Predictive oncology: a review of multidisciplinary, multiscale in silico modeling linking phenotype, morphology and growth.

Empirical evidence and theoretical studies suggest that the phenotype, i.e., cellular- and molecular-scale dynamics, including proliferation rate and adhesiveness due to microenvironmental factors and gene expression that govern tumor growth and invasiveness, also determine gross tumor-scale morphology. It has been difficult to quantify the relative effect of these links on disease progression and prognosis using conventional clinical and experimental methods and observables. As a result, successful individualized treatment of highly malignant and invasive cancers, such as glioblastoma, via surgical resection and chemotherapy cannot be offered and outcomes are generally poor. What is needed is a deterministic, quantifiable method to enable understanding of the connections between phenotype and tumor morphology. Here, we critically assess advantages and disadvantages of recent computational modeling efforts (e.g., continuum, discrete, and cellular automata models) that have pursued this understanding. Based on this assessment, we review a multiscale, i.e., from the molecular to the gross tumor scale, mathematical and computational "first-principle" approach based on mass conservation and other physical laws, such as employed in reaction-diffusion systems. Model variables describe known characteristics of tumor behavior, and parameters and functional relationships across scales are informed from in vitro, in vivo and ex vivo biology. We review the feasibility of this methodology that, once coupled to tumor imaging and tumor biopsy or cell culture data, should enable prediction of tumor growth and therapy outcome through quantification of the relation between the underlying dynamics and morphological characteristics. In particular, morphologic stability analysis of this mathematical model reveals that tumor cell patterning at the tumor-host interface is regulated by cell proliferation, adhesion and other phenotypic characteristics: histopathology information of tumor boundary can be inputted to the mathematical model and used as a phenotype-diagnostic tool to predict collective and individual tumor cell invasion of surrounding tissue. This approach further provides a means to deterministically test effects of novel and hypothetical therapy strategies on tumor behavior.

NEW TARGET GENES FOR TUMOR SUPPRESSORS p53 AND p73 IN REGENERATING LIVER

The p53-family of proteins regulates expression of target genes during tissue development and differentiation. Within the p53-family, p53 and p73 have hepatic-specific functions in development and tumor suppression. Despite a growing list of p53/p73 target genes, very few of these have been studied in vivo, and the knowledge regarding functions of p53 and p73 in normal tissues remains limited. p53+/-p73+/- mice develop hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), whereas overexpression of p53 in human HCC leads to tumor regression. However, the mechanism of p53/p73 function in liver remains poorly characterized. Here, the model of mouse liver regeneration is used to identify new target genes for p53/p73 in normal quiescent vs. proliferating cells. In response to surgical removal of ~2/3 of liver mass (partial hepatectomy, PH), the remaining hepatocytes exit G0 of cell cycle and undergo proliferation to reestablish liver mass. The hypothesis tested in this work is that p53/p73 functions in cell cycle arrest, apoptosis and senescence are repressed during liver regeneration, and reactivated at the end of the regenerative response. Chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP), with a p73-antibody, was used to probe arrayed genomic sequences (ChIP-chip) and uncover 158 potential targets of p73-regulation in normal liver. Global microarray analysis of mRNA levels, at T=0-48h following PH, revealed sets of genes that change expression during regeneration. Eighteen p73-bound genes changed expression after PH. Four of these genes, Foxo3, Jak1, Pea15, and Tuba1 have p53 response elements (p53REs), identified in silico within the upstream regulatory region. Forkhead transcription factor Foxo3 is the most responsive gene among transcription factors with altered expression during regenerative, cellular proliferation. p53 and p73 bind a Foxo3 p53RE and maintain active expression in quiescent liver. During liver regeneration, binding of p53 and p73, recruitment of acetyltransferase p300, and an active chromatin structure of Foxo3 are disrupted, alongside loss of Foxo3 expression. These parameters of Foxo3 regulation are reestablished at completion of liver growth and regeneration, supporting a temporary suspension of p53 and p73 regulatory functions in normal cells during tissue regeneration.

