follow-up and eating habits were also significant predictors of follow-up weight in men, though these variables only explained 3% of the variance. For women, length of follow-up and currently being on a diet were significantly associated with follow-up weight but these variables explained only an additional 2% of the variance. Understanding the factors that influence weight change has tremendous public health importance for developing effective methods to prevent weight gain. Since current weight was the strongest predictor of previous weight, preventing initial weight gain by maintaining a stable weight may be the most effective method to combat the increasing prevalence of overweight and obesity. ^

XIPHOPHORUS ENZYME GENE EXPRESSION: TISSUE SPECIFICITY, GENETIC CONTROL, AND STABILITY IN CULTURED CELLS

Five permanent cell lines were developed from Xiphophorus maculatus, X. helleri, and their hybrids using three tissue sources, including adults and embryos of different stages. To evaluate cell line gene expression for retention of either tissue-of-origin-specific or ontogenetic stage-specific characters, the activity distribution of 44 enzyme loci was determined in 11 X. maculatus tissues, and the developmental genetics of 17 enzyme loci was charted in X. helleri and in helleri x maculatus hybrids using starch gel electrophoresis. In the process, eight new loci were discovered and characterized for Xiphophorus.^ No Xiphophorus cell line showed retention of tissue-of-origin-specific or ontogenetic stage-specific enzyme gene expressional traits. Instead, gene expression was similar among the cell lines. One enzyme, adenosine deaminase (ADA) was an exception. Two adult-origin cell lines expressed ADA, whereas, three cell lines derived independently from embryos did not. ADA('-) expression of Xiphophorus embryo-derived cell lines may represent retention of an embryonic gene expressional trait. In one cell line (T(,3)) derived from 13 pooled interspecific hybrid (F(,2)) embryos, shifts with time were observed at enzyme loci polymorphic between the two species. This suggested shifts in ratios of cells of different genotypes in the population rather than unstable gene expression in one dominant cell type.^ Verification of this hypothesis was attempted by cloning the culture--seeking clones having different genetic signatures. The large number of loci electrophoretically polymorphic between the two species and whose alleles segregated independently into the 13 progeny from which this culture originated almost guaranteed the presence of different genetic signatures (lineages) in T(,3).^ Seven lineages of cells were found within T(,3), each expressing genotypes at some loci not characteristic of the expression of the culture-as-a-whole, supporting the hypothesis tested. Quantitative studies of ADA expression in the whole culture (ADA('-)) and in clones of these seven lineages suggested the predominance in T(,3) of ADA deficient cell lineages, although moderate to high ADA output clones also occurred. Thus, T(,3) has the potential to shift phenotypes from ADA('-) to ADA('+) by simply changing proportions of its constituent cell types, demonstrating that such shifts can occur in any cell culture containing cells of mixed expressional characteristics.^

PROJECTION OF HEALTH DEMAND IN TERMS OF HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS FOR SELECTED DIAGNOSES IN HEALTH SYSTEMS AGENCY SERVICE AREAS

The National Health Planning and Resources Development Act of 1974 (Public Law 93-641) requires that health systems agencies (HSAs) plan for their health service areas by the use of existing data to the maximum extent practicable. Health planning is based on the identificaton of health needs; however, HSAs are, at present, identifying health needs in their service areas in some approximate terms. This lack of specificity has greatly reduced the effectiveness of health planning. The intent of this study is, therefore, to explore the feasibility of predicting community levels of hospitalized morbidity by diagnosis by the use of existing data so as to allow health planners to plan for the services associated with specific diagnoses.^ The specific objectives of this study are (a) to obtain by means of multiple regression analysis a prediction equation for hospital admission by diagnosis, i.e., select the variables that are related to demand for hospital admissions; (b) to examine how pertinent the variables selected are; and (c) to see if each equation obtained predicts well for health service areas.^ The existing data on hospital admissions by diagnosis are those collected from the National Hospital Discharge Surveys, and are available in a form aggregated to the nine census divisions. When the equations established with such data are applied to local health service areas for prediction, the application is subject to the criticism of the theory of ecological fallacy. Since HSAs have to rely on the availability of existing data, it is imperative to examine whether or not the theory of ecological fallacy holds true in this case.^ The results of the study show that the equations established are highly significant and the independent variables in the equations explain the variation in the demand for hospital admission well. The predictability of these equations is good when they are applied to areas at the same ecological level but become poor, predominantly due to ecological fallacy, when they are applied to health service areas.^ It is concluded that HSAs can not predict hospital admissions by diagnosis without primary data collection as discouraged by Public Law 93-641. ^