Cis-acting elements and developmental regulators govern toxin gene expression in Bacillus anthracis

Expression of the structural genes for the anthrax toxin proteins is coordinately controlled by host-related signals such as elevated CO2 , and the trans-acting positive regulator, AtxA. No specific binding of AtxA to the toxin gene promoters has been demonstrated and no sequence-based similarities are apparent in the promoter regions of toxin genes. We hypothesized that the toxin genes possess common structural features that are required for positive regulation. To test this hypothesis, I performed an extensive characterization of the toxin gene promoters. I determined the minimal sequences required for atxA-mediated toxin gene expression and compared these sequences for structural similarities. In silico modeling and in vitro experiments indicated significant curvature within these regions. Random mutagenesis revealed that point mutations associated with reduced transcriptional activity, mostly mapped to areas of high curvature. This work enabled the identification of two potential cis-acting elements implicated in AtxA-mediated regulation of the toxin genes. In addition to the growth condition requirements and AtxA, toxin gene expression is under growth phase regulation. The transition state regulator AbrB represses atxA expression to influence toxin synthesis. Here I report that toxin gene expression also requires sigH, a gene encoding the RNA polymerase sigma factor associated with development in B. subtilis. In the well-studied B. subtilis system, σH is part of a feedback control pathway that involves AbrB and the major response regulator of sporulation initiation, Spo0A. My data indicate that in B. anthracis, regulatory relationships exist between these developmental regulators and atxA . Interestingly, during growth in toxin-inducing conditions, sigH and abrB expression deviates from that described for B. subtilis, affecting expression of the atxA gene. These findings, combined with previous observations, suggest that the steady state level of atxA expression is critical for optimal toxin gene transcription. I propose a model whereby, under toxin-inducing conditions, control of toxin gene expression is fine-tuned by the independent effects of the developmental regulators on the expression of atxA . The growth condition-dependent changes in expression of these regulators may be crucial for the correct timing and uninterrupted expression of the toxin genes during infection. ^

Homeostatic transcriptional regulation of bcl-2 in the epidermis

Bcl-2, a crucial regulator of cell survival, is frequently overexpressed in basal cell carcinomas (BCCs), the most commonly diagnosed cancers. Regulation of bcl-2 expression in epidermal keratinocytes is not well characterized. In the epidermis, bcl-2 is expressed only in keratinocytes of the basal layer and the outer root sheath of hair follicles and no bcl-2 expression in suprabasalar keratinocytes. The calcium gradient in the epidermis is a potent regulator of keratinocyte differentiation. Increasing calcium concentrations associated with differentiation, resulted in the downregulation of a 2.9 kb bcl-2 promoter luciferase construct. The AP-1 family of transcription factors is differentially expressed in the strata of the epidermis and has been shown to be involved in the stage specific expression of numerous differentiation markers in the epidermis. In silico analysis of the bcl-2 promoter and gene reporter assays showed that co-transfection of JUNB and JUND, but not other AP-1 dimers, caused a significant upregulation of the bcl-2 promoter in primary keratinocytes. Immunoelectrophoretic mobility shift assays, in vivo chromatin immunoprecipitation (ChIP) studies and mutational analysis of AP-1 binding site 3 on the bcl-2 promoter identified it as the site involved in bcl-2 regulation. Utilizing site directed mutants, we determined that phosphorylation at Ser90/Ser100 residues of JUND is required for the activation of the bcl-2 promoter. ^ The sonic hedgehog (SHH) pathway is frequently deregulated in BCCs and, we have shown that GLI1 upregulates bcl-2 in keratinocytes. While examining potential regulation of the SHH pathway extracellular calcium, we found that higher calcium concentrations are associated with lowered HH pathway activity and upregulation of suppressor of fused (SUFU) which negatively regulates the SHH pathway. ChIP assays, and in vivo mouse models, show that ΔNp63α, a crucial regulator of epidermal development, binds and activates the SUFU promoter in differentiating keratinocytes. Increasing SUFU levels prevent transactivation of the bcl-2 promoter. In vitro SUFU knockdown along with in vivo SUFU+/− murine models demonstrate a significant upregulation of bcl-2 expression. ^ In conclusion, the spatial and temporal expression of bcl-2 during keratinocyte differentiation in the epidermis is a complex process requiring cooperative interactions of specific signaling cascades and transcription factors. ^

The molecular basis for beta-lactamase gene expression in B. anthracis, B. cereus and B. thuringiensis

The susceptibility of most Bacillus anthracis strains to β-lactam antibiotics is intriguing considering that the B. anthracis genome harbors two β-lactamase genes, bla1 and bla2, and closely-related species, Bacillus cereus and Bacillus thuringiensis, typically produce β-lactamases. This work demonstrates that B. anthracis bla expression is affected by two genes, sigP and rsp, predicted to encode an extracytoplasmic function sigma factor and an antisigma factor, respectively. Deletion of the sigP/rsp locus abolished bla expression in a penicillin-resistant clinical isolate and had no effect on bla expression in a prototypical penicillin-susceptible strain. Complementation with sigP/rsp from the penicillin-resistant strain, but not the penicillin-susceptible strain, conferred β-lactamase activity upon both mutants. These results are attributed to a nucleotide deletion near the 5' end of rsp in the penicillin-resistant strain that is predicted to result in a nonfunctional protein. B. cereus and B. thuringiensis sigP and rsp homologues are required for inducible penicillin resistance in those species. Expression of the B. cereus or B. thuringiensis sigP and rsp genes in a B. anthracis sigP/rsp-null mutant confers resistance to β-lactam antibiotics, suggesting that while B. anthracis contains the genes necessary for sensing β-lactam antibiotics, the B. anthracis sigP/rsp gene products are insufficient for bla induction. ^ Because alternative sigma factors recognize unique promoter sequence, direct targets can be elucidated by comparing transcriptional profiling results with an in silico search using the sigma factor binding sequence. Potential σP -10 and -35 promoter elements were identified upstream from bla1 bla2 and sigP. Results obtained from searching the B. anthracis genome with the conserved sequences were evaluated against transcriptional profiling results comparing B. anthracis 32 and an isogenic sigP/rsp -null strain. Results from these analyses indicate that while the absence of the sigP gene significantly affects the transcript levels of 16 genes, only bla1, bla2 and sigP are directly regulated by σP. The genomes of B. cereus and B. thuringiensis strains were also analyzed for the potential σP binding elements. The sequence was located upstream from the sigP and bla genes, and previously unidentified genes predicted to encode a penicillin-binding protein (PBP) and a D-alanyl-D-alanine carboxypeptidase, indicating that the σ P regulon in these species responds to cell-wall stress caused by β-lactam antibiotics. ^ β-lactam antibiotics prevent attachment of new peptidoglycan to the cell wall by blocking the active site of PBPs. A B. cereus and B. thuringiensis pbp-encoding gene located near bla1 contains a potential σP recognition sequence upstream from the annotated translational start. Deletion of this gene abolished β-lactam resistance in both strains. Mutations in the active site of the PBP were detrimental to β-lactam resistance in B. cereus, but not B. thuringiensis, indicating that the transpeptidase activity is only important in B. cereus. I also found that transcript levels of the PBP-encoding gene are not significantly affected by the presence of β-lactam antibiotic. Based on these data I hypothesize that the gene product acts a sensor of β-lactam antibiotic. ^

FZD6, MATN2 AND SLC25A32, POSSIBLE CANDIDATE GENES IN NONSYNDROMIC CLEFT LIP AND PALATE

Nonsyndromic cleft lip with or without cleft palate (NSCLP) is a common birth defect with a multifactorial etiology. Despite decades of research, the genetic underpinnings of NSCLP still remain largely unexplained. A genome wide association study (GWAS) of a large NSCLP African American family with seven affected individuals across three generations found evidence for linkage at 8q21.3-24.12 (LOD = 2.98). This region contained three biologically relevant candidate genes: Frizzled-6 (FZD6) (LOD = 2.8), Matrilin-2 (MATN2) (LOD = 2.3), and Solute Carrier Family 25, Member 32 (SLC26A32) (LOD = 1.6). Sequencing of the coding regions and the 5’ and 3’ UTRs of these genes in two affected family members identified a rare intronic variant, rs138557689 (c.-153+432A>C), in FZD6. The rs138557689/C allele segregated with the NSCLP phenotype; in silico analysis predicted and EMSA analysis showed that the 138557689/C allele creates new DNA binding sites. FZD6 is part of the WNT pathway, which is involved in craniofacial development, including midface development and upper lip fusion. Our novel findings suggest that an alteration in FZD6 gene regulation may perturb this tightly controlled biological pathway and in turn contribute to the development of NSCLP in this family. Studies are underway to further define how the rs138557689/C variant affects expression of FZD6.

Concept, design and implementation of a cardiovascular gene-centric 50 k SNP array for large-scale genomic association studies.

A wealth of genetic associations for cardiovascular and metabolic phenotypes in humans has been accumulating over the last decade, in particular a large number of loci derived from recent genome wide association studies (GWAS). True complex disease-associated loci often exert modest effects, so their delineation currently requires integration of diverse phenotypic data from large studies to ensure robust meta-analyses. We have designed a gene-centric 50 K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) array to assess potentially relevant loci across a range of cardiovascular, metabolic and inflammatory syndromes. The array utilizes a "cosmopolitan" tagging approach to capture the genetic diversity across approximately 2,000 loci in populations represented in the HapMap and SeattleSNPs projects. The array content is informed by GWAS of vascular and inflammatory disease, expression quantitative trait loci implicated in atherosclerosis, pathway based approaches and comprehensive literature searching. The custom flexibility of the array platform facilitated interrogation of loci at differing stringencies, according to a gene prioritization strategy that allows saturation of high priority loci with a greater density of markers than the existing GWAS tools, particularly in African HapMap samples. We also demonstrate that the IBC array can be used to complement GWAS, increasing coverage in high priority CVD-related loci across all major HapMap populations. DNA from over 200,000 extensively phenotyped individuals will be genotyped with this array with a significant portion of the generated data being released into the academic domain facilitating in silico replication attempts, analyses of rare variants and cross-cohort meta-analyses in diverse populations. These datasets will also facilitate more robust secondary analyses, such as explorations with alternative genetic models, epistasis and gene-environment interactions.

Molecular epidemiological studies on genetic predispositions to squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck

Two molecular epidemiological studies were conducted to examine associations between genetic variation and risk of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (SCCHN). In the first study, we hypothesized that genetic variation in p53 response elements (REs) may play roles in the etiology of SCCHN. We selected and genotyped five polymorphic p53 REs as well as a most frequently studied p53 codon 72 (Arg72Pro, rs1042522) polymorphism in 1,100 non-Hispanic White SCCHN patients and 1,122 age-and sex-matched cancer-free controls recruited at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center. In multivariate logistic regression analysis with adjustment for age, sex, smoking and drinking status, marital status and education level, we observed that the EOMES rs3806624 CC genotype had a significant effect of protection against SCCHN risk (adjusted odds ratio= 0.79, 95% confidence interval =0.64–0.98), compared with the -838TT+CT genotypes. Moreover, a significantly increased risk associated with the combined genotypes of p53 codon 72CC and EOMES -838TT+CT was observed, especially in the subgroup of non-oropharyneal cancer patients. The values of false-positive report probability were also calculated for significant findings. In the second study, we assessed the association between SCCHN risk and four potential regulatory single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of DEC1 (deleted in esophageal cancer 1) gene, a candidate tumor suppressor gene for esophageal cancer. After adjustment for age, sex, and smoking and drinking status, the variant -606CC (i.e., -249CC) homozygotes had a significantly reduced SCCHN risk (adjusted odds ratio = 0.71, 95% confidence interval = 0.52–0.99), compared with the -606TT homozygotes. Stratification analyses showed that a reduced risk associated with the -606CC genotype was more pronounced in subgroups of non-smokers, non-drinkers, younger subjects (defined as ≤ 57 years), carriers of TP53 Arg/Arg (rs1042522) genotype, patients with oropharyngeal cancer or late-stage SCCHN. Further in silico analysis revealed that the -249 T-to-C change led to a gain of a transcription factor binding site. Additional functional analysis showed that the -249T-to-C change significantly enhanced transcriptional activity of the DEC1 promoter and the DNA-protein binding activity. We conclude that the DEC1 promoter -249 T>C (rs2012775) polymorphism is functional, modulating susceptibility to SCCHN among non-Hispanic Whites. Additional large-scale, preferably population-based studies are needed to validate our findings.^

Targeting TRAF6 for Cancer Therapeutical Development

Tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-Receptor Associated Factors (TRAFs) are a family of signal transducer proteins. TRAF6 is a unique member of this family in that it is involved in not only the TNF superfamily, but the toll-like receptor (TLR)/IL-1R (TIR) superfamily. The formation of the complex consisting of Receptor Activator of Nuclear Factor κ B (RANK), with its ligand (RANKL) results in the recruitment of TRAF6, which activates NF-κB, JNK and MAP kinase pathways. TRAF6 is critical in signaling with leading to release of various growth factors in bone, and promotes osteoclastogenesis. TRAF6 has also been implicated as an oncogene in lung cancer and as a target in multiple myeloma. In the hopes of developing small molecule inhibitors of the TRAF6-RANK interaction, multiple steps were carried out. Computational prediction of hot spot residues on the protein-protein interaction of TRAF6 and RANK were examined. Three methods were used: Robetta, KFC2, and HotPoint, each of which uses a different methodology to determine if a residue is a hot spot. These hot spot predictions were considered the basis for resolving the binding site for in silico high-throughput screening using GOLD and the MyriaScreen database of drug/lead-like compounds. Computationally intensive molecular dynamics simulations highlighted the binding mechanism and TRAF6 structural changes upon hit binding. Compounds identified as hits were verified using a GST-pull down assay, comparing inhibition to a RANK decoy peptide. Since many drugs fail due to lack of efficacy and toxicity, predictive models for the evaluation of the LD50 and bioavailability of our TRAF6 hits, and these models can be used towards other drugs and small molecule therapeutics as well. Datasets of compounds and their corresponding bioavailability and LD50 values were curated based, and QSAR models were built using molecular descriptors of these compounds using the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) method, and quality of these models were cross-validated.

Pathway Semantics: An Algebraic Data Driven Algorithm to Generate Hypotheses about Molecular Patterns Underlying Disease Progression

The overarching goal of the Pathway Semantics Algorithm (PSA) is to improve the in silico identification of clinically useful hypotheses about molecular patterns in disease progression. By framing biomedical questions within a variety of matrix representations, PSA has the flexibility to analyze combined quantitative and qualitative data over a wide range of stratifications. The resulting hypothetical answers can then move to in vitro and in vivo verification, research assay optimization, clinical validation, and commercialization. Herein PSA is shown to generate novel hypotheses about the significant biological pathways in two disease domains: shock / trauma and hemophilia A, and validated experimentally in the latter. The PSA matrix algebra approach identified differential molecular patterns in biological networks over time and outcome that would not be easily found through direct assays, literature or database searches. In this dissertation, Chapter 1 provides a broad overview of the background and motivation for the study, followed by Chapter 2 with a literature review of relevant computational methods. Chapters 3 and 4 describe PSA for node and edge analysis respectively, and apply the method to disease progression in shock / trauma. Chapter 5 demonstrates the application of PSA to hemophilia A and the validation with experimental results. The work is summarized in Chapter 6, followed by extensive references and an Appendix with additional material